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Welcome to the Southern View blog featuring fresh information about grains and cotton production in Brazil, along with information about Argentina's and Paraguay's crops.

Conab Estimates Update

Jun 08, 2009

Conab reports harvest estimative based on field survey done in the period March 16 and 20/2009. Results may reflects drought effects in southern crop areas, and flood in North and Northeast.
 
BRAZIL
GRAIN HARVEST ESTIMATE (MILLION TONS)
2008/2009 CROPS
 
Soybeans -  May/09 – 57,6 mtm / Jun/09  - 57,14mtm
Total corn – May/09 – 51,38 mtm / Jun/09 – 49,88 mtm
Corn 1st crop – May/09 - 33,67 mtm   / Jun/09 – 33,19 mtm
Corn 2nd crop – May/09 -  17,41 mtm  / Jun/09 – 16,68 mtm
Cotton (fiber) – May/09 -  1,25 mtm  / Jun/09 – 1,19 mtm
TOTAL GRAIN - May/09 – 136,589 mtm / Jun/09 – 134,155 mtm
 
 
Soybean – As rains keeps strong in N and NE, losses can increase in these areas.
 
Corn – after the survey period, Paraná state suffered frost in 90% of corn area for three days. Local departments estimate a 70% loss. It may take off at least 3 mtm from 2nd crop corn.
 
Cotton – Rains stills damaging Bahia and Maranhão cotton areas after survey period. These states represent about 35% of Brazilian cotton production this year.
 
Cold weather will cause delay in cotton harvest in Mato Grosso. Many regions should be already sending first bales to port, will begin harvest only after jun 15th.
 
 
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COMMENTS (1 Comments)

Anonymous
OK my friend, it is time to start thinking forward. We now have June USDA report on soys. We have Brazil with good sales on, and US looking like they will be a supplier of new crop soys until about March. Argy remains dry and wheat did not get planted. So the question is - Does the Argy producer expand soy area dramatically automatically, because he has to plant something, as has been suggested, or does this need to be supported with higher price ideas? If the latter, what is the price the CGO soy futures need to be to support soy expansion?
5:04 PM Jul 2nd
 
 
 
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