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September 2013 Archive for Grain Hedge

RSS By: Brock Schimbeno, AgWeb.com

Grain Hedge is a self-directed discount brokerage that saves farmers money when trading in the futures and options market. For $7 commissions per side producers can execute their marketing strategy with authority, any time the markets trade.

Quarterly Stocks Miss Expectations

Sep 30, 2013

 

Quarterly grain stocks numbers were released today pressuring corn and soybean prices. Tune in to today's broadcast for a full recap of the action. Visit us at GrainHedge.com or give a call at 877-472-4607 to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

River Basis Remains Relatively Strong, Reports Out Monday

Sep 27, 2013

 

The grains ended mixed on a relatively quiet trade session ahead of the weekend and the USDA reports Monday. Traders and producers were positioning for the newest round of fundamental news that comes by way of the Quarterly Grain Stocks report. Cash basis remains relatively strong at river and export markets despite generally weakness in the cash market. Tune in to today's broadcast for a full recap of the action. Visit us at GrainHedge.com or give a call at 877-472-4607 to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Wheat Continues Its Charge Higher, Where Are We Technically?

Sep 26, 2013

 

Wheat continues to be the leader to the upside and today was not an exception. Corn followed adding a couple of cents, but soybeans were off slightly in low volume trade. Profit taking could hit wheat tomorrow ahead of the weekend and low volume trade is anticipated for both corn and soybeans. Export sales were good across the board and revisions could be in store for the October USDA report. Tune in to today's broadcast for a full recap of the action. Visit us at GrainHedge.com or give a call at 877-472-4607 to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Wheat Leads to the Upside, Corn and Soybeans Pulled Higher

Sep 25, 2013

 

Wheat has been the leader to the upside the last couple of days as a frost/freeze has hit the growing areas in Argentina. Corn and soybeans have followed of late. Traders are starting to position ahead of the Quarterly Grain Stocks Report next Monday. Ethanol production was off slightly this week. The Export Sales report is released tomorrow morning. Tune in to today's broadcast for a full recap of the action. Visit us at GrainHedge.com or give a call at 877-472-4607 to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

With Quarterly Grain Stocks on the Horizon, Harvest Pressure Begins to Build

Sep 24, 2013

 

Harvest is starting to move more quickly this week and should ramp up as weather looks favorable over the next 10-14 days. Greenness maps show a quickly maturing crop over the last couple of weeks. Estimates for Monday's Quarterly Grain Stocks report show declines year-over-year. Tune in to today's broadcast for a full recap of the action. Visit us at GrainHedge.com or give a call at 877-472-4607 to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Export Inspections Boost Wheat, Conditions Improve for Corn

Sep 23, 2013

 

Export inspections were exceptional once again for wheat. This has been a common theme over the last six weeks. The USDA's Crop Progress and Conditions report showed a slow harvest pace for both corn and soybeans, but conditions improved slightly. Weather will not get this market too excited in the coming session. Tune in to today's broadcast for a full recap of the action. Visit us at GrainHedge.com or give a call at 877-472-4607 to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Grains Sell Off to End the Week

Sep 20, 2013

 

Significant selling hit the grain markets to end the week. Soybeans are looking particularly vulnerable after breaking support today. Basis levels in the cash market are backing off as well. Weather looks to turn dryer and warmer next week allowing for harvest to progress. Tune in to today's broadcast for a full recap of the action. Visit us at GrainHedge.com or give a call at 877-472-4607 to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Mixed Trade With a Lack of Bullish Influences

Sep 19, 2013

 

A mixed trade was the result of today's action as there is a lack of fresh bullish news. Soybeans finally filled the gap that was left late last month in the $13.31 area. This area did provide support, but harvest pressure is starting to ramp. Tune in to today's broadcast for a full recap of the action. Visit us at GrainHedge.com or give a call at 877-472-4607 to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Sharply Lower Dollar, Exports Support Grains

Sep 18, 2013

 

The Fed's announcement of continued bond buying send the dollar index sharply lower. The flight from relatively safe assets into relatively more risky assets supported the commodity complex in general. China signed papers for a huge soybean purchase and more soybeans were sold to an unknown destination as well. Tomorrow the USDA releases its export sale report. Tune in to today's broadcast for a full recap of the action. Visit us at GrainHedge.com or give a call at 877-472-4607 to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Grains Grind Lower, Technical Support is in Sight

Sep 17, 2013

 

FSA numbers gave the bulls something to hold onto early in the session but the market quickly turned red. Today Brock and Logan discuss the prevented plant numbers from the FSA and some technicals to watch for the remainder of the week. Tune in to today's broadcast for a full recap of the action. Visit us at GrainHedge.com or give a call at 877-472-4607 to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Better Precip Sends Soybeans Lower -- Will Technical Support Hold?

Sep 16, 2013

 

Soybeans were the leader to the downside as better precipitation prospects for later in the week led to some selling. Corn and wheat were only slightly lower as export inspections report was supportive. Crop progress and conditions are discussed as are the NOPA crush numbers. Tune in to today's broadcast for a full recap of the action. Visit us at GrainHedge.com or give a call at 877-472-4607 to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Grain Market Turns Red Into Weekend, What's Coming Down The Pipe?

Sep 13, 2013

 

Grains traded lower into the weekend as yesterday's soybean bulls didn't push prices higher. Next week we will get NOPA crush and that should give some indications for what is coming for soybean demand. Cody and Logan discuss corn yield, soybean crush, and technicals on today's broadcast. Visit us at GrainHedge.com or give a call at 877-472-4607 to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Soybeans Near Contract High -- Will Rally Continue?

Sep 12, 2013

 

The USDA released its most current estimates for the '13/'14 crop year. Corn and wheat received slightly bearish figures but were overshadowed by bullish numbers supplied to the soybean market. Ending stocks for soybeans were slashed more than anticipated leading the November contract to near contract highs. Tune in for a full breakdown of today's USDA/WASDE reports. Visit us at GrainHedge.com or give a call at 877-472-4607 to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Corn Bearish, Beans Meet Expectations, In USDA Report

Sep 12, 2013

The spread between new crop corn and soybeans continued to widen following today's USDA numbers. At the moment we see DEC '13 corn down 14 cents and NOV '13 soybeans up 3.

As expected, yield numbers were the major talking point following the report with the USDA actually raising corn yield by almost a bushel per acre to 155.3 BPA. This compares to market expectations which had the USDA lowering yield by nearly a bushel per acre. This carried into production with now is estimated at 13.843 billion bushels, up 8 million bushels from the August report. Ending stocks for 13/14 US corn are now projected at 1.855 billion bushels, up 123 million from the August report.

Soybeans remain a different story, with the USDA report coming out inline with trade expectations. Harvested acreage was left unchanged at 76.4 million acres, yield was lowered 1.4 bushels per acre to 41.2 BPA. This resulted in a production number of 3.149 billion bushels, which was on par with trade expectations. US 13/14 soybean ending stocks were lowered by 70 million bushels now sitting at 150 million bushels. This was the only bullish number from the soybean balance sheet, with the trade looking for an ending stock number 15 million bushels higher than reported.

Latest tracks by GrainTV

Below is audio commentary from right after the report release. Join us on GrainTV this afternoon for a complete breakdown of WASDE numbers and what that means for price moving forward.

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Report Expectations for Tomorrow's USDA Report

Sep 11, 2013

 

Today on GrainTV we discuss market expectations for tomorrow's big USDA report and what this might mean for price action following the report. Visit us at GrainHedge.com or give a call at 877-472-4607 to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Ending Stock Expectations for Thursday

Sep 10, 2013

 

Today on GrainTV we discuss ending stock expectations forThursay's report and what this might mean for price action. Want live grain quotes in your home or office? Visit us at GrainHedge.com or give a call at 877-472-4607 to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Markets Drift Lower, USDA Crop Conditions Slip 2%

Sep 09, 2013

 

Export inspections met expectations for soybeans and wheat while corn inspections were reported a bit light. Grains drifted lower as some long liquidation leads up to Thursday's USDA report. Today Brock and Logan discuss USDA crop conditions and expectations for Thursday's report. Want live grain quotes in your home or office? Visit us at GrainHedge.com or give a call at 877-472-4607 to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Exports, Informa End the Short Week

Sep 06, 2013

 

Export sales were mixed this morning with soybeans and wheat beating expectations, while corn missed expectations. Informa released their most recent yield forecasts coming in higher than current USDA projections. Basis levels are examined as we head into harvest. Want direct access to the night session? Visit us at GrainHedge.com to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Grains Trade Mixed as Soybeans Charge Higher Mid-session

Sep 05, 2013

 

It was a mixed trade for the grain markets today. Soybeans made a mid-session rally as concerns of a short crop are being realized. Ethanol production tapered at the end of the marketing year. Tomorrow the export sales report is provided by the USDA, a day late due to the Labor Day holiday. Want direct access to the night session? Visit us at GrainHedge.com to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Private Estimates Point to Lower Production/Yields

Sep 04, 2013

 

The grain markets sold off today, especially in the soybean pit. Rumors of China selling out of their state reserves and a slightly wetter forecast opened the door for some selling. Several private analysts are forecasting lower production and yields. Want direct access to the night session? Visit us at GrainHedge.com to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

Lack of Precipitation, Deteriorating Conditions Rally Soybeans

Sep 03, 2013

 

Coming out of the holiday weekend, soybeans moved sharply higher. Corn and wheat were unable to sustain their respective initial rallies however. Crop conditions fell on the the good-to-excellent rating again this week. Export inspections were supportive for corn and wheat. Tune in for a full recap of today's action. Want direct access to the night session? Visit us at GrainHedge.com to take a free trial of the trading platform you see here on GrainTV!

grain hedge topper

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.
FUTURES TRADING IS NOT APPROPRIATE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
PLEASE READ OUR RISK DISCLOSURE.

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