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Maybe It’s Not as Bad as We Thought

August 25, 2012
By: Sara Schafer, Farm Journal Media Business and Crops Editor
corn ears
  

The grain markets have had plenty of new information to digest this week, courtesy of the Pro Farmer Midwest Crop Tour.

You could almost get dizzy watching the markets react to the daily, hourly and up-to-the-minute updates from the 2012 Pro Farmer Midwest Crop Tour. As crop scouts examined fields in seven states, yields came in all over the board.

Here’s an overview of the state-by-state results from the tour:

State Corn Yield Estimate 3-Year Corn Average Soybean Pod Counts* 3-Year Soybean Average
Ohio 110.50 160.53 1,033.72 1,240.85
Indiana 113.25 155.84 1,033.24 1,190.37
Illinois 121.60 163.23 944.05 1,202.38
Iowa 137.27 171.66 999.80 1,255.50
Minnesota 156.19 182.23 934.35 1,115.85
Nebraska 131.79 156.94 894.43 1,277.24
S. Dakota 74.26 143.88 584.93 1,116.87

*Pro Farmer does not estimate a yield for soybeans, only the number of bods in 3' by 3'.

Obviously yield estimates and data are lower than average, yet still not dramatically lower in all states as some farmers and market experts were expecting.

The editors of Pro Farmer release their official estimates on Friday afternoon:

  • Corn: 10.478 billion bu.; average yield 120.25 bu./acre
  • Soybeans: 2.60 billion bu.; average yield of 34.8 bu./acre

 

In August, USDA released the following corn and soybean estimates:

  • Corn: 10.78 billion bu.; average yield of 123.4 bu./acre
  • Soybeans: 2.69 billion bu.; average yield of 36.1 bu./acre


Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says the markets were most surprised this week by there actually being decent corn yields in some areas. "I think the market was expecting nobody to find any corn over 125 anywhere. It was a shock to see that some corn will be higher."

But, Gulke says, you still have to wonder if there will be enough good corn yields to offset all of the poor yields.

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