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RSS By: Jim Wyckoff, Pro Farmer

Pro Farmer technical analyst Jim Wyckoff's daily thoughts.

Jim's Afternoon Markets Report--Oct. 29

Oct 30, 2012

Monday Evening, October 29-Jim Wyckoff's Daily Markets
Update

Questions? Just email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com . I enjoy
hearing from my readers worldwide.--Jim

Click below for "Today’s Hot Market" item on my website.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/hotmarket/hotmarket.asp

Dear Valued Subscriber: Following are today's significant
developments in the U.S. futures markets.

GENERAL COMMENT: With the major storm thrashing the U.S.
East Coast, all New York markets closed early today, or did
not open at all. There will be no New York markets opened
on Tuesday, and the hope is that markets can open at least
for part of the day Wednesday. The fact that New York
markets were closed Monday, and with most of the U.S.
government offices in Washington, D.C., is also impacted,
most other markets were at least somewhat subdued Monday.
Such will likely be the case Tuesday and maybe Wednesday.--
Jim

*. LIVESTOCK: December live cattle closed up $0.25 at
$125.50 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today
on short covering in a bear market. Prices hit a fresh
four-week low early on today. The key “outside markets were
bearish for cattle, as the U.S. dollar index was higher and
crude oil prices were lower. Bears have the overall near-
term technical advantage. The bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is to push and close prices above solid
technical resistance at $127.00. The next downside
technical breakout objective for the bears is pushing and
closing prices below solid technical support at the
September low of $123.95. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of $125.70 and then at $126.00. First support
is seen at $125.00 and then at today’s low of $124.65.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0

January feeder cattle closed up $0.40 at $147.47 today.
Short covering was featured today. Feeder bears have the
near-term technical advantage. Prices have been trading
choppy and sideways for the past two months. The next
upside price breakout objective for the feeder bulls is to
push and close prices above solid technical resistance at
$150.00. The next downside price breakout objective for the
bears is to push and close prices below solid technical
support at $145.00. First resistance is seen at $148.00 and
then at $148.50. First support is seen at $147.00 and then
at $146.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0

December lean hogs closed down $1.15 at $77.75 today.
Prices gapped lower on the daily bar chart and closed near
mid-range today. More profit taking was seen today. The key
“outside markets” were bearish for hogs today as the U.S.
dollar index was higher and crude oil prices were lower.
Hog market bulls still have the slight overall near-term
technical advantage, but have faded. A six-week-old uptrend
on the daily bar chart has been negated. The next upside
price breakout objective for the hog bulls is to push and
close prices above solid chart resistance at the October
high of $79.77. The next downside price breakout objective
for the bears is pushing prices below solid technical
support at $76.55. First resistance is seen at $78.00 and
then at $78.50. First support is seen at today’s low of
$77.55 and then at $77.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5

*. GRAINS: December corn futures were down 1 1/4 cents at
7.36 3/4 in late trading today. Prices were near mid-range.
The key “outside markets” were bearish for corn as the U.S.
dollar index was higher and crude oil prices were lower.
Prices are in a choppy and sideways trading range and the
bulls have the slight near-term technical advantage. Corn
bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close
prices above solid technical resistance at the October high
of $7.76. The next downside price breakout objective for
the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid
technical support at the September low of $7.05. First
resistance for December corn is seen at today’s high of
$7.46 and then at $7.50. First support is seen at today’s
low of $7.32 1/2 and then at $7.25. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 5.5

January soybeans were down 31 3/4 cents at $15.32 1/4 a
bushel in late trading today. Prices were nearer the
session low. The key “outside markets” were bearish for
beans today as the U.S. dollar index was higher and crude
oil prices were lower. Some beneficial rains in South
American growing regions helped to pressure soybeans today.
The soybean bears gained the slight near-term technical
advantage today. The next near-term upside technical
breakout objective for the soybean bulls is pushing and
closing November prices above solid technical resistance at
last week’s high of $15.77 a bushel. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is pushing and
closing prices below major psychological support at $15.00.
First resistance is seen at $15.50 and then at today’s high
of $15.63 1/2. First support is seen at today’s low of
$15.26 1/4 and then at $15.06. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
4.5.

December soybean meal was down $9.60 at $473.80 in late
trading today. Prices were nearer the session low. Meal
bulls and bears are on a level near-term technical playing
field. The next upside price breakout objective for the
bulls is to produce a close above solid technical
resistance at last week’s high of $484.60. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing
and closing prices below solid technical support at the
October low of $450.20. First resistance comes in at
$475.00 and then at $480.00. First support is seen at
$470.00 and then at $465.90. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0

December bean oil was down 66 points at 50.30 cents in late
trading today. Prices were nearer the session low. Bean oil
bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage.
The next upside price breakout objective for the bean oil
bulls is pushing and closing prices above solid technical
resistance at 52.50 cents. Bean oil bears' next downside
technical price breakout objective is pushing and closing
prices below solid technical support at the October low of
49.41 cents. First resistance is seen at 50.50 cents and
then at 51.00 cents. First support is seen at 50.00 cents
and then at 49.41 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0

December Chicago SRW wheat was down 4 1/4 cents at $8.59
1/2 in late trading today. Prices were near the session
low. The key “outside markets” were bearish for wheat today
as the U.S. dollar index was higher and crude oil prices
were lower. Wheat bulls still have the slight overall near-
term technical advantage. Wheat bulls’ next upside breakout
objective is to push and close Chicago SRW prices above
solid technical resistance at $9.00 a bushel. The next
downside price breakout objective for the wheat futures
bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical
support at the October low of $8.40 1/4. First resistance
is seen at today’s high of $8.71 1/4 and then at $8.80.
First support lies at $8.50 and then at $8.40 1/4.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

December K.C. HRW wheat was down 4 1/2 cents at $9.04 3/4
in late trading today. Prices were nearer the session low.
The HRW bulls still have the overall near-term technical
advantage. Bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is
pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance
at the October high of $9.29 3/4. The bears' next downside
breakout objective is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at the September low of $8.72 1/2.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of $9.16 3/4 and
then at $9.25. First support is seen at $9.00 and then at
$8.90. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

December oats were down 2 cents at $3.87 3/4 today in late
trading. Prices were near mid-range. Oats bulls still have
the overall near-term technical advantage. Bears' next
downside price breakout objective is pushing and closing
prices below solid technical support at $3.75. Bulls' next
upside price breakout objective is pushing and closing
prices above solid technical resistance at the October high
of $4.04 1/2. First support lies at today’s low of $3.85
3/4 and then at $3.83. First resistance is seen at $3.91
and then at $3.95. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5

*. SOFTS: March sugar closed up 11 points at 19.46 cents
today. Prices closed nearer the session high on tepid short
covering in a bear market after hitting a fresh 8.5-month
low early on today. The key “outside markets” were bearish
for sugar today as the U.S. dollar index was higher and
crude oil prices were lower. Sugar bears still have the
solid near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is to push and close prices above
solid technical resistance at last week’s high of 20.50
cents. Bears' next downside price breakout objective is to
push and close prices below solid technical support at
18.50 cents. First resistance is seen at 19.65 cents and
then at 19.95 cents. First support is seen at today’s low
of 19.27 cents and then at 19.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 1.5.

December coffee closed up 380 points at 161.55 cents.
Prices closed nearer the session high after hitting a fresh
four-month low early on today. Prices also scored a bullish
“outside day” up on the daily bar chart today. The key
“outside markets were bearish for coffee today as the U.S.
dollar index was higher and crude oil prices were lower.
Coffee bears still have the overall near-term technical
advantage. However, it’s around present price levels that
recent downtrends have been halted. The next upside
breakout objective for the bulls is to close prices above
solid technical resistance at 170.00 cents. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at the September low
of 156.55 cents a pound. First resistance is seen at 162.50
cents and then at 165.00 cents. First support is seen at
160.00 cents and then at today’s low of 156.30 cents.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5

December cocoa closed down $23 at $2,360 a ton. Prices
closed nearer the session low and hit a fresh two-week low
today. The key “outside markets were bearish for cocoa
today as the U.S. dollar index was higher and crude oil
prices were lower. Cocoa bulls and bears are back on a
level near-term technical playing field. The next upside
price breakout objective for the cocoa bulls is to push and
close prices above solid technical resistance at last
week’s high of $2,526. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at the October low of $2,338. First
resistance is seen at $2,400 and then at $2,425. First
support is seen at today’s low of $2,343 and then at
$2,338. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0

December cotton closed up 27 points at 72.69 cents today.
Prices closed near mid-range today on tepid short covering
in a bear market. The key “outside markets” were bearish
for cotton today as the U.S. dollar index was higher and
crude oil prices were lower. Bears still have the slight
near-term technical advantage. A bearish pennant pattern
has formed on the daily bar chart. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bulls is to produce a close
above solid technical resistance at 75.00 cents. The next
downside price breakout objective for the cotton bears is
to push and close prices below solid technical support at
the October low of 70.22 cents. First resistance is seen at
73.50 cents and then at 74.34 cents. First support is seen
at 72.00 cents and then at 71.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 4.5

January orange juice closed down 385 points at $1.0815
today. Prices closed nearer the session low today and hit a
fresh 2.5-month low. Bears have the solid overall near-term
technical advantage and gained more downside momentum
today. The next upside price breakout objective for the
FCOJ bulls is pushing and closing prices above technical
resistance at $1.1500. The next downside technical breakout
objective for the FCOJ bears is to produce a close below
solid technical support at the August low of $1.0505. First
resistance is seen at $1.1000 and then at $1.1200. First
support is seen at today’s low of $1.0770 and then at
$1.0600. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5.

January lumber futures closed up $1.40 at $322.20 today.
Prices last week hit a contract high. Bulls have the solid
near-term technical advantage. The next downside technical
breakout objective for the lumber bears is pushing and
closing prices below solid technical support at $307.60.
The next upside price breakout objective for the bulls is
pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance
at the August high of $330.00. First resistance is seen at
$324.00 and then at last week’s contract high of $325.70.
First support is seen at $320.00 and then at $317.50.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0

*. METALS: December gold futures closed down $2.80 an ounce
at $1,709.10 today. Prices closed nearer the session low
today. The key “outside markets” were bearish for the gold
market today as the U.S. dollar index was higher and crude
oil prices were lower. The gold bulls still have the slight
overall near-term technical advantage need to show fresh
power soon to avoid serious near-term chart damage. The
gold bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is to
produce a close above solid technical resistance at last
week’s high of $1,731.20. Bears' next near-term downside
breakout price objective is closing prices below
psychological support at $1,700.00. First resistance is
seen at today’s high of 1,717.80 and then at $1,725.00.
First support is seen at today’s low of $1,706.20 and then
at last week’s low of $1,698.70. Wyckoff’s Market Rating:
6.0

December silver futures closed down $0.306 an ounce at
$31.74 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today.
The key “outside markets” were bearish for silver today as
the U.S. dollar index was higher and crude oil prices were
lower. The silver bulls are on a level near-term technical
playing field with the bears. Bulls’ next upside price
breakout objective is closing prices above solid technical
resistance at last week’s high of $32.50 an ounce. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at $31.00. First
resistance is seen at $32.00 and then at today’s high of
$32.23. Next support is seen at last week’s low of $31.535
and then at $31.315. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.

December N.Y. copper closed down 500 points at 350.00 cents
today. Prices closed nearer the session low and hit a fresh
seven-week low today. The key “outside markets” were in a
bearish posture for copper today as the U.S. dollar index
was higher and crude oil prices were lower. Copper bears
have the near-term technical advantage and gained more
downside momentum today. Copper bulls' next upside breakout
objective is pushing and closing prices above solid
technical resistance at 365.00 cents. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices
below solid technical support at 340.00 cents. First
resistance is seen at 352.50 cents and then at 355.00
cents. First support is seen at today’s low of 348.20 cents
and then at 345.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

*. ENERGIES: December crude oil closed down $0.91 a barrel
at $85.37 today. Prices closed near mid-range today and hit
a fresh four-month low early on. A stronger U.S. dollar
index and worldwide oil-demand worries have pressured crude
oil recently. Bears have the near-term technical advantage.
Prices are in a six-week-old downtrend on the daily bar
chart. The next near-term upside price breakout objective
for the crude oil bulls is producing a close above solid
technical resistance at $90.00 a barrel. The next near-term
downside price breakout objective for the crude oil bears
is to produce a close below solid technical support at
$82.00. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $86.43
and then at $87.47. First support is seen at today’s low of
$84.66 and then at $84.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0

December heating oil closed up 62 points at $3.0818 today.
Prices closed nearer the session low. Bulls and bears are
on a level near-term technical playing field. The bulls'
next upside price breakout objective is closing prices
above solid technical resistance at $3.1750. Bears' next
downside price breakout objective is producing a close
below solid technical support at $3.0000. First resistance
lies at $3.1000 and then at today’s high of $3.1207. First
support is seen at today’s low of $3.0741 and then at
$3.0500. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.

December (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed down 67 points at
$2.6349 today. Prices closed near the session low today.
Bulls and bears are on a level near-term technical playing
field. The next upside price breakout objective for the
bulls is closing prices above solid technical resistance at
$2.7500. Bears' next downside price breakout objective is
closing prices below solid support at $2.5000. First
resistance is seen at $2.6500 and then at today’s high of
$2.7000. First support is seen at $2.6000 and then at last
week’s low of $2.5598. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.

December natural gas closed up 8.8 cents at $3.811 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. Bulls have the
overall near-term technical advantage. The next upside
price breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices
above solid technical resistance at $4.00. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at $3.60. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of $3.851 and then at
$3.919. First support is seen at today’s low of $3.716 and
then at last week’s low of $3.693. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
6.5.

*.STOCKS, FINANCIALS, CURRENCIES: The December Euro
currency closed down 34 points at 1.2904 today. Prices
closed nearer the session low today and closed at a fresh
two-week low close, on more profit taking. The Euro bulls
still have the overall near-term technical advantage. Euro
bulls' next upside price breakout objective is pushing and
closing prices above solid technical resistance at the
September high of 1.3183. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is closing prices below solid chart
support at the October low of 1.2813. First resistance for
the Euro lies at today’s high of 1.2950 and then at 1.3000.
Next support is seen at last week’s low of 1.2887 and then
at 1.2833. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

The December Japanese yen closed down 26 points at 1.2532
today. Prices closed near the session low today. Bears have
the solid near-term technical advantage. Prices Friday hit
a fresh 4.5-month low. Bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is closing prices above solid resistance at
1.2675. Bears' next downside breakout objective is closing
prices below solid technical support at the June low of
1.2438. First resistance is seen at today’s high of 1.2578
and then at 1.2600. First support is seen at 1.2500 and
then at last week’s low of 1.2444. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
3.0.

The December Swiss franc closed down 16 points at 1.0684
today. Prices closed near mid-range on profit taking. The
Swissy bulls have still the overall near-term technical
advantage, but are fading a bit. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices above
solid resistance at the October high of 1.0861. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at the October low of
1.0609. First resistance is seen at today’s high of 1.0713
and then at 1.0750. First support is seen at last week’s
low of 1.0660 and then at 1.0614. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
6.5.

The December Australian dollar closed down 30 points at
1.0293 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today on
profit taking. Bulls still have the overall near-term
technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is closing prices above solid chart resistance at
the October high of 1.0363. The next downside breakout
objective for the bears is to produce a close below solid
technical support at last week’s low of 1.0191. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of 1.0328 and then at
last week’s high of 1.0355. Next support is seen at 1.0264
and then at 1.0214. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

The December Canadian dollar closed down 18 points at .9981
today. Prices closed near the session low today and hit a
fresh 11-week low. A six-week-old downtrend is in place on
the daily bar chart. Bears have the near-term technical
advantage. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is
producing a close above chart resistance at last week’s
high of 1.0100. The next downside price breakout objective
for the bears is closing prices below solid technical
support at .9900. First resistance is seen at today’s high
of 1.0012 and then at 1.0084. First support is seen at
today’s low of .9978 and then at .9950. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 4.0.

The December British pound closed down 69 points at 1.6026
today. Prices closed nearer the session low today on profit
taking. Bulls are on a level near-term technical playing
field with the bears. Prices are in a four-week-old
downtrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices above
solid technical resistance at 1.6175. Bears' next downside
technical breakout objective is closing prices below solid
support at last week’s low of 1.5909. First resistance is
seen at today’s high of 1.6103 and then at last week’s high
of 1.6141. First support is seen at 1.6000 and then at
1.5972. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.

The December U.S. dollar index closed up 17 points at 80.33
today. Prices closed nearer the session high again today
and hit a fresh six-week high. More short covering was
featured. The bears still have the overall near-term
technical advantage, but the bulls are gaining upside
momentum. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is to
close prices above solid technical resistance at 81.00. The
next downside price breakout objective for the bears is to
produce a close below solid technical support at 79.50.
Next resistance lies at today’s high of 80.42 and then at
80.59. First support is seen at today’s low of 80.07 and
then at 79.77. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

December U.S. T-Bonds closed up 23/32 at 148 23/32 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today on some fresh
safe-haven buying and short covering. Bulls and bears are
back on a level near-term technical playing field. The next
downside price breakout objective for the T-Bond bears is
closing prices below solid technical support at the October
low of 146 2/32. The next upside technical objective for
the bulls is to produce a close above solid technical
resistance at the October high of 150 7/32. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of 149 even and then at
149 16/32. First support is seen at today’s low of 148 2/32
and then at 147 16/32. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.

December U.S. T Notes closed up 7.0 (32nds) at 132.25.0
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and saw
safe-haven buying and short covering. Bulls and bears are
back on a level near-term technical playing field. The next
upside price breakout objective for the bulls is closing
prices above solid resistance at 133.08.0. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is
producing a close below solid technical support at the
October low of 131.22.0. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of 132.28.0 and then at 133.00.0. First
support is seen at today’s low of 132.17.5 and then at
132.08.0. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0

GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT: The U.S. stock indexes closed
weaker in an abbreviated session today. The stock index
bulls are fading. The main news event in the market place
to start the new trading week is Hurricane Sandy, which is
lashing the U.S. eastern coast. The New York Stock Exchange
and New York futures exchanges all closed Monday, although
there was some electronic trading of New York markets that
occurred early Monday. Still, with New York City virtually
shut down early this week, along with some of the U.S.
government offices in Washington, D.C., trading activity
will likely be lighter early this week, or even most of the
week. Traders are awaiting Friday’s U.S. employment report,
which is arguably the most important economic event of the
week. However, the major storm could even delay that
report. Some U.S. economic data due for release Monday was
not released. In overnight trading, European stocks were
lower. Attention in Europe is on Greece presently. European
Union officials are debating releasing another tranche of
EU bailout money to that financially troubled country—
despite Greece not meeting its austerity targets. The
closely monitored Spanish and Italian bond yields crept
higher Monday, which is a sign if increasing investor
anxiety regarding the EU sovereign debt crisis. Asian
stocks were mixed Monday, with Asian traders awaiting the
Bank of Japan meeting on Tuesday, which is expected to see
the BOJ announce further monetary stimulus measures for the
Japanese economy.

The Nasdaq stock futures index closed steady at 2,659.00.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. Prices last
Friday and hit a fresh three-month low. Bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is closing prices above solid
resistance at 2,778.75. The bears' next downside price
breakout objective is closing prices below solid technical
support at the August low of 2,600.00. First resistance is
seen at 2,675.00 and then at 2,695.25. First support is
seen at today’s low of 2,634.25 and then at Friday’s low of
2,604.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5

The S&P 500 futures index closed steady at 1,407.60. Prices
closed nearer the session high. Prices Friday hit a fresh
11-week low. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is
closing prices above solid resistance at 1,459.50. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid support at the August low of 1,350.00.
First resistance is seen at 1,417.00 and then at 1,433.10.
First support is seen at last week’s low of 1,394.70 and
then at 1,380.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

The Dow futures closed steady at 13,054. Prices closed
nearer the session high today. Prices Friday hit a fresh
seven-week low. The next upside price objective for the
bulls is closing prices above solid technical resistance at
13,525. The next downside price objective for the bears is
closing prices below solid technical support at the
September low of 12,965. First resistance in the Dow lies
at 13,100 and then at 13,125. First support is seen at
13,000 and then at last week’s low of 12,980. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 5.5.

Click below for my welcome letter to all new customers and
for an explanation of my Market Rating System.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/newsletter/WelcomeAboard/

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage
any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It
is my goal to point out to you potential trading
opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when
and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine
the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I
discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for
everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS.
Before you invest any money in futures or options
contracts, you should consider your financial experience,
goals and financial resources, and know how much you can
afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a
broker. You should understand commodity futures and options
contracts and your obligations in entering into those
contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and
other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk
disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.

Jim Wyckoff
 

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