- LP falls 4 cents to $1.83 on the week.
- May '14 natural gas opened today at $4.69 1/2 -- up 7 1/2 cents on the week.
- Farm Diesel is unchanged at an average of $3.47 per gallon.
- June '14 WTI crude oil opened the day at $103.60 -- up 4 cents on the week.
- At the open the WTI/Brent crude oil spread widened $2.24 on the week to $6.28 with June '14 Brent opening $2.28 higher on the week at $109.88.
Prices slowed their downward trajectory, but by our count, between now and July 1, if the regional propane price drops an average of four cents per week, that would mean LP has 40 cents to give yet per gallon. But that would miss last year's peg at $1.25 by about 20 cents. EIA reports another strong week of additions to LP storage, up 0.773 million barrels (mmbbl) to 28.357 mmbbl. That is still 10.669 mmbbl behind year-ago, but supplies have rebounded back to within the five-year average.
Building supplies will help limit the upside for propane, however, EIA reports this week that petroleum products including distillates and propane are in high demand on the global export market. That may inject as much as a 20 cent premium over year-ago prices and as time passes, I am less convinced that amid strong global demand, U.S. domestic propane will recover all the way back to $1.25.
We have some time for propane to come our way by summer, but our pricing targets for that time are starting to feel low.
Our continuing recommendation, and that of the propane industry is to pre-book winter and agricultural supplies to help your preferred retailer get a handle on demand when prices hit their low. In addition, experts recommend adding to your on-farm propane storage to guard against shortages and delivery constraints.
The regionwide high is at $2.55 in Missouri and the regionwide low is currently in Nebraska at $1.44.