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Cold Gives Way to Higher Temperatures by Mid-November

November 5, 2013
snow ice field winter

Cold snaps like the one that’s bringing snow to the northern Great Plains and Midwest may lower temperatures in the the eastern U.S. for the next 10 days, said Matt Rogers, president of Commodity Weather Group LLC.

Temperatures are expected to remain seasonal to about 3 degrees Fahrenheit below normal across most of the U.S. for the rest of this week, then jump to at least 5 degrees above normal across the East from Nov. 15-19, said Rogers, in Bethesda, Maryland.

Cold air from around Alaska dominates the extended forecast, "with strengthening warming seen from the Midwest, East and South for this period," Rogers said.

Below-normal temperatures, especially in Eastern and Midwestern cities, tend to increase energy consumption as more people heat homes and businesses. November marks the start of the U.S. heating season, when natural gas demand peaks.

Power generation accounts for 32% of U.S. gas use, according to the Energy Information Administration, the Energy Department’s statistical arm. About 49% of all homes use the fuel for heating.

MDA Weather Services in Gaithersburg, Md., is also predicting warmer weather for Nov. 15-19. "The exact amount and strength of warmth remains a little more uncertain," MDA said.

Winter weather advisories stretch today from Wyoming to Michigan’s Upper Peninsula as that area faces the threat of heavy snow, according to the National Weather Service. Snow is also forecast for parts of Colorado and New Mexico.

As much as 5 inches may fall in Minneapolis by late today, the weather service said.

The normal average temperature in New York on Nov. 14 is about 49 degrees, according to MDA. In Boston, it’s 45; in St. Louis, 48; Dallas, 57; Houston, 63; Chicago, 41; Burbank, California, 60; and in Calgary, it’s 28.




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