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AgDay Daily Recap -July 2, 2014

July 2, 2014
 
 

 

TODAY ON AGDAY
JULY 2, 2014
 
OPEN HEADLINES:
COMING UP TODAY ON AGDAY A CONVERSATION WITH CHIPOTLE...THE BURRITTO MAKER ANSWERS QUESTIONS ABOUT ITS DECISION TO BUY BEEF FROM AUSTRALIA.

PLUS...SEVERE WEATHER TOPPLES CORN ACROSS THE MIDWEST. IN AGRIBUSINESS....DISECTING THE DROUGHT MONITOR...AN AGDAY EXCLUSIVE.

AND CARVE INTO A NEW YORKER'S LIVELIHOOD...AN ARTIST OF WOOD AND SAW MAKING A LIVING OUT OF THE BEAR ESSENTIALS. AGDAY BROUGHT TO YOU BY CHEVY SILVERADO-THE 2014 NORTH AMERICAN TRUCK OF THE YEAR.

 CHIPOTLE:
GOOD MORNING I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. AFTER A COUPLE OF YEARS OF WHAT SEEMS LIKE POINTING FIGURES AT PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE AND BIG FOOD, BURRITO MAKER CHIPOTLE TAKES TIME FOR A CONVERSATION...AND THAT'S OUR TOP STORY ON AGDAY.
USMEF AUSTRALIA:
 I ASKED THE US MEAT EXPORT FEDERATION ABOUT AUSTRALIAN BEEF.

THEY SAY AUSTRALIA IS CURRENTLY IN A DROUGHT INDUCED HERD LIQUIDATION AND HAVE SEEN RECORD HIGH SLAUGHTER NUMBERS IN RECENT MONTHS. THAT COMBINED WITH A WEAKENING AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR IS HELPING DRIVE EXPORTS FROM THE LAND DOWN UNDER...AND MAKING BUYING BEEF FOR U.S. COMPANYS MORE PRICE COMPETITIVE.

IOWA FLOODING:
IOWA IS QUICKLY BECOMING THE LAND OF TEN THOUSAND 'FARM'-LAKES. IT WAS HIT AGAIN MONDAY WITH TORRENTIAL RAIN. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAYS JOHNSON COUNTY - NEAR IOWA CITY - HAD SIX INCHES OF RAIN. PONDING IS A BIG PROBLEM FOR MANY FARMERS AS THIS WAS THE SECOND STRAIGHT WEEK OF VERY HEAVY RAIN. AS OF MONDAY, 75-PERCENT OF IOWA'S CORN WAS RATED GOOD TO EXCELLENT. WE'LL SEE NEXT WEEK IF THERE ARE ANY CHANCES DUE TO FLOODED OR WIND-FLATTENED CROPS. MANY RIVERS IN EASTERN IOWA ARE AT OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
CLOSED RIVER LOCKS:
THOSE SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS EVENTUALLY DUMP IN THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER, WHICH IS RUNNING VERY HIGH RIGHT NOW. THE U-S ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS HAS ALREADY CLOSED DOWN TWO LOCKS ON THE IMPORTANT SHIPPING CHANNEL. LOCK 16 AT MUSCATINE, IOWA AND LOCK 17 IN NEW BOSTON, ILLINOIS ARE CLOSED TO BARGE TRAFFIC DUE TO FLOODING CONDITIONS. ADDITIONAL LOCKS COULD BE CLOSED AS WELL BECAUSE OF THE HEAVY RAINS DUMPING INTO THE MISSISSIPPI. THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER IS THE MAIN SHIPPING ROUTE TO THE U.S. GULF COAST, WHERE ABOUT 60 PER CENT OF ALL U.S. CORN, SOYBEANS AND WHEAT EXPORTS EXIT THE COUNTRY.
CROP WATCH:
CLINTON. THAT WAS A TEXT BOOK DERECHO IN HOW IT ACTED AND THE DAMAGE IT LEFT BEHIND. WE HAD WIND MEASUREMENTS OF 86 MILES AN HOUR IN LAKE COUNTY, INDIANA MONDAY NITE. TO PUT IT ANOTHER WAY - THOSE ARE CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. (AD LIB MORE IF NEEDED) IN IOWA - AS YOU MENTIONED - ALSO GOT THE WIND AND RAIN. AND THIS IS THEIR SECOND STRAIGHT WEEK OF HEAVY RAIN. A FARMER FROM JACKSON COUNTY, IOWA POSTED ON AGWEB THAT HE GOT SIX INCHES OF RAIN LAST WEEK. AND SO FAR THIS WEEK IT'S NEARLY FIVE INCHES. HE SAYS SOME COUNTIES AROUND HIM GOT EVEN MORE. NOW TO MISSISSIPPI - A FARMER IN TIPPAH COUNTY SAYS SOYBEANS ARE OFF TO A GREAT START FOR THE MOST PART. SOME LOCALIZED AREAS HAVE BEEN WETTER THAN OTHERS THIS SPRING BUT ON AVERAGE THINGS LOOK GOOD!

AND IN MONTANA - THE NASS CROP REPORT SHOWS THE WHEAT CROP - NO MATTER THE SEASON - IS IN GOOD SHAPE. 63-PERCENT OF WINTER WHEAT IS GOOD TO EXCELLENT. IT'S JUST STARTING TO TURN. 58-PERCENT OF SPRING WHEAT IS GOOD TO EXCELLENT.

70-PERCENT OF DURUM WHEAT IS GOOD TO EXCELLENT. AND TAKING A LOOK AT THE CROP MOISTURE YOU CAN SEE THE WET AREAS UP AND DOWN THE PLAINS STATES VERY DRY IN THE SOUTH WEST ESPECIALLY SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA INTO MUCH OF ARIZONA I'LL HAVE YOUR FORECAST COMING UP IN A FEW MINUTES.

BAYER EXPANDS:
CLINTON, IN BUSINESS NEWS, BAYER CROPSCIENCE ANNOUNCING PLANS TO SPEND NEARLY 30 MILLION DOLLARS ON EXPANSION, AT ITS LOCATION IN NORTH CAROLINA. THE PLAN INCLUDES NEW GREENHOUSES FOR INSECT TESTING AND PLANT DISEASE RESEARCH.
ANAYLSIS INTRO:
THE LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR REPORT COMESOUT THURSDAY MORNING. AFTER WEEKS OF RAIN IN THE MIDWEST, DROUGHT IS A DISTANT MEMORY FOR MOST CORNBELT FARMERS.

IN FACT, EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER IS MOSTLY DROUGHT FREE OTHER THAN SOME PATCHES IN KENTUCKY. OF COURSE, IT'S A DIFFERENT STORY IN THE SOUTHWEST AND PARTS OF THE NORTHWEST. TYNE MORGAN RECENTLY DISCUSSED HOW THE MONITOR IS GENERATED EACH WEEK WITH ONE OF THE KEY AUTHORS.

ANALYSIS:
THANKS SO MUCH WERE HERE WITH BRADY RIPPY USDA METEOROLOGIST BUT HE'S ALSO ONE OF THE AUTHORS OF THE US DROUGHT MONITOR BRAD WE PAY SUCH CLOSE ATTENTION TO THAT US DROUGHT MONITOR WEEK AFTER WEEK WHEN YOU PUT THAT TOGETHER WHAT TYPE OF DATA DO YOU HAVE TO COLLECT OR WHAT TYPE OF ELEMENTS GO INTO MAKING THAT MONITOR. TO ANSWER THAT QUESTION I ALMOST HAVE TO STEP BACK IN TIME IT'S HARD TO BELIEVE THAT THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS ONLY 15 YEARS OLD FIRST EDITION CAME OUT IN 1999 AND IN THAT SHORT PERIOD OF TIME THERE'S BEEN SO MUCH TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE IN THE EARLY DAYS OF THE DROUGHT MONITOR WE TOOK ALL THE DATA WE HAD IT WAS ON PIECES OF PAPER LIKE THIS SCATTERED ALL OVER OUT DESK BUT NOW IN THE GIS WITH GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEM ENVIRONMENT EVERYTHING IS LAYERED ALL THE DATA WE TAKE RAINFALL DATA WE TAKE SOIL MOISTURE STREAM FLOW DATA ANYTHING WE CAN GET OUR HANDS ON AND WE PUT IT ALL TOGETHER WE TRY TO RATE IT HISTORICALLY AND THAT'S HOW WE COME UP WITH THE D 0 D1 D2 D3 D4 LINES AND JUST TO GIVE A QUICK EXAMPLE IF YOU’RE IN D4 DROUGHT LIKE WE'VE SEEN IN CALIFORNIA AND TEXAS THAT'S A 1 IN 50 TO 1 IN 100 YEAR DROUGHT AND WE HAVE THE DATA TO BACK IT UP AND THAT'S KIND OF THE PREMISE BEHIND THE DROUGHT MONITOR THERE'S A LOT OF HISTORICAL BASIS BEHIND IT AND THAT'S WHAT WE DO THERE'S 11 AUTHORS SPLIT ACROSS THE COUNTRY AND WE TAKE 2 WEEK ROTATIONS COMES AROUND 5 TO 6 TIMES A YEAR AND IT’S A VERY BUSY WEEK TRYING TO PUT TOGETHER THE DATA FROM 50 STATES WE HAVE 350 EXPERTS ON THE FIELD ACROSS THE COUNTRY BECAUSE AS WE SIT IN OUR HOUSES OUR GLASS HOUSES WE CAN'T IMAGINE WHAT IT'S LIKE OUT IN THE FIELD IT'S GREAT TO GET A TRIP HERE TO SEE WHAT IT'S LIKE, I'VE ACTUALLY BEEN OUT IN THE FIELD IT'S A WONDERFUL EXPERIENCE BUT TYPICAL WEEK I'M IN THE OFFICE. PUTTING THAT TOGETHER…IN THE AGRICULTURAL ARENA. WELL BRAD I'VE HEAR FROM SOME FARMERS WHO SAY YOU KNOW I'VE RECEIVED RAIN BUT IT DOESN'T SHOW UP ON THE DROUGHT MONITOR FOR A FEW WEEKS SO HOW QUICK DOES THAT ACTUALLY SHOW UP. WELL THERE'S A COUPLE OF THINGS TO REMEMBER FIRST OF ALL THE CUTOFF FOR THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS TUESDAY MORNING SO THE DROUGHT MONITOR COMES OUT EVERY THURSDAY BUT THE DATA CUTOFF IS TUESDAY IN SOME CASES RAIN MIGHT FALL AFTER THE CUTOFF THE OTHER THING IS THAT SOMETIMES ESPECIALLY AREAS IN DROUGHT THEY'RE SLOW TO RESPOND TO RAIN FALL SO FOR EXAMPLE YOU MIGHT SEE A BOOST IN TOP SOIL MOISTURE BUT SUB SOIL STAYED DRY FARM PONDS REMAIN DRY AND IT TAKES A WHILE SO DROUGHT BY ITS VERY NATURE IS A CREEPING PHENOMENON THE ONSET IS VERY SLOW TYPICALLY AND TO COME OUT OF DROUGHT IS VERY SLOW SO MAYBE THAT'S THE PERCEPTION THAT IT DOESN'T REFLECT EXACTLY WHAT THE SITUATION IS, BUT IT’S TOUGH TO IRRADIATE A DROUGHT. DEFINITELY WELL BRAD I GUESS WE HEARD IT FROM ONE OF THE AUTHORS THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR THAT INSIGHT ON THE US DROUGHT MONITOR PLEASE STAY WITH US BECAUSE WE WILL HAVE MORE AGDAY WHEN WE RETURN.
WX:
WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY MIKE WE HAD SOME PRETTY SIGNIFICANT STORM TO START THE WEEK. WHAT ABOUT THE REST OF THE WEEK? FOR THE MOST PART THE CORN BELT IS GOING TO BE A LOT DRIER AND A LOT CALMER. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN. ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND STATIONARY FRONT IS GOING TO BE WHERE THE ACTVITY WILL BE BUT THOSE WILL NOT BE THE PLACES THAT HAVE SEEN THE HEAVY STORMS OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. NOW WE DO HAVE TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR OFF THE COAST OF FLORIDA THAT'S GOING TO BE HEADING UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AFFECTING MOSTLY THE COASTS OF GEORGIA SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA. BUT FOR THE MOST PART ITS GOING TO STAY OFF SHORE FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. LET’S PUT THE MAPS INTO MOTION AND YOU CAN SEE THE MOVEMENT THERE RIGHT UP THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE EAST COAST BUT IT’S GOING TO SLOW DOWN BECAUSE OF ARTHUR THERE WHICH WILL KIND OF KEEP THE MOISTURE UP AND DOWN THE EASTERN SEABOARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AND THIS IS A NICE STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS SO PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA NORTHERN TEXAS BACK INTO NEW MEXICO GETTING SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON. THERE IS KIND OF A SECONDARY COLD FRONT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THAT WILL CAUSE SOME SPOTTY SHOWERS BUT FOR THE MOST PART IT IS DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE CORN BELT ALL THE WAY INTO THE OHIO INTO THE TENNESEE VALLEY AS WELL AS THE GREAT LAKES. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE DAY TOMORROW. AS YOU CAN SEE IT SPREADS INTO THE EAST. SOME HIT AND MISS SHOWERS IN THE NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES.EXTREME NORTHERN PLAINS STATES. AGAIN THESE WILL BE VERY LIGHT WE DON'T HAVE TO WORRY ABOUT THEM BEING HEAVY. BUT ALONG THIS COLD FRONT AND STATIONARY FRONT THERE WILL BE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AND IT LOOKS LIKE ARTHUR COULD BE A MINIMAL HURRICANE BY LATE IN THE DAY TOMORROW. BUT ESPECIALLY AS IT APPROACHES THE OUTER BANKS AS WE HEAD INTO THE FOURTH OF JULY THE NEXT 12 HOURS IT LOOKS LIKE IT MOVES INTO THE OUTER BANKS. IF YOU HAPPEN TO BE VACATIONING IN THOSE AREAS OVER THE FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND…KEEP THAT IN MIND. THERE'S THE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ADDING ON THE NEXT 36…YOU CAN SEE THE FOCUS IS GOING TO BE NORTH TEXAS, SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA, AND BACK INTO NEW MEXICO WHICH IS GREAT NEWS FOR THOSE FOLKS. AND THEN IT’S UP AND DOWN THE EASTERN SEABOARD WITH SOME AREAS GETTING A FAIR AMOUNT OF RAIN.  HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY, ON THE CHILLY SIDE FOR THE UPPER MIDWEST, AND UPPER GREAT LAKES… ONLY IN THE 50'S AND 60'S FOR HIGHS. HERE IT IS JULY VERY MUGGY AND HOT THROUGHOUT THE SOUTHLAND. AND IT WILL CONTINUE MUGGY TO THE SOUTH OF THAT FRONTAL SYSTEM ALONG THE GULF COAST. BUT VERY PLEASANT TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF THE CORN BELT… MOST OF THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY SEEING SOME PLEASANT WEATHER AS WE HEAD INTO THIS HOLLIDAY WEEKEND. THAT CONTINUES TOMORROW AFTERNOON BUT THE HEAT CONTINUES DOWN ALONG THE GULF COAST AS WELL. THERE'S THE TROUGH THAT'S BRINGING IN THAT COOL AIR. THAT'S THAT SHOT OF COOL AIR COMING IN FROM CANADA. AS WE HEAD THROUGH THIS WEEKEND THAT TROUGH SLOWLY MOVES THROUGH NEW ENGLAND AND EVENTUALLY EXITS. WE DO HAVE ANOTHER TROUGH TRYING TO DIG IN A LITTLE BIT AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK. BUT IT IS GOING TO WARM UP FOR MOST OF THE PLAINS STATES FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK AS WELL. THAT'S THE LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY NOW LETS TAKE A LOOK AT SOME LOCAL FORECASTS. FIRST OF ALL FOR MEDFORD OREGON TODAY LOTS OF SUNSHINE… NOT AS HOT AS YOU'VE SEEN LATELY. HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 94 GRAND ISLAND NEBRAKSA A GOOD DEAL OF SUNSHINE AND DOWNRIGHT BEAUTIFUL HIGH OF 75. TRENTON NEW JERSEY HOT AND HUMID COULD BE A LATE DAY THUNDERSTORM HIGH OF 92.
RFD PROMO:
WEDNESDAY ON AGDAY A CONVERSATION WITH CHIPOTLE…WHY DOES THE BURRITO MAKER PREFER FOREIGN BEEF OVER AMERICAN MADE? PLUS, HEAR FROM ONE OF THE KEY AUTHORS OF THE DROUGHT MONITOR. IT'S AN AGDAY EXCLUSIVE. JOIN US EIGHT EASTERN ON RFD.
 

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