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RSS By: Jim Wyckoff, Pro Farmer

Pro Farmer technical analyst Jim Wyckoff's daily thoughts.

Jim's Afternoon Markets Report--January 17

Jan 18, 2012

Tuesday Evening, January 17-Jim Wyckoff's Daily Markets
Update

Questions? Just email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com . I enjoy
hearing from my readers worldwide.--Jim

Click below for "Today’s Hot Market" item on my website.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/hotmarket/hotmarket.asp

Dear Valued Subscriber: Following are today's significant
developments in the U.S. futures markets.

*. LIVESTOCK: April live cattle closed up $0.35 at $126.75
today. Prices gapped higher on the daily bar chart, hit a
fresh four-week high but closed nearer the session low. The
key outside markets were bullish for cattle today—higher
crude oil and lower U.S. dollar index. Cash cattle market
fundamentals are also being deemed more bullish this week.
Cattle futures bulls have regained the near-term technical
advantage. The bulls' next upside price breakout objective
is to push and close prices above solid technical
resistance at the December high of $127.90. The next
downside technical breakout objective for the bears is
pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at
the January low of $124.15. First resistance is seen at
$127.00 and then at today’s high of $127.45. First support
is seen at $126.45 and then at $126.00. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 6.0

March feeder cattle closed steady at $152.37 today. Prices
closed near the session low today and hit another fresh
contract high. Feeder bulls have the solid near-term
technical advantage and there are still no early technical
clues that a market top is close at hand. The next upside
price objective for the feeder bulls is to push and close
prices above technical resistance at $154.00. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is to push
and close prices below solid technical support at last
week’s low of $149.30. First resistance is seen at $153.00
and then at today’s contract high of $153.47. First support
is seen at $152.00 and then at $151.35. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 8.5

April lean hogs closed up $0.30 at $87.35 today. Prices
closed near mid-range today and saw more short covering in
a bear market. The key “outside markets” were in a bullish
posture for the hog market today, as crude oil prices were
higher and the U.S. dollar index was lower. Cash market
fundamentals in the hog market are deemed as improving
recently. While hog bears still have the overall near-term
technical advantage, a bullish double-bottom reversal
pattern may be forming on the daily bar chart. However,
prices are still in a seven-week-old downtrend on the daily
bar chart. The next upside price breakout objective for the
bulls is to push and close prices above solid chart
resistance at $89.42. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is pushing prices below solid
technical support at the December low of $85.50. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of $87.65 and then at
$88.00. First support is seen at $87.00 and then at $86.40.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5

*. GRAINS: March corn futures closed up 6 1/2 cents at
$6.06 today. Short covering in a bear market was featured
today. The key “outside markets” were in a bullish posture
for corn today, as the U.S. dollar index was lower and
crude oil prices were higher. South American corn regions
are still seeing drier and hotter weather, which was also
somewhat bullish for corn today. Serious near-term chart
damage was inflicted in corn last week. Corn bears have the
overall near-term technical advantage. Corn bulls' next
upside price breakout objective is to push and close prices
above solid technical resistance at $6.40. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing
and closing prices below solid technical support at the
December low of $5.76 1/4. First resistance for March corn
is seen at today’s high of $6.11 3/4 and then at $6.15.
First support is seen at $6.00 and then at last week’s low
of $5.98 1/2. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5

March soybeans closed up 24 1/2 cents at $11.82 3/4 a
bushel today. Prices closed nearer the session high on
short covering in a bear market. The key “outside markets”
were in a bullish posture for beans today, as the U.S.
dollar index was lower and crude oil prices were higher.
Dry and hot weather in South American soybean regions was
bullish for beans today. Still, near-term chart damage was
inflicted in soybeans last week. Soybean bears have the
overall near-term technical advantage. The next near-term
upside technical breakout objective for the soybean bulls
is pushing and closing prices above solid technical
resistance at the December high of $12.18 3/4 a bushel. The
next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
pushing and closing prices below technical support at last
week’s low of $11.50. First resistance is seen at $11.90
and then at $12.00. First support is seen at $11.75 and
then at today’s low of $11.62 3/4. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
4.0.

March soybean meal closed up $8.70 at $310.20 today. Prices
closed near the session high today and saw short covering
in a bear market. Bears have the overall near-term
technical advantage. The next upside price breakout
objective for the bulls is to produce a close above solid
technical resistance at last week’s high of $324.50. The
next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at
last week’s low of $296.40. First resistance comes in at
$312.50 and then at $315.00. First support is seen at
$307.50 and then at $305.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0

March bean oil closed up 38 points at 50.67 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session low today and saw short
covering in a bear market. The key “outside markets” were
in a bullish posture for bean oil today, as the U.S. dollar
index was lower and crude oil prices were higher. Bean oil
bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. The
next upside price breakout objective for the bean oil bulls
is pushing and closing prices above solid technical
resistance at last week’s high of 52.55 cents. Bean oil
bears' next downside technical price breakout objective is
pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at
50.00 cents. First resistance is seen at 51.00 cents and
then at today’s high of 51.24 cents. First support is seen
at last week’s low of 50.16 cents and then at 50.00 cents.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0

March Chicago SRW wheat closed up 3 cents at $6.05 1/4
today. Prices closed near mid-range and saw tepid short
covering in a bear market. The key “outside markets” were
in a bullish posture for wheat today, as the U.S. dollar
index was lower and crude oil prices were higher. Serious
near-term chart damage was inflicted in wheat last week.
Wheat will remain a follower of corn and beans for at least
the near term. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective
is to push and close Chicago SRW prices above solid
technical resistance at last week’s high of $6.48 3/4 a
bushel. The next downside price breakout objective for the
wheat futures bears is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at the December low of $5.77 1/4.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of $6.11 3/4 and
then at $6.25. First support lies at $6.00 and then at last
week’s low of $5.92. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

March K.C. HRW wheat closed up 1 1/2 cents at $6.71 1/2
today. Prices closed near mid-range and saw tepid short
covering in a bear market. Near-term chart damage was
inflicted last week. Bears have the solid overall near-term
technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is pushing and closing prices above major
psychological resistance at $7.00. The bears' next downside
breakout objective is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at $6.50. First resistance is seen
at $6.80 and then at $6.91 1/4. First support is seen at
today’s low of $6.68 3/4 and then at last week’s low of
$6.59. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0

March oats closed up 4 1/2 cents at $2.86 3/4 today. Prices
closed nearer the session high today and saw short covering
in a bear market. Oats bears still have the solid overall
near-term technical advantage. Bears' next downside price
breakout objective is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at $2.75. Bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is pushing and closing prices above
psychological resistance at $3.00. First support lies at
today’s low of $2.82 and then at $2.80 First resistance is
seen at today’s high of $2.88 and then at $2.90. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 1.5

*. SOFTS: March sugar closed up 18 points at 24.02 cents
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today on short
covering. The key “outside markets” were in a bullish
posture for sugar today, as the U.S. dollar index was lower
and crude oil prices were higher. Sugar bears still have
the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices have been
trading choppy and sideways at lower levels for two months.
Sugar bulls' next upside price breakout objective is to
push and close prices above solid technical resistance at
the January high of 24.65 cents. Bears' next downside price
breakout objective is to push and close prices below solid
technical support at the December low of 22.62 cents. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of 24.22 cents and then
at 24.50 cents. First support is seen at 23.75 cents and
then at today’s low of 23.52 cents. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 3.5

March coffee closed up 165 points at 226.90 cents. Prices
closed nearer the session high today on some short covering
in a bear market. The key “outside markets” were in a
bullish posture for coffee today, as the U.S. dollar index
was lower and crude oil prices were higher. Coffee bears
still have the overall near-term technical advantage. The
coffee bulls' next upside breakout objective is to close
prices above solid technical resistance at the November
high of 243.30 cents. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is closing prices below solid
technical support at the January low of 216.60 cents a
pound. First resistance is seen at today’s high of 229.25
cents and then at 230.00 cents. First support is seen at
225.00 cents and then at today’s low of 221.10 cents.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0

March cocoa closed up $17 at $2,286 a ton. Prices closed
near the session high today and saw short covering. A
bullish pennant pattern has formed on the daily bar chart
just recently. Cocoa bears still have the overall near-term
technical advantage. The next upside price breakout
objective for the cocoa bulls is to push and close prices
above solid technical resistance at last week’s high of
$2,388. The next downside price breakout objective for the
bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical
support at $2,100. First resistance is seen at $2,300 and
then at $2,3500. First support is seen at today’s low of
$2,230 and then at $2,200. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

March cotton closed up 272 points at 99.19 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session high and hit a fresh two-
month high today. The key “outside markets” were in a
bullish posture for cotton today, as the U.S. dollar index
was lower and crude oil prices were higher. Some bullish
economic news from China also boosted cotton today. Cotton
bulls regained the near-term technical advantage today. The
next upside price objective for the bulls is to produce a
close above major psychological resistance at 100.00 cents.
The next downside price breakout objective for the cotton
bears is to push and close prices below solid technical
support at 92.00 cents. First support is seen at 97.00
cents and then at today’s low of 95.67 cents. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of 99.47 cents and then
at 100.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

March orange juice closed down 20 points at $1.8440 today.
Prices closed nearer the session low. Price action in FCOJ
recently has been the most volatile of any market in years.
The recent higher volatility at higher price levels is a
warning signal that a market top is in place. Look for the
higher volatility to continue for a bit longer. The next
upside price breakout objective for the FCOJ bulls is
pushing and closing prices major psychological resistance
at $2.0000. The next downside technical breakout objective
for the FCOJ bears is to produce a close below solid
technical support at $1.7500. First resistance is seen at
$1.8750 and then at $1.90000. First support is seen at
today’s low of $1.8295 and then at $1.8000. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 6.0.

March lumber futures closed down $3.70 at $242.00 today.
Prices closed nearer the session low today. The lumber
bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage.
The next downside technical breakout objective for the
lumber bears is pushing and closing prices below solid
technical support at $225.00. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bulls is pushing and closing
prices above solid technical resistance at $250.00. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of $247.00 and then at
$250.00. First support is seen at $240.00 and then at
$237.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.5

*. METALS: February gold futures closed up $24.10 an ounce
at $1,654.90 today. Prices closed near mid-range today and
hit a fresh five-week high early on. The key “outside
markets” were bullish for gold today, as the U.S. dollar
index was lower and crude oil prices were higher. Bulls
have good upside near-term technical momentum. A three-
week-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls'
next upside technical breakout objective is to produce a
close above psychological resistance at $1,700.00. Bears'
next near-term downside price objective is closing prices
below psychological support at $1,600.00. First resistance
is seen at today’s high of $1,668.00 and then at $1,675.00.
First support is seen at $1,650.00 and then at $1,640.00.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

March silver futures closed up $0.598 an ounce at $30.12
today. Prices closed near mid-range. The key “outside
markets” were bullish for silver today, as the U.S. dollar
index was lower and crude oil prices were higher. Bulls
have upside near-term technical momentum. A three-week-old
uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next
upside price breakout objective is closing prices above
solid technical resistance at $32.50 an ounce. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at last week’s low of
$28.55. First resistance is seen at last week’s high of
$30.675 and then at $31.00. Next support is seen at today’s
low of $29.455 and then at $29.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
5.5.

March N.Y. copper closed up 925 points 372.95 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session high again today and hit a
fresh 2.5-month high. The key “outside markets” were
bullish for copper today, as the U.S. dollar index was
lower and crude oil prices were higher. Copper bulls have
the near-term technical advantage and gained more upside
momentum today. Prices are in a four-week-old uptrend on
the daily bar chart. Copper bulls' next upside breakout
objective is pushing and closing prices above solid
technical resistance at the October high of 376.80 cents.
The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
closing prices below solid technical support at 350.00
cents. First resistance is seen at 376.80 cents and then at
380.00 cents. First support is seen at 370.00 cents and
then at 367.40 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

*. ENERGIES: February crude oil closed up $1.94 a barrel at
$100.66 today. Trading remains choppy and right around the
key $100.00 level. The market was supported today by the
weaker U.S. dollar index and more inflammatory rhetoric
coming out of Iran. Crude oil bulls have the overall near-
term technical advantage. However, the going does get tough
for the bulls once prices move above the key $100.00 level.
The next near-term upside price breakout objective for the
crude oil bulls is producing a close above solid technical
resistance at $105.00 a barrel. The next near-term downside
price breakout objective for the crude oil bears is to
produce a close below solid technical support at $95.00.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of $101.01 and
then at $102.00. First support is seen at $100.00 and then
at $99.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

February heating oil closed up 87 points at $3.0359 today.
Prices hit a fresh two-week low today and closed nearer the
session low. Bulls have the overall near-term technical
advantage. The bulls' next upside price breakout objective
is closing prices above solid technical resistance at last
week’s high of $3.1364. Bears' next downside price breakout
objective is producing a close below solid technical
support at $2.9500. First resistance lies at $3.0500 and
then at today’s high of $3.0937. First support is seen at
today’s low of $3.0186 and then at $3.0000. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 6.0.

February (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed up 356 points at
$2.7699 today. Prices closed near mid-range today. Bulls
have the overall near-term technical advantage. The next
upside price breakout objective for the bulls is closing
prices above solid technical resistance at the September
high of $2.8341. Bears' next downside price breakout
objective is closing prices below solid support at $2.6500.
First resistance is seen at $2.8000 and then at last week’s
high of $2.8245. First support is seen at today’s low of
$2.7396 and then at last week’s low of $2.7178. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 6.0.

February natural gas closed down 18.3 cents at $2.487
today. Prices gapped lower on the daily bar chart and
closed near mid-range today and hit yet another contract
low. Generally warm weather over much of the U.S. is
bearish for nat gas. Bears have the solid overall near-term
technical advantage. There are no early clues of a market
low being close at hand. The next upside price breakout
objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid
technical resistance at $2.80. The next downside price
breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below
solid technical support at $2.25. First resistance is seen
at today’s high of $2.587 and then at $2.70. First support
is seen at today’s contract low of $2.439 and then at
$2.40. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.0.

*.STOCKS, FINANCIALS, CURRENCIES: The March Euro currency
closed up 54 points at 1.2726 today. Prices closed near
mid-range today and saw short covering in a bear market
after hitting a 16-month low last Friday. Bears still have
the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are
in an 11-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. There
are no early clues to suggest a market low is close at
hand. Euro bulls' next upside price breakout objective is
pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance
at 1.3000. The next downside price breakout objective for
the bears is closing prices below solid chart support at
1.2500. First resistance for the Euro lies at today’s high
of 1.2820 and then at last week’s high of 1.2884. Next
support is seen at last week’s low of 1.2627 and then at
1.2600. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.5

The March Japanese yen closed up 21 points at 1.3025 today.
Prices closed nearer the session low today but did hit a
fresh two-month high early on. Bulls have the slight near-
term technical advantage. Prices are in a four-week-old
uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is closing prices above solid resistance
at the November high of 1.3101. Bears' next downside
breakout objective is closing prices below solid technical
support at 1.2833. First resistance is seen at last week’s
high of 1.3054 and then at today’s high of 1.3075. First
support is seen at 1.3000 and then at last week’s low of
1.2973. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

The March Swiss franc closed up 41 points at 1.0535 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today and saw short covering
in a bear market. Bears still have the solid overall near-
term technical advantage. The next upside price breakout
objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid
resistance at the January high of 1.0768. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices
below solid technical support at 1.0400. First resistance
is seen at today’s high of 1.0594 and then at last week’s
high of 1.0641. First support is seen at 1.0500 and then at
today’s low of 1.0457. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0.

The March Australian dollar closed up 70 points at 1.0292
today. Prices closed near mid-range today and hit a fresh
2.5-month high. Bulls have the near-term technical
advantage. Prices are in a seven-week-old uptrend on the
daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is closing prices above solid chart resistance at
the October high of 1.0569. The next downside breakout
objective for the bears is to produce a close below solid
technical support at the January low of 1.0065. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of 1.0378 and then at
1.0400. Next support is seen at 1.0200 and then at 1.0158.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5

The March Canadian dollar closed up 73 points at .9828
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. Bulls
have the slight near-term technical advantage. A four-week-
old uptrend line is in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls'
next upside price breakout objective is producing a close
above chart resistance at the December high of .9923. The
next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
closing prices below solid technical support at the January
low of .9675. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
.9876 and then at the January high of .9908. First support
is seen at .9800 and then at today’s low of .9738.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

The March British pound closed up 23 points at 1.5316
today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. Pricse
Friday hit a contract low. Tepid short covering in a bear
market was featured today. Bears still have the solid
overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in an 11-
week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside
price breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices
above solid technical resistance at last week’s high of
1.5492. Bears' next downside technical breakout objective
is closing prices below solid support at the October low of
1.5267. First resistance is seen at today’s high of 1.5396
and then at 1.5492. First support is seen at today’s low of
1.5273 and then at the contract low of 1.5222. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 1.5.

The March U.S. dollar index closed down 36 points at 81.42
today. Prices closed near the session high today and saw
profit taking from recent gains. Bulls still have the solid
overall near-term technical advantage. There are no early
clues of a market top being close at hand. Bulls' next
upside price breakout objective is to close prices above
solid technical resistance at 82.50. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is to produce a
close below solid technical support at 79.55. Next
resistance lies at today’s high of 81.68 and then at last
week’s high of 81.85 and then at 82.00. First support is
seen at 81.00 and then at last week’s low of 80.73.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

March U.S. T-Bonds closed up 4/32 at 145 4/32 today. Prices
closed nearer the session high today. There is still enough
uncertainty in the overall market place to keep U.S.
Treasury futures prices supported at higher levels. The
bond market bulls have the solid overall near-term
technical advantage. The next downside price breakout
objective for the T-Bond bears is closing prices below
solid technical support at the January low of 141 10/32
even. The next upside technical objective for the bulls is
to produce a close above solid technical resistance at the
December high of 146 11/32. First resistance is seen at
last week’s high of 145 11/32 and then at 145 24/32. First
support is seen at 144 16/32 and then at today’s low of 144
5/32. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

March U.S. T Notes closed up 0.5 (32nds) at 131.18.0 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. Bulls have the
solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices Friday
hit a fresh contract high. The next upside price breakout
objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid
resistance at 132.00.0. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is producing a close below solid
technical support at the January low of 130.03.0. First
resistance is seen at Friday’s contract high of 131.23.5
and then at 132.00.0. First support is seen at today’s low
of 131.05.5 and then at 131.00.0. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
8.0

GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT: The U.S. stock indexes closed
firmer today and set multi-month highs. The stock index
bulls still have upside technical momentum on their side.
The unassuming price uptrends that are in place in the
indexes suggest more of the same can continue for at least
the near term.

The Nasdaq stock futures index closed up 17.00 at 2,390.50
today. Prices closed nearer the session high and hit
another fresh 2.5-month high today. Bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is closing prices above solid
resistance at the October high of 2,408.75. The bears' next
downside price breakout objective is closing prices below
solid technical support at 2,300.00. First resistance is
seen at 2,408.75 and then at 2,425.00. First support is
seen at 2,375.00 and then at today’s low of 2,361.50.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5

The S&P 500 futures index closed steady at 1,288.90. Prices
hit a fresh 5.5-month high today and then backed off to
close near mid-range. Bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is closing prices above solid resistance at the
July high of 1,354.50. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is closing prices below solid
support at 1,225.00. First resistance is seen at today’s
high of 1,302.30 and then at 1,315.00. First support is
seen at today’s low of 1,281.30 and then at last week’s low
of 1,267.80. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

The Dow futures closed up 25 points at 12,415 today. Prices
closed near the session low and did hit a fresh 5.5-month
high early on. The next upside price objective for the
bulls is closing prices above solid technical resistance at
the July high of 12,700. The next downside price objective
for the bears is closing prices below solid technical
support at the December low of 11,665. First resistance in
the Dow lies at today’s high of 12,515 and then at 12,600.
First support is seen at 12,400 and then at 12,350.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

Click below for my welcome letter to all new customers and
for an explanation of my Market Rating System.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/newsletter/WelcomeAboard/

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage
any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It
is my goal to point out to you potential trading
opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when
and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine
the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I
discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for
everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS.
Before you invest any money in futures or options
contracts, you should consider your financial experience,
goals and financial resources, and know how much you can
afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a
broker. You should understand commodity futures and options
contracts and your obligations in entering into those
contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and
other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk
disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.

Jim Wyckoff
 

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