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RSS By: Jim Wyckoff, Pro Farmer

Pro Farmer technical analyst Jim Wyckoff's daily thoughts.

Jim's Afternoon Markets Report--January 23

Jan 24, 2012

Monday Evening, January 23-Jim Wyckoff's Daily Markets
Update

Questions? Just email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com . I enjoy
hearing from my readers worldwide.--Jim

Click below for "Today’s Hot Market" item on my website.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/hotmarket/hotmarket.asp

Dear Valued Subscriber: Following are today's significant
developments in the U.S. futures markets.

*. LIVESTOCK: April live cattle closed up $0.45 at $128.17
today. Prices closed near the session high today and closed
at a fresh five-week high close. The key “outside markets”
were bullish for the cattle market today, as the U.S.
dollar index was lower and crude oil prices were higher.
Improving cash cattle market fundamentals are also bullish
for futures recently. Cattle futures bulls have the solid
near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a six-week-old
uptrend on the daily bar chart. The bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is to push and close prices above
solid technical resistance at the contract high of $129.70.
The next downside technical breakout objective for the
bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical
support at last week’s low of $126.15. First resistance is
seen at last week’s high of $128.75 and then at $129.00.
First support is seen at today’s low of $127.57 and then at
$127.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

March feeder cattle closed down $0.10 at $153.75 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today. Prices Friday hit
another contract high. Feeder bulls have the solid near-
term technical advantage and there are still no early
technical clues that a market top is close at hand. The
next upside price objective for the feeder bulls is to push
and close prices above technical resistance at $155.00. The
next downside price breakout objective for the bears is to
push and close prices below solid technical support at
$151.35. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
$154.45 and then at the contract high of $154.80. First
support is seen at today’s low of $153.10 and then at
$152.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.5

April lean hogs closed up $1.45 at $88.50 today. Prices
closed nearer the session high today and hit a fresh two-
week high. The key “outside markets” were bullish for the
hog market today, as the U.S. dollar index was lower and
crude oil prices were higher. Cash hog market fundamentals
have improved recently. While hog bears still have the
slight overall near-term technical advantage, a bullish
double-bottom reversal pattern has formed on the daily bar
chart. The next upside price breakout objective for the
bulls is to push and close prices above solid chart
resistance at $89.42. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is pushing prices below solid
technical support at the December low of $85.50. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of $88.75 and then at
$89.42. First support is seen at $88.00 and then at today’s
low of $87.55. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5

*. GRAINS: March corn futures closed up 8 1/2 cents at
$6.20 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today
and saw more short covering in a bear market. The key
“outside markets” were bullish for the corn market today,
as the U.S. dollar index was lower and crude oil prices
were higher. Some bargain-hunting buying has also occurred
recently. And, South American corn-growing regions still
need rain. Corn bears do still have the overall near-term
technical advantage, but the bulls are gaining a bit of
upside technical momentum. Corn bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is to push and close prices above solid
technical resistance at $6.40. The next downside price
breakout objective for the bears is pushing and closing
prices below solid technical support at last week’s low of
$5.92 1/2. First resistance for March corn is seen at
today’s high of $6.21 1/4 and then at $6.25. First support
is seen at $6.15 and then at today’s low of $6.12.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5

March soybeans closed up 30 1/2 cents at $12.17 1/2 a
bushel today. Prices closed near the session high today and
saw short covering in a bear market. The key “outside
markets” were bullish for the soybean market today, as the
U.S. dollar index was lower and crude oil prices were
higher. Bargain-hunting buying was also featured today. The
South American soybean region weather is still bullish, as
rain is needed. Soybean bulls and bears are now back on a
level near-term technical playing field as the bulls have
gained upside momentum recently. The next near-term upside
technical breakout objective for the soybean bulls is
pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance
at the January high of $12.44 3/4 a bushel. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing
and closing prices below technical support at the January
low of $11.50. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
$12.19 and then at $12.25. First support is seen at $12.00
and then at today’s low of $11.92. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
5.0.

March soybean meal closed up $9.10 at $321.00 today. Prices
closed nearer the session high today and saw more short
covering and some fresh bargain hunting. Bulls and bears
are back on a level near-term technical playing field. The
next upside price breakout objective for the bulls is to
produce a close above solid technical resistance at the
January high of $324.50. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at the January low of $296.40.
First resistance comes in at today’s high of $323.30 and
then at $324.50. First support is seen at $317.50 and then
at $315.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0

March bean oil closed up 99 points at 51.42 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today and saw short
covering and bargain hunting. The key “outside markets”
were bullish for the bean oil market today, as the U.S.
dollar index was lower and crude oil prices were higher.
Bean oil bears still have the overall near-term technical
advantage. The next upside price breakout objective for the
bean oil bulls is pushing and closing prices above solid
technical resistance at 52.55 cents. Bean oil bears' next
downside technical price breakout objective is pushing and
closing prices below solid technical support at 50.00
cents. First resistance is seen at today’s high of 51.53
cents and then at 51.75 cents. First support is seen at
51.00 cents and then at today’s low of 50.55 cents.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5

March Chicago SRW wheat closed up 9 1/4 cents at $6.19 3/4
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and saw
short covering in bear market. The key “outside markets”
were bullish for the wheat market today, as the U.S. dollar
index was lower and crude oil prices were higher. Wheat
bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage.
Wheat will remain a follower of corn and beans for at least
the near term. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective
is to push and close Chicago SRW prices above solid
technical resistance at $6.50 a bushel. The next downside
price breakout objective for the wheat futures bears is
pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at
the January low of $5.90. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of $6.21 1/2 and then at $6.25. First support
lies at today’s low of $6.13 1/2 and then at $6.00.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5.

March K.C. HRW wheat closed up 6 1/2 cents at $6.73 1/2
today. Prices closed near the session high today and saw
short covering in a bear market. Bears still have the
overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is pushing and closing prices
above major psychological resistance at $7.00. The bears'
next downside breakout objective is pushing and closing
prices below solid technical support at the December low of
$6.35. First resistance is seen at last week’s high of
$6.75 and then at $6.80. First support is seen at today’s
low of $6.67 3/4 and then at $6.60. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 3.0

March oats closed up 1 cent at $2.95 1/2 today. Prices
closed nearer the session low today. Tepid short covering
in a bear market was featured. Oats bears still have the
solid overall near-term technical advantage. Bears' next
downside price breakout objective is pushing and closing
prices below solid technical support at the contract low of
$2.78 1/2. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is
pushing and closing prices above psychological resistance
at $3.00. First support lies at today’s low of $2.93 1/4
and then at $2.90. First resistance is seen at last week’s
high of $2.97 and then at $3.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
2.5

*. SOFTS: March sugar closed down 6 points at 24.83 cents
today. Prices closed nearer the session low today and did
hit a fresh nine-week high early on. A corrective pullback
was featured today. Bulls have gained upside technical
momentum recently as prices have seen a bullish upside
“breakout” from a sideways trading range at lower price
levels. The key “outside markets” were bullish for the
sugar market today, as the U.S. dollar index was lower and
crude oil prices were higher. Bulls have the slight near-
term technical advantage in sugar. Sugar bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is to push and close prices above
solid technical resistance at 25.50 cents. Bears' next
downside price breakout objective is to push and close
prices below solid technical support at last week’s low of
23.52 cents. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
25.07 cents and then at 25.25 cents. First support is seen
at 24.65 cents and then at 24.50 cents. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 5.5

March coffee closed down 540 points at 220.00 cents. Prices
closed nearer the session low today and hit a fresh two-
week low. The key “outside markets” were bullish for the
coffee market today, as the U.S. dollar index was lower and
crude oil prices were higher. Yet, coffee sold off anyway,
which is a bearish near-term clue. Coffee bears have the
solid overall near-term technical advantage. The coffee
bulls' next upside breakout objective is to close prices
above solid technical resistance at the January high of
238.50 cents. The next downside price breakout objective
for the bears is closing prices below solid technical
support at the January low of 216.60 cents a pound. First
resistance is seen at 222.50 cents and then at today’s high
of 225.00 cents. First support is seen at today’s low of
217.85 cents and then at 216.60 cents. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 2.5

March cocoa closed up $18 at $2,277 a ton. Prices closed
near mid-range today and saw short covering. The key
“outside markets” were bullish for the cattle market today,
as the U.S. dollar index was lower and crude oil prices
were higher. Cocoa bears still have the overall near-term
technical advantage. However, a bullish double-bottom
reversal pattern may have formed on the daily bar chart.
The next upside price breakout objective for the cocoa
bulls is to push and close prices above solid technical
resistance at the January high of $2,388. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is pushing and
closing prices below solid technical support at $2,100.
First resistance is seen at $2,300 and then at $2,333.
First support is seen at today’s low of $2,244 and then at
$2,230. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5.

March cotton closed up 77 points at 99.37 cents today.
Prices closed near the session high today and closed at a
fresh nine-week high close. The key “outside markets” were
bullish for the cotton market today, as the U.S. dollar
index was lower and crude oil prices were higher. Cotton
bulls have the near-term technical advantage. The next
upside price objective for the bulls is to produce a close
above major psychological resistance at 100.00 cents. The
next downside price breakout objective for the cotton bears
is to push and close prices below solid technical support
at 93.22 cents. First support is seen at today’s low of
98.06 cents and then at 97.50 cents. First resistance is
seen at last week’s high of 99.47 cents and then at 100.00
cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

March orange juice closed up 925 points at $2.1990 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today and hit a fresh contract
and all-time record high. Worries about imports of FCOJ
from Brazil (due to fungicide contamination) and recent
cold weather in Florida citrus regions are very bullish for
FCOJ futures. There has also been an orange disease
discovered in Texas. Price action in FCOJ recently has been
extremely volatile. Look for the higher volatility to
continue in the near term. The next upside price breakout
objective for the FCOJ bulls is pushing and closing prices
above psychological resistance at $2.500. The next downside
technical breakout objective for the FCOJ bears is to
produce a close below psychological support at $2.0000.
First resistance is seen at today’s record high of $2.2695
and then at $2.3000. First support is seen at today’s low
of $2.1200 and then at $2.0775. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
10.0.

March lumber futures closed up $0.80 at $241.10 today. The
lumber bears have the solid overall near-term technical
advantage. Prices are in a steep three-week-old downtrend
on the daily bar chart. The next downside technical
breakout objective for the lumber bears is pushing and
closing prices below solid technical support at $230.00.
The next upside price breakout objective for the bulls is
pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance
at $250.00. First resistance is seen at $243.00 and then at
$245.00. First support is seen at $240.00 and then at
$237.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.5

*. METALS: February gold futures closed up $13.20 an ounce
at $1,677.20 today. Prices closed nearer the session high
today and hit a fresh six-week high. The key “outside
markets were bullish for gold today, as the U.S. dollar
index was lower and crude oil prices were higher. Gold
bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. A
four-week-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart.
Bulls' next upside technical breakout objective is to
produce a close above psychological resistance at
$1,700.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective
is closing prices below chart support at the last reaction
low on the daily chart, at $1,625.70. First resistance is
seen at today’s high of $1,681.80 and then at $1,700.00.
First support is seen at today’s low of $1,663.00 and then
at $1,650.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

March silver futures closed up $0.67 an ounce at $32.345
today. Prices closed near mid-range today and hit a fresh
six-week high. The key “outside markets” were bullish for
silver today, as crude oil prices here higher and the U.S.
dollar index was lower. Silver bulls still have the near-
term technical advantage. A four-week-old uptrend is in
place on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price
breakout objective is closing prices above solid technical
resistance at the December high of $33.74 an ounce. The
next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
closing prices below major psychological support at $30.00.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of $32.775 and
then at $33.00. Next support is seen at today’s low of
$31.79 and then at $31.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

March N.Y. copper closed up 565 points 380.15 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. The key
“outside markets” were bullish for copper today, as crude
oil prices here higher and the U.S. dollar index was lower.
Copper prices Friday hit a fresh three-month high. Copper
bulls have the solid near-term technical advantage. Prices
are in a six-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart.
Copper bulls' next upside breakout objective is pushing and
closing prices above major psychological resistance at
400.00 cents. The next downside price breakout objective
for the bears is closing prices below solid technical
support at last week’s low of 359.40 cents. First
resistance is seen at last week’s high of 383.40 cents and
then at 385.00 cents. First support is seen at 377.50 cents
and then at 375.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0.

*. ENERGIES: March crude oil closed up $1.56 a barrel at
$99.90 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today
after hitting a fresh five-week low early on today. Short
covering and bargain hunting were featured today. The crude
market was supported by the weaker U.S. dollar and by the
EU agreeing to slap sanctions on Iran. Crude oil bulls have
the overall near-term technical advantage. However, the
going does get tough for the bulls once prices move above
the key $100.00 level. The next near-term upside price
breakout objective for the crude oil bulls is producing a
close above solid technical resistance at the January high
of $103.90 a barrel. The next near-term downside price
breakout objective for the crude oil bears is to produce a
close below solid technical support at $95.00. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of $100.24 and then at
$101.00. First support is seen at $99.00 and then at
$98.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

March heating oil closed up 305 points at $3.0172 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high. Bulls still have the
overall near-term technical advantage. The bulls' next
upside price breakout objective is closing prices above
solid technical resistance at the January high of $3.1286.
Bears' next downside price breakout objective is producing
a close below solid technical support at $2.9500. First
resistance lies at today’s high of $3.0302 and then at
$3.0500. First support is seen at $3.0000 and then at last
week’s low of $2.9815. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

March (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed up 40 points at
$2.7943 today. Prices closed near mid-range today. Bulls
have the overall near-term technical advantage. The next
upside price breakout objective for the bulls is closing
prices above solid technical resistance at the August high
of $2.9525. Bears' next downside price breakout objective
is closing prices below solid support at $2.7000. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of $2.8200 and then at
last week’s high of $2.8558. First support is seen at
today’s low of $2.7789 and then at 2.7500. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 6.5.

March natural gas closed up 22.5 cents at $2.617 today.
Prices closed near the session high today after hitting
another fresh contract low early on. Heavy short covering
was featured today. Price action today scored a bullish
“outside day” up on the daily bar chart and also scored a
bullish “key reversal” to suggest a market low is now in
place. Bears still have the overall near-term technical
advantage. The next upside price breakout objective for the
bulls is closing prices above solid technical resistance at
$2.80. The next downside price breakout objective for the
bears is closing prices below solid technical support at
today’s contract low of $2.289. First resistance is seen at
$2.70 and then at $2.75. First support is seen at $2.50 and
then at $2.45. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5.

*.STOCKS, FINANCIALS, CURRENCIES: The March Euro currency
closed up 110 points at 1.3035 today. Prices closed nearer
the session high today, hit a fresh two-week high and
scored a bullish “outside day” up on the daily bar chart.
Bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage,
but the bulls are gaining upside near-term momentum. A 11-
week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart has at least been
temporarily negated. Euro bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is pushing and closing prices above solid
technical resistance at 1.3250. The next downside price
breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below
solid chart support at the January low of 1.2627. First
resistance for the Euro lies at today’s high of 1.3056 and
then at 1.3100. Next support is seen at 1.3000 and then at
1.2950. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0

The March Japanese yen closed down 1 point at 1.2997 today
in quieter trading. Prices closed near mid-range today.
Bulls still have the slight near-term technical advantage.
Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is closing
prices above solid resistance at the January high of
1.3075. Bears' next downside breakout objective is closing
prices below solid technical support at 1.2833. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of 1.3016 and then at
1.3046. First support is seen at today’s low of 1.2980 and
then at the January low of 1.2940. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
5.5.

The March Swiss franc closed up 100 points at 1.0799 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today and hit a fresh
five-week high on more short covering. While bears still
have the overall near-term technical advantage the bulls
have gained some fresh upside technical momentum. The next
upside price breakout objective for the bulls is closing
prices above solid resistance at 1.1000. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices
below solid technical support at the January low of 1.0431.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of 1.0817 and then
at 1.0839. First support is seen at 1.0755 and then at
1.0700. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5.

The March Australian dollar closed up 58 points at 1.0467
today. Prices closed near mid-range and hit a fresh 11-week
high today. Bulls have the solid near-term technical
advantage. Prices are in a two-month-old uptrend on the
daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is closing prices above solid chart resistance at
the October high of 1.0569. The next downside breakout
objective for the bears is to produce a close below solid
technical support at 1.0200. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of 1.0508 and then at 1.0569. Next support is
seen at today’s low of 1.0392 and then at 1.0350. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 7.0

The March Canadian dollar closed up 63 points at .9913
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and hit
a fresh 11-week high. Bulls have the near-term technical
advantage and gained more upside momentum today. A six-
week-old uptrend line is in place on the daily bar chart.
Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is producing a
close above chart resistance at the October high of 1.0075.
The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
closing prices below solid technical support at .9750.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of .9936 and then
at 1.0000. First support is seen at .9875 and then at
.9850. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

The March British pound closed up 33 points at 1.5565
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today, hit a
fresh two-week high and saw more short covering. While
bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage,
the bulls have gained some upside momentum recently. Prices
are still in an 11-week-old downtrend on the daily bar
chart, but now just barely. The next upside price breakout
objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid
technical resistance at the January high of 1.5663. Bears'
next downside technical breakout objective is closing
prices below solid support at the contract low of 1.5222.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of 1.5596 and then
at 1.5663. First support is seen at today’s low of 1.5510
and then at 1.5425. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

The March U.S. dollar index closed down 54 points at 79.86
today. Prices again closed near the session low again today
and saw more profit taking. Bulls still have the overall
near-term technical advantage but are fading badly and need
to show fresh power soon. Bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is to close prices above solid technical
resistance at 81.00. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is to produce a close below solid
technical support at 79.55. Next resistance lies at 80.00
and then at 80.50. First support is seen at today’s low of
79.75 and then at 79.55. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

March U.S. T-Bonds closed down 19/32 at 141 9/32 today.
Prices closed nearer the session low today, hit a fresh
five-week low and saw more profit taking. While no serious
chart damage has occurred recently the bulls are fading and
need to show fresh power soon. The bond market bulls still
have the overall near-term technical advantage. The next
downside price breakout objective for the T-Bond bears is
closing prices below solid technical support at the
December low of 139 24/32. The next upside technical
objective for the bulls is to produce a close above solid
technical resistance at 144 even. First resistance is seen
at 142 even and then at today’s high of 142 14/32. First
support is seen at 141 even and then at today’s low of 140
21/32. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

March U.S. T Notes closed down 8.0 (32nds) at 130.00.5
today. Prices closed nearer the session low today, hit a
fresh four-week low and and saw more profit taking. No
serious chart damage has occurred recently but the bulls
have faded and need to show fresh power soon. Bulls still
have the overall near-term technical advantage. The next
upside price breakout objective for the bulls is closing
prices above solid resistance at the January high of
131.23.5. The next downside price breakout objective for
the bears is producing a close below solid technical
support at 129.25.0. First resistance is seen at 130.07.0
and then at today’s high of 130.18.0. First support is seen
at 129.25.0 and then at 129.16.0. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
6.5

GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT: The U.S. stock indexes closed
narrowly mixed today. The stock index bulls still have good
upside technical momentum on their side.

The Nasdaq stock futures index closed up 0.25 at 2,435.00.
Prices closed near mid-range. Prices Friday hit an 11-year
high. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is
closing prices above solid resistance at 2,500.00. The
bears' next downside price breakout objective is closing
prices below solid technical support at 2,300.00. First
resistance is seen at Friday’s high of 2,452.25 and then at
2,475.00. First support is seen at today’s low of 2,420.75
and then at 2,400.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0

The S&P 500 futures index closed up 0.30 points at
1,311.10. Prices closed near mid-range today. Prices Friday
hit a 5.5-month high. Bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is closing prices above solid resistance at the
July high of 1,354.50. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is closing prices below solid
support at 1,225.00. First resistance is seen at Friday’s
high of 1,318.00 and then at 1,325.00. First support is
seen at 1,300.00 and then at 1,286.70. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 7.5.

The Dow futures closed down 4 points at 12,650 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today and hit a fresh nine-
month high early on. The next upside price objective for
the bulls is closing prices above solid technical
resistance at the May 2011 high of 12,827. The next
downside price objective for the bears is closing prices
below solid technical support at the January low of 12,250.
First resistance in the Dow lies at today’s high of 12,705
and then at 12,750. First support is seen at 12,600 and
then at 12,50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0.

Click below for my welcome letter to all new customers and
for an explanation of my Market Rating System.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/newsletter/WelcomeAboard/

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage
any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It
is my goal to point out to you potential trading
opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when
and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine
the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I
discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for
everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS.
Before you invest any money in futures or options
contracts, you should consider your financial experience,
goals and financial resources, and know how much you can
afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a
broker. You should understand commodity futures and options
contracts and your obligations in entering into those
contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and
other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk
disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.

Jim Wyckoff
 

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