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Cash Grain Insights

RSS By: Kevin McNew, AgWeb.com

Kevin McNew is President of Grain Hedge and Geograin. McNew was raised on a farm in central Oklahoma and received his bachelor’s degree from Oklahoma State University, and master’s and Ph.D. degrees in Economics from North Carolina State University. For over a decade, he was a Professor of Economics at the University of Maryland and Montana State University, focusing on commodity markets. He has received numerous academic awards for his research and outreach work, and was (and still is) widely regarded for boiling down complex economic issues into easy-to-understand concepts for applied life.

 

Bean Basis Moves Higher While Corn is Sluggish

Feb 12, 2009

Grain futures found a boost this week with corn futures up about a dime while soybean futures advanced 30-cents over the last week. This took its toll on basis improvement as corn basis gained only one-cent on average across the country while soybeans were up 3 cents on average.

 

In the corn market, ethanol plants continue to lag the rest of the markets on average although some plants in IA and IL did manage fairly strong basis gains. At the Gulf, corn basis was off 1 cent a bushel but continued declines in barge rates helped keep upstream river terminals mostly in check.

 CornMap

For soybeans, basis levels were up 3 cents for the week, but the improvements were not uniform across much of the country. Gulf basis slid 11 cents a bushel and corresponding southern river markets and were hit by weaker basis. Basis gains were more prominent in the Upper Midwest and Northern Plains as gains of 5 to 8 cents were fairly typical as processors bid more aggressively in these sections of the country.

SoyMap

Basis gains will continue to be somewhat tempered but with sluggish to lower futures the bias in basis should be to the upside. Barge rates continue to be down and should hold steady for the short-term, but the lack of significant demand drive from the end-users will keep basis gains in check.

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COMMENTS (1 Comments)

Anonymous
Thinking about selling all grains in stock, I think corn will go lower in coming months. The squeeze is on food production animals like dairy cows that will lower demand.
2:35 PM Feb 14th
 

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