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Outlook Today

RSS By: Bob Utterback, Farm Journal

Bob Utterback has more than 26 years of experience and offers producers a disciplined approach to marketing.

Grain markets flat prior to supply and demand report

May 12, 2009
Overall, grains were flat today prior to tomorrow’s USDA Supply and Demand report. Expectation is that bean old crop will get tighter but not much change is in store for corn and wheat. 
 
Weather has cooperated with a couple of dry days here in the central and eastern Corn Belt but wet spots persist. I expect to see some tractors moving tomorrow but with rain projected for mid-week not much field work is anticipated. Expect producers to start planting around the wet spots. Some producers are already making plans to move from corn to beans. Looking forward, I have to expect corn acres will get closer to the 83.5 million acre level and beans closer to 78 million acre level. 
 
Expectation: Corn will be choppy with a positive bias. Would suggest all producers with net short positions strongly consider moving into a put format.  As for beans, old crop will remain bullish and new crop bearish. If the July to November bean spread would correct back below $1.00 consider repositioning going into July. 
 
A heads up: All corn speculators who like spreads should start to watch the corn spreads if we see them invert over the next few weeks because of concern about getting corn planted.  

If you need any help in implementing a speculative or hedging strategy give us a call at 1-800-832-1488 or email me at utterback@utterbackmarketing.com or laura@utterbackmarketing.com. Tomorrow we will talk a little about the bonds, gold and crude oil.
BEFORE TRADING, ONE SHOULD BE AWARE THAT WITH POTENTIAL PROFITS THERE IS ALSO POTENTIAL FOR LOSSES, WHICH MAY BE VERY LARGE. YOU SHOULD READ THE “RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT” AND “OPTION DISCLOSURE STATEMENT” AND SHOULD UNDERSTAND THE RISKS BEFORE TRADING. COMMODITY TRADING MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR RECIPIENTS OF THIS PUBLICATION. THOSE ACTING ON THIS INFORMATION ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR THEIR OWN ACTIONS. ALTHOUGH EVERY REASONABLE ATTEMPT HAS BEEN MADE TO ENSURE THE ACCURACY OF THE INFORMATION PROVIDED, UTTERBACK MARKETING SERVICES INC. ASSUMES NO RESPONSIBILITY FOR ANY ERRORS OR OMISSIONS. ANY REPUBLICATION OR OTHER USE OF THIS INFORMATION AND THOUGHTS EXPRESSED HEREIN WITHOUT THE WRITTEN PERMISSION OF UTTERBACK MARKETING SERVICES INC. IS STRICTLY PROHIBITED. COPYRIGHT UTTERBACK MARKETING SERVICES INC. 2009.
 
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