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RSS By: Jim Wyckoff, Pro Farmer

Pro Farmer technical analyst Jim Wyckoff's daily thoughts.

Jim's Afternoon Markets Report--January 30

Jan 31, 2012

Monday Evening, January 30-Jim Wyckoff's Daily Markets
Update

Questions? Just email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com . I enjoy
hearing from my readers worldwide.--Jim

Click below for "Today’s Hot Market" item on my website.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/hotmarket/hotmarket.asp

Dear Valued Subscriber: Following are today's significant
developments in the U.S. futures markets.

*. LIVESTOCK: April live cattle closed down $0.70 at
$127.75 today. Prices closed near mid-range today on more
profit-taking pressure. The key “outside markets” were in a
bearish posture for the cattle market today, as the U.S.
dollar index was higher and the crude oil futures market
was lower. The cash market fundamentals in cattle have
deteriorated a bit, which has pressured futures. Cattle
futures bulls still have the overall near-term technical
advantage. Prices are still in a seven-week-old uptrend on
the daily bar chart, but now just barely. The bulls' next
upside price breakout objective is to push and close prices
above solid technical resistance at the contract high of
$129.70. The next downside technical breakout objective for
the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid
technical support at $126.50. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of $128.15 and then at $128.52. First support
is seen at today’s low of $127.22 and then at $127.00.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5

March feeder cattle closed down $0.27 at $154.32 today.
Prices closed near mid-range in quieter trading today and
saw more profit taking after prices hit a contract high
last week. Feeder bulls still have the solid near-term
technical advantage and there are still no early technical
clues that a market top is close at hand. The next upside
price objective for the feeder bulls is to push and close
prices above technical resistance at $157.50. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is to push
and close prices below solid technical support at $152.50.
First resistance is seen at $154.70 and then at the
contract high of $155.40. First support is seen at today’s
low of $153.90 and then at $153.60. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 8.0

April lean hogs closed down $0.17 at $87.20 today. Prices
closed nearer mid-range today. The key “outside markets”
were in a bearish posture for the hog market today, as the
U.S. dollar index was higher and the crude oil futures
market was lower. Hog bears have the solid overall near-
term technical advantage. The next upside price breakout
objective for the bulls is to push and close prices above
solid chart resistance at last week’s high of $89.22. The
next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
pushing prices below solid technical support at the
December low of $85.50. First resistance is seen at $87.60
and then at $88.00. First support is seen at today’s low of
$86.85 and then at last week’s low of $86.25. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 2.5

*. GRAINS: March corn futures closed down 10 cents at $6.31
3/4 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today and
saw a corrective pullback from recent gains that did
include a bullish weekly high close last Friday. The key
“outside markets” were in a bearish posture for the corn
market today, as the U.S. dollar index was higher and the
crude oil futures market was lower. Some beneficial rain in
the forecast for South American corn regions also pressured
corn futures today. Corn bears have the slight overall
near-term technical advantage. Corn bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is to push and close prices above
solid technical resistance at $6.50. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is pushing and
closing prices below psychological support at $6.00. First
resistance for March corn is seen at $6.35 and then at
$6.40. First support is seen at today’s low of $6.27 1/2
and then at $6.25. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.5

March soybeans closed down 33 1/2 cents at $11.85 1/2 a
bushel today. Prices closed near the session low today on
profit-taking pressure from recent gains. The key “outside
markets” were in a bearish posture for the bean market
today, as the U.S. dollar index was higher and the crude
oil futures market was lower. Also, forecasts for
beneficial rains in South American soybean regions this
week was bearish for U.S. futures prices. Soybean bears now
have the near-term technical advantage. The next near-term
upside technical breakout objective for the soybean bulls
is pushing and closing prices above solid technical
resistance at last week’s high of $12.31 a bushel. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing
and closing prices below technical support at the January
low of $11.50. First resistance is seen at $12.00 and then
at today’s high of $12.18 1/2. First support is seen at
today’s low of $11.84 3/4 and then at $11.75. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 4.0.

March soybean meal closed down $8.20 at $314.00 today.
Prices closed near the session low today on a corrective
pullback from recent gains. Bulls and bears are back on a
level near-term technical playing field. The next upside
price breakout objective for the bulls is to produce a
close above solid technical resistance at last week’s high
of $327.30. The next downside price breakout objective for
the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid
technical support at the October low of $307.00. First
resistance comes in at $317.50 and then at $320.00. First
support is seen at today’s low of $313.50 and then at
$310.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0

March bean oil closed down 131 points at 50.28 cents today.
Prices closed near the session low today as the bulls
quickly faded. The key “outside markets” were in a bearish
posture for the bean oil market today, as the U.S. dollar
index was higher and the crude oil futures market was
lower. Bean oil bears have the overall near-term technical
advantage and regained downside momentum today. The next
upside price breakout objective for the bean oil bulls is
pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance
at last week’s high of 52.00 cents. Bean oil bears' next
downside technical price breakout objective is pushing and
closing prices below solid technical support at 50.00
cents. First resistance is seen at 50.50 cents and then at
51.00 cents. First support is seen at today’s low of 50.26
cents and then at 50.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0

March Chicago SRW wheat closed down 3 1/2 cents at $6.43
3/4 today. Prices closed near mid-range today and saw a
corrective pullback from recent gains. The key “outside
markets” were in a bearish posture for the wheat market
today, as the U.S. dollar index was higher and the crude
oil futures market was lower. Wheat bears have the overall
near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is to push and close Chicago SRW prices
above solid technical resistance at the January high of
$6.70 3/4 a bushel. The next downside price breakout
objective for the wheat futures bears is pushing and
closing prices below solid technical support at last week’s
low of $6.13 1/2. First resistance is seen at $6.50 and
then at today’s high of $6.54. First support lies at
today’s low of $6.35 1/4 and then at $6.29 1/2. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 4.0.

March K.C. HRW wheat closed down 2 1/2 cents at $6.97 1/2
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. Bears
have the overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next
upside price breakout objective is pushing and closing
prices above solid technical resistance at the January high
of $7.31 1/2. The bears' next downside breakout objective
is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support
at last week’s low of $6.67 3/4. First resistance is seen
at today’s high of $7.00 1/2 and then at last week’s high
of $7.10. First support is seen at today’s low of $6.91 and
then at $6.85. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0

March oats closed down 5 3/4 cents at $2.93 today. Prices
closed near mid-range today. Oats bears have the overall
near-term technical advantage. Bears' next downside price
breakout objective is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at the contract low of $2.78 1/2.
Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is pushing and
closing prices above solid technical resistance at last
week’s high of $3.06 1/2. First support lies at $2.90 and
then at today’s low of $2.87 1/4. First resistance is seen
at $2.95 and then at today’s high of $2.98 1/2. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 2.5

*. SOFTS: March sugar closed down 37 points at 23.84 cents
today. Prices closed near the session low today and hit a
fresh two-week low. The key “outside markets” were in a
bearish posture for the sugar market today, as the U.S.
dollar index was higher and the crude oil futures market
was lower. Bulls have faded recently and bears now have the
near-term technical advantage. Sugar bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is to push and close prices above
solid technical resistance at last week’s high of 25.21
cents. Bears' next downside price breakout objective is to
push and close prices below solid technical support at
23.52 cents. First resistance is seen at 24.00 cents and
then at today’s high of 24.38 cents. First support is seen
at today’s low of 23.80 cents and then at 23.50 cents.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0

March coffee closed down 65 points at 216.70 cents. Prices
closed nearer the session high today and hit a fresh five-
week low early on. The key “outside markets” were in a
bearish posture for the coffee market today, as the U.S.
dollar index was higher and the crude oil futures market
was lower. Coffee bears have the solid overall near-term
technical advantage. The coffee bulls' next upside breakout
objective is to close prices above solid technical
resistance at 225.00 cents. The next downside price
breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below
solid technical support at the December low of 212.35 cents
a pound. First resistance is seen at 217.50 cents and then
at 220.00 cents. First support is seen at today’s low of
215.00 cents and then at 212.35 cents. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 2.0

March cocoa closed down $125 at $2,281 a ton. Prices closed
near the session low today and have backed well down from
Friday’s fresh two-month high. Bulls have faded quickly.
The key “outside markets” were in a bearish posture for the
cocoa market today, as the U.S. dollar index was higher and
the crude oil futures market was lower. Cocoa bears now
have the slight overall near-term technical advantage. A
bullish double-bottom reversal pattern has formed on the
daily bar chart, but the bulls need to step up and show
fresh power soon. The next upside price breakout objective
for the cocoa bulls is to push and close prices above solid
technical resistance at last week’s high of $2,480. The
next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at
$2,230. First resistance is seen at $2,300 and then at
$2,350. First support is seen at today’s low of $2,274 and
then at $2,250. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.5.

March cotton closed down 146 points at 94.15 cents today.
Prices closed near the session low and hit a fresh three-
week low today. The key “outside markets” were in a bearish
posture for the cotton market today, as the U.S. dollar
index was higher and the crude oil futures market was
lower. Cotton bulls are fading and need to show fresh power
soon. A six-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart has
been negated. Bulls and bears are back on a level near-term
technical playing field. The next upside price objective
for the bulls is to produce a close above solid technical
resistance at 98.00 cents. The next downside price breakout
objective for the cotton bears is to push and close prices
below solid technical support at 93.22 cents. First support
is seen at 93.22 cents and then at 92.50 cents. First
resistance is seen at 95.00 cents and then at today’s high
of 96.30 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0

March orange juice closed down 15 points at $2.1075 today.
Prices closed nearer the session low today. Price action in
FCOJ recently has been extremely volatile. Look for the
higher volatility to continue in the near term. The next
upside price breakout objective for the FCOJ bulls is
pushing and closing prices above technical resistance at
the recent all-time high of $2.2695. The next downside
technical breakout objective for the FCOJ bears is to
produce a close below psychological support at $2.0000.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of $2.1625 and
then at $2.2000. First support is seen at today’s low of
$2.0820 and then at $2.0775. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0.

March lumber futures closed up $0.70 at $238.20 today.
Prices closed near the session low today and saw tepid
short covering in a bear market. Prices last week hit a
contract low. The lumber bears have the solid overall near-
term technical advantage. Prices are in a steep three-week-
old downtrend on the daily bar chart. The next downside
technical breakout objective for the lumber bears is
pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at
$230.00. The next upside price breakout objective for the
bulls is pushing and closing prices above solid technical
resistance at $245.00. First resistance is seen at today’s
high of $241.50 and then at last week’s high of $242.50.
First support is seen at $237.00 and then at the contract
low of $234.80. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.0

*. METALS: April gold futures closed down $1.60 an ounce at
$1,733.80 today. Prices closed nearer the session high
today and saw mild profit taking after prices on Friday hit
a seven-week high and closed at a bullish weekly high
close. Gold prices are poised to produce a very bullish
monthly high close on Tuesday, should prices close up on
the day. The key “outside markets” were bearish for gold
today, as the U.S. dollar index was higher while crude oil
prices were lower. Gold bulls still have the solid overall
near-term technical advantage. A steep four-week-old
uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next
upside technical breakout objective is to produce a close
above solid technical resistance at the December high of
$1,769.70. Bears' next near-term downside price objective
is closing prices below chart trend-line support at
$1,680.00. First resistance is seen at last week’s high of
$1,743.00 and then at $1,750.00. First support is seen at
today’s low of $1,718.80 and then at $1,706.00. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 7.0.

March silver futures closed down $0.31 an ounce at $33.48
today. Prices closed near mid-range today and did score a
mildly bearish “outside day” down on the daily bar chart
after scoring a fresh 10-week high early on today. The key
“outside markets” were bearish for silver today, as crude
oil prices were lower and the U.S. dollar index was higher.
Silver bulls still have the overall near-term technical
advantage. A four-week-old uptrend is in place on the daily
bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is
closing prices above solid technical resistance at the
October high of $35.68 an ounce. The next downside price
breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below
solid technical support at last week’s low of $31.525.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of $34.015 and
then at $34.50. Next support is seen at $33.00 and then at
$32.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

March N.Y. copper closed down 625 points 382.65 cents
today. Prices closed nearer the session low and saw profit-
taking pressure after hitting a 4.5-month high on Friday.
The key “outside markets” were bearish for copper today, as
crude oil was lower and the U.S. dollar index was higher.
Copper bulls still have the solid near-term technical
advantage. Prices are in a six-week-old uptrend on the
daily bar chart. Copper bulls' next upside breakout
objective is pushing and closing prices above major
psychological resistance at 400.00 cents. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices
below solid technical support at 367.50 cents. First
resistance is seen at 385.00 cents and then at 390.00
cents. First support is seen at today’s low of 379.70 cents
and then at 377.50 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0.

*. ENERGIES: March crude oil closed down $0.72 a barrel at
$98.84 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today
and were mildly pressured by a firmer U.S. dollar index
today. Crude oil bulls have the overall near-term technical
advantage. However, the going does get tough for the bulls
once prices move above the key $100.00 level. The next
near-term upside price breakout objective for the crude oil
bulls is producing a close above solid technical resistance
at the January high of $103.90 a barrel. The next near-term
downside price breakout objective for the crude oil bears
is to produce a close below solid technical support at
$95.00. First resistance is seen at $100.00 and then at
last week’s high of $101.39 and then at $102.00. First
support is seen at $98.00 and then at last week’s low of
$97.40. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

March heating oil closed down 171 points at $3.0422 today.
Prices closed nearer the session low today. Bulls still
have the overall near-term technical advantage. The bulls'
next upside price breakout objective is closing prices
above solid technical resistance at the January high of
$3.1286. Bears' next downside price breakout objective is
producing a close below solid technical support at $2.9500.
First resistance lies at today’s high of $3.0825 and then
at $3.1000. First support is seen at today’s low of $3.0288
and then at $3.0000. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

March (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed down 506 points at
$2.8728 today. Prices closed nearer the session low on
profit taking after prices on Friday hit a fresh nine-month
high. Bulls have the solid overall near-term technical
advantage. The next upside price breakout objective for the
bulls is closing prices above major psychological
resistance at $3.0000. Bears' next downside price breakout
objective is closing prices below solid support at last
week’s low of $2.7789. First resistance is seen at $2.9000
and then at today’s high of $2.9280. First support is seen
at $2.8500 and then at $2.8250. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
7.0.

March natural gas closed down 5.1 cents at $2.704 today.
Prices closed near the session low today and did hit a
fresh nearly three-week high early on. Bears have the
overall near-term technical advantage. The next upside
price breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices
above major psychological resistance at $3.00. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at this month’s
contract low of $2.289. First resistance is seen at today’s
high of $2.844 and then at $2.90. First support is seen at
$2.588 and then at $2.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5.

*.STOCKS, FINANCIALS, CURRENCIES: The March Euro currency
closed down 81 points at 1.3128 today. Prices closed nearer
the session low today. Bears still have the overall near-
term technical advantage, but the bulls have gained some
upside near-term momentum recently. Euro bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is pushing and closing prices
above solid technical resistance at 1.3400. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid chart support at 1.2800. First
resistance for the Euro lies at 1.3200 and then at last
week’s high of 1.3237. Next support is seen at today’s low
of 1.3078 and then at 1.3000. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0

The March Japanese yen closed up 67 points at 1.3111 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today and hit a fresh
three-month high. Bulls have quickly gained solid upside
technical momentum. Bulls also have the overall near-term
technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is closing prices above solid resistance at the
October spike high of 1.3279. Bears' next downside breakout
objective is closing prices below solid technical support
at last week’s low of 1.2779. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of 1.3129 and then at 1.3161. First support is
seen at 1.3075 and then at today’s low of 1.3030. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 6.5.

The March Swiss franc closed down 62 points at 1.0897
today. Prices closed nearer the session low today and saw
some profit taking from recent gains. Prices Friday hit a
fresh two-month high. While bears still have the overall
near-term technical advantage the bulls have gained fresh
upside technical momentum recently. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices above
solid resistance at 1.1000. The next downside price
breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below
solid technical support at 1.0650. First resistance is seen
at last week’s high of 1.0979 and then at 1.1000. First
support is seen at today’s low of 1.0866 and then at
1.0800. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

The March Australian dollar closed down 55 points at 1.0538
today. Prices closed near mid-range today and saw mild
profit taking after prices hit a six-month high on Friday.
Bulls still have the solid near-term technical advantage.
Prices are in a two-month-old uptrend on the daily bar
chart. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is
closing prices above solid chart resistance at the July
2011 high of 1.0696. The next downside breakout objective
for the bears is to produce a close below solid technical
support at 1.0250. First resistance is seen at 1.0600 and
then at last week’s high of 1.0628. Next support is seen at
today’s low of 1.0469 and then at 1.0400. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 7.5

The March Canadian dollar closed down 17 points at .9959
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and saw
a corrective, profit-taking pullback after prices hit a
three-month high late last week. Bulls still have the near-
term technical advantage and have some upside momentum. A
six-week-old uptrend line is in place on the daily bar
chart. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is
producing a close above chart resistance at the October
high of 1.0075. The next downside price breakout objective
for the bears is closing prices below solid technical
support at .9800. First resistance is seen at today’s high
of .9976 and then at last week’s high of 1.0007. First
support is seen at today’s low of .9919 and then at .9900.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

The March British pound closed down 24 points at 1.5692
today. Prices closed near mid-range today on a corrective
pullback from recent gains. Prices Friday and hit a five-
week high. While bears still have the overall near-term
technical advantage, the bulls have gained some upside
momentum recently. The next upside price breakout objective
for the bulls is closing prices above solid technical
resistance at the December high of 1.5761. Bears' next
downside technical breakout objective is closing prices
below solid support at 1.5500. First resistance is seen at
last week’s high of 1.5735 and then at 1.5761. First
support is seen at today’s low of 1.5647 and then at
1.5600. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

The March U.S. dollar index closed up 26 points at 79.28
today. Prices closed near mid-range today on a corrective
bounce after prices Friday hit a six-week low. Bulls still
have the overall near-term technical advantage but are
fading badly and need to show more power this week. Bulls'
next upside price breakout objective is to close prices
above solid technical resistance at 81.00. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is to
produce a close below solid technical support at 78.00.
Next resistance lies at today’s high of 79.57 and then at
80.00. First support is seen at last week’s low of 78.89
and then at 78.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

March U.S. T-Bonds closed up 1 3/32 at 144 17/32 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high again today. The
bonds are seeing a boost from a “dovish” FOMC statement
last week and some fresh EU debt concerns. The bond market
bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage
and have regained upside momentum. The next downside price
breakout objective for the T-Bond bears is closing prices
below solid technical support at the January low of 140
21/32. The next upside technical objective for the bulls is
to produce a close above solid technical resistance at the
January high of 145 13/32. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of 145 3/32 and then at 145 13/32. First
support is seen at 144 even and then at today’s low of 143
13/32. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

March U.S. T Notes closed up 9.0 (32nds) at 132.00.0 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today and hit a fresh contract
high. The market has been boosted by the bullish FOMC
statement last week and the EU debt crisis. Bulls have the
solid overall near-term technical advantage and have good
upside momentum. The next upside price breakout objective
for the bulls is closing prices above solid resistance at
133.00.0. The next downside price breakout objective for
the bears is producing a close below solid technical
support at 130.24.0. First resistance is seen at today’s
contract high of 132.07.0 and then at 132.16.0. First
support is seen at today’s low of 131.22.5 and then at
131.16.0. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.5

GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT: The U.S. stock indexes closed
narrowly mixed today but nearer their session highs. The
stock index bulls still have some upside near-term
technical momentum on their side.

The Nasdaq stock futures index closed up 5.75 at 2,462.00.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. Bulls' next
upside price breakout objective is closing prices above
solid resistance at 2,500.00. The bears' next downside
price breakout objective is closing prices below solid
technical support at 2,348.50. First resistance is seen at
last week’s high of 2,476.00 and then at 2,485.00. First
support is seen at 2,450.00 and then at today’s low of
2,429.25. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0

The S&P 500 futures index closed down 3.60 points at
1,308.90. Prices closed nearer the session high today.
Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is closing
prices above solid resistance at the July high of 1,354.50.
The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
closing prices below solid support at 1,250.00. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of 1,314.40 and then at
last week’s high of 1,329.50. First support is seen at
1,300.00 and then at today’s low of 1,296.00. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 7.5.

The Dow futures closed down 12 points at 12,602 today.
Prices closed near the session high today. The next upside
price objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid
technical resistance at the May 2011 high of 12,827. The
next downside price objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at the January low of
12,250. First resistance in the Dow lies at 12,650 and then
at 12,700. First support is seen at 12,550 and then at
12,500. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

Click below for my welcome letter to all new customers and
for an explanation of my Market Rating System.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/newsletter/WelcomeAboard/

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage
any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It
is my goal to point out to you potential trading
opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when
and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine
the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I
discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for
everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS.
Before you invest any money in futures or options
contracts, you should consider your financial experience,
goals and financial resources, and know how much you can
afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a
broker. You should understand commodity futures and options
contracts and your obligations in entering into those
contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and
other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk
disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.

Jim Wyckoff
 

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