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December 2013 Archive for Grain Hedge

RSS By: Brock Schimbeno, AgWeb.com

Grain Hedge is a self-directed discount brokerage that saves farmers money when trading in the futures and options market. For $7 commissions per side producers can execute their marketing strategy with authority, any time the markets trade.

Collapsing DDG Prices Weigh on Corn and Soybean Futures

Dec 31, 2013

 

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Soybean futures closed hard to end the year as continued rejections of US Dried Distiller Grain have weighed on domestic prices. This should be a corn story, but many traders are now concerned that a lower DDG market will take some demand away from soy meal in coming months. That seemd to weigh on futures today as both the March and November (new crop) soybean contract closed well below technical support.

Get a new smart phone or tablet for Christmas? Visit us at GrainHedge.com today to get live grain quotes on your mobile device today!

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Grains Move Lower as South America Gets Rain

Dec 30, 2013

 

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0.5 to 1.5 inches of rain fell in northern Argentina over the weekend, helping to take out some of the weather premium seen last week. Corn, soybeans, and wheat all traded lower into the close today. Export inspections did little to help support prices as all three commodities missed expectations. Overall a negative day in Chicago.

Get a new smart phone or tablet for Christmas? Visit us at GrainHedge.com today to get live grain quotes on your mobile device today!

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

BIG Export Sales Help Grains Close in Positive Territory

Dec 27, 2013

 

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If a new smart phone or tablet was part of your Christmas gifts keep in mind we now have a mobile trading app available here at Grain Hedge for your iPhone, iPad, Android, or Tablet. If you’d like to take a look at the mobile app for yourself visit as at GrainHedge.com to take a trial and get live grain quotes going today.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Grains Trade Lower on Weak Technicals / DDG Cancellations

Dec 26, 2013

 

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Grain markets traded lower in light volume one day after Christmas. If a new smart phone or tablet was part of your Christmas gifts keep in mind we now have a mobile trading app available here at Grain Hedge. If you’d like to take a look at the mobile app for yourself visit as at GrainHedge.com to take a trial and get live grain quotes going today.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Low Volume Holiday Trade Leads to Mixed Results

Dec 24, 2013

 

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Soybeans continued to move higher in a light volume pre-holiday trade. Corn moved a little higher, but wheat continues to make new contract lows. A couple of export sales for soybeans helped the rally there. Low volume is to be expected for the remainder of the year. Ethanol production figures will be out on Thursday. Visit us at GrainHedge.com to get mobile trading on your mobile phone or tablet.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Argentina Production Providing Bullish Corn Story?

Dec 23, 2013

 

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Soybeans and wheat both traded lower in today's action while corn held on to positive territory. Today we discuss dry weather in Argentina and how this is impacting the corn market. Wheat and soybean technicals are both discussed in detail. Visit us at GrainHedge.com to get mobile trading on your mobile phone or tablet.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

South American Weather Outlook Supports Corn/Soybean Prices

Dec 20, 2013

 

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Corn, soybeans, and wheat all traded higher into the weekend. South American weather seems to be putting a weather premium into corn and soybean futures. Today we discuss in detail the outlook for the Argentine crop and what this means for prices moving forward.  Visit us at GrainHedge.com to get mobile trading on your mobile phone or tablet.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Will Soybeans Remain Rangebound?

Dec 19, 2013

 

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The export sales report was favorable for corn and wheat, but soybean sales did not meet expectations. Corn and soybeans remain in their respective ranges, while wheat forges new contract lows. Weather in South America will be a focus moving forward. Visit us at GrainHedge.com to get mobile trading on your mobile phone or tablet.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Equities Charge Higher, Dollar Index Rises -- How Will the Grains React?

Dec 18, 2013

 

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The grain markets headed lower with soybeans being the leader losing 22 1/2 cents on the day. After the close today, the Fed made an announcement that their bond buying program will slow by $10 billion a month. The dollar index traded a wide range ultimately ending higher on the day. We'll have to wait to see the effect on commodities. Ethanol and export sales are discussed too. Visit us at GrainHedge.com to get mobile trading on your mobile phone or tablet.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Corn, Soybeans, Trade Higher. Wheat Struggles to Find a Bottom

Dec 17, 2013

 

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Corn and soybeans both moved higher in a light trade on a Tuesday. Today we discuss export sales, expectations for tomorrow's ethanol report, and technicals on corn and soybeans. Visit us at GrainHedge.com to get mobile trading on your mobile phone or tablet.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Corn Trade Lowers as NOPA Meal Numbers Support Beans

Dec 16, 2013

 

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Corn continued lower as cancelled cargoes and light export inspections pressured markets. Soybean and soybean meal futures picked up ground as the NOPA crush numbers showered strong monthly numbers (although lower than expected) and a very good soy meal export figure. Visit us at GrainHedge.com to get mobile trading on your mobile phone or tablet.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Corn Closes Hard, Soybeans Rally Back, to End the Week

Dec 13, 2013

 

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Grains had a mix trade to end the week with corn trading sharply lower and soybeans rallying into the close. Today we discuss NOPA crush expectations and ethanol production on GrainTV. Visit us at GrainHedge.com to get mobile trading on your mobile phone or tablet.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Export Sales are Strong, Grains Continue to Slide

Dec 12, 2013

 

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Export sales were strong across the board but the grains sold off despite the good report. Concerns continue surrounding cargoes of corn going to China as more were rejected recently. There are rumors of the EPA ethanol mandate being eliminated. Visit us at GrainHedge.com to get mobile trading on your mobile phone or tablet.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Quiet Trade Following USDA Report Numbers... Will Positive Move Continue?

Dec 11, 2013

 

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Corn, soybeans, and wheat all bounced back one day after the December USDA report. Brock and Cody discuss today's action and if this move can continue in the grain complex. Visit us at GrainHedge.com to get mobile trading on your mobile phone or tablet.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Tighter Stocks Do Little To Support Grain Prices

Dec 10, 2013

 

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Corn, soybeans, and wheat all closed the day lower even as the USDA reported lower than expected corn and soybean ending stocks. It looked like a "buy the rumor sell the fact" kind of trade, as corn and soybeans have traded higher coming into the report. Today we discuss US and World ending stocks on GrainTV.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

USDA Reports Tighter Ending Stocks - Grains Trade Lower

Dec 10, 2013

Grains are trading lower after today’s USDA report, with corn down 7 cents, soybeans off 5 and Chicago wheat down 12 cents. Production estimates were left unchanged in today’s report as demand estimates drove ending stock changes. Compared to trade estimates, ending stocks came out lower than expected for corn, soybeans, and wheat. The negative reaction today's numbers raises questions if the corn and soybean market is losing steam after recent positive price action.

2013/14 U.S. Ending Stocks Expected Reported
Corn 1,871 1,792
Soybeans 153 150
Wheat 540 575

 

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U.S. Corn ending stocks came in lower than expected in this report as demand side revisions were larger than anticipated. Exports were raised 50 million bushels, ethanol usage was up 50 million bushels. On net, the USDA lowered projected ending stocks for 2013/14 by 95 million bushels to 1,792 million bushels.

Soybean ending stocks were reported in-line with trade expectations, reflecting much tighter stocks than projected in the November report. With ending stocks projected at 150 million bushels, stocks to use for 2013/14 are now projected at just 4.5%. Exports were raised by 25 million bushels, crushing was raised 5 million bushels, and imports were raised by 10 million bushels.

 2013/14 World Stocks

Expected

Reported

Corn

163.30

164.33

Soybeans

71.64

70.23

Wheat

179.11

178.48

 

Corn and wheat world ending stocks both came out lower than trade expectations. Soybean world ending stocks were the major focus of today’s report with many analysts projecting larger world ending stocks. The USDA left Brazilian production unchanged at 88.00 million tonnes, helping to keep a lid on projected world stocks.

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THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Soybeans Surge Into USDA Report - Report Out at 11AM Central Time Tomorrow

Dec 09, 2013

 

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Corn and soybean futures both picked up steam coming into tomorrow's USDA report. Soybeans lead to the upside up 18 cents at the close following good export inspections and a large sale to China. Today we break down market expectations for tomorrow's USDA report on GrainTV. Want mobile trading on your iPhone, iPad, Android, or Tablet for the report? Visit us at www.GrainHedge.com and have free live quotes for report day.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Grains Trade Sideways Into The Weekend, Attention Turns to Tuesday's USDA Report

Dec 06, 2013

 

Grains closed out the week in quiet fashion as traders look to Tuesday's USDA report for direction. Brock and Logan discuss expectations for U.S. and World Ending Stocks on today's GrainTV broadcast. Want mobile trading on your iPhone, iPad, Android, or Tablet? Visit us at www.GrainHedge.com and have free live quotes for report day.

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Export Sales Disappoint -- USDA Reports Loom on the Horizon

Dec 05, 2013

 

Export sales reported this week disappointed the market sending corn, soybeans, and wheat all lower. News out of Canada about there wheat crop sent the wheat markets even lower. Extreme cold could prop up the wheat market in the next few sessions as winter kill is a concern. Traders will begin to look towards Tuesday's reports for direction. Tune in to see the full breakdown.

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Ethanol Production Remains Strong -- Is It Time to Sell Corn?

Dec 04, 2013

 

The soybean market was the leader to the upside despite starting the trade session in negative territory. A daily export sale to Mexico got the buyers into the corn market helping to propel corn and soybeans higher mid-session. Ethanol production remains strong lending support to the corn market. Export sales to be reported tomorrow at 7:30 AM CT. Tune in to see the full breakdown.

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Grains End Mixed in Technical Trading

Dec 03, 2013

 

The grain markets ended mixed today as corn was the leader to the upside. Technical buying contributed to the run-up after hitting recent lows yesterday. China denying a shipment of corn that contained GMO corn is a slight cause for concern. Soybeans fell on technical selling and follow-through from yesterday. Ethanol production figures out tomorrow morning. Tune in to see the full breakdown.

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

Soybeans Head Lower -- Will the Selling Continue on Tuesday?

Dec 02, 2013

 

Soybeans was the leader to the downside now that traders and producers have a renewed interest in the markets after the holiday. Corn held onto slight gains while wheat followed soybeans lower. Export inspections were strong for wheat and corn, but soybeans missed expectations. Are export sale revisions expected in the December WASDE report? Tune in to see the full breakdown.

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE AT WWW.GRAINHEDGE.COM

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