The Grain Hedge Team provides a macro-focused daily view of the world’s grain markets. Kevin McNew received a bachelor’s degree from Oklahoma State University and his master’s and Ph.D. degrees in Economics from North Carolina State University. He spent 10 years as a Professor of Economics with the University of Maryland and Montana State University focusing on commodity markets and is widely regarded for his ability to boil-down complex economic situations into easy-to-understand concepts for applied life.
New Crop Soybean Sales Beat Expectations
Aug 28, 2014
Grains are slightly higher in the overnight session with corn up ¾ of a penny, soybeans up 3 cents and wheat up 6 ¾ cents as we move into the pause in trade. The tensions in Ukraine continue to escalate as reports out of Kiev accuse Russia of playing a major role in a counter offensive by the separatists. Concerns are that Russian boots and armored vehicles are on the ground in Ukraine, which if confirmed would be a significant escalation of the Ukrainian conflict.
Wheat export sales were reported at 403,600 metric tons for delivery in 14/15 which was up 98 percent from the previous week. Brazil was highlighted as a major purchaser of U.S wheat buying 94,000 metric tons. Old crop corn sales had net reductions of 32,700 metric tons which was within analyst expectations. According to our model this puts corn on pace to meet the USDA expectations with only one week left in the marketing year. New crop corn sales were reported at 695,600 metric tons which was within expectations.
Old crop soybean sales recorded net reductions of 62,800 metric tons which puts soybean export sales at 35 million bushels ahead of pace to meet USDA expectations. It is likely we see the USDA revise their forecast in the September 11th WASDE report. New crop soybean sales were reported at 1,290,800 metric tons which was well above expectations. The majority of sales primarily went to China which booked 50 percent of this week’s new crop soybean sales.
Yesterday the EIA announced that ethanol production had fallen 24,000 barrels per day to 913,000 barrels per day. Ethanol stocks declined this week 934,000 barrels, bringing total stocks to 17.32 million barrels.