Climate vs. Crop Size
Dec 03, 2009
Brazil – Too much rain in the South, and too little in the North. This situation is retarding planting in these regions, which can undermine our intentions of reaching a record grain crop.
Last crop, we had the same situation in the North and Northeast, but rains came in time and planting recovered. Yet, climate disappointed in the end, with excessive rains flooding fields just in the harvest period. Some record yield fields were lost.
In the South last year, we lost volume for the hardest drought in last 30 years, just like in Argentina. We also had rainstorms in the South in this period, but not exactly in the major crop zones. This year, southern Brazil is again facing a weather calamity. Many families lost their homes to wind and flooding, and some weather institutes are forecasting a drought for January and February. I believe there will be enough water reserve in the ground in the summer. What really worries me now is the continuous rain and storms that are delaying the planting.
– In the period of Nov. 20 to 30, we needed about 4” of rain. But it rained less than 1”. The situation, so far, is very hard for almost the entire country. (See ths map
). For the next 10 days, more than 4” is needed, but the forecast doesn’t show it’s going to happen.
This situation made official agencies cut down soybean production to 45-47.5 million tons, because of delay in planting.