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RSS By: Jim Wyckoff, Pro Farmer

Pro Farmer technical analyst Jim Wyckoff's daily thoughts.

Jim's Afternoon Markets Report--June 6

Jun 07, 2012

Wednesday Evening, June 6-Jim Wyckoff's Daily Markets
Update

Questions? Just email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com . I enjoy
hearing from my readers worldwide.--Jim

Click below for "Today’s Hot Market" item on my website.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/hotmarket/hotmarket.asp

Dear Valued Subscriber: Following are today's significant
developments in the U.S. futures markets.

*. LIVESTOCK: August live cattle closed up $0.10 at $119.30
today. Prices closed near mid-range today and saw tepid
short covering. The key “outside markets” were bullish for
the cattle market today, as the U.S. dollar index was lower
and crude oil prices were higher. Yet, cattle bulls did not
get much traction from that, which is a bearish clue.
Cattle bears have the overall near-term technical
advantage. The bulls' next upside price breakout objective
is to push and close prices above solid technical
resistance at the May high of $122.40. The next downside
technical breakout objective for the bears is pushing and
closing prices below solid technical support at last week’s
low of $117.80. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
$119.75 and then at this week’s high of $120.22. First
support is seen at today’s low of $119.00 and then at
$118.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0

August feeder cattle closed down $1.22 at $157.95 today.
Prices closed near the session low today on some profit
taking. Bulls still have the slight near-term technical
advantage. The next upside price breakout objective for the
feeder bulls is to push and close prices above solid
technical resistance at $160.00. The next downside price
breakout objective for the bears is to push and close
prices below solid technical support at $156.00. First
resistance is seen at $158.50 and then at $159.00. First
support is seen at $157.50 and then at $157.00. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 5.5

August lean hogs closed up $0.30 at $91.85 today. Prices
closed nearer the session high today and hit a fresh seven-
week high. Hog market bulls have some upside technical
momentum to suggest an uptrend can be sustained. Bulls have
the slight near-term technical advantage. The next upside
price breakout objective for the hog bulls is to push and
close prices above solid chart resistance at the April high
of $95.15. The next downside price breakout objective for
the bears is pushing prices below solid technical support
at $89.00. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
$92.12 and then at $92.50. First support is seen at today’s
low of $91.30 and then at $91.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
5.5

*. GRAINS: July corn futures closed up 16 1/2 cents at
$5.84 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today
and saw short covering in a bear market. The key “outside
markets” were bullish for the corn market today, as the
U.S. dollar index was lower and crude oil prices were
higher. Some warmer and drier weather forecasts for the U.S.
Corn Belt were also supportive for the corn market today.
Corn market bears still have the overall near-term
technical advantage. Corn bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is to push and close prices above psychological
resistance at $6.00. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at the June low of $5.51. First
resistance for July corn is seen at today’s high of $5.86
1/2 and then at $5.90. First support is seen at $5.80 and
then at $5.75. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0

July soybeans closed up 36 cents at $13.85 1/2 a bushel
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and saw
heavy short covering and bargain hunting. The key “outside
markets” were bullish for the cattle market today, as the
U.S. dollar index was lower and crude oil prices were
higher. Bean bulls gained some fresh upside near-term
technical momentum today. Bulls have regained the slight
near-term technical advantage. The next near-term upside
technical breakout objective for the soybean bulls is
pushing and closing prices above psychological resistance
at $14.00 a bushel. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at the June low of $13.17 1/2.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of $13.92 and then
at $14.00. First support is seen at $13.75 and then at
$13.60. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

July soybean meal closed up $15.00 at $415.00 today. Prices
closed nearer the session high today and closed at a fresh
two-week high close. Meal bulls have the near-term
technical advantage and gained some fresh upside momentum
today. The next upside price breakout objective for the
bulls is to produce a close above solid technical
resistance at the contract high of $437.60. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing
and closing prices below solid technical support at the
June low of $387.80. First resistance comes in at today’s
high of $416.50 and then at $420.00. First support is seen
at $410.00 and then at $407.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
6.5

July bean oil closed up 78 points at 49.28 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today and saw more
short covering in a bear market. The key “outside markets”
were bullish for the bean oil market today, as the U.S.
dollar index was lower and crude oil prices were higher.
Bean oil bears still have the overall near-term technical
advantage. Bean oil prices still are in a two-month-old
downtrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bean oil bulls is pushing and
closing prices above solid technical resistance at 51.28
cents. Bean oil bears' next downside technical price
breakout objective is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at 47.50 cents. First resistance is
seen at today’s high of 49.65 cents and then at 50.00
cents. First support is seen at 49.00 cents and then at
today’s low of 48.60 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5

July Chicago SRW wheat closed up 7 3/4 cents at $6.21
today. Prices closed near mid-range today and saw short
covering in a bear market. The key “outside markets” were
bullish for the wheat market today, as the U.S. dollar
index was lower and crude oil prices were higher. Wheat
bears still have the solid near-term technical advantage.
Bulls’ next upside breakout objective is to push and close
Chicago SRW prices above solid technical resistance at
$6.50 a bushel. The next downside price breakout objective
for the wheat futures bears is pushing and closing prices
below psychological support at $6.00. First resistance is
seen at this week’s high of $6.31 1/2 and then at $6.40.
First support lies at last week’s low of 6.11 and then at
$6.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5.

July K.C. HRW wheat closed up 17 cents at $6.55 today.
Prices closed near the session high today on short covering
in a bear market. Bears still have the near-term technical
advantage. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is
pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance
at $6.70. The bears' next downside breakout objective is
pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at
$6.25. First resistance is seen at $6.65 1/2 and then at
$6.75. First support is seen at today’s low of $6.45 and
then at last week’s low of $6.37. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
3.0

July oats closed up 7 1/4 cents at $2.96 1/4 today. Prices
closed nearer the session high on more short covering in a
bear market. Bears still have the near-term technical
advantage, but bulls are gaining some upside momentum.
Bears' next downside price breakout objective is pushing
and closing prices below solid technical support at the
contract low of $2.62 1/4. Bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is pushing and closing prices above
psychological resistance at $3.00. First support lies at
$2.95 and then at $2.90. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of $2.98 1/4 and then at $3.00. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 3.0

*. SOFTS: July sugar closed up 82 points at 19.88 cents
today. Prices closed nearer the session high on heavy short
covering and bargain hunting. The key “outside markets” were
bullish for the sugar market today, as the U.S. dollar
index was lower and crude oil prices were higher. Sugar
bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage.
Prices are still in a 10-week-old downtrend on the daily
bar chart. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is
to push and close prices above solid technical resistance
at 20.50 cents. Bears' next downside price breakout
objective is to push and close prices below solid technical
support at 18.00 cents. First resistance is seen at today’s
high of 20.08 cents and then at 20.50 cents. First support
is seen at 19.50 cents and then at 19.25 cents. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 2.5.

July coffee closed down 60 points at 155.60 cents. Prices
closed near the session low again today and closed at
another fresh 21-month low close. The key “outside markets”
were bullish for the coffee market today, as the U.S.
dollar index was lower and crude oil prices were higher.
Yet, coffee bulls could get no traction from it, which is
another bearish clue. Coffee prices are in an 8.5-month-old
downtrend on the daily bar chart. The bears have the solid
overall near-term technical advantage. The coffee bulls'
next upside breakout objective is to close prices above
solid technical resistance at 170.00 cents. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at 150.00 cents a
pound. First resistance is seen at 160.00 cents and then at
162.50 cents. First support is seen at this week’s low of
154.65 cents and then at 152.50 cents. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 1.0

July cocoa closed up $28 at $2,191 a ton. Prices closed
nearer the session high again today and saw more short
covering and bargain hunting. Cocoa bears still have the
overall near-term technical advantage. The next upside
price breakout objective for the cocoa bulls is to push and
close prices above solid technical resistance at $2,300.
The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at
the June low of $2,026. First resistance is seen at today’s
high of $2,220 and then at $2,250. First support is seen at
$2,175 and then at $2,146. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5

July cotton closed up 300 points at 69.89 cents today.
Prices closed near the session high today and saw short
covering in a bear market. The key “outside markets” were
bullish for the cotton market today, as the U.S. dollar
index was lower and crude oil prices were higher. The
cotton bears still have the solid near-term technical
advantage. Prices are still in a four-month-old downtrend
on the daily bar chart. There are no early clues of a
market low being close at hand. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bulls is to produce a close
above solid technical resistance at 72.50 cents. The next
downside price breakout objective for the cotton bears is
to push and close prices below solid technical support at
65.00 cents. First resistance is seen at 70.00 cents and
then at 71.00 cents. First support is seen at 68.50 cents
and then at today’s low of 67.10 cents. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 2.0

July orange juice closed up 345 points at $1.1825 today.
Prices closed near the session high today and hit a fresh
three-week high. FCOJ bears still have the overall near-
term technical advantage. However, a four-month-old
downtrend on the daily bar chart has been negated. The next
upside price breakout objective for the FCOJ bulls is
pushing and closing prices above technical resistance at
$1.2500. The next downside technical breakout objective for
the FCOJ bears is to produce a close below solid technical
support at $1.0800. First resistance is seen at $1.2000 and
then at $1.2250. First support is seen at today’s low of
$1.1480 and then at $1.1250. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

July lumber futures closed up $4.60 at $284.30 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. Bulls and
bears are on a level near-term technical playing field amid
choppy trading. The next downside technical breakout
objective for the lumber bears is pushing and closing
prices below solid technical support at the May low of
$276.00. The next upside price breakout objective for the
bulls is pushing and closing prices above solid technical
resistance at the February high of $294.00. First
resistance is seen at $285.00 and then at $287.00. First
support is seen at today’s low of $283.00 and then at
$282.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0

*. METALS: August gold futures closed up $15.30 an ounce at
$1,632.20 today. Prices closed near mid-range and hit a
fresh four-week high today. The key “outside markets” were
bullish for gold today, as the U.S. dollar index was lower
and crude oil prices were higher. The gold bulls gained
some more upside technical momentum today. Prices today saw
an upside breakout from a bullish pennant pattern on the
daily chart. Bulls have regained the slight near-term
technical advantage in gold for the first time in many
weeks. The gold bulls’ next upside price breakout objective
is to produce a close above solid technical resistance at
$1,650.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective
is closing prices below psychological support at $1,600.00.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of $1,642.40 and
then at $1,650.00. First support is seen at today’s low of
$1,616.50 and then at this week’s low of $1,610.00.
Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 5.5

July silver futures closed up $1.155 an ounce at $29.56
today. Prices closed nearer the session high and hit a
fresh four-week high today. The key “outside markets” were
bullish for silver today, as the U.S. dollar index was
lower and crude oil prices were higher. The silver bulls
gained fresh upside technical momentum today as prices saw
an upside breakout from a sideways trading range on the
daily chart. A three-month-old downtrend on the daily bar
chart was also negated today. Bulls’ next upside price
breakout objective is closing prices above major
psychological resistance at $30.00 an ounce. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at the December low of
$26.50. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $29.865
and then at $30.00. Next support is seen at $29.00 and then
at today’s low of $28.41. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.5.

July N.Y. copper closed up 825 points 337.15 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today and saw short
covering in a bear market. The key “outside markets” were
bullish for copper today, as the U.S. dollar index was
lower and crude oil prices were higher. Copper bears still
have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are
still in a five-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.
Copper bulls' next upside breakout objective is pushing and
closing prices above solid technical resistance at 345.00
cents. The next downside price breakout objective for the
bears is closing prices below solid technical support at
the contract low of 308.00 cents. First resistance is seen
at today’s high of 338.20 cents and then at 340.00 cents.
First support is seen at 335.00 cents and then at 332.50
cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

*. ENERGIES: July crude oil closed up $0.80 a barrel at
$85.09 today. Prices closed near mid-range today and saw
more short covering in a bear market. The crude bears still
have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. There
are still no early technical clues to suggest a market
bottom is close at hand. The next near-term upside price
breakout objective for the crude oil bulls is producing a
close above solid technical resistance at $90.00 a barrel.
The next near-term downside price breakout objective for
the crude oil bears is to produce a close below solid
technical support at $80.00. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of $86.27 and then at $87.00. First support is
seen at today’s low of $84.03 and then at $83.00. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 2.0

July heating oil closed up 395 points at $2.6731 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today and saw more
short covering after hitting an eight-month low on Monday.
Bears still have the solid overall near-term technical
advantage as prices are in a 2.5-month-old downtrend on the
daily bar chart. The bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is closing prices above solid technical
resistance at $2.8000. Bears' next downside price breakout
objective is producing a close below solid technical
support at $2.5000. First resistance lies at $2.7000 and
then at $2.7250. First support is seen at $2.6500 and then
at today’s low of $2.6260. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.5.

July (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed up 32 points at
$2.6879 today. Prices closed nearer the session low on
tepid short covering after prices hit a 5.5-month low on
Monday. Bears still have the solid near-term technical
advantage. A 10-week-old downtrend is in place on the daily
bar chart. The next upside price breakout objective for the
bulls is closing prices above solid technical resistance at
$2.8000. Bears' next downside price breakout objective is
closing prices below solid support at $2.5000. First
resistance is seen at $2.7000 and then at today’s high of
$2.7263. First support is seen at $2.6500 and then at
$2.6250. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.5.

July natural gas closed down 1.4 cents at $2.431 today.
Prices closed nearer mid-range again today. Bears have the
overall near-term technical advantage. The next upside
price breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices
above solid technical resistance at $2.60. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at $2.25. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of $2.487 and then at
$2.50. First support is seen at today’s low of $2.397 and
then at last week’s low of $2.313 and then at $2.25.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

*.STOCKS, FINANCIALS, CURRENCIES: The September Euro
currency closed up 113 points at 1.2570 today. Prices
closed nearer the session high today and saw short covering
in a bear market. The Euro bears still have the overall
near-term technical advantage. There are still no early
technical clues of a market bottom being close at hand.
Euro prices are in a three-month-old downtrend on the daily
bar chart. Euro bulls' next upside price breakout objective
is pushing and closing prices above solid technical
resistance at last week’s high of 1.2630. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices
below solid chart support at 1.2250. First resistance for
the Euro lies at today’s high of 1.2584 and then at 1.2630.
Next support is seen at 1.2500 and then at today’s low of
1.2452. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0

The September Japanese yen closed down 73 points at 1.2646
today. Prices closed nearer the session low again today and
saw more profit taking. Bulls still have the overall near-
term technical advantage. Prices are still in a 2.5-month-
old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is closing prices above solid
resistance at last week’s high of 1.2895. Bears' next
downside breakout objective is closing prices below solid
technical support at last week’s low of 1.2568. First
resistance is seen at 1.2700 and then at today’s high of
1.2736. First support is seen at today’s low of 1.2631 and
then at 1.2600. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

The September Swiss franc closed up 85 points at 1.0474
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and saw
short covering in a bear market. The bears still have the
solid near-term technical advantage in the Swissy. Prices
are in a three-month-old downtrend. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices above
solid resistance at last week’s high of 1.0506. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at 1.0250. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of 1.0495 and then at
1.0506. First support is seen at 1.0400 and then at this
week’s low of 1.0350. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0.

The September Australian dollar closed up 163 points at
.9822 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today
and more short covering and bargain hunting. Prices hit a
fresh three-week high today. Bears still have the overall
near-term technical advantage. However, a three-month-old
downtrend on the daily bar chart was at least temporarily
negated today. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective
is closing prices above solid chart resistance at .9900.
The next downside breakout objective for the bears is to
produce a close below solid technical support at the Jne
low of .9499. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
.9840 and then at .9900. Next support is seen at .9750 and
then at .9700. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0

The September Canadian dollar closed up 91 points at .9698
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and saw
more short covering in a bear market. Bears still have the
overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is producing a close above chart
resistance at last week’s high of .9770. The next downside
price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices
below solid technical support at .9500. First resistance is
seen at today’s high of .9709 and then at .9750. First
support is seen at today’s low of .9610 and then at this
week’s low of .9554. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

The September British pound closed up 113 points at 1.5476
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today on short
covering in a bear market. Bears still have the solid near-
term technical advantage. A steep five-week-old downtrend
is still in place on the daily bar chart. The next upside
price breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices
above solid technical resistance at 1.5600. Bears' next
downside technical breakout objective is closing prices
below solid support at 1.5250. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of 1.5510 and then at 1.5600. First support is
seen at 1.5400 and then at this week’s low of 1.5319.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5.

The September U.S. dollar index closed down 61 points at
82.70 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today and
saw profit taking. No chart damage occurred today. Bulls
still have the solid overall near-term technical advantage.
Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is to close
prices above solid technical resistance at last week’s high
of 84.00. The next downside price breakout objective for
the bears is to produce a close below solid technical
support at 82.00. Next resistance lies at 83.00 and then at
today’s high of 83.30. First support is seen at today’s low
of 82.63 and then at 82.35. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

September U.S. T-Bonds closed down 2 2/32 at 148 19/32
today. Prices closed near the session low today and saw
heavy profit taking after prices hit a fresh contract and
all-time high on Monday. Bulls still have the overall near-
term technical advantage. Prices are still in a 10-week-old
uptrend on the daily bar chart. There are still no early
technical clues to suggest a market top is close at hand.
The next downside price breakout objective for the T-Bond
bears is closing prices below solid technical support at
146 even. The next upside technical objective for the bulls
is to produce a close above solid technical resistance at
the contract high of 152 19/32. First resistance is seen at
149 even and then at 149 16/32. First support is seen at
today’s low of 148 16/32 and then at 148 even. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 7.5.

September U.S. T Notes closed down 22.0 (32nds) at 133.08.0
today. Prices closed nearer the session low today and saw
more profit taking. Bulls still have the solid overall
near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a 2.5-month-
old uptrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices above
solid resistance at the contract high of 134.30.5. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is
producing a close below solid technical support at
132.16.0. First resistance is seen at 133.16.0 and then at
today’s high of 134.00.5. First support is seen at today’s
low of 133.04.5 and then at 133.00.0. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 8.0

GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT: The U.S. stock indexes closed
solidly higher today. The market place was in a firm “risk-
on” mood Wednesday, as traders and investors are hoping the
central banks of the U.S. and European Union move soon to
ease their monetary policies. The European Central Bank
meeting Wednesday produced no such results. Fed Chairman
Bernanke speaks to U.S. lawmakers on Thursday, and traders
are wondering if he will hint at further U.S. easing of
monetary policy. Many reckon it may be a bit too soon for
the EU and U.S. to start fresh monetary easing strategies,
but they also reckon odds are better than 50-50 that such
will indeed occur in the coming weeks or months. Recent
weak economic activity out of the U.S., EU (and China) has
been a bearish drag on many markets, and it has become
increasingly likely the central banks will have to act to
stimulate their economies with easier money policies. That
would be at least temporarily bullish for most markets,
including stock indexes and commodities.

The Nasdaq stock futures index closed up 60.25 at 2,549.00.
Prices closed near the session high today on short
covering. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is
closing prices above solid resistance at 2,600.00. The
bears' next downside price breakout objective is closing
prices below solid technical support at 2,400.00. First
resistance is seen at 2,570.00 and then at 2,600.00. First
support is seen at 2,525.00 and then at 2,500.00. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 5.5

The S&P 500 futures index closed up 29.90 at 1,314.80.
Prices closed near the session high today on more short
covering. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is
closing prices above solid resistance at 1,360.00. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid support at 1,250.00. First resistance is
seen at 1,325.00 and then at 1,334.20. First support is
seen at 1,300.00 and then at today’s low of 1,283.60.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

The Dow futures closed up 259 points at 12,385 today.
Prices closed near the session high again today on more
short covering. The next upside price objective for the
bulls is closing prices above solid technical resistance at
12,800. The next downside price objective for the bears is
closing prices below solid technical support at 11,500.
First resistance in the Dow lies at 12,400 and then at
12,450. First support is seen at 12,350 and then at 12,300.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

Click below for my welcome letter to all new customers and
for an explanation of my Market Rating System.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/newsletter/WelcomeAboard/

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage
any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It
is my goal to point out to you potential trading
opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when
and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine
the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I
discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for
everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS.
Before you invest any money in futures or options
contracts, you should consider your financial experience,
goals and financial resources, and know how much you can
afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a
broker. You should understand commodity futures and options
contracts and your obligations in entering into those
contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and
other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk
disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.

Jim Wyckoff
 

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