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Stats Canada Crop Production Report Highlights

10/2/2008

Pro Farmer Editors

 

Statistics Canada has released their September crop production report. Farmers, in mid-harvest, reported they expect to produce 10.9 million metric tons of canola, exceeding the previous record of 9.5 million tons produced in 2007. Wheat excluding durum production is reported to be up 35.6% over 2007. In Eastern Canada, Quebec farmers anticipate a record production of 615 000 tons of soybeans.

At the time of the September Farm Survey, crop maturity and the fall harvest in the West were delayed by cool conditions and excess moisture. Harvest conditions were most advanced in southern regions but they improved considerably in most areas after the survey had taken place.

Canola production up

Canola production is expected to rise to 10.9 million tons, 1.4 million tons above the previous high of 9.5 million tons reported in 2007. This exceeds the pre-harvest July estimate by 495 000 tons Production should increase mainly as a result of an above-average yield of 30.6 bushels per acre.

On the Prairies, where 99% of canola is grown, farmers expect to exceed the previous record production in each province. The mid-harvest yields reported in the September survey showed an improvement over the pre-harvest yields from the July survey in both Manitoba and Saskatchewan.

Wheat excluding durum production expected to exceed five-year average

Farmers expect to harvest 22.2 million tons of wheat excluding durum, up 35.6% from 16.4 million tons in 2007 and easily exceeding the previous five-year average (2003 to 2007) production of 19.4 million tons A 15.0% increase in harvested area and a yield of 42.8 bushels per acre account for this increase.

Production in Manitoba, Saskatchewan and Alberta is expected to increase over 2007, exceeding their previous five-year provincial averages.

Mid-harvest yields showed improvement in all Prairie provinces compared with the pre-harvest yields reported in July.

September production estimates
Crop 2007 July 2008 September 2008 2007 to September 2008
  Actual Expected
  thousands of metric tons % change
Total wheat
20 054
25 426
27 266
36.0
Wheat excluding durum
16 373
20 516
22 195
35.6
Durum wheat
3 681
4 910
5 070
37.7
Barley
10 984
10 876
11 219
2.1
Canola
9 529
10 375
10 870
14.1
Grain corn
11 649
9 892
9 893
-15.1
Oats
4 696
4 061
4 321
-8.0
Dry field peas
2 935
3 272
3 527
20.2
Soybeans
2 696
3 167
3 240
20.2
Flaxseed
634
765
768
21.2
Total dry beans
277
281
266
-3.8


Soybean production expected to rise in the East

Total soybean production is expected to reach 3.2 million tons, just short of the highest level of 3.5 million tons produced in 2006. Production should rise in both Quebec and Ontario, where 90% of soybeans are grown.

Production in Quebec is anticipated to increase 30.3% to 615 000 tons, a value exceeding the previous high of 535 000 tons set in 2006. The production increase is the result of a 31.6% rise in harvested area from 2007.

Soybean production in Ontario is expected to rise to 2.3 million tons, up 16.3% from 2007, due to a yield increase. Farmers reported a yield of 40.8 bushels per acre, up 7.8 bushels per acre over 2007.



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