Corn and Cotton Acreage Reductions Predicted
Feb 17, 2010
Here are the latest CONAB estimates:
|
Area Estimates (in 1000 ha)
|
Production Estimates (in 1000 tons)
|
|
09/10
|
10/ 11
|
09/10
|
10/ 11
|
|
Cotton
|
843,2
|
817,6
|
Seed Cotton
|
1890,6
|
1930,6
|
|
Soybean
|
21743,1
|
23209,5
|
57165,5
|
66733,2
|
|
Corn Total
|
14171,8
|
12893,3
|
51003,9
|
51363,3
|
|
Corn 1st crop
|
9270,5
|
8281
|
33654,9
|
32368,7
|
|
Total Grains
|
47674,4
|
47651,6
|
135134,5
|
143094,9
|
|
|
|
|
Fiber Cotton
|
1213,7
|
1238,2
|
Main reduction is corn and cotton. Have 3 crops we have being producing more corn than we can demand and export. It made internal prices fall down hardly, and although costs has reduced, selling price is not enough in major areas as west- Center, so soybean took some area.
Cotton area were reduced ‘cause in the decision period we had international prices too low, and soybean was given a better margin. It’s also important to attempt for the way cotton is being planted. A good share of this cotton area is second crop, and it’s will probably results in a shorter yield. I don’t believe in this estimated volume of cotton fiber. Will be less than last year.
Other reason is the advance of sugar cane fields. In some states as São Paulo and Goias, this culture is taking area from cotton, coffee, and fruits. As per market trends for sugar and ethanol, this culture will keep taking place in the following years, also in other regions.
