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RSS By: Jim Wyckoff, Pro Farmer

Pro Farmer technical analyst Jim Wyckoff's daily thoughts.

Jim's Afternoon Markets Report--August 28

Aug 29, 2012

Tuesday Evening, August 28-Jim Wyckoff's Daily Markets
Update

Questions? Just email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com . I enjoy
hearing from my readers worldwide.--Jim

Click below for "Today’s Hot Market" item on my website.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/hotmarket/hotmarket.asp

Dear Valued Subscriber: Following are today's significant
developments in the U.S. futures markets.

*. LIVESTOCK: October live cattle closed up $0.27 at
$123.75 today. Prices closed near mid-range today and saw
tepid short covering. Bears still have the overall near-
term technical advantage. The bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is to push and close prices above solid
technical resistance at last week’s high of $125.55. The
next downside technical breakout objective for the bears is
pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at
$122.00. First resistance is seen at $124.00 and then at
this week’s high of $124.50. First support is seen at this
week’s low of $123.40 and then at $123.00. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 4.0

October feeder cattle closed up $0.55 at $144.47 today.
Prices closed near the session high today. Feeder cattle
bulls and bears are on a level near-term technical playing
field. The next upside price breakout objective for the
feeder bulls is to push and close prices above solid
technical resistance at the August high of $145.95. The
next downside price breakout objective for the bears is to
push and close prices below solid technical support at
$141.00. First resistance is seen at $145.00 and then at
last week’s high of $145.25. First support is seen at this
week’s low of $143.90 and then at $143.00. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 5.0

October lean hogs closed up $0.10 at $73.35 today. Prices
closed near mid-range in quiet trading. Hog bears still
have the solid near-term technical advantage. However, my
bias is that the downside is limited for hog futures at
present price levels. The next upside price breakout
objective for the hog bulls is to push and close prices
above solid chart resistance at $75.50. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is pushing prices
below solid technical support at $70.00. First resistance
is seen at today’s high of $73.45 and then at $74.00. First
support is seen at this week’s low of $72.55 and then at
the contract low of $72.30. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0

*. GRAINS: December corn futures were down 2 1/4 cents at
$7.98 1/2 in late trading today. Prices were near mid-range
and mildly pressured by profit-taking and worries about
demand destruction at higher price levels. Focus is now
less on the supply and more on what record high prices have
done to demand for corn. The corn bulls still have the
solid overall near-term technical advantage. Corn bulls'
next upside price objective is to push and close prices
above solid technical resistance at the contract high of
$8.49. The next downside price breakout objective for the
bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical
support at the last “reaction low” on the daily chart, at
$7.86. First resistance for December corn is seen at this
week’s high of $8.18 and then at $8.25. First support is
today’s low of $7.95 1/4 and then at $7.90. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 8.0

November soybeans were up 7 cents at $17.25 3/4 a bushel in
late trading today. Prices were nearer the session high.
Prices Monday hit a contract high. Soybean bulls have the
solid overall near-term technical advantage. The next near-
term upside technical breakout objective for the soybean
bulls is pushing and closing November prices above
psychological resistance at $18.00 a bushel. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing
and closing prices below solid technical support at last
week’s low of $16.41. First resistance is seen at $17.34,
at last week’s high of $17.44 3/4 and then at Monday’s
contract high of $17.60 1/2. First support is seen at
$17.00 and then at $16.91 1/2. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
8.0.

December soybean meal was up $4.20 at $522.80 in late
trading today. Prices were nearer the session high. Prices
Monday hit a contract high. Meal bulls have the overall
near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a three-month-
old uptrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bulls is to produce a close
above solid technical resistance at $535.00. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing
and closing prices below solid technical support at last
week’s low of $497.30. First resistance comes in at today’s
high of $525.10, at last week’s high of $527.90 and then at
Monday’s contract high of $531.90. First support is seen at
$520.00 and then at $515.30 and then at today’s low of
$513.30. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0

December bean oil was down 13 points at 56.43 cents in late
trading today. Prices were near mid-range and saw some
profit taking after hitting a 4.5-month high on Monday.
Bean oil bulls still have the overall near-term technical
advantage. The next upside price breakout objective for the
bean oil bulls is pushing and closing prices above solid
technical resistance at the April high of 58.45 cents. Bean
oil bears' next downside technical price breakout objective
is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support
at 54.50 cents. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
56.88 cents and then at 57.00 cents. First support is seen
at today’s low of 55.98 cents and then at 55.67 cents.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5

December Chicago SRW wheat was down 4 cents at $8.77 1/4 in
late trading today. Prices were near mid-range. More profit
taking was featured today. Wheat bulls still have the
overall near-term technical advantage. However, the
choppiness and sideways trading at higher price levels,
amid some higher volatility, is not bullish. Wheat bulls’
next upside breakout objective is to push and close Chicago
SRW prices above solid technical resistance at the July
high of $9.53 1/4 a bushel. The next downside price
breakout objective for the wheat futures bears is pushing
and closing prices below solid technical support at the
August low of $8.57 1/4. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of $8.89 1/2 and then at $9.00. First support
lies at today’s low of $8.71 1/4 and then at $8.57 1/4.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

December K.C. HRW wheat was down 3 1/2 cents at $8.95 in
late trading today. Prices were near mid-range on more
profit taking. The bulls still have the overall near-term
technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is pushing and closing prices above solid
technical resistance at the July high of $9.57 1/4. The
bears' next downside breakout objective is pushing and
closing prices below solid technical support at the August
low of $8.74 1/4. First resistance is seen at today’s high
of $9.04 and then at this week’s high of $9.14 1/2. First
support is seen at today’s low of $8.87 3/4 and then at
$8.74 1/4. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5

December oats were down 4 cents at $3.83 today in late
trading. Prices were near mid-range and saw more profit
taking. Oats bulls still have the overall near-term
technical advantage and are following the major grains.
Bears' next downside price breakout objective is pushing
and closing prices below solid technical support at $3.65.
Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is pushing and
closing prices above solid technical resistance at last
week’s high of $4.00. First support lies at this week’s low
of $3.80 and then at $3.75. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of $3.86 1/2 and then at $3.90. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 8.0

*. SOFTS: October sugar closed up 60 points at 20.16 cents
today. Prices closed near the session high today and scored
a bullish “outside day” up on the daily bar chart. Short
covering in a bear market was featured today. Also, the key
“outside markets” were in a bullish posture for sugar
today, as the U.S. dollar index was lower and crude oil
prices were higher. Sugar bears still have the overall
near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is to push and close prices above solid
technical resistance at last week’s high of 20.70 cents.
Bears' next downside price breakout objective is to push
and close prices below solid technical support at the June
low of 19.24 cents. First resistance is seen at 20.27 cents
and then at 20.50 cents. First support is seen at 20.00
cents and then at 19.75 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
2.5.

December coffee closed up 55 points at 167.90 cents. Prices
closed nearer the session high today and saw more short
covering and some buying interest on ideas the hurricane in
the Gulf of Mexico could damage coffee bags in storage in
New Orleans. Also, the key “outside markets” were in a
bullish posture for coffee today, as the U.S. dollar index
was lower and crude oil prices were higher. Coffee bears
still have the overall near-term technical advantage. The
coffee bulls' next upside breakout objective is to close
prices above solid technical resistance at 172.50 cents.
The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
closing prices below solid technical support at the August
low of 160.25 cents a pound. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of 168.50 cents and then at 170.00 cents.
First support is seen at today’s low of 165.55 cents and
then at this week’s low of 164.50 cents. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 3.0

December cocoa closed up $111 at $2,584 a ton. Prices
closed near the session high today and hit a fresh 9.5-
month high. The key “outside markets” were in a bullish
posture for cocoa today, as the U.S. dollar index was lower
and crude oil prices were higher. Cocoa bulls have the
solid overall near-term technical advantage and gained more
upside technical momentum today. The next upside price
breakout objective for the cocoa bulls is to push and close
prices above solid technical resistance at $2,700. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing
and closing prices below solid technical support at this
week’s low of $2,400. First resistance is seen at today’s
high of $2,590 and then at $2,600. First support is seen at
$2,550 and then at $2,500. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5

December cotton closed down 29 points at 75.85 cents today.
Prices closed near mid-range in quieter trading. Cotton
bulls still have the near-term technical advantage. Prices
are in a three-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart.
The next upside price breakout objective for the bulls is
to produce a close above solid technical resistance at
80.00 cents. The next downside price breakout objective for
the cotton bears is to push and close prices below solid
technical support at last week’s low of 73.30 cents. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of 76.44 cents and then
at the August high of 77.49 cents and then at 78.00 cents.
First support is seen at 74.72 cents and then at 74.00
cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

November orange juice closed up 60 points at $1.1440 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today on short
covering. Bulls and bears are on a level near-term
technical playing field amid choppy and volatile trading.
Traders will continue to watch for any fresh storms brewing
in the Atlantic. The next upside price breakout objective
for the FCOJ bulls is pushing and closing prices above
technical resistance at last week’s high of $1.2275. The
next downside technical breakout objective for the FCOJ
bears is to produce a close below solid technical support
at the August low of $1.0350. First resistance is seen at
this week’s high of $1.1635 and then at $1.1900. First
support is seen at today’s low of $1.1260 and then at this
week’s low of $1.1015. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.

November lumber futures closed down $8.90 at $282.90 today.
Prices hit a fresh three-week low today as bulls are
fading. Bears now have the near-term technical advantage.
The next downside technical breakout objective for the
lumber bears is pushing and closing prices below solid
technical support at $276.00. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bulls is pushing and closing
prices above solid technical resistance at this week’s high
of $296.60. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
$286.00 and then at $288.00. First support is seen at
today’s low of $282.00 and then at $280.00. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 4.0

*. METALS: December gold futures closed down $5.90 an ounce
at $1,669.70 today. Profit taking and chart consolidation
were featured. Prices closed nearer the session high today
as bullish “outside markets” did limit selling pressure.
The U.S. dollar index was weaker and crude oil prices were
firmer. Gold bulls still have some upside near-term
technical momentum. Gold prices are in a choppy, two-month-
old uptrend on the daily bar chart. The gold market bulls
have the overall near-term technical advantage. The gold
bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is to produce a
close above psychological resistance at $1,700.00. Bears'
next near-term downside price objective is closing prices
below solid technical support at $1,633.30. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of $1,674.90 and then at
this week’s high of $1,679.30. First support is seen at
today’s low of $1,659.10 and then at $1,650.00. Wyckoff’s
Market Rating: 6.5

December silver futures closed down $0.197 an ounce at
$30.94 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today
and saw some profit-taking pressure from recent gains.
Silver bulls still have the solid overall near-term
technical advantage and still have some upside momentum.
Bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is closing
prices above solid technical resistance at $31.50 an ounce.
The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
closing prices below major psychological support at $30.00.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of $31.06 and then
at this week’s high of $31.315. Next support is seen at
today’s low of $30.575 and then at $30.285. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 7.0.

December N.Y. copper closed down 150 points at 346.75 cents
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. Copper
bulls and bears are on a level near-term technical playing
field. Copper bulls' next upside breakout objective is
pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance
at the July high of 355.65 cents. The next downside price
breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below
solid technical support at the August low of 328.85 cents.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of 347.75 cents
and then at last week’s high of 351.70 cents. First support
is seen at today’s low of 344.85 cents and then at 342.50
cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.

*. ENERGIES: October crude oil closed up $0.68 a barrel at
$96.15 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today
and saw some short covering and fresh buying interest.
Gains were limited by ideas the U.S. could tap its SPR due
to the hurricane presently bearing down on the Gulf coast.
Crude oil bulls still have the overall near-term technical
advantage. A two-month-old price uptrend is in place on the
daily bar chart. The next near-term upside price breakout
objective for the crude oil bulls is producing a close
above major psychological resistance at $100.00 a barrel.
The next near-term downside price breakout objective for
the crude oil bears is to produce a close below solid
technical support at $92.00. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of $96.54 and then at $97.00. First support is
seen at today’s low of $95.14 and then at this week’s low
of $94.41. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

October heating oil closed up 55 points at $3.1250 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today. Prices Monday hit a
four-month high. Bulls have the solid overall near-term
technical advantage. Prices are in a two-month-old uptrend
on the daily bar chart. The bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is closing prices above solid technical
resistance at $3.2500. Bears' next downside price breakout
objective is producing a close below solid technical
support at $3.0000. First resistance lies at $3.1500 and
then at last week’s high of $3.1685. First support is seen
at $3.1000 and then at $3.0750. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
7.5.

October (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed down 300 points at
$2.9200 today. Prices closed nearer the session low and saw
profit taking. Prices Monday hit a five-month high. Bulls
still have the solid overall near-term technical advantage.
Prices are in a two-month-old uptrend on the daily bar
chart. The next upside price breakout objective for the
bulls is closing prices above solid technical resistance at
the March high of $3.0402. Bears' next downside price
breakout objective is closing prices below solid support at
$2.8000. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
$2.9679 and then at this week’s high of $3.0098. First
support is seen at today’s low of $2.9023 and then at
$2.8750. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

October natural gas closed down 4.1 cents at $2.632 today.
Prices closed nearer the session low again today and hit
another fresh nine-week low today. Bears have the overall
near-term technical advantage as a four-week-old downtrend
line is in place on the daily bar chart. The next upside
price breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices
above solid technical resistance at $3.00. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at $2.50. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of $2.693 and then at
this week’s high of $2.792. First support is seen at
today’s low of $2.624 and then at $2.60. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 4.0.

*.STOCKS, FINANCIALS, CURRENCIES: The December Euro
currency closed up 60 points at 1.2579 today. Prices closed
near the session low today and scored a bullish “outside
day” up on the daily bar chart. The Euro bulls have the
overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a
five-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Euro bulls'
next upside price breakout objective is pushing and closing
prices above solid technical resistance at 1.2700. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid chart support at 1.2270. First
resistance for the Euro lies at today’s high of 1.2590 and
then at last week’s high of 1.2607. Next support is seen at
1.2550 and then at 1.2500. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

The December Japanese yen closed up 39 points at 1.2748
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. A bull
flag pattern has formed on the daily bar chart. Bulls have
the overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next
upside price breakout objective is closing prices above
solid resistance at the July high of 1.2851. Bears' next
downside breakout objective is closing prices below solid
technical support at the August low of 1.2565. First
resistance is seen at last week’s high of 1.2788 and then
at 1.2810. First support is seen at today’s low of 1.2714
and then at this week’s low of 1.2698. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 6.5.

The December Swiss franc closed up 50 points at 1.0486
today. Prices closed near the session high and scored a
bullish “outside day” up on the daily bar chart. The Swissy
bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage.
Prices are in a five-week-old uptrend on the daily bar
chart. The next upside price breakout objective for the
bulls is closing prices above solid resistance at 1.0600.
The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
closing prices below solid technical support at 1.0250.
First resistance is seen at last week’s high of 1.0499 and
then at 1.0525. First support is seen at 1.0450 and then at
today’s low of 1.0402. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

The December Australian dollar closed down 3 points at
1.0271 today. Prices closed nearer the session high and did
hit another fresh five-week low. Bulls still have the
overall near-term technical advantage but are fading a bit
and need to show fresh power soon. Bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is closing prices above solid chart
resistance at last week’s high of 1.0430. The next downside
breakout objective for the bears is to produce a close
below solid technical support at 1.0100. First resistance
is seen at this week’s high of 1.0301 and then at 1.0350.
Next support is seen at today’s low of 1.0232 and then at
1.0200. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

The December Canadian dollar closed up 25 points at 1.0095
today. Prices closed near mid-range today and hit a fresh
four-month high. Bulls have the solid near-term technical
advantage. Prices are in a three-month-old uptrend on the
daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is producing a close above chart resistance at
the April high of 1.0136. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is closing prices below solid
technical support at the August low of .9890. First
resistance is seen at 1.0136 and then at 1.0150. First
support is seen at today’s low of 1.0058 and then at last
week’s low of 1.0026. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

The December British pound closed up 23 points at 1.5817
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and
scored a bullish “outside day” up on the daily bar chart.
Bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage.
Prices are in a six-week-old uptrend on the daily chart.
The next upside price breakout objective for the bulls is
closing prices above solid technical resistance at 1.6000.
Bears' next downside technical breakout objective is
closing prices below solid support at last week’s low of
1.5684. First resistance is seen at today’s high of 1.5831
and then at 1.5864. First support is seen at today’s low of
1.5747 and then at 1.5700. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

The December U.S. dollar index closed down 29 points at
81.69 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today and
scored a bearish “outside day” down on the daily bar chart.
The bears have the slight near-term technical advantage.
Prices are in a five-week-old downtrend on the daily bar
chart. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is to
close prices above solid technical resistance at 83.25. The
next downside price breakout objective for the bears is to
produce a close below solid technical support at 81.00.
Next resistance lies at 82.00 and then at today’s high of
82.13. First support is seen at last week’s low of 81.52
and then at 81.25. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.5.

December U.S. T-Bonds closed up 10/32 at 150 2/32 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today and hit a fresh three-
week high. More short covering and safe-haven buying
interest were seen today. Bulls have the overall near-term
technical advantage. The next downside price breakout
objective for the T-Bond bears is closing prices below
solid technical support at last week’s low of 145 23/32.
The next upside technical objective for the bulls is to
produce a close above solid technical resistance at 152
even. First resistance is seen at today’s high of 150 15/32
and then at 151 even. First support is seen at today’s low
of 149 18/32 and then at 149 even. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
6.5.

December U.S. T Notes closed up 4.0 (32nds) at 132.27.0
today. Prices closed near mid-range today and hit a fresh
three-week high. More short covering and fresh safe-haven
buying were featured. Bulls have the overall near-term
technical advantage. The next upside price breakout
objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid
resistance at 133.16.0. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is producing a close below solid
technical support at last week’s low of 132.02.5. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of 133.00.0 and then at
133.08.0. First support is seen at today’s low of 132.20.0
and then at this week’s low of 132.11.5. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 6.5

GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT: The U.S. stock indexes closed
mixed again today. Stock index bulls still have the overall
near-term technical advantage. The market place is quieter
early this week. The stock indexes were pressured a bit
from a weaker-than-expected U.S. consumer confidence index
reading was released Tuesday morning. The report did
bolster ideas the U.S. Fed will make a fresh monetary
stimulus move in the near term. Indeed, the market place
remains focused on the Fed’s annual symposium at Jackson
Hole, Wyoming later this week. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke
speaks at the event on Friday. Reports Tuesday said
European Central Bank president Mario Draghi will not
attend the Jackson Hole Fed meeting because he is too busy.
Some had reckoned Draghi’s remarks at Jackson Hole would be
as important as Bernanke’s. Draghi’s cancellation also
raised the specter that he could make a big announcement at
next week’s monthly European Central Bank meeting
(September 6). In other overnight news, Asian stocks were
mixed, with no major, fresh fundamental news to drive
prices. European stocks were slightly lower on news that
Spain’s economic growth was negative in the second quarter.

The Nasdaq stock futures index closed down 2.00 at
2,780.75. Prices closed near mid-range again today. Bulls'
next upside price breakout objective is closing prices
above solid resistance at 2,850.00. The bears' next
downside price breakout objective is closing prices below
solid technical support at 2,650.00. First resistance is
seen at this week’s high of 2,795.75 and then at last
week’s high of 2,802.50. First support is seen today’s low
of 2,771.00 and then at 2,750.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
6.5

The S&P 500 futures index closed down 0.50 at 1,407.80.
Prices closed near mid-range today. Bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is closing prices above solid
resistance at 1,450.00. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is closing prices below solid
support at the August low of 1,350.00. First resistance is
seen at this week’s high of 1,415.90 and then at last
week’s high of 1,424.60. First support is seen at 1,400.00
and then at last week’s low of 1,395.40. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 6.5.

The Dow futures closed down 21 points at 13,086 today.
Prices closed nearer the session low today. The next upside
price objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid
technical resistance at 13,500. The next downside price
objective for the bears is closing prices below solid
technical support at the August low of 12,730. First
resistance in the Dow lies at this week’s high of 13,155
and then at 13,200. First support is seen at last week’s
low of 13,015 and then at 13,000. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
6.5.

Click below for my welcome letter to all new customers and
for an explanation of my Market Rating System.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/newsletter/WelcomeAboard/

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage
any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It
is my goal to point out to you potential trading
opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when
and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine
the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I
discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for
everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS.
Before you invest any money in futures or options
contracts, you should consider your financial experience,
goals and financial resources, and know how much you can
afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a
broker. You should understand commodity futures and options
contracts and your obligations in entering into those
contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and
other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk
disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.

Jim Wyckoff
 

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