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Power Hour: Corn Heads for Longest Losing Run Since 2010

February 12, 2013
corn ears
  

Copyright 2012 Bloomberg.

By Whitney McFerron and Supunnabul Suwannakij

Corn fell for an eighth session in Chicago, heading for the longest losing streak since March 2010, as prospects improved for crops in South America. Soybeans also dropped.

Corn and soybean growing areas in Argentina may receive moderate to heavy rainfall from storms beginning Feb. 16, easing dry conditions, DTN said today in a forecast. Northern crop regions in Brazil will be drier, helping the harvest progress, according to the report. Argentina, the largest corn exporter after the U.S., may produce 27 million metric tons, more than expected by analysts, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said Feb. 8. Brazil’s harvest may be 72.5 million tons, also more than expected, the USDA said.

"The South American outlook is looking a bit brighter," Kieran Walsh, a broker of agricultural derivatives at Aurel BGC, said today from Paris. "Yield potential in both Argentina and Brazil is looking healthier, reinforcing the USDA numbers."

Corn futures for delivery in March dropped 1 percent to $6.95 a bushel at 11:11 a.m. on the Chicago Board of Trade. Earlier, the grain touched $6.9375, the lowest for a most-active contract since Jan. 11.

Soybean futures for delivery in May fell 0.6 percent to $14.0875 a bushel in Chicago, after touching $14.075, the lowest since Jan. 14.

Warming Waters

Warming equatorial waters in the Pacific Ocean are increasing precipitation in South America and the U.S., a major change from dry conditions of the past three months, Martell Crop Projections said in a report. Soybean crops in Brazil and Argentina will jump 28 percent to a record 136.5 million tons this year, the USDA forecast last week.

"Perceptions that global weather conditions are improving are keeping buyers on the sidelines," Chad Henderson, the president of Prime Agricultural Consultants Inc. in Brookfield, Wisconsin, said in a telephone interview. "It’s not too late to add bushels to the South American crops, and rain in the U.S. will reduce drought conditions ahead of planting."

U.S. corn output is projected to increase 34 percent to 14.4 billion bushels in the 2013-14 season, the USDA said yesterday in a 10-year forecast. Soybean production may climb 11 percent to 3.34 billion bushels, it said. Both crops rallied to records last year in Chicago trading as drought in the U.S. followed dry weather in South America in the previous season.
 


 

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