Sep 20, 2014
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Cash Grain Insights

RSS By: Kevin McNew, AgWeb.com

Kevin McNew is President of Grain Hedge and Geograin. McNew was raised on a farm in central Oklahoma and received his bachelor’s degree from Oklahoma State University, and master’s and Ph.D. degrees in Economics from North Carolina State University. For over a decade, he was a Professor of Economics at the University of Maryland and Montana State University, focusing on commodity markets. He has received numerous academic awards for his research and outreach work, and was (and still is) widely regarded for boiling down complex economic issues into easy-to-understand concepts for applied life.

 

Corn and Soybeans Post Strong New Crop Sales

Aug 21, 2014

Grains are mostly unchanged this morning with corn trading 3/4 of a cent higher, soybeans up 1 1/4 cents and wheat trading 1 1/2 cent higher going into the morning pause.  

Weekly export sales were released this morning, with very strong new crop corn and soybean sales reported. Corn sales beat out expectations coming into this morning’s report, with FAS reporting 719,300 MT of 2014/15 corn sold. Major buyers were Colombia, Mexico, and unknown destinations. Soybean export sales were a mixed bag, with net cancellations of 89,600 MT reported for 2013/14 and large sales of 1,420,000 MT reported for the new crop. Wheat saw relatively poor sales, with just 209,200 MT reported sold. This was below expectations and down 62% from the 4 week average. 

The Pro Farmer Crop Tour enters day 4, with scouts moving from Coralville and Spencer Iowa to Rochester, MN. This will be the final day of the crop tour, and as shown by the map below has the potential to see some very good stands of corn. Follow #PFtour14 on twitter for live photos and comments from the crop tour.

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NOAA will be releasing their September and 90 day weather outlooks this morning. A major focus of this report will be the potential for an early frost/freeze event. Monday’s crop progress report showed just 22% of U.S. corn dented compared to a 5 year average of 27% for this week in the growing season. In Iowa just 16% of corn is dented compared to a 5 year average of 25%. Soybeans remain less of a concern in terms of progress as 83% of the crop is setting pods compared to a 5 year average of 79%. Numerous reports have been made from the Pro Farmer Crop Tour that the soybean crop will need more growing degree days to maintain yield potential.

 

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