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RSS By: Jim Wyckoff, Pro Farmer

Pro Farmer technical analyst Jim Wyckoff's daily thoughts.

Jim's Afternoon Markets Report--February 6

Feb 07, 2012

Monday Evening, February 6-Jim Wyckoff's Daily Markets
Update

Questions? Just email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com . I enjoy
hearing from my readers worldwide.--Jim

Click below for "Today’s Hot Market" item on my website.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/hotmarket/hotmarket.asp

Dear Valued Subscriber: Following are today's significant
developments in the U.S. futures markets.

*. LIVESTOCK: April live cattle closed up $0.10 at $127.50
today. Prices closed near mid-range. The key “outside
markets” were in a bearish posture for cattle today, as the
U.S. dollar index was firmer and crude oil prices were
weaker. Cattle futures bulls still have the overall near-
term technical advantage but need to show fresh power soon
to keep it after last Friday’s bearish weekly low close.
There is also now the specter of a bearish double-top
reversal pattern forming on the daily bar chart. The bulls'
next upside price breakout objective is to push and close
prices above solid technical resistance at the contract
high of $129.70. The next downside technical breakout
objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at $125.50. First resistance is
seen at today’s high of $127.90 and then at $128.50. First
support is seen at today’s low of $127.00 and then at
$126.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5

March feeder cattle closed down $0.32 at $154.12 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today and saw more profit
taking after prices last week hit a contract high. Feeder
bulls still have the solid overall near-term technical
advantage. The next upside price objective for the feeder
bulls is to push and close prices above technical
resistance at the contract high of $155.95. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is to push
and close prices below solid technical support at $153.00.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of $154.50 and
then at $155.00. First support is seen at today’s low of
$153.55 and then at $153.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

April lean hogs closed down $0.37 at $88.55 today. Prices
closed nearer the session low today. The key “outside
markets” were in a bearish posture for hogs today, as the
U.S. dollar index was firmer and crude oil prices were
weaker. Hog bulls and bears are on a level near-term
technical playing field but the bulls are fading. The next
upside price breakout objective for the bulls is to push
and close prices above solid chart resistance at last
week’s high of $90.75. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is pushing prices below solid
technical support at $87.50. First resistance is seen at
$89.00 and then at today’s high of $89.55. First support is
seen at today’s low of $88.50 and then at $88.00. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 5.0

*. GRAINS: March corn futures closed down 1/2 cents at
$6.44 today. Prices closed near mid-range today. Gains were
limited by the key “outside markets” being in a bearish
posture for corn today, as the U.S. dollar index was firmer
and crude oil prices were weaker. Corn bulls and bears are
on a level near-term technical playing field. Traders are
awaiting Thursday morning’s USDA world supply and demand
report. Corn bulls' next upside price breakout objective is
to push and close prices above solid technical resistance
at last week’s high of $6.50. The next downside price
breakout objective for the bears is pushing and closing
prices below solid technical support at $6.25. First
resistance for March corn is seen at today’s high of $6.48
1/2 and then at $6.50. First support is seen at $6.40 and
then at $6.35. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0

March soybeans closed up 1 3/4 cents at $12.34 1/4 a bushel
today. Prices closed near mid-range today and hit a fresh
five-week high. Gains were limited today by the key
“outside markets” being in a bearish posture for beans, as
the U.S. dollar index was firmer and crude oil prices were
lower. Traders are awaiting Thursday morning’s USDA world
supply and demand report. Soybean bulls have the slight
near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a three-week-
old uptrend on the daily bar chart. The next near-term
upside technical breakout objective for the soybean bulls
is pushing and closing prices above solid technical
resistance at the January high of $12.44 3/4 a bushel. The
next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
pushing and closing prices below technical support at last
week’s low of $11.84 1/4. First resistance is seen at
$12.44 3/4 and then at $12.50. First support is seen at
today’s low of $12.30 3/4 and then at $12.25. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 5.5.

March soybean meal closed down $1.90 at $326.70 today.
Prices closed nearer the session low today after hitting a
fresh 3.5-month high early on. Bulls have the slight near-
term technical advantage in meal. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bulls is to produce a close
above solid technical resistance at the October high of
$335.10. The next downside price breakout objective for the
bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical
support at last week’s low of $312.70. First resistance
comes in at today’s high of $331.00 and then at $335.10.
First support is seen at $325.00 and then at $322.50.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5

March bean oil closed up 55 points at 52.20 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today and hit a fresh
four-week high. The key “outside markets” were in a bearish
posture for bean oil today, as the U.S. dollar index was
firmer and crude oil prices were weaker. Yet bean oil
rallied anyway, which is a bullish clue for bean oil. Bean
oil bulls and bears are on a level near-term technical
playing field now, but the bulls have gained some fresh
upside momentum recently. The next upside price breakout
objective for the bean oil bulls is pushing and closing
prices above solid technical resistance at the January high
of 53.79 cents. Bean oil bears' next downside technical
price breakout objective is pushing and closing prices
below solid technical support at 50.00 cents. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of 52.36 cents and then
at 52.70 cents. First support is seen at 52.00 cents and
then at today’s low of 51.52 cents. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 5.0

March Chicago SRW wheat closed up 7 1/2 cents at $6.68 1/4
today. Prices closed near the session high today. The key
“outside markets” were in a bearish posture for wheat
today, as the U.S. dollar index was firmer and crude oil
prices were lower. Yet, wheat rallied anyway, which is a
bullish clue for wheat. Traders are awaiting Thursday
morning’s USDA world supply and demand report. Wheat bulls
have the slight near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next
upside price breakout objective is to push and close
Chicago SRW prices above psychological resistance at $7.00
a bushel. The next downside price breakout objective for
the wheat futures bears is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at last week’s low of $6.35 1/4.
First resistance is seen at $6.75 and then at last week’s
high of $6.83 3/4. First support lies at today’s low of
$6.56 1/4 and then at $6.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

March K.C. HRW wheat closed up 6 1/4 cents at $7.19 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. Bulls have the
slight near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is pushing and closing prices
above solid technical resistance at $7.50. The bears' next
downside breakout objective is pushing and closing prices
below psychological support at $7.00. First resistance is
seen at today’s high of $7.21 3/4 and then at last week’s
high of $7.32. First support is seen at today’s low of
$7.12 and then at $7.08 1/2. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5

March oats closed up 12 3/4 cents at $3.27 today. Prices
closed nearer the session high today and hit a fresh three-
month high. Price action in oats today produced a bullish
upside “breakout” from a choppy and sideways trading range
on the daily bar chart. This could have bullish
implications for the major grains. Oats bulls now have the
slight overall near-term technical advantage. Bears' next
downside price breakout objective is pushing and closing
prices below major psychological support at $3.00. Bulls'
next upside price breakout objective is pushing and closing
prices above solid technical resistance at $3.50. First
support lies at $3.25 and then at $3.22 1/2. First
resistance is seen at $3.30 and then at today’s high of
$3.34. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5

*. SOFTS: March sugar closed up 65 points at 24.59 cents
today. Prices closed near the session high today and saw
short covering. Prices rallied despite the key “outside
markets” which were in a bearish posture for sugar today,
as the U.S. dollar index was firmer and crude oil prices
were lower. That’s a bullish clue for sugar. Sugar bears do
still have the slight near-term technical advantage. Sugar
bulls' next upside price breakout objective is to push and
close prices above solid technical resistance at the
January high of 25.21 cents. Bears' next downside price
breakout objective is to push and close prices below solid
technical support at last week’s low of 23.41 cents. First
resistance is seen at 24.65 cents and then at 25.00 cents.
First support is seen at 24.50 cents and then at 24.25
cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.5

March coffee closed up 375 points at 219.70 cents. Prices
closed near the session high today and scored a bullish
“outside day” up on the daily bar chart. Prices rallied
despite the key “outside markets” which were in a bearish
posture for coffee today, as the U.S. dollar index was
firmer and crude oil prices were lower. That’s a bullish
clue for coffee. Coffee bears still have the solid overall
near-term technical advantage. Prices are still in a
choppy, five-month-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.
The coffee bulls' next upside breakout objective is to
close prices above solid technical resistance at 230.00
cents. The next downside price breakout objective for the
bears is closing prices below solid technical support at
210.00 cents a pound. First resistance is seen at 220.00
cents and then at 222.50 cents. First support is seen at
217.50 cents and then at 215.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 2.5

March cocoa closed down $33 at $2,267 a ton. Prices closed
nearer the session low today. The key “outside markets”
were in a bearish posture for cocoa today, as the U.S.
dollar index was firmer and crude oil prices were lower.
Cocoa bears have the overall near-term technical advantage.
However, a bullish double-bottom reversal pattern has
formed on the daily bar chart, but the bulls need to step
up and show more power soon. The next upside price breakout
objective for the cocoa bulls is to push and close prices
above solid technical resistance at the January high of
$2,480. The next downside price breakout objective for the
bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical
support at $2,100. First resistance is seen at $2,300 and
then at today’s high of $2,332. First support is seen at
today’s low of $2,237 and then at last week’s low of
$2,210. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

March cotton closed down 3 points at 96.31 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session low today. The key
“outside markets” were in a bearish posture for cotton
today, as the U.S. dollar index was firmer and crude oil
prices were lower. Cotton bulls and bears are on a level
near-term technical playing field, but the bulls have
gained some fresh upside technical momentum recently. The
next upside price objective for the bulls is to produce a
close above major psychological resistance at 100.00 cents.
The next downside price breakout objective for the cotton
bears is to push and close prices below solid technical
support at last week’s low of 92.69 cents. First support is
seen at 95.00 cents and then at 94.00 cents. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of 97.26 cents and then
at 98.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0

March orange juice closed up 80 points at $2.0225 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today. Bulls have the overall
near-term technical advantage. The next upside price
breakout objective for the FCOJ bulls is pushing and
closing prices above technical resistance at the recent
all-time high of $2.2695. The next downside technical
breakout objective for the FCOJ bears is to produce a close
below solid technical support at $1.9250. First resistance
is seen at $2.0500 and then at today’s high of $2.0665.
First support is seen at today’s low of $2.0000 and then at
last week’s low of $1.9720. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

March lumber futures again closed up the $10.00 limit at
$272.50 today. Prices hit a fresh five-week high today and
are screaming higher following last week’s bullish U.S.
jobs report. The lumber bulls have gained good upside
technical momentum recently and have the near-term
technical advantage. The next downside technical breakout
objective for the lumber bears is pushing and closing
prices below solid technical support at $255.00. The next
upside price breakout objective for the bulls is pushing
and closing prices above solid technical resistance at
$280.00. First resistance is seen at the December high of
$272.90 and then at $275.00. First support is seen at
$270.00 and then at $267.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

*. METALS: April gold futures closed down $15.30 an ounce
at $1,725.00 today. Prices closed near mid-range today and
saw more profit-taking and a corrective pullback from
recent gains that saw prices Friday morning hit a two-month
high. The key “outside markets” were bearish for gold today
as the U.S. dollar index was firmer and crude oil prices
were lower. No chart damage has occurred. Gold bulls still
have the overall near-term technical advantage. A five-
week-old uptrend is still in place on the daily bar chart.
Bulls' next upside technical breakout objective is to
produce a close above solid technical resistance at the
December high of $1,769.70. Bears' next near-term downside
price objective is closing prices below psychological
support at $1,700.00. First resistance is seen at today’s
high of $1,740.90 and then at $1,750.00. First support is
seen at today’s low of $1,714.00 and then at $1,700.00.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

March silver futures closed down $0.069 an ounce at $33.68
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and saw
mild profit taking. The key “outside markets” were bearish
for silver today as the U.S. dollar index was firmer and
crude oil prices were lower. No chart damage has occurred.
Prices late last week hit a 2.5-month high. Silver bulls
have the overall near-term technical advantage. A five-
week-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls’
next upside price breakout objective is closing prices
above solid technical resistance at the October high of
$35.68 an ounce. The next downside price breakout objective
for the bears is closing prices below solid technical
support at $31.00. First resistance is seen at $34.00 and
then at last week’s high of $34.41. Next support is seen at
$33.00 and then at $32.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

March N.Y. copper closed down 375 points 386.40 cents
today. Prices closed near mid-range today on some profit
taking. The key “outside markets” were in a bearish posture
for copper today, as the U.S. dollar index was firmer and
crude oil prices were lower. Copper bulls still have the
near-term technical advantage. Prices are still in a six-
week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Copper bulls' next
upside breakout objective is pushing and closing prices
above major psychological resistance at 400.00 cents. The
next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
closing prices below solid technical support at 367.50
cents. First resistance is seen at 390.00 cents and then at
the January high of 393.90 cents. First support is seen at
today’s low of 382.80 cents and then at 380.00 cents.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

*. ENERGIES: March crude oil closed down $0.61 a barrel at
$97.23 today. Prices closed near mid-range today. Prices
were pressured by a firmer U.S. dollar index today. Crude
oil bulls are fading. Prices are in a four-week-old
downtrend on the daily bar chart. The next near-term upside
price breakout objective for the crude oil bulls is
producing a close above psychological technical resistance
at $100.00 a barrel. The next near-term downside price
breakout objective for the crude oil bears is to produce a
close below solid technical support at the December low of
$92.95. First resistance is seen at $98.00 and then at
$99.00. First support is seen at today’s low of $96.38 and
then at $96.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

March heating oil closed up 706 points at $3.1850 today.
Prices closed near the session high today and scored a big
and bullish “outside day” up on the daily bar chart and
also hit a fresh six-month high. Bulls have the solid
overall near-term technical advantage and gained more power
today. The bulls' next upside price breakout objective is
closing prices above solid technical resistance at the June
2011 high of $3.2244. Bears' next downside price breakout
objective is producing a close below psychological support
at $3.0000. First resistance lies at today’s high of
$3.1862 and then at $3.2000. First support is seen at
$3.1500 and then at $3.1286. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

March (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed up 278 points at
$2.9422 today. Prices closed near the session high today
and closed at a fresh 6.5-month high close. Bulls have the
solid overall near-term technical advantage. The next
upside price breakout objective for the bulls is closing
prices above major psychological resistance at $3.0000.
Bears' next downside price breakout objective is closing
prices below solid support at $2.8000. First resistance is
seen at $2.9500 and then at last week’s high of $2.9700.
First support is seen at $2.9000 and then at $2.8750.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

March natural gas closed up 6.2 cents at $2.561 today.
Prices closed near the session high today and saw short
covering in a bear market. Bears still have the solid
overall near-term technical advantage. The next upside
price breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices
above major psychological resistance at last week’s high of
$2.844. The next downside price breakout objective for the
bears is closing prices below solid technical support at
the contract low of $2.289. First resistance is seen at
$2.60 and then at $2.70. First support is seen at $2.50 and
then at today’s low of $2.447. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
2.0.

*.STOCKS, FINANCIALS, CURRENCIES: The March Euro currency
closed down 22 points at 1.3132 today. Prices closed near
the session high today. Bears still have the overall near-
term technical advantage. The EU debt crisis is back on the
front burner and that’s bearish for the Euro currency. Euro
bulls' next upside price breakout objective is pushing and
closing prices above solid technical resistance at 1.3400.
The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
closing prices below solid chart support at 1.2800. First
resistance for the Euro lies at 1.3150 and then at last
week’s high of 1.3237 and then at 1.3300. Next support is
seen at today’s low of 1.3028 and then at 1.3000 and then
at 1.3000. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0

The March Japanese yen closed down 1 point at 1.3063 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. Bulls have the
overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is closing prices above solid
resistance at last week’s high of 1.3160. Bears' next
downside breakout objective is closing prices below solid
technical support at 1.2900. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of 1.3077 and then at 1.3100. First support is
seen at today’s low of 1.3024 and then at 1.3000. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 6.0.

The March Swiss franc closed down 9 points at 1.0892 today.
Prices closed near the session high today. Bears still have
the overall near-term technical advantage, but the bulls
have gained some upside momentum recently. The next upside
price breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices
above solid resistance at 1.1000. The next downside price
breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below
solid technical support at 1.0650. First resistance is seen
at last week’s high of 1.0982 and then at 1.1000. First
support is seen at today’s low of 1.0802 and then at
1.0750. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

The March Australian dollar closed down 53 points at 1.0682
today. Prices closed near mid-range today on mild profit
taking after hitting a fresh contract high on Friday. Bulls
still have the solid near-term technical advantage. Prices
are in a 2.5-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart.
Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is closing
prices above solid chart resistance at 1.0800. The next
downside breakout objective for the bears is to produce a
close below solid technical support at 1.0450. First
resistance is seen at Friday’s contract high of 1.0744 and
then at 1.0800. Next support is seen at today’s low of
1.0633 and then at 1.0600. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0

The March Canadian dollar closed down 25 points at 1.0032
today. Prices closed near mid-range today and saw profit
taking after prices Friday hit a three-month high and
closed at a bullish weekly high close. Bulls still have the
solid near-term technical advantage. A 10-week-old uptrend
line is in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is producing a close above chart
resistance at the October high of 1.0075. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices
below solid technical support at .9950. First resistance is
seen at Friday’s high of 1.0063 and then at 1.0075. First
support is seen at today’s low of .9996 and then at .9957.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

The March British pound closed down 3 points at 1.5822
today. Prices closed near mid-range today and saw mild
profit taking. The bulls still have upside momentum and
have the slight near-term technical advantage. The next
upside price breakout objective for the bulls is closing
prices above solid technical resistance at the October high
of 1.6120. Bears' next downside technical breakout
objective is closing prices below solid support at 1.5600.
First resistance is seen at 1.5854 and then at last week’s
high of 1.5880. First support is seen at 1.5750 and then at
1.5700. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

The March U.S. dollar index closed up 8 points at 79.14
today. Prices closed near the session low today. Bulls
still have the overall near-term technical advantage but
have faded recently and need to show fresh power soon to
avoid serious chart damage. Bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is to close prices above solid technical
resistance at 80.50. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is to produce a close below solid
technical support at 78.00. Next resistance lies at last
week’s high of 79.66 and then at 80.00. First support is
seen at last week’s low of 78.74 and then at 78.50.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

March U.S. T-Bonds closed up 1 2/32 at 143 15/32 today.
Prices closed near the session high today and were
supported by fresh worries about the EU sovereign debt
crisis. The bond market bulls have the solid overall near-
term technical advantage. The next downside price breakout
objective for the T-Bond bears is closing prices below
solid technical support at 142 even. The next upside
technical objective for the bulls is to produce a close
above solid technical resistance at 145 even. First
resistance is seen at 144 even and then at 144 16/32. First
support is seen at 143 even and then at today’s low of 142
15/32. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

March U.S. T Notes closed up 13.0 (32nds) at 131.23.5
today. Prices closed nearer the session high. Bulls have
the solid overall near-term technical advantage. The next
upside price breakout objective for the bulls is closing
prices above solid resistance at 133.00.0. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is
producing a close below solid technical support at
130.24.0. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
131.26.0 and then at 132.00.0. First support is seen at
today’s low of 131.11.5 and then at last week’s low of
131.09.5. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0

GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT: The U.S. stock indexes closed
narrowly mixed today. The stock index bulls still have
upside near-term technical momentum on their side. It’s
those quiet, unassuming price trends like those in the
stock indexes at present that are most likely to continue.

The Nasdaq stock futures index closed up 2.25 at 2,525.25.
Prices closed nearer the session high today and closed at
another fresh 11-year high close. Bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is closing prices above solid resistance
at 2,600.00. The bears' next downside price breakout
objective is closing prices below solid technical support
at 2,400.00. First resistance is seen at last week’s high
of 2,530.00 and then at 2,550.00. First support is seen at
today’s low of 2,510.50 and then at 2,500.00. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 8.0

The S&P 500 futures index closed steady at 1,339.10. Prices
closed nearer the session high today. Bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is closing prices above solid
resistance at the July high of 1,354.50. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices
below solid support at 1,296.00. First resistance is seen
at last week’s high of 1,342.00 and then at 1,350.00. First
support is seen at today’s low of 1,330.30 and then at
1,320.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0.

The Dow futures closed down 17 points at 12,776 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today. The next upside price
objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid
technical resistance at the May 2011 high of 12,827. The
next downside price objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at the January low of
12,250. First resistance in the Dow lies at today’s high of
12,792 and then at 12,827. First support is seen at today’s
low of 12,750 and then at 12,700. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
8.0.

Click below for my welcome letter to all new customers and
for an explanation of my Market Rating System.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/newsletter/WelcomeAboard/

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage
any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It
is my goal to point out to you potential trading
opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when
and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine
the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I
discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for
everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS.
Before you invest any money in futures or options
contracts, you should consider your financial experience,
goals and financial resources, and know how much you can
afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a
broker. You should understand commodity futures and options
contracts and your obligations in entering into those
contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and
other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk
disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.

Jim Wyckoff
 

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