Jul 25, 2014
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Cash Grain Insights

RSS By: Kevin McNew, AgWeb.com

Kevin McNew is President of Grain Hedge and Geograin. McNew was raised on a farm in central Oklahoma and received his bachelor’s degree from Oklahoma State University, and master’s and Ph.D. degrees in Economics from North Carolina State University. For over a decade, he was a Professor of Economics at the University of Maryland and Montana State University, focusing on commodity markets. He has received numerous academic awards for his research and outreach work, and was (and still is) widely regarded for boiling down complex economic issues into easy-to-understand concepts for applied life.

 

Corn in Positive Territory to Start the Week

Feb 03, 2014

 Grains were quiet to start the new week as overnight trade was mostly listless. Corn advanced 2 cents a bushel, while front-month March beans was down 1 cent. Wheat posted a fractional increase in the night session.

Farmers in Brazil's top-soybean-producing state Mato Grosso are reporting soy harvest yields well above what they had expected, which if the trend continues, could result in a record crop and make Brazil the world's top producer of the oilseed, based on official forecasts. Fields like Seibeneichler's throughout Mato Grosso are producing up to 70 60-kilogram bags per hectare, as much as a third higher than a January estimate for average yields in the state by Agroconsult, which expects a record 91.6 MMT crop from Brazil.

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Winds and snow are hindering grain supply from southern Russia to Novorossiisk on the Black Sea, the port's operator and traders said on Friday, slowing the country's return to the global wheat market. Russia, one of the world's top five wheat exporters to regions including North Africa and the Middle East, became competitive again on international markets in January, after a three-month hiatus, because the ruble has now weakened along with emerging market currencies. 

In corn, US export business has likely benefited from the problems in Ukraine getting corn to export. On Friday, USDA announced another sale of US old-crop corn to Spain for 110,000 MT. On Friday, CIF corn  basis bids were mostly steady at the Gulf. Spot barge freight is steady with a weak tone as demand softened after shippers fulfilled their January loading needs. Navigation on the Illinois River remains a major challenge with heavy ice buildup limiting tows to 6 or 8 barges. Peoria Lake remains one-way traffic only. Problems on the Illinois are backing up the upriver traffic down towards St Louis.  

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