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RSS By: Bob Utterback, Farm Journal

Bob Utterback has more than 26 years of experience and offers producers a disciplined approach to marketing.

Look for a dry weather pattern around May 15th

May 07, 2009

As you can see, our weatherman is suggesting a drier pattern next week. The corn crop should get planted but in what shape and how many acres? You need to be looking at our web site for complete details about how we are making catch-up sales. 
 
For information call Laura at 1-800-832-1488.
 
WXRISK.COM 
 
THURSDAY MORNING WEATHER, 5/7
For the waterlogged areas over the ECB the model data this morning is showing a significant dry interval coming up MAY 10 to MAY 15... for about six days. The pattern continues to look warmer after the middle of the month but the Ridge that develops over the eastern US is NOT strong enough to keep cold fronts out of the Upper Plains and WCB.
 
In the short term there will continue to the more showers and storms for the Lower ECB and all of the TN Valley. As I am sure you have heard by now much of KY TN southern MO northern ARK Northern AL and northern MS are waterlogged and are experiencing local flooding. Rainfall amounts of the next five days continue to show excessive rains coming for these areas so the damage is going to get worse.
 
The next area of showers and storms will affect ILL IND OH Thursday night into Friday morning which will be followed by a weak cold front Saturday that will linger across southern MO northern ARK and the TN valley. Hence the very wet forecast that continues for the next five days over the Tennessee Valley.
 
By MAY 10 High pressure coming out of south-central Canada should be able to drive the front well to the south allowing for several dry days to develop over the ECB and TN valley... from MAY 10 to MAY 15. The Plains and WCB will turn warm MAY 12-14 at a fairly strong cold font will move to the upper Plains MAY 13 and into the WCB / western Great Lakes MAY 14 with significant showers and thunderstorms likely.
 
This front falls apart as it moves through the ECB MAY 15 but another front tries to move into the upper Plains/WCB May 17/18 and MAY 20. The difference appears to be that after the 15th of May the Ridge over the eastern US is going to be fairly strong so these cold fronts which move into the upper Plains and WCB will produce significantly less rain once they cross the Mississippi River.
 
If you need any help in implementing a speculative or hedging strategy give us a call at 1-800-832-1488 or email me at utterback@utterbackmarketing.com or laura@utterbackmarketing.com. Tomorrow we will talk a little about the bonds, gold and crude oil.
 
BEFORE TRADING, ONE SHOULD BE AWARE THAT WITH POTENTIAL PROFITS THERE IS ALSO POTENTIAL FOR LOSSES, WHICH MAY BE VERY LARGE. YOU SHOULD READ THE “RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT” AND “OPTION DISCLOSURE STATEMENT” AND SHOULD UNDERSTAND THE RISKS BEFORE TRADING. COMMODITY TRADING MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR RECIPIENTS OF THIS PUBLICATION. THOSE ACTING ON THIS INFORMATION ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR THEIR OWN ACTIONS. ALTHOUGH EVERY REASONABLE ATTEMPT HAS BEEN MADE TO ENSURE THE ACCURACY OF THE INFORMATION PROVIDED, UTTERBACK MARKETING SERVICES INC. ASSUMES NO RESPONSIBILITY FOR ANY ERRORS OR OMISSIONS. ANY REPUBLICATION OR OTHER USE OF THIS INFORMATION AND THOUGHTS EXPRESSED HEREIN WITHOUT THE WRITTEN PERMISSION OF UTTERBACK MARKETING SERVICES INC. IS STRICTLY PROHIBITED. COPYRIGHT UTTERBACK MARKETING SERVICES INC. 2009.
 
 
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