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Cattle Prices to Rise 7.3% in 2013, Allendale Says

January 26, 2013

Copyright 2013 Bloomberg.

By Tony C. Dreibus

Cattle prices will jump 7.3 percent this year in the U.S., after a crop-damaging drought in 2012 led to a smaller herd, according to Rich Nelson, the chief strategist at broker Allendale Inc.

Slaughterhouses will pay $1.32 a pound on average on cash markets for spot supplies in 2013, up from $1.23 last year, Nelson said today at Allendale’s annual meeting in Crystal Lake, Illinois. About 32.95 million head of cattle were processed last year, down 3.3 percent from 2011, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said in a Jan. 24 report.

Supplies of slaughter-ready animals will keep falling because the cost of corn feed surged after the drought, the worst since the Dust Bowl era of the 1930s, dried up pastures and forced livestock producers to shrink herds, Nelson said.

During the first quarter of 2013, cash cattle will average $1.29, according to McHenry, Illinois-based Allendale. After slipping to $1.28 in the second quarter, prices will rally to $1.35 in the third and fourth quarters, the broker said. Beef production is expected to decline annually through 2015, according to Allendale.

Cattle futures gained 8.9 percent last year to $1.36375 a pound on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. They are down 1.2 percent this month, closing today at $1.3075.

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RELATED TOPICS: Beef, drought, Feed Prices



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