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RSS By: Jim Wyckoff, Pro Farmer

Pro Farmer technical analyst Jim Wyckoff's daily thoughts.

Jim's Afternoon Markets Report--January 24

Jan 25, 2012

Tuesday Evening, January 24-Jim Wyckoff's Daily Markets
Update

Questions? Just email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com . I enjoy
hearing from my readers worldwide.--Jim

Click below for "Today’s Hot Market" item on my website.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/hotmarket/hotmarket.asp

Dear Valued Subscriber: Following are today's significant
developments in the U.S. futures markets.

*. LIVESTOCK: April live cattle closed up $1.00 at $129.17
today. Prices closed near mid-range today and hit a fresh
10-week high. Bullish cash cattle market fundamentals are
supporting futures prices. Cattle futures bulls have the
solid near-term technical advantage and gained more upside
momentum today. Prices are in a steep six-week-old uptrend
on the daily bar chart. The bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is to push and close prices above solid
technical resistance at the contract high of $129.70. The
next downside technical breakout objective for the bears is
pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at
this week’s low of $127.17. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of $129.45 and then at $129.70. First support
is seen at today’s low of $128.67 and then at $128.00.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5

March feeder cattle closed up $1.12 at $154.87 today.
Prices closed near the session high today and hit another
fresh contract high. Feeder bulls have the solid near-term
technical advantage and there are still no early technical
clues that a market top is close at hand. The next upside
price objective for the feeder bulls is to push and close
prices above technical resistance at $157.50. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is to push
and close prices below solid technical support at $152.50.
First resistance is seen at today’s contract high of
$155.00 and then at $155.50. First support is seen at
$154.00 and then at this week’s low of $153.10. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 8.5

April lean hogs closed down $0.65 at $87.85 today. Prices
closed near the session low today after hitting a fresh
three-week high early on. The key “outside markets” were
bearish for the hog market today, as the U.S. dollar index
was firmer and crude oil prices were weaker. While hog
bears still have the slight overall near-term technical
advantage, a bullish double-bottom reversal pattern has
formed on the daily bar chart. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bulls is to push and close
prices above solid chart resistance at today’s high of
$89.22. The next downside price breakout objective for the
bears is pushing prices below solid technical support at
the December low of $85.50. First resistance is seen at
$88.00 and then at $88.50. First support is seen at $87.55
and then at $87.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0

*. GRAINS: March corn futures closed up 10 3/4 cents at
$6.30 3/4 today. Prices closed nearer the session high
today and saw more short covering and bargain hunting.
South American corn-growing regions still need rain and
there are now reports of irreparable damage to corn in some
regions. Corn bears do still have the slight overall near-
term technical advantage, but the bulls are gaining upside
technical momentum. Corn bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is to push and close prices above solid technical
resistance at $6.50. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below
psychological support at $6.00. First resistance for March
corn is seen at today’s high of $6.36 and then at $6.40.
First support is seen at $6.25 and then at $6.21 1/4.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0

March soybeans closed up 2 1/2 cents at $12.20 a bushel
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and saw
more short covering and some bargain hunting. The South
American soybean region weather is still bullish, as rain
is needed and some irreparable damage has occurred in some
regions. Soybean bulls and bears are on a level near-term
technical playing field as the bulls have gained upside
momentum recently. The next near-term upside technical
breakout objective for the soybean bulls is pushing and
closing prices above solid technical resistance at the
January high of $12.44 3/4 a bushel. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is pushing and
closing prices below technical support at $11.75. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of $12.29 1/2 and then
at $12.37. First support is seen at today’s low of $12.03
3/4 and then at $12.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.

March soybean meal closed up $3.20 at $324.20 today. Prices
closed nearer the session high today and hit a fresh 2.5-
month high. More short covering and bargain hunting were
featured. Bulls have regained the slight near-term
technical advantage. The next upside price breakout
objective for the bulls is to produce a close above solid
technical resistance at the October high of $335.10. The
next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at
the October low of $307.00. First resistance comes in at
$325.00 and then at today’s high of $327.30. First support
is seen at $320.00 and then at today’s low of $318.20.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5

March bean oil closed down 7 points at 51.35 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. The key
“outside markets” were bearish for the bean oil market
today, as the U.S. dollar index was firmer and crude oil
prices were weaker. Bean oil bears still have the overall
near-term technical advantage. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bean oil bulls is pushing and
closing prices above solid technical resistance at 52.55
cents. Bean oil bears' next downside technical price
breakout objective is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at 50.00 cents. First resistance is
seen at today’s high of 51.59 cents and then at 52.00
cents. First support is seen at today’s low of 51.00 cents
and then at this week’s low of 50.55 cents. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 3.5

March Chicago SRW wheat closed up 13 3/4 cents at $6.33 1/2
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and saw
more short covering in bear market, and some fresh bargain-
hunting buying interest. Wheat bears still have the overall
near-term technical advantage. Wheat will remain a follower
of corn and beans for at least the near term. Bulls' next
upside price breakout objective is to push and close
Chicago SRW prices above solid technical resistance at
$6.50 a bushel. The next downside price breakout objective
for the wheat futures bears is pushing and closing prices
below solid technical support at the January low of $5.90.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of $6.38 and then
at $6.50. First support lies at $6.25 and then at $6.15.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

March K.C. HRW wheat closed up 12 1/2 cents at $6.86 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today and saw more
short covering in a bear market. Bears still have the
overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is pushing and closing prices
above major psychological resistance at $7.00. The bears'
next downside breakout objective is pushing and closing
prices below solid technical support at last week’s low of
$6.51. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $6.89
1/2 and then at $7.00. First support is seen at $6.80 and
then at today’s low of $6.70 1/2. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
3.5

March oats closed down 1 cent at $2.94 1/2 today. Prices
closed near mid-range today. Oats bears still have the
solid overall near-term technical advantage. Bears' next
downside price breakout objective is pushing and closing
prices below solid technical support at the contract low of
$2.78 1/2. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is
pushing and closing prices above psychological resistance
at $3.00. First support lies at today’s low of $2.92 and
then at $2.90. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
$2.98 1/2 and then at $3.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5

*. SOFTS: March sugar closed down 20 points at 24.76 cents
today. Prices closed near the session low today and did hit
another fresh nine-week high early on. The key “outside
markets” were bearish for the sugar market today, as the
U.S. dollar index was firmer and crude oil prices were
weaker. Bulls still have the slight near-term technical
advantage in sugar. Sugar bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is to push and close prices above solid technical
resistance at 25.50 cents. Bears' next downside price
breakout objective is to push and close prices below solid
technical support at last week’s low of 23.52 cents. First
resistance is seen at 25.00 cents and then at today’s high
of 25.21 cents. First support is seen at 24.65 cents and
then at 24.50 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5

March coffee closed down 50 points at 219.95 cents. Prices
closed near mid-range today and hit another fresh two-week
low. The key “outside markets” were bearish for the coffee
market today, as the U.S. dollar index was firmer and crude
oil prices were weaker. Coffee bears have the solid overall
near-term technical advantage. The coffee bulls' next
upside breakout objective is to close prices above solid
technical resistance at 230.00 cents. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices
below solid technical support at the January low of 216.60
cents a pound. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
221.30 cents and then at 222.50 cents. First support is
seen at today’s low of 217.55 cents and then at 216.60
cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5

March cocoa closed up $141 at $2,410 a ton. Prices closed
near the session high today and hit a fresh two-month high.
Price action saw a bullish upside breakout from a bullish
pennant pattern on the daily chart. Cocoa bulls have
quickly gained the overall near-term technical advantage. A
bullish double-bottom reversal pattern has also formed on
the daily bar chart. The next upside price breakout
objective for the cocoa bulls is to push and close prices
above solid technical resistance at $2,500. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing
and closing prices below solid technical support at $2,230.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of $2,425 and then
at $2,450. First support is seen at $2,400 and then at
$2,350. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

March cotton closed down 119 points at 98.18 cents today.
Prices closed near mid-range today and saw profit taking
from recent gains. The key “outside markets” were bearish
for the cotton market today, as the U.S. dollar index was
firmer and crude oil prices were weaker. Cotton bulls have
the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a
five-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. The next
upside price objective for the bulls is to produce a close
above major psychological resistance at 100.00 cents. The
next downside price breakout objective for the cotton bears
is to push and close prices below solid technical support
at 93.22 cents. First support is seen at today’s low of
97.13 cents and then at 96.00 cents. First resistance is
seen at 99.00 cents and then at last week’s high of 99.47
cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

March orange juice closed down 135 points at $2.1860 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today and saw profit
taking from gains that saw prices hit a fresh contract and
all-time record high on Monday. There are still worries
about imports of FCOJ from Brazil (due to fungicide
contamination) and recent cold weather in Florida citrus
regions are very bullish for FCOJ futures. There has also
been an orange disease discovered in Texas. Price action in
FCOJ recently has been extremely volatile. Look for the
higher volatility to continue in the near term. The next
upside price breakout objective for the FCOJ bulls is
pushing and closing prices above psychological resistance
at $2.500. The next downside technical breakout objective
for the FCOJ bears is to produce a close below
psychological support at $2.0000. First resistance is seen
at today’s high of $2.2100 and then at $2.2500. First
support is seen at $2.1500 and then at $2.1200. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 9.0.

March lumber futures closed down $5.80 at $235.30 today.
Prices closed near the session low and hit a fresh contract
low. The lumber bears have the solid overall near-term
technical advantage. Prices are in a steep three-week-old
downtrend on the daily bar chart. The next downside
technical breakout objective for the lumber bears is
pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at
$230.00. The next upside price breakout objective for the
bulls is pushing and closing prices above solid technical
resistance at $245.00. First resistance is seen at today’s
high of $237.50 and then at $240.00. First support is seen
at the contract low of $234.80 and then at $232.50.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.0

*. METALS: February gold futures closed down $12.60 an
ounce at $1,665.70 today. Prices closed nearer the session
low today and saw some profit-taking pressure and a
corrective pullback after hitting a fresh six-week high on
Monday. The key “outside markets were bearish for gold
today, as the U.S. dollar index was firmer and crude oil
prices were lower. Gold bulls still have the overall near-
term technical advantage. A four-week-old uptrend is still
in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside
technical breakout objective is to produce a close above
psychological resistance at $1,700.00. Bears' next near-
term downside price objective is closing prices below chart
support at the last reaction low on the daily chart, at
$1,625.70. First resistance is seen at Monday’s high of
$1,681.80 and then at $1,700.00. First support is seen at
today’s low of $1,661.00 and then at $1,650.00. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 6.0.

March silver futures closed down $0.255 an ounce at $32.015
today. Prices closed nearer the session low today on profit
taking and a corrective pullback from recent gains that saw
prices Monday hit a six-week high. The key “outside
markets” were bearish for silver today, as crude oil prices
here lower and the U.S. dollar index was firmer. Silver
bulls still have the near-term technical advantage. A four-
week-old uptrend is still in place on the daily bar chart.
Bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is closing
prices above solid technical resistance at the December
high of $33.74 an ounce. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is closing prices below major
psychological support at $30.00. First resistance is seen
at today’s high of $32.47 and then at Monday’s high of
$32.775. Next support is seen at Monday’s low of $31.79 and
then at $31.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

March N.Y. copper closed up 40 points 380.25 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. The key
“outside markets” were bearish for copper today, as crude
oil prices here weaker and the U.S. dollar index was
firmer. Copper prices Friday hit a fresh three-month high.
Copper bulls have the solid near-term technical advantage.
Prices are in a six-week-old uptrend on the daily bar
chart. Copper bulls' next upside breakout objective is
pushing and closing prices above major psychological
resistance at 400.00 cents. The next downside price
breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below
solid technical support at last week’s low of 359.40 cents.
First resistance is seen at last week’s high of 383.40
cents and then at 385.00 cents. First support is seen at
377.50 cents and then at today’s low of 374.95 cents.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0.

*. ENERGIES: March crude oil closed down $0.47 a barrel at
$99.10 today. Prices closed near mid-range today and were
pressured mildly by a firmer U.S. dollar index today. The
crude market was also pressured by weaker U.S. stock
indexes. Crude oil bulls still have the overall near-term
technical advantage. However, the going does get tough for
the bulls once prices move above the key $100.00 level. The
next near-term upside price breakout objective for the
crude oil bulls is producing a close above solid technical
resistance at the January high of $103.90 a barrel. The
next near-term downside price breakout objective for the
crude oil bears is to produce a close below solid technical
support at $95.00. First resistance is seen at this week’s
high of $100.24 and then at $101.00. First support is seen
at today’s low of $98.25 and then at this week’s low of
$97.40. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

March heating oil closed up 186 points at $3.0221 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today in quieter trading.
Bulls still have the overall near-term technical advantage.
The bulls' next upside price breakout objective is closing
prices above solid technical resistance at the January high
of $3.1286. Bears' next downside price breakout objective
is producing a close below solid technical support at
$2.9500. First resistance lies at today’s high of $3.0305
and then at $3.0500. First support is seen at $3.0000 and
then at last week’s low of $2.9815. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 6.5.

March (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed up 296 points at
$2.8152 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today
and scored a bullish “outside day” up on the daily bar
chart. Bulls have the overall near-term technical
advantage. The next upside price breakout objective for the
bulls is closing prices above solid technical resistance at
the August high of $2.9525. Bears' next downside price
breakout objective is closing prices below solid support at
$2.7000. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
$2.8213 and then at last week’s high of $2.8558. First
support is seen at $2.8000 and then at today’s low of
$2.7693. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

March natural gas closed up 1.4 cents at $2.594 today.
Prices closed nearer the session low today. The bulls were
able to hold Monday’s big gains, which is a positive. Price
action Monday scored a bullish “key reversal” up to suggest
a market low is now in place. Bears still have the overall
near-term technical advantage. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices above
solid technical resistance at $2.80. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices
below solid technical support at today’s contract low of
$2.289. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $2.704
and then at $2.75. First support is seen at $2.50 and then
at $2.45. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5.

*.STOCKS, FINANCIALS, CURRENCIES: The March Euro currency
closed up 7 points at 1.3027 today. Prices closed nearer
the session high today and hit another fresh two-week high.
Bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage,
but the bulls have gained some upside near-term momentum
recently. Euro bulls' next upside price breakout objective
is pushing and closing prices above solid technical
resistance at 1.3250. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is closing prices below solid chart
support at the January low of 1.2627. First resistance for
the Euro lies at today’s high of 1.3066 and then at 1.3100.
Next support is seen at today’s low of 1.2956 and then at
this week’s low of 1.2880. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0

The March Japanese yen closed down 121 points at 1.2873
today. Prices hit a fresh four-week low today and closed
nearer the session low. Bears gained fresh downside near-
term technical momentum today by producing a bearish
downside “breakout” from the recent sideways trading range.
Bears now have the overall near-term technical advantage.
Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is closing
prices above solid resistance at this week’s high of
1.3016. Bears' next downside breakout objective is closing
prices below solid technical support at 1.2833. First
resistance is seen at 1.2900 and then at 1.2940. First
support is seen at today’s low of 1.2873 and then at
1.2833. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

The March Swiss franc closed down 13 points at 1.0778
today. Prices closed nearer the session low today but did
hit a fresh four-week high early on. While bears still have
the overall near-term technical advantage the bulls have
gained some fresh upside technical momentum recently. The
next upside price breakout objective for the bulls is
closing prices above solid resistance at 1.1000. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at the January low of
1.0431. First resistance is seen at 1.0839 and then at
1.0900. First support is seen at today’s low of 1.0747 and
then at 1.0700. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5.

The March Australian dollar closed down 44 points at 1.0423
today. Prices closed near mid-range and saw mild profit
taking after hitting an 11-week high Monday. Bulls still
have the solid near-term technical advantage. Prices are in
a two-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next
upside price breakout objective is closing prices above
solid chart resistance at the October high of 1.0569. The
next downside breakout objective for the bears is to
produce a close below solid technical support at 1.0200.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of 1.0468 and then
at this week’s high of 1.0508. Next support is seen at
today’s low of 1.0365 and then at 1.0300. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 7.0

The March Canadian dollar closed down 12 points at .9896
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. Mild
profit taking was featured. Bulls still have the near-term
technical advantage. A six-week-old uptrend line is in
place on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is producing a close above chart
resistance at the October high of 1.0075. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices
below solid technical support at .9750. First resistance is
seen at this week’s high of .9936 and then at 1.0000. First
support is seen at today’s low of .9848 and then at .9800.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

The March British pound closed up 51 points at 1.5606
today. Prices closed near the session high today and hit
another fresh two-week high and saw more short covering.
While bears still have the overall near-term technical
advantage, the bulls have gained some upside momentum
recently. Prices are still in an 11-week-old downtrend on
the daily bar chart, but now just barely. The next upside
price breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices
above solid technical resistance at the January high of
1.5663. Bears' next downside technical breakout objective
is closing prices below solid support at 1.5400. First
resistance is seen at 1.5663 and then at 1.5700. First
support is seen at this week’s low of 1.5510 and then at
1.5425. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

The March U.S. dollar index closed up 6 points at 80.00
today. Prices again closed nearer the session low today.
Bulls still have the overall near-term technical advantage
but are fading and need to show fresh power soon. Bulls'
next upside price breakout objective is to close prices
above solid technical resistance at 81.00. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is to
produce a close below solid technical support at 79.55.
Next resistance lies at today’s high of 80.34 and then at
Monday’s high of 80.58. First support is seen at this
week’s low of 79.75 and then at 79.55. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 6.5.

March U.S. T-Bonds closed up 2/32 at 141 7/32 today. Prices
closed near mid-range today. Prices Monday hit a five-week
low. While no serious chart damage has occurred recently
the bulls have faded and need to show fresh power soon. The
bond market bulls still have the overall near-term
technical advantage. The next downside price breakout
objective for the T-Bond bears is closing prices below
solid technical support at the December low of 139 24/32.
The next upside technical objective for the bulls is to
produce a close above solid technical resistance at 144
even. First resistance is seen at today’s high of 141 25/32
and then at 142 even. First support is seen at 141 even and
then at this week’s low of 140 21/32. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 6.0.

March U.S. T Notes closed up 4.0 (32nds) at 130.03.5 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. Prices Monday
hit a four-week low. No serious chart damage has occurred
recently but the bulls have faded and need to show fresh
power soon. Bulls still have the overall near-term
technical advantage. The next upside price breakout
objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid
resistance at the January high of 131.23.5. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is
producing a close below solid technical support at
129.25.0. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
130.07.0 and then at this week’s high of 130.18.0. First
support is seen at 129.25.0 and then at 129.16.0. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 6.5

GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT: The U.S. stock indexes closed
narrowly mixed again today. The stock index bulls still
have good upside technical momentum on their side.

The Nasdaq stock futures index closed up 3.50 at 2,438.50.
Prices closed near mid-range. Prices Friday hit an 11-year
high. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is
closing prices above solid resistance at 2,500.00. The
bears' next downside price breakout objective is closing
prices below solid technical support at 2,300.00. First
resistance is seen at this week’s high of 2,452.25 and then
at 2,475.00. First support is seen at today’s low of
2,419.50 and then at 2,400.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0

The S&P 500 futures index closed up 0.70 points at
1,311.80. Prices closed near the session high today. Prices
Monday hit a 5.5-month high. Bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is closing prices above solid resistance
at the July high of 1,354.50. The next downside price
breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below
solid support at 1,225.00. First resistance is seen at
Monday’s high of 1,318.00 and then at 1,325.00. First
support is seen at 1,300.00 and then at 1,286.70. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 7.5.

The Dow futures closed down 24 points at 12,626 today.
Prices closed near the session high today. Prices Monday
hit a fresh nine-month high. The next upside price
objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid
technical resistance at the May 2011 high of 12,827. The
next downside price objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at the January low of
12,250. First resistance in the Dow lies at Monday’s high
of 12,705 and then at 12,750. First support is seen at
12,600 and then at today’s low of 12,565. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 7.5.

Click below for my welcome letter to all new customers and
for an explanation of my Market Rating System.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/newsletter/WelcomeAboard/

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage
any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It
is my goal to point out to you potential trading
opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when
and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine
the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I
discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for
everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS.
Before you invest any money in futures or options
contracts, you should consider your financial experience,
goals and financial resources, and know how much you can
afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a
broker. You should understand commodity futures and options
contracts and your obligations in entering into those
contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and
other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk
disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.

Jim Wyckoff
 

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