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Feb 9, 2012

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February WASDE Reports Coverage
02/09/2012
See all of the report data, coverage and analysis of today's World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates.
Will Drought Break in 2012?
02/08/2012
Forecasters hint at a gradual weakening of the La Nina phenomena which may provide relief to drought conditions across North, Central, and South America.
Warming Up
02/03/2012
Midwest weather has been warmer than normal, and the grain markets have warmed up a little as well. Potentially tighter stocks in South America, the Black Sea area and South Africa got trade attention. Cotton also finished strong this past week, thanks to a drop in the unemployment rate to 8.3% and signs that consumers might be getting their credit cards out of the deep freeze.
A Dollar Slide Helps A Lot
01/27/2012
The US dollar index has been in retreat for 10 trading sessions, a full two weeks. It is down 3.4% since January 13 and down 1.7% this week. The decline has helped support commodities priced in dollars. All of the grains we track were up more than the buck was down, with fundamental factors adding to the gains. The only commodity that proved immune to the dollar’s siren call was cotton. Prices there were down 2.6% for the week.
China’s Large Cotton Reserves Worrisome
01/27/2012
Ending stocks of cotton are now equivalent to 25% of total use. But that’s nothing compared to world cotton reserves.
Grains Try To Rally
01/20/2012
The stock market rallied more than 2% this past week, feeling better about the economy and about Europe. Corn and soybeans also rallied, looking toward better demand. Wheat was a hanger-on, with large projected global ending stocks a wet blanket to put out bullish fires. Cattle got the bullish memo, with cash prices up $3 on Friday and strong weekly export sales reported by USDA.
Winter Games
01/13/2012
The term Winter Games usually applies to the Winter Olympics. Those won’t happen until February 2014 in Sochi, Russia. We’re talking about market games, the kind that are played around USDA reports and other major news events. For the January 12 USDA reports, the grain bears were the clear winners, outpointing the bulls in rather lopsided fashion.
Higher Grain Yields, Stocks Surprise Markets
01/13/2012
Yesterday's bearish USDA report caused corn futures prices to drop to the daily limit of 40 cents.
Take Heart: Higher Prices Could Follow Bearish Reports
01/12/2012
USDA’s crop reports released this morning held bearish surprises, but analysts caution world grain stocks are far from burdensome.
Experts Provide Insight into Jan. 12 Reports
01/11/2012
See all of the pre-report estimates and predictions for this week’s reports.

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