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AgDay Daily Recap -July 15, 2014

July 15, 2014
 
 

 

TODAY ON AGDAY
JULY 15, 2014
 
OPEN HEADLINES:
TODAY ON AGDAY USDA LABS GET SHIPPED A DEADLY VIRUS BY ACCIDENT
FRANKLY I'M ANGRY ABOUT IT. DETAILS COMING UP…IN AGRIBUSINESS...WATCHING WHEAT PRICES FROM THE 3I SHOW IN WESTERN KANSAS…PLUS...GROWERS CONTINUE TO SEARCH FOR CONSERVATION PRACTICES THAT WORK, AND HEADING TO SUMMER CAMP TO LEARN ABOUT HEALTHY EATING. IN THE COUNTRY FROM TENNESSEE TODAY ON
AGDAY BROUGHT TO YOU BY CHEVY SILVERADO...THE 2014 NORTH AMERICAN TRUCK OF THE YEAR.
USDA STATEMENT:
WE REACHED OUT TO USDA'S AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH SERVICE REGARDING THEIR DISCOVERY OF THE C-D-C ERROR. IT'S PRESS OFFICE SAID AS PART OF ITS ROUTINE AVIAN INFLUENZA POULTRY DISEASE RESEARCH PROGRAM, THE A-R-S LAB IN ATHENS, GEORGIA, REQUESTED A LOW PATHOGEN FLU VIRUS. BUT INSTEAD IT RECEIVED A HIGH PATHOGEN AVIAN FLU VIRUS. A-R-S EMPLOYEES NOTIFIED CDC OF THE CONTAMINATION AND DESTROYED THE SAMPLES.
SCOTT IRWIN:
SO HOW GOOD COULD THE U.S. CORN CROP BE? ACCORDING TO ECONOMISTS, SINCE 1960 THERE HAVE BEEN SIX YEARS WHEN THE NATIONAL AVERAGE CORN YIELD CAME IN ABOUT 14 BUSHELS TO THE ACRE ABOVE TREND LINE YIELD.
THE WEATHER DURING ALL SIX PROVED COOLER THAN NORMAL, AND AVERAGED ABOUT AN INCH OF RAIN PER WEEK DURING JUNE, JULY AND AUGUST. IF THE RAINFALL WAS TOO MUCH IN ANY ONE OF THE THREE I STATES (ILLINOIS, INDIANA, OR IOWA)---LIKE IN IOWA WHICH SAW DOUBLE THAT AMOUNT DURING JUNE OF THIS YEAR-- THEN THE RECORD SETTING YIELD FAILED TO MATERIALIZE.
 KANSAS CONSERVATION:  MEAN WHILE, CORN IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN KANSAS LOOKED PRETTY GOOD WHILE I WAS THERE LAST WEEK FOR THE 3I SHOW. SOME AREAS GETTING TEN INCHES OF RAIN IN THE MONTH OF JUNE ALONE…THAT'S A FAR CRY FROM THE LAST FEW YEARS WHEN CRIPPLING DROUGHT TORCHED FIELDS AND PASTURES. THE EXTREME DRYNESS HAS FARMERS IN THE REGION CONTINUING TO SEARCH FOR CONSERVATION SYSTEMS THAT WORK.  SIBERIAN HALL: NOW CHECK THIS OUT....THIS VIDEO SHOWS BEACH-GOERS IN SIBERIA, HUDDLING DESPERATELY UNDER UMBRELLAS, AS CHERRY-SIZED HAILSTONES PELT THEM MERCILESSLY.
IT LASTED ABOUT 15 MINUTES. TWO CHILDREN DIED. THEIR DEATHS ARE UNDER INVESTIGATION WEATHER HAS BEEN UNUSUALLY EXTREME ACROSS MUCH OF RUSSIA THIS SUMMER WITH SNOW HITTING PARTS THAT RARELY REACH FREEZING DURING THE SEASON.
 DTR MILK FORECAST: IN NEWS FROM OUR PARTNERS AT DAIRY TODAY - THE JULY 11 SUPPLY-DEMAND REPORT FORECASTS 2014'S ALL-MILK PRICE AVERAGE AT $23.40 PER HUNDRED AND IT'S PROJECTING EVEN MORE MILK IN 2015. IN 2014 IT EXPECTS PRODUCERS TO PUMP NEARLY 206 BILLION POUNDS-- A RECORD AMOUNT...AND MORE THAN 4 AND HALF BILLION MORE THAN LAST YEAR.
2015 PRODUCTION IS NOW FORECAST AT MORE THAN 212 BILLION POUNDS.
DTR CHEESE VARIETY:
A NEW PACKAGED FACTS REPORT SAYS U.S. CONSUMERS ARE EATING MORE NATURAL AND SPECIALTY CHEESES.THAT MARKET IS NOW WORTH ABOUT 16 BILLION DOLLARS AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP GROWING BY 4 PERCENT A YEAR.
NEWLY LAUNCHED FLAVORS INCLUDE SMOKY, PEPPERY AND VERY ROBUST.
THE REPORT POINTS TO THE RISE IN SNACKING AS ONE REASON BEHIND THE SPECIALTY CHEESE SURGE…ALSO THE  DEVELOPMENT OF NEW VARIETIES LIKE THOSE THAT ARE LOWER IN FAT, SODIUM OR LACTOSE FREE.
TEASE:
UP NEXT, WE RETURN TO DODGE CITY, KANSAS FOR THIS MORNING'S ANALYSIS. I DISCUSSED WHEAT PRICES WITH ONE OF THE LEADING EXPERTS IN THE COUNTRY.
3I SHOW:
COVERAGE OF THE THREE I SHOW IS BROUGHT TO YOU BY CRUSTBUSTER-SPEED KING.
ANALYSIS:
 WELL WE'RE AT THE 3I SHOW ENJOYING THE SUNSHINE AND THE WARM TEMPERATURES HERE IN DODGE CITY KANSAS WITH ME IS KIM ANDERSON GRAIN MARKETING SPECIALIST OVER AT OKLAHOMA STATE UNIVERSITY KIM WE HAD A REPORT COME OUT LAST FRIDAY TELL US WHAT YOU SAW FROM WHEAT PERSPECTIVE. WELL I DON'T THINK THE NEWS WAS GOOD FOR WHEAT PRODUCTION WAS HIGHER ESPECIALLY FOR HARD RED WINTER WHEAT THAN THE MARKET EXPECTED OF COURSE YOU SAW THE PRICES FALL OFF IMMEDIATELY AFTER THAT ENDING STOCKS HIGHER FOR THE 13-14 MARKETING YEAR ABOUT WHERE EXPECTED FOR THE 14-15 MARKETING YEARS AND JUST GOING TO HAVE TO SEE WHAT HAPPENS AROUND THE WORLD BECAUSE YOU HAD GOOD WHEAT PRODUCTION IN THE WORLD WHICH IMPLIES EXPORT DEMAND MAY BE LOWER THAN WE'D LIKE TO HAVE IT AT. ANY SAVING GRACE ON THE WORLD MARKET AND WHAT WE SEE FROM THE REST OF THE WORLD OBVIOUSLY NOT RIGHT. I DON'T SEE ANY SAVING GRACE RIGHT NOW OF COURSE THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE CROP ARE PROBABLY 50 OR 60% HARVESTED WE'LL FINISH THAT UP IN AUGUST EARLY SEPTEMBER THEN WE'LL SHIFT OVER TO THE ARGENTINE AND AUSTRALIAN WHEAT CROP SO THOSE WILL BE THE 2 IMPORTANT COURSE WITH THE HARD RED WINTER WHEAT THE SOFT WHEAT'S WE GOT THE SPRING WHEAT CROP COMING ON AND IN CANADA AND NORTHERN US THOSE CROPS ON THE REPORT LOOK GOOD AGAIN THAT'S HIGH GOOD PRODUCTION PROJECTIONS FOR THAT THEREFORE LOWER PRICES. KIM WHAT ARE YOU WATCHING AS FAR AS INDICATORS OR WHERE THAT MARKET COULD GO? WELL I'M WATCHING OF COURSE THE CROPS AROUND THE WORLD WE MENTIONED THE CANADIAN CROP THE SPRING CROP THE ARGENTINE CROP THE AUSTRALIAN CROPS THOSE ARE ALL IMPORTANT BUT TECHNICALLY I'M WATCHING THE KANSAS CITY THE KC AND THE CHICAGO WHAT CONTRACT PRICES THIS LAST WEEK THEY CLOSED BELOW SOME CRITICAL LEVELS THAT THEY STAY AT BELOW THOSE LEVELS OF LAST WEEK IT WAS LIKE 6.40 FOR KC TO SEPTEMBER CONTRACT THEN I THINK WE'VE GOT ANOTHER 30 MAYBE EVEN 40 CENTS DOWN IF WE GO DOWN ANOTHER 40 OR 50 THERE IS THE POTENTIAL THAT WE COULD GO TO A MUCH LOWER LEVEL ON WHEAT PRICES I DON'T THINK THAT'S GOING TO HAPPEN BUT IT IS GIVEN THE PRODUCTION IN THE WORLD I AM CONCERNED ABOUT THAT. ALRIGHT KIM THANKS FOR BEING HERE, THANKS FOR JOINING US AT THE 3I SHOW WE'LL BE BACK WITH MORE AGDAY IN JUST A MINUTE.
WX:
WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY, MIKE, ONE OF OUR PRODUCERS WES MILLS CAUGHT THIS PHOTO OF WHAT ALMOST LOOKS LIKE A FUNNEL FORMING JUST BETWEEN ILLINOIS AND THE QUAD CITIES. HE WAS ON A BARN TOUR ACTUALLY TAKING SOME PICTURES AND THERE IT WAS. WITHOUT VIDEO I CAN'T BE 100 PERCENT SURE THIS WAS A FUNNEL CLOUD, BUT IT SURE LOOKS LIKE ONES. SURE DOES. IN THE PICTURE, AND THERE WERE SOME VERY HEAVY THUNDERSTORM AROUND AT THAT MOMENT. BUT THANKS GOODNESS WE DIDN'T HEAR OF ANY TORNADO TOUCHING DOWN IN THAT AREA. I'VE BEEN ON TORNADO CHASES, AND HAVEN'T SEEN ANYTHING QUITE LIKE THAT. BUT OUR PRODUCERS GOES OUT AND FINDS IT RIGHT AWAY. THERE'S THE WEATHER MAP THIS MORNING YOU CAN SEE THE COLD FRONT ALREADY GOING SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL TEXAS FOR A STRONG COLD FRONT TO BE GOING THAT FAR SOUTH THIS TIME OF YEAR IS VERY UNUSUAL. AND IT'S GOING TO GO ALL THE WAY TO THE GULF COAST AREAS AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS OR SO. STILL SOME LINGERING SHOWERS IN THE GREAT LAKES… BELIEVE VE IT OR NOT, THERE WILL BE MANY PLACES WITH HIGHS TODAY ONLY IN THE 60S IN THOSE AREAS WHICH WILL BE RECORD BREAKING COLD HIGH TEMPS IN SOME LOCATIONS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UP AND DOWN THE EAST COAST AND ALSO THE SOUTHEAST…. SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES... THEN A FEW INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AS WELL… HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD SOUTHEASTWARD AS WE HEAD INTO TOMORROW MORNING. I THINK THERE WILL BE A FEW 40S UNDERNEATH THAT HIGH FOR LOW TEMPS EVEN THOUGH OUR MAP WILL SHOW MAINLY 50S THERE. HIGH PRESSURE BEING SQUEEZED SOUTHWARD INTO THE GULF.... SO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RIGHT ALONG THE ULF INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF THE COUNTRY. AND THE COLD FRONT GOES OFF SHORE AS WE HEAD INTO TODAY AND TOMORROW. MIDATLANTIC, STILL SOME LINGERING SPOTTY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AROUND THE GREAT LAKES…. JUST BECAUSE OF THE COLD AIR IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE PRODUCERS SOME INSTABILITY. THERE'S A PRECIP ESTIMATE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, 36 HOURS. AND YOU CAN ACTUALLY SEE AS WE HAVE SEEN SOME POCKETS OF DECENT RAIN, BUT IT HASN'T BEEN ANY WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN. ADDING ON THE NEXT 36 YOU CAN SEE MOST OF IT'S IN THE SOUTHEAST, AND SOME DECENT AMOUNTS UP AND DOWN THE SPINE OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE THERE AREAS MIGHT GET SOME DECENT RAINS. HEAT IS CONFINED TO SOUTH TEXAS AND FAR SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. LOOK AT THE HIGHS, EVEN A 59 DEGREE READING IN SIOUX SAINT MARIE ON OUR COMPUTER MODEL. LOW TEMP TONIGHT GOING TO BE IN THE 50S BUT AGAIN A FEW 40S IN SPOTS UNDERNEATH THE HIGH… MID 70S A THE WAY DOWN THE GULF COAST... AND HIGHS TOMORROW ONLY IN THE MID 80 TO THE GULF COAST… THE HEAT REALLY SHOVED TO THE SOUTHWEST. THERE'S THE JET STREAM. YOU CAN SEE THE TROPH IS SITTING OVER THE GREAT LAKES. IT'S GOING TO TAKE A WHILE BUT IT WILL MOVE EASTWARD. WE'RE STARTING GO GET A RIDGE ESPECIALLY OUT WEST. BUT WATCH WHAT HAPPENS. OUR COMPUTER MODEL STATS TO DIG IN ANOTHER TROPH... AND THAT WILL COME IN LATER NEXT WEEK WITH ANOTHER SHOT OF COOL AIR. NOT AS COLD AS THIS ONE BUT COOL NONETHELESS. THAT'S A LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY. LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT SOME LOCAL FORECASTS, AND FIRST OF ALL GLENDINE MONTANA MOSTLY SUNNY AND PLEASANT, HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 76.  FORT SMITH ARKANSAS PARTLY SUNNY, BECOMING COOLER AND LESS HUMID, HIGH OF JUST 80. AND BAY CITY MICHIGAN, BREEZY AND CHILLY. SHOWER HIGH OF 63.
TEASE:
 STILL TO COME THE BATTLE AGAINST SODIUM AND WHY IT SEEMS TO BE LOSING MOMENTUM...BUT FIRST…ITC NUTRITION CAMP: SUMMER-TIME MEANS SUMMER-CAMP, BUT HOW ABOUT 'NUTRITION' CAMP?   A PROGRAM RUN BY THE UNIVERSITY OF TENNESSEE EXTENSION IS RUNNING SUCH A PROGRAM. IN THIS REPORT PROVIDED BY THE U-T INSTITUTE OF AGRICULTURE, CHUCK DENNEY TAKES US TO A DAY IN THE PARK WHERE FOOD AND ACTIVITY ARE THE LESSONS LEARNED.
ITC TAG:
THE TNCEP ("TENN-CEP") PROGRAM WORKS MOSTLY WITH TENNESSEE FAMILIES WHO RECEIVE SNAP BENEFITS - OR WHAT USED TO BE KNOWN AS THE FOOD STAMP PROGRAM. ...FOOD AND YOUR FAMILY IS NEXT.
BB COVER CROP:
LEARN MORE ABOUT COVER CROPS AT AGWEB'S COVER CROPS SECTION - SPONSORED BY COVER CROP SOLUTIONS - HOME OF THE TILLAGE RADISH. VISIT AGWEB.COM/COVERCROPS
SIBLING INFLUENCE:
AND WHO'S INFLUENCING YOUR KIDS' EATING? YOU MAY WANT TO LOOK ACROSS THE TABLE. A NEW STUDY FOUND THAT SIBLINGS MAY HAVE THE BIGGEST IMPACT. THE REPORT FOUND THAT THE RISK OF A CHILD BEING OBESE IS MORE THAN DOUBLE WHEN THEY HAVE AN OBESE SIBLING. THAT'S COMPARED TO HAVING AN OBESE PARENT... THE RISK IS EVEN HIGHER IF THE SIBLINGS ARE THE SAME GENDER.
CLOSE:
THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. WE'RE GLAD YOU TUNED IN. FOR MIKE HOFFMAN, I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. HAVE A GREAT DAY.
RFD PROMO:
COMING ON TUESDAY ON AGDAY - LOOKING FOR ANSWERS AFTER A GOVERNMENT AGENCY ACCIDENTALLY SENDS A DEADLY VIRUS TO A USDA POULTRY LAB. PLUS, KANSAS FARMERS SEARCH FOR CONSERVATION SYSTEMS THAT WORK. JOIN US EIGHT EASTERN ON RFD.
STATION PROMO:
COMING UP WEDNESDAY ON AGDAY - HE'S USUALLY STUCK IN AN OFFICE, BUT USDA METEOROLOGIST BRAD RIPPEY HEADS TO THE FIELD. I COULD READ BOOKS FOR A YEAR IN MY OFFICE AND NOT GAIN WHAT I GAINED IN ONE DAY OUT HERE IN THE FIELD. METEOROLOGIST MIKE HOFFMAN HAS THE STORY. JOIN US WEEKDAYS FOR AGDAY.

 

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