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RSS By: Jim Wyckoff, Pro Farmer

Pro Farmer technical analyst Jim Wyckoff's daily thoughts.

Jim's Afternoon Markets Report--Jan. 15

Jan 16, 2013

Tuesday Evening, January 15-Jim Wyckoff's Daily Markets
Update

Questions? Just email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com . I enjoy
hearing from my readers worldwide.--Jim

Click below for "Today’s Hot Market" item on my website.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/hotmarket/hotmarket.asp

Dear Valued Subscriber: Following are today's significant
developments in the U.S. futures markets.

*. LIVESTOCK: April live cattle closed down $0.32 at
$134.42 today. Prices closed near mid-range today. Prices
closed at a fresh four-week low close today. The cattle
bulls have faded badly recently and are on a level near-
term technical playing field with the bears. The bulls'
next upside price breakout objective is to push and close
prices above solid technical resistance at $136.50. The
next downside technical breakout objective for the bears is
pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at
$133.50. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
$134.85 and then at this week’s high of $135.17. First
support is seen at this week’s low of $134.12 and then at
$134.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0

March feeder cattle closed down $1.05 at $150.37 today.
Prices closed near the session low today and hit another
fresh five-week low. The feeder bears have the near-term
technical advantage. The next upside price breakout
objective for the feeder bulls is to push and close prices
above solid technical resistance $153.00. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is to push and close
prices below solid technical support at $148.00. First
resistance is seen at $151.00 and then at today’s high of
$151.37. First support is seen at $150.00 and then at
149.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0

April lean hogs closed down $0.25 at $87.60 today. Prices
closed nearer the session low today. The hog bears have the
overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a
choppy two-month-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. The
next upside price breakout objective for the hog bulls is
to push and close prices above solid chart resistance at
$89.50. The next downside price breakout objective for the
bears is pushing prices below solid technical support at
$85.50. First resistance is seen at $88.00 and then at
$88.50. First support is seen at $87.50 and then at last
week’s low of $86.90. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0

*. GRAINS: March corn futures last traded up 5 cents at
$7.29 today in late trading. Prices were near mid-range and
hit another fresh four-week high today. Bulls have gained
good upside near-term technical momentum recently. There
are early technical clues that a near-term market low is in
place. However, the bulls have more work to do in the near-
term to suggest a price uptrend can be sustained. Corn
bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close
prices above solid technical resistance at $7.50. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing
and closing prices below psychological support at $7.00.
First resistance for March corn is seen at today’s high of
$7.34 1/2 and then at $7.40. First support is seen at $7.25
and then at today’s low of $7.22. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
5.0

March soybeans were down 4 1/2 cents at $14.13 1/2 a bushel
in late trading today. Prices saw some profit taking after
big gains Monday. Prices today hit a fresh three-week high
early on. Bulls have gained some fresh upside technical
momentum to begin to suggest a market low is in place. But
bulls have more heavy lifting to do in the near term to
better suggest such and to also suggest prices can begin a
fresh uptrend. Soybean bears still have the overall near-
term technical advantage. The next near-term upside
technical breakout objective for the soybean bulls is
pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance
at $14.50 a bushel. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at last week’s low of $13.51 1/2.
First resistance is seen at $14.25 and then at today’s high
of $14.36 1/4. First support is seen at today’s low of
$14.08 and then at $14.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

March soybean meal was down $5.60 at $411.90 today in late
trading. Prices were near the session low and did hit a
fresh two-week high early on today. Meal bears have the
overall near-term technical advantage. The next upside
price breakout objective for the bulls is to produce a
close above solid technical resistance at $425.00. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing
and closing prices below solid technical support at the
last week’s low of $392.40. First resistance comes in at 
$415.00 and then at $417.50. First support is seen at
$410.00 and then at $407.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5

March bean oil was up 30 points at 50.75 cents in late
trading today. Prices were near mid-range on more short
covering and bargain hunting. Bean oil bears still have the
overall near-term technical advantage. The next upside
price breakout objective for the bean oil bulls is pushing
and closing prices above solid technical resistance at the
December high of 51.85 cents. Bean oil bears' next downside
technical price breakout objective is pushing and closing
prices below solid technical support at last week’s low of
49.12 cents. First resistance is seen at 51.00 cents and
then at today’s high of 51.25 cents. First support is seen
at today’s low of 50.37 cents and then at 50.00 cents.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0

March Chicago SRW wheat was up 16 1/4 cents at $7.83 1/4 in
late trading today. Prices were nearer the session high and
hit a fresh three-week high today. More short covering and
bargain hunting were featured. There are early technical
clues to suggest a near-term market low is in place. Wheat
bears still have the slight overall near-term technical
advantage. However, a two-month-old downtrend on the daily
bar chart was at least temporarily negated today. Wheat
bulls’ next upside breakout objective is to push and close
Chicago SRW prices above solid technical resistance at
$8.00 a bushel. The next downside price breakout objective
for the wheat futures bears is pushing and closing prices
below solid technical support at last week’s low of $7.36
1/4. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $7.89 3/4
and then at $8.00. First support lies at $7.75 and then at
today’s low of $7.66 1/2. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.5.

March K.C. HRW wheat was up 14 1/4 cents at $8.37 3/4 in
late trading today. Prices were nearer the session high and
hit a fresh three-week high today. There are early
technical clues to suggest a near-term market low is in
place. HRW bears still have the slight overall near-term
technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price breakout
objective is pushing and closing prices above solid
technical resistance at $8.75. The bears' next downside
breakout objective is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at last week’s low of $7.85 1/4.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of $8.44 3/4 and
then at $8.50. First support is seen at $8.30 and then at
today’s low of $8.23. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.5

March oats were up 3 1/4 cents at $3.57 1/4 in late trading
today. Prices were nearer the session high and hit a fresh
three-week high on more short covering. Oats bears still
have the slight overall near-term technical advantage but
the bulls have gained good upside momentum to suggest a
near-term market low is in place. Bears' next downside
price breakout objective is pushing and closing prices
below solid technical support at last week’s low of $3.28
1/2. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is pushing
and closing prices above solid technical resistance at
$3.68. First support lies at today’s low of $3.51 1/2 and
then at this week’s low of $3.48 1/2. First resistance is
seen today’s high of $3.60 3/4 and then at $3.65. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 4.5

*. SOFTS: March sugar closed down 20 points at 18.70 cents
today. Prices closed near mid-range today. The key “outside
markets” were in a bearish posture for sugar today as the
U.S. dollar index was higher and crude oil prices were
weaker. Sugar bears have the solid overall near-term
technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is to push and close prices above solid technical
resistance at the January high of 19.75 cents. Bears' next
downside price breakout objective is to push and close
prices below solid technical support at the December low of
18.31 cents. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
18.90 cents and then at 19.00 cents. First support is seen
at today’s low of 18.58 cents and then at the January low
of 18.52 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0.

March coffee closed down 190 points at 151.40 cents today.
Prices closed near the session low today after hitting
another fresh six-week high early on. Prices today did
score a bearish “outside day” down on the daily bar chart.
The key “outside markets” were in a bearish posture for
coffee today as the U.S. dollar index was higher and crude
oil prices were weaker. The coffee bears have the overall
near-term technical advantage. However, a bullish
“rounding-bottom” reversal pattern may be forming on the
daily bar chart. The next upside breakout objective for the
bulls is to close prices above solid technical resistance
at 157.50 cents. The next downside price breakout objective
for the bears is closing prices below solid technical
support at the contract low of 141.24 cents a pound. First
resistance is seen at last week’s high of 153.50 cents and
then at today’s high of 156.50 cents. First support is seen
at 151.00 cents and then at 150.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 3.0.

March cocoa closed down $8 at $2,259 a ton. Prices closed
near mid-range today. The key “outside markets” were in a
bearish posture for cocoa today as the U.S. dollar index
was higher and crude oil prices were weaker. The cocoa
bears have the near-term technical advantage. The next
upside price breakout objective for the cocoa bulls is to
push and close prices above solid technical resistance at
$2,325. The next downside price breakout objective for the
bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical
support at $2,115. First resistance is seen at today’s high
of $2,285 and then at this week’s high of $2,296. First
support is seen at this week’s low of $2,230 and then at
the January low of $2,206 and then at $2,200. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 3.0

March cotton closed up 67 points at 76.19 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. The cotton
bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage and
are proving resilient. The next upside price breakout
objective for the bulls is to produce a close above solid
technical resistance at the December high of 77.10 cents.
The next downside price breakout objective for the cotton
bears is to push and close prices below solid technical
support at the January low of 73.72 cents. First resistance
is seen at last week’s high of 76.44 cents and then at
77.00 cents. First support is seen at today’s low of 75.55
cents and then at 75.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
6.0.

March orange juice closed down 150 points at $1.1000 today.
Prices closed near the session low today. FCOJ bears have
the solid near-term technical advantage. The next upside
price breakout objective for the FCOJ bulls is pushing and
closing prices above technical resistance at $1.1800. The
next downside technical breakout objective for the FCOJ
bears is to produce a close below solid technical support
at the October low of $1.0675. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of 1.1250 and then at $1.1400. First support
is seen at the January low of $1.0910 and then at $1.0800.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0.

March lumber futures closed down the $10.00 limit at
$376.90 today. Profit taking was featured and no chart
damage occurred. The lumber bulls still have the overall
near-term technical advantage. The next downside technical
breakout objective for the lumber bears is pushing and
closing prices below solid technical support at the January
low of $371.00. The next upside price breakout objective
for the bulls is pushing and closing prices above solid
technical resistance at the contract high of $397.00. First
resistance is seen at $380.00 and then at $385.00. First
support is seen at $375.00 and then at $372.50. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 7.0

*. METALS: February gold futures closed up $13.10 an ounce
at $1,682.50 today. Prices closed nearer the session high
today and hit a fresh two-week high. More short covering
and bargain hunting were featured. The gold bears still
have the slight overall near-term technical advantage. A
three-month-old downtrend is still in place on the daily
bar chart—but now just barely. The bulls are gaining some
upside near-term technical momentum to suggest a near-term
market low is in place. The gold bulls’ next upside price
breakout objective is to produce a close above solid
technical resistance at the January high of $1,695.40.
Bears' next near-term downside breakout price objective is
closing prices below solid technical support at $1,650.00.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of $1,684.90 and
then at $1,695.40. First support is seen at today’s low of
$1,666.20 and then at this week’s low of $1,659.50.
Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 4.5

March silver futures closed up $0.265 an ounce at $31.375
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and hit
a fresh four-week high. More short covering and bargain
hunting were seen today. The silver bulls and bears are on
a level near-term technical playing field. The silver bulls
have gained upside technical momentum to suggest that a
near-term market low is in place. Bulls’ next upside price
breakout objective is closing prices above solid technical
resistance at $32.50 an ounce. The next downside price
breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below
major psychological support at $30.00. First resistance is
seen at today’s high of $31.615 and then at $32.00. Next
support is seen at today’s low of $30.965 and then at
$30.79. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.

March N.Y. copper closed down 15 points at 363.25 cents
today. Prices closed near mid-range today and hit a two-
week low on mild profit taking. Copper bulls still have the
slight overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are
still in a two-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart.
Copper bulls' next upside breakout objective is pushing and
closing prices above solid technical resistance at the
January high of 375.90 cents. The next downside price
breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below
solid technical support at 357.50 cents. First resistance
is seen at 365.00 cents and then at 367.50 cents. First
support is seen at today’s low of 360.60 cents and then at
357.50 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

*. ENERGIES: February crude oil closed down $0.72 a barrel
at $93.41 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today
and saw some profit taking from recent gains. A firmer U.S.
dollar index was also a bit bearish for crude today. The
crude bulls still have the overall near-term technical
advantage. Prices are in a four-week-old uptrend on the
daily bar chart. The next near-term upside price breakout
objective for the crude oil bulls is producing a close
above solid technical resistance at $95.00 a barrel. The
next near-term downside price breakout objective for the
crude oil bears is to produce a close below solid technical
support at $90.00. First resistance is seen at $94.00 and
then at last week’s high of $94.70 and then at $95.00.
First support is seen at $93.00 and then at last week’s low
of $92.42. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

February heating oil closed down 414 points at $3.0211
today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. Bulls
still have the slight near-term technical advantage. A
choppy four-week-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar
chart. The bulls' next upside price breakout objective is
closing prices above solid technical resistance at the
January high of $3.1137. Bears' next downside price
breakout objective is producing a close below solid
technical support at the January low of $2.9809. First
resistance lies at $3.0500 and then at today’s high of
$3.0774. First support is seen at $3.0000 and then at the
January low of $2.9809. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

February (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed down 423 points at
$2.7118 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today
and hit a fresh three-week low. Bulls still have the
overall near-term technical advantage. The next upside
price breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices
above solid technical resistance at last week’s high of
$2.8182. Bears' next downside price breakout objective is
closing prices below solid support at $2.6500. First
resistance is seen at $2.7400 and then at $2.7600. First
support is seen at today’s low of 2.7044 and then at
$2.6800. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

February natural gas closed up 6.7 cents at $3.44 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today, hit another
fresh two-week high and scored a bullish “outside day” up
on the daily bar chart. Nat gas bears still have the
overall near-term technical advantage but the bulls are
gaining some momentum. The next upside price breakout
objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid
technical resistance at $3.532. The next downside price
breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below
solid technical support at $3.20. First resistance is seen
at today’s high of $3.464 and then at $3.487. First support
is seen at today’s low of $3.328 and then at $3.30.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

*.STOCKS, FINANCIALS, CURRENCIES: The March Euro currency
closed down 70 points at 1.3315 today. Prices closed nearer
the session low today and saw profit taking after prices
Monday hit an 11-month high. Bulls still have the solid
overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a two-
month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Euro bulls' next
upside price breakout objective is pushing and closing
prices above solid technical resistance at 1.3500. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid chart support at 1.3200. First
resistance for the Euro lies at 1.3400 and then at this
week’s high of 1.3413. Next support is seen at today’s low
of 1.3270 and then at 1.3250. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5

The March Japanese yen closed up 66 points at 1.1259 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today and saw short covering
in a bear market. Bears still have the solid overall near-
term technical advantage. Prices are in a steep three-
month-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. There are still
no early clues of a market bottom being close at hand.
Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is closing
prices above solid resistance at last week’s high of
1.1522. Bears' next downside breakout objective is closing
prices below solid technical support at 1.1000. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of 1.1332 and then at
1.1400. First support is seen at Monday’s contract low of
1.1160 and then at 1.1100. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.5.

The March Swiss franc closed down 117 points at 1.0739
today. Prices closed nearer the session low and hit a fresh
four-week low today. The Swissy bulls have faded badly
recently as a two-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart
was negated today. The next upside price breakout objective
for the bulls is closing prices above solid resistance at
1.0900. The next downside price breakout objective for the
bears is closing prices below solid technical support at
the December low of 1.0678. First resistance is seen at
1.0800 and then at today’s high of 1.0864. First support is
seen at today’s low of 1.0721 and then at 1.0678. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 5.5.

The March Australian dollar closed down 5 points at 1.0511
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. Bulls
have the solid overall near-term technical advantage.
Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is closing
prices above solid chart resistance at 1.0750. The next
downside breakout objective for the bears is to produce a
close below solid technical support at the January low of
1.0340. First resistance is seen at the contract high of
1.0545 and then at 1.0600. Next support is seen at this
week’s low of 1.0471 and then at 1.0443. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 8.0

The March Canadian dollar closed down 7 points at 1.0144
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. Bulls
have the overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next
upside price breakout objective is producing a close above
chart resistance at the December high of 1.0158. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at the January low of
1.0062. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of
1.0158 and then at the January high of 1.0175. First
support is seen at today’s low of 1.0121 and then at
1.0100. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

The March British pound closed down 21 points at 1.6062
today. Prices closed near mid-range again today. Bulls have
the overall near-term technical advantage. However, a bear
flag has formed on the daily bar chart. The next upside
price breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices
above solid technical resistance at the contract high of
1.6314. Bears' next downside technical breakout objective
is closing prices below solid support at the January low of
1.5945. First resistance is seen at 1.6100 and then at last
week’s high of 1.6166. First support is seen at this week’s
low of 1.6026 and then at last week’s low of 1.5988.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

The March U.S. dollar index closed up 24 points at 79.78
today. Prices closed nearer the session high and saw short
covering in a bear market. The bears still have the overall
near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is to close prices above solid technical
resistance at 80.50. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is to produce a close below solid
technical support at the December low of 79.01. Next
resistance lies at today’s high of 79.94 and then at 80.00.
First support is seen at 79.50 and then at this week’s low
of 79.40. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5.

March U.S. T-Bonds closed up 13/32 at 145 28/32 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today and saw more short
covering in a bear market. T-Bond bears still have the
overall near-term technical advantage. The next downside
price breakout objective for the T-Bond bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at the January low of
143 17/32. The next upside technical objective for the
bulls is to produce a close above solid technical
resistance at 146 23/32. First resistance is seen at 146
even and then at today’s high of 146 14/32. First support
is seen at today’s low of 145 17/32 and then at this week’s
low of 145 5/32. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

March U.S. T Notes closed up 6.0 (32nds) at 132.07.0 today.
Prices closed near mid-range, hit a fresh two-week high and
saw more short covering. Bears still have the overall near-
term technical advantage. The next upside price breakout
objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid
resistance at 133.02.5. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is producing a close below solid
technical support at the September low of 130.10.5. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of 132.13.0 and then at
132.16.0. First support is seen at today’s low of 132.01.0
and then at this week’s low of 131.27.5. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 4.0

GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT: The U.S. stock indexes closed
mixed today on some profit taking. Bulls still have the
overall near-term technical advantage. Fed Chairman
Bernanke late Monday said the U.S. economic recovery is
still fragile and strongly hinted that the Fed’s monthly
bond-buying program will not end any time soon. That was a
somewhat bullish development for the stock indexes. The
most recent FOMC minutes had shown some Fed officials were
in favor of ending the bond-buying program at year end.
Fresh U.S. economic data issued Tuesday was supportive for
the stock indexes as positive U.S. retail sales numbers
were released. European and U.S. stock markets were
pressured a bit Tuesday on a warning from the U.S. Treasury
Secretary Geithner that the U.S. cannot skirt its debt
ceiling, while the Fitch credit rating agency said it could
downgrade the U.S.’s credit rating if the U.S. delays
raising its debt ceiling. If this situation deteriorates in
the coming weeks, it could at times be bearish and bullish
for the gold market—bearish if gold decides to act like
just another raw commodity on a given day, and bullish if
gold decides to act like a safe-haven asset. European Union
economic data released Tuesday was a mixed bag. Germany’s
GDP contracted by 0.5% in the fourth quarter of last year.
However, Euro zone exports showed a record large trade
surplus in November. There were also strong government bond
sales in Italy and Spain, which is a clue that European
investor sentiment toward the EU continues on the upswing.
The Euro currency has been pushed to a multi-month high
this week on the upbeat sentiment regarding the EU. The
market place is awaiting Friday’s report from China on its
fourth-quarter gross domestic product growth rate.

The Nasdaq stock futures index closed down 12.25 at
2,716.50 today. Prices closed near mid-range on profit
taking. Bulls still have the near-term technical advantage.
Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is closing
prices above solid resistance at 2,800.00. The bears' next
downside price breakout objective is closing prices below
solid technical support at the December low of 2,580.00.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of 2,732.25 and
then at this week’s high of 2,750.25. First support is seen
at today’s low of 2,705.25 and then at last week’s low of
2,698.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

The S&P 500 futures index closed up 1.50 at 1,465.80.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. Bulls still
have the solid near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next
upside price breakout objective is closing prices above
solid resistance at 1,500.00. The next downside price
breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below
solid support at the January low of 1,439.30. First
resistance is seen at this week’s high of 1,471.30 and then
at 1,485.00. First support is seen at today’s low of
1,457.00 and then at last week’s low of 1,446.20. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 7.0.

The Dow futures closed up 37 points at 13,470. Prices
closed nearer the session high today and hit another fresh
three-month high. Bulls have the solid near-term technical
advantage. The next upside price objective for the bulls is
closing prices above solid technical resistance at the
October high of 13,597. The next downside price objective
for the bears is closing prices below solid technical
support at 13,000. First resistance in the Dow lies at
today’s high of 13,476 and then at 13,500. First support is
seen at today’s low 13,400 and then at 13,370. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 7.0.

Click below for my welcome letter to all new customers and
for an explanation of my Market Rating System.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/newsletter/WelcomeAboard/

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage
any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It
is my goal to point out to you potential trading
opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when
and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine
the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I
discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for
everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS.
Before you invest any money in futures or options
contracts, you should consider your financial experience,
goals and financial resources, and know how much you can
afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a
broker. You should understand commodity futures and options
contracts and your obligations in entering into those
contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and
other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk
disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.

Jim Wyckoff
 

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