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Treasuries, Gold Fall as Dollar Gains While S&P 500 Rebounds

November 8, 2013

Nov. 8 (Bloomberg) -- Treasuries sank the most since July and gold slid as a bigger-than-forecast increase in American payrolls fueled speculation the Federal Reserve may trim stimulus earlier than expected. The dollar strengthened against all 16 major peers while U.S. stocks advanced.

The yield on 10-year Treasuries jumped 14 basis points to 2.74 percent at 11:32 a.m. in New York and climbed as much as 16 basis points. Gold futures dropped 1.8 percent to $1,285.00 an ounce. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rebounded 0.7 percent after tumbling 1.3 percent yesterday. French bonds fell after S&P downgraded the country’s debt. The dollar climbed 0.5 percent against the euro. AT&T Inc. and BNP Paribas SA led 21 billion euros ($28 billion) of bond sales in Europe this week, the busiest in two months.

Employers in the U.S. added 204,000 workers last month, the Labor Department said, following a revised 163,000 gain in September that was larger than initially estimated. The median forecast of 91 economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a 120,000 increased. Data yesterday showed faster-than-estimated economic growth. France’s rating was lowered to AA from AA+ at S&P.

"For markets it shows that the labor market continues to tighten and should bring forward people’s estimates of when the Federal Reserve will have to reduce bond purchases," said David Kelly, the chief global strategist at JPMorgan Funds in New York, which oversees about $400 billion in long-term assets. "Ultimately this is good news for the economy. I think in the long run it’s good news for the stock market."

 

Treasury Yields

 

Thirty-year U.S. bond rates jumped 12 basis points to 3.83 percent and two-year note yields increased three basis points to 0.31 percent.

Yields have risen since the Federal Open Market Committee said Oct. 30 that the economy showed signs of "underlying strength" even as policy makers agreed to continue the $85 billion of monthly bond purchases, known as quantitative easing. They next meeting is Dec. 17-18.

The Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Index, a gauge of the currency against 10 major peers, climbed 0.6 percent to reach an almost two-month high of 1,022.7. The currencies of Norway, Brazil and Sweden led losses against the dollar, weakening at least 0.9 percent.

The S&P 500 dropped 1.3 percent yesterday, its worst loss since August, and is down 0.1 percent this week. The gauge is up about 23 percent for the year, rivaling 2009 for its biggest gain in a decade, and is trading near its most-expensive price- to-earnings valuation in more than three years.

 

Market Leaders

 

Financial, consumer-discretionary, industrial and health- care stocks led the rebound today as seven of the 10 main S&P 500 industry groups advanced. JPMorgan Chase & Co., Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Walt Disney Co. climbed the most in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, gaining more than 2 percent. Twitter Inc. fell 4.4 percent after jumping 73 percent in its trading debut yesterday.

Three shares dropped for every two that rose in the Stoxx Europe 600 Index, leaving the gauge down 0.3 percent today and trimming its weekly gain to 0.3 percent. Finmeccanica SpA sank 5.5 percent, the most since April on a closing basis, after the Italian arms company predicted a cash outflow for this year amid suspended helicopters payments and a sluggish rail business. Rheinmetall AG retreated 6 percent as the German maker of armored vehicles reported declining profit.

Numericable SAS, France’s largest cable operator, rallied 15 percent in its trading debut after raising about 652.2 million euros ($875 million) in the country’s biggest initial public offering in four years.

 

European Movers

 

International Consolidated Airlines Group SA advanced 8 percent after the parent of British Airways said third-quarter earnings more than doubled and lifted its full-year outlook. Rolls-Royce Holdings Plc, the world’s second-largest maker of commercial jet engines, gained 3.2 percent after raising the earnings target for its defense aerospace unit.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index fell for a seventh day, the longest losing streak since March, sliding 1.4 percent. The Shanghai Composite Index dropped 1.1 percent before the start of a Communist Party meeting tomorrow. Benchmark indexes in Russia, South Africa, Turkey, Thailand, the Czech Republic and the Philippines dropped more than 1 percent.

Ten-year French government debt yields increased seven basis points to 2.22 percent. Since S&P’s first downgrade on Jan. 13, 2012, French government bonds returned more than 10 percent, according to Bloomberg France Sovereign Bond Index. France’s government debt is the second biggest in the euro area, trailing only Italy, and the fourth largest among global sovereign-debt market, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

 

Default Risk

 

Credit-default swaps on France rose one basis point today to 51 basis points after dropping as low as 49 basis points yesterday, the lowest since April 2010. The contracts have fallen from 219 basis points on Jan. 13, 2012.

Dallas-based AT&T sold 2 billion euros of bonds due in eight and 12 years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The average yield on investment-grade euro-denominated notes dropped four basis points this week to 1.8 percent, the lowest since June 14, Bloomberg bond index data show.

Natural gas, gasoline, Brent crude and lean hogs rose at least 0.6 percent to lead the S&P GSCI Index of commodities up 0.4 percent. Gold, silver and corn lost more than 0.8 percent to lead declines

Americans are paying the least to fill their cars in almost two years as refiners process the most crude in a decade, offering some relief to nervous consumers.

The national average retail price sank 1.1 cents to $3.211 a gallon, the lowest since Dec. 20, 2011, AAA, the nation’s largest motoring club, said on its website today. Pump prices are approaching the lowest level since February 2011, just before unrest in the Middle East pushed U.S. crude oil above $100 a barrel and gasoline near $4 a gallon.

 

--With assistance from Richard Frost in Hong Kong and Eliot Caroom in New York. Editor: Michael P. Regan

 

To contact the reporters on this story: Stephen Kirkland in London at skirkland@bloomberg.net; Nick Taborek in New York at ntaborek@bloomberg.net

 

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Lynn Thomasson at lthomasson@bloomberg.net



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