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Petroleum Report: Tensions Trump Supply Side Positives

April 24, 2014
By: Davis Michaelsen, Pro Farmer Inputs Monitor Editor

 index

Crude Oil -- Current stockpiles of U.S. crude reached an all time high this week on a 3.5 million barrel weekly buildup. But Ukraine tensions and lagging stocks at Cushing, OK are working to support prices. Inventories at Cushing are currently at their lowest levels since 2009, holding WTI prices above $100.00.

Meanwhile, Gulf coast refiners have begun annual turnaround maintenance for summer blends and have backlogged crude for refining at the Gulf. Once traders' focus turns back to the glut of oil surrounding Cushing, WTI prices should fall back below $100.00. But Russia is a major world player on the crude oil scene and continuing tensions may trump supply side positives, and inject a war premium proportional with global demand for U.S. crude.

crstuss

June 2014 WTI crude oil opened this morning at $101.54 -- $2.30 below the same time last week. Next support is at $99.29 and $98.86. A move back above the April high at $104.10 would open the door to upside risk to $112.24.

May 14 heating oil opened today at $2.98, three cents below last week.

June 2014 Brent crude oil futures opened at $109.33 -- 67 cents higher on the week.

The WTI/Brent crude spread widened $2.57 on the week to $7.79 at the open, with Brent at a premium.prstuss

Inventory --

  • U.S. crude inventories gained 3.5 million barrels (mmbbl) to 397.7 mmbbl -- now 9.1 mmbbl above year-ago.
  • Gasoline inventories fell 0.3 mmbbl to 210.0 mmbbl -- 7.8 mmbbl below year-ago.
  • Distillate stocks firmed 0.6 mmbbl to 112.5 mmbbl -- 2.8 mmbbl below year-ago.
  • National propane stocks gained 1.170 mmbbl to 29.527 mmbbl -- 9.437 mmbbl below year-ago.

 

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