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RSS By: Jim Wyckoff, Pro Farmer

Pro Farmer technical analyst Jim Wyckoff's daily thoughts.

Jim's Afternoon Markets Report--Jan. 30

Jan 31, 2013

Wednesday Evening, January 30-Jim Wyckoff's Daily Markets
Update

Questions? Just email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com . I enjoy
hearing from my readers worldwide.--Jim

Click below for "Today’s Hot Market" item on my website.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/hotmarket/hotmarket.asp

Dear Valued Subscriber: Following are today's significant
developments in the U.S. futures markets.

*. LIVESTOCK: April live cattle closed down $0.17 at
$132.80 today. Prices closed near the session low again
today on another corrective pullback from Monday’s big
gains. The bulls still have upside near-term technical
momentum to suggest a market bottom is in place and that
prices can trend sideways to higher in the near term. The
two-day pause after Monday’s big gains is not bearish. The
bulls' next upside price breakout objective is to push and
close prices above solid technical resistance at $135.00.
The next downside technical breakout objective for the
bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical
support at $131.25. First resistance is seen at $133.00 and
then at this week’s high of $133.60. First support is seen
at $132.50 and then at $132.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
5.5

March feeder cattle closed up $0.30 at $149.12 today.
Prices closed near the session low today in quieter
trading. The feeder bulls still have some technical
momentum to suggest a market bottom is in place and that
prices can trend sideways to higher in the near term. The
next upside price breakout objective for the feeder bulls
is to push and close prices above solid technical
resistance at $151.00. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is to push and close prices below
solid technical support at the November low of $146.85.
First resistance is seen at $149.45 and then at $150.00.
First support is seen at $148.50 and then at 148.00.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0

April lean hogs closed down $0.37 at $89.25 today. Prices
closed near the session low today after hitting a fresh
three-week high early on. The hog bulls and bears are on a
level near-term technical playing field. The next upside
price breakout objective for the hog bulls is to push and
close prices above solid chart resistance at $91.00. The
next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
pushing prices below solid technical support at the January
low of $86.90. First resistance is seen at $89.80 and then
at today’s high of $90.25. First support is seen at this
week’s low of $88.95 and then at $88.65. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 5.0

*. GRAINS: March corn futures last traded up 11 1/4 cents
at $7.40 3/4 today in late trading. Prices were near the
session high, hit a fresh seven-week high and were scoring
a bullish “outside day” up on the daily bar chart. A lower
U.S. dollar index today helped to boost corn. Corn bulls
gained fresh upside technical momentum today and they also
now have the slight near-term technical advantage. Corn
bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close
prices above solid technical resistance at $7.50. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing
and closing prices below solid technical support at last
week’s low of $7.14 1/2. First resistance for March corn is
seen at today’s high of $7.41 and then at $7.45. First
support is seen at $7.35 and then at $7.30. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 5.5

March soybeans were up 26 1/2 cents at $14.78 1/4 a bushel
in late trading today. Prices were near the session high
and hit a fresh six-week high today. Fresh demand for U.S.
beans from China, dry weather in Argentina and a lower U.S.
dollar index all boosted soybeans today. Bulls today
regained the slight near-term technical advantage. The next
near-term upside technical breakout objective for the
soybean bulls is pushing and closing prices above
psychological resistance at $15.00 a bushel. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing
and closing prices below psychological support at $14.00.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of $14.81 3/4 and
then at $14.90. First support is seen at $14.60 3/4 and
then at $14.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

March soybean meal was up $9.00 at $432.70 today in late
trading. Prices were nearer the session high and hit a
fresh five-week high today. Bulls have regained the slight
near-term technical advantage. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bulls is to produce a close
above solid technical resistance at $450.00. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing
and closing prices below solid technical support at last
week’s low of $408.00. First resistance comes in at today’s
high of $434.30 and then at $435.80. First support is seen
at $430.00 and then at $425.30. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
5.5

March bean oil was up 87 points at 52.58 cents in late
trading today. Prices were nearer the session high and hit
a fresh three-month high today. Prices also scored a
bullish “outside day” up on the daily bar chart. Bean oil
bulls have the near-term technical advantage and gained
more upside momentum today as a six-week-old uptrend is in
place on the daily bar chart. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bean oil bulls is pushing and
closing prices above solid technical resistance at 53.31
cents. Bean oil bears' next downside technical price
breakout objective is pushing and closing prices below
major technical support at 51.00 cents. First resistance is
seen at today’s high of 52.71 cents and then at 53.00
cents. First support is seen at 52.36 cents and then at
52.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

March Chicago SRW wheat was up 10 cents at $7.87 in late
trading today. Prices were nearer the session high and
scored a bullish “outside day” up on the daily bar chart.
The lower U.S. dollar index was supportive for wheat today.
Also, the dry U.S. Plains states are bullish for wheat
markets. Wheat bears still have the overall near-term
technical advantage. Wheat bulls’ next upside breakout
objective is to push and close Chicago SRW prices above
solid technical resistance at $8.00 a bushel. The next
downside price breakout objective for the wheat futures
bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical
support at the January low of $7.36 1/4. First resistance
is seen at today’s high of $7.89 and then at $8.00. First
support lies at $7.75 and then at last week’s low of $7.63.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.5.

March K.C. HRW wheat was up 9 3/4 cents at $8.40 1/2 in
late trading today. Prices were nearer the session high and
scored a bullish “outside day” up on the daily bar chart.
HRW bears still have the overall near-term technical
advantage. Bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is
pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance
at the January high of $8.52. The bears' next downside
breakout objective is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at the January low of $7.85 1/4.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of $8.42 and then
at $8.52. First support is seen at $8.35 and then at this
week’s low of $8.24 3/4. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.5

March oats were up 2 cents at $3.62 in late trading today.
Prices were nearer the session low today and hit a fresh
five-week high early on. Oats bulls today gained the slight
near-term technical advantage. Bears' next downside price
breakout objective is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at $3.50. Bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is pushing and closing prices above
solid technical resistance at $3.75. First support lies at
this week’s low of $3.57 1/4 and then at last week’s low of
$3.54 3/4. First resistance is seen at $3.65 and then at
today’s high of $3.69 3/4. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5

*. SOFTS: March sugar closed up 29 points at 18.67 cents
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today on short
covering in a bear market. The lower U.S. dollar index was
bullish for sugar today. The sugar bears still have the
solid overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next
upside price breakout objective is to push and close prices
above solid technical resistance at 19.19 cents. Bears'
next downside price breakout objective is to push and close
prices below solid technical support at last week’s low of
18.06 cents. First resistance is seen at 18.78 cents and
then at this week’s high of 18.96 cents. First support is
seen at today’s low of 18.27 cents and then at 18.06 cents.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5.

March coffee closed down 150 points at 148.30 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session low today and scored a
bearish “outside day” down on the daily bar chart. The
lower U.S. dollar index could not help the coffee bulls
today, which is another bearish clue for coffee. The coffee
bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. The
next upside breakout objective for the bulls is to close
prices above solid technical resistance at the January high
of 157.90 cents. The next downside price breakout objective
for the bears is closing prices below solid technical
support at the contract low of 141.24 cents a pound. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of 150.80 cents and then
at 151.80 cents. First support is seen at today’s low of
147.15 cents and then at last week’s low of 146.10 cents.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0.

March cocoa closed down $9 at $2,186 a ton. Prices closed
near mid-range today, scored a bearish “outside day” down
on the daily bar chart and hit a fresh seven-month low. A
lower U.S. dollar index could not help the cocoa bulls
today, which is another bearish clue for cocoa. The cocoa
bears have the solid near-term technical advantage. The
next upside price breakout objective for the cocoa bulls is
to push and close prices above solid technical resistance
at the January high of $2,313. The next downside price
breakout objective for the bears is pushing and closing
prices below solid technical support at $2,115. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of $2,207 and then at
$2,225. First support is seen at today’s low of $2,155 and
then at $2,125. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5

March cotton closed up 56 points at 82.95 cents today.
Prices closed near the session high today and are hovering
near an 8.5-month high. The U.S. dollar index was weaker
today and that was bullish for cotton. The cotton bulls
have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. The
next upside price breakout objective for the bulls is to
produce a close above solid technical resistance at last
week’s high of 84.00 cents. The next downside price
breakout objective for the cotton bears is to push and
close prices below solid technical support at 77.00 cents.
First resistance is seen at 84.00 cents and then at 84.50
cents. First support is seen at today’s low of 82.05 cents
and then at 81.45 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

March orange juice closed up 480 points at $1.1910 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today and hit a fresh
four-week high. Short covering and bargain hunting were
seen today, on news that some colder weather is headed for
Florida citrus regions in the coming days. Today’s price
action also saw a bullish upside “breakout” from the recent
choppy and sideways trading range. FCOJ bulls and bears are
now back on a level near-term technical playing field. The
next upside price breakout objective for the FCOJ bulls is
pushing and closing prices above technical resistance at
$1.2400. The next downside technical breakout objective for
the FCOJ bears is to produce a close below solid technical
support at $1.1250. First resistance is seen at today’s
high of $1.1970 and then at $1.2000. First support is seen
at $1.1780 and then at $1.1600. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
5.0.

March lumber futures closed down $9.60 at $342.70 today.
Prices closed near the session low again today and hit a
fresh seven-week low. A weak U.S. GDP report today helped
to sink the lumber market. Serious chart damage has been
inflicted recently and bears have downside near-term
technical momentum to suggest a market top is in place.
Prices are also in a five-week-old downtrend on the daily
bar chart. The next downside technical breakout objective
for the lumber bears is pushing and closing prices below
solid technical support at $330.00. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bulls is pushing and closing
prices above solid technical resistance at $362.50. First
resistance is seen at $345.00 and then at today’s high of
$347.70. First support is seen at today’s low of $342.30
and then at $340.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5

*. METALS: February gold futures closed up $18.40 an ounce
at $1,679.40 today. Prices closed nearer the session high
today and were supported by a weak U.S. GDP report and a
friendly FOMC statement. The U.S. dollar index was lower
today and that was also gold market bullish. Bulls have
regained the slight near-term technical advantage as they
now have some upside momentum on their side. The gold
bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is to produce a
close above solid technical resistance at $1,700.00. Bears'
next near-term downside breakout price objective is closing
prices below solid technical support at this week’s low of
$1,651.00. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
$1,683.00 and then at $1,695.40. First support is seen at
$1,670.00 and then at today’s low of $1,661.80. Wyckoff’s
Market Rating: 5.5

March silver futures closed up $0.941 an ounce at $32.13
today. Prices closed nearer the session high again today on
more short covering and bargain hunting. The U.S. dollar
index was weaker and that was bullish for silver today.
Silver bulls have the near-term technical advantage and
gained some more upside momentum today. Bulls’ next upside
price breakout objective is closing prices above solid
technical resistance at last week’s high of $32.485 an
ounce. The next downside price breakout objective for the
bears is closing prices below solid technical support at
this week’s low of $30.745. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of $32.30 and then at $32.485. Next support is
seen at $31.75 and then at $31.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
6.0.

March N.Y. copper closed up 585 points at 375.00 cents
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and
closed at a fresh 3.5-month high close. Copper bulls gained
upside technical momentum and now have the overall near-
term technical advantage. Prices are in a choppy 10-week-
old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Copper bulls' next
upside breakout objective is pushing and closing prices
above solid technical resistance at the September high of
384.80 cents. The next downside price breakout objective
for the bears is closing prices below solid technical
support at last week’s low of 364.05 cents. First
resistance is seen at the January high of 375.90 cents and
then at 377.50 cents. First support is seen at 372.00 cents
and then at 370.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

*. ENERGIES: March crude oil closed up $0.44 a barrel at
$98.01 today. Prices closed nearer the session high again
today and hit another fresh 4.5-month high. The crude bulls
have the overall near-term technical advantage and have
gained more upside momentum this week. Prices are in a
seven-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. The next
near-term upside price breakout objective for the crude oil
bulls is producing a close above major psychological
resistance at $100.00 a barrel. The next near-term downside
price breakout objective for the crude oil bears is to
produce a close below solid technical support at $94.00.
First resistance is seen at today’s high of $98.24 and then
at $99.00. First support is seen at today’s low of $97.32
and then at $97.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5

March heating oil closed up 159 points at $3.1251 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today and hit a fresh
3.5-month high. Bulls have the near-term technical
advantage and have gained fresh upside momentum this week.
A choppy six-week-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar
chart. The bulls' next upside price breakout objective is
closing prices above solid technical resistance at the
October high of $3.1798. Bears' next downside price
breakout objective is producing a close below solid
technical support at $3.0000. First resistance lies at
today’s high of $3.1341 and then at $3.1500. First support
is seen $3.1137 and then at today’s low of $3.0980.
Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

March (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed up 677 points at
$3.0411 today. Prices closed near the session high again
today and hit another fresh contract high. The market has
been boosted this week by a refinery closure on the U.S.
east coast. Gasoline bulls have the solid overall near-term
technical advantage. The next upside price breakout
objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid
technical resistance at $3.10. Bears' next downside price
breakout objective is closing prices below solid support at
$2.8750. First resistance is seen at today’s contract high
of $3.0500 and then at $3.0750. First support is seen at
$3.0000 and then at today’s low of $2.9618. Wyckoff's
Market Rating: 8.5.

March natural gas closed up 7.7 cents at $3.335 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today on short
covering in a bear market. Nat gas bears are still in near-
term technical control. The next upside price breakout
objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid
technical resistance at the January high of $3.646. The
next downside price breakout objective for the bears is
closing prices below solid technical support at the January
low of $3.10. First resistance is seen at this week’s high
of $3.414 and then at $3.50. First support is seen at
today’s low of $3.261 and then at this week’s low of
$3.232. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5.

*.STOCKS, FINANCIALS, CURRENCIES: The March Euro currency
closed up 84 points at 1.3575 today. Prices closed near the
session high and hit a fresh 13-month high today. Bulls
have the solid overall near-term technical advantage and
gained more power today. Prices are in a 2.5-month-old
uptrend on the daily bar chart. Euro bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is pushing and closing prices
above solid technical resistance at 1.3750. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid chart support at 1.3400. First
resistance for the Euro lies at today’s high of 1.3592 and
then at 1.3650. Next support is seen at 1.3500 and then at
this week’s low of 1.3418. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.5

The March Japanese yen closed down 50 points at 1.0977
today. Prices closed near mid-range today and hit another
contract low. Bears have the solid overall near-term
technical advantage. Prices are in a steep four-month-old
downtrend on the daily bar chart. There are still no early
clues of a market bottom being close at hand. Bulls' next
upside price breakout objective is closing prices above
solid resistance at 1.1400. Bears' next downside breakout
objective is closing prices below solid technical support
at 1.0800. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of
1.1074 and then at 1.1100. First support is seen at today’s
contract low of 1.0943 and then at 1.0900. Wyckoff's Market
Rating: 1.0.

The March Swiss franc closed up 128 points at 1.0979 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high and hit a fresh four-
week high today. The Swissy bulls this week have regained
the near-term technical advantage. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices above
solid resistance at the December high of 1.1026. The next
downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing
prices below solid technical support at this week’s low of
1.0766. First resistance is seen at today’s high of 1.1003
and then at 1.1026. First support is seen at 1.0900 and
then at today’s low of 1.0843. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
7.0.

The March Australian dollar closed down 58 points at 1.0370
today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. Bulls
still have the overall near-term technical advantage.
Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is closing
prices above solid chart resistance at the January high of
1.0547. The next downside breakout objective for the bears
is to produce a close below solid technical support at the
December low of 1.0281. First resistance is seen at 1.0400
and then at this week’s high of 1.0434. Next support is
seen at today’s low of 1.0362 and then at this week’s low
of 1.0347. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

The March Canadian dollar closed up 7 points at .9973
today. Prices closed nearer the session high again today
and saw more short covering. Bears still have the overall
near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is producing a close above chart
resistance at 1.0100. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is closing prices below solid
technical support at .9800. First resistance is seen at
today’s high of .9981 and then at 1.0000. First support is
seen at today’s low of .9936 and then at this week’s low of
.9889. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

The March British pound closed up 39 points at 1.5792
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today on more
short covering. Bears still have the overall near-term
technical advantage. Prices are in a steep four-week-old
downtrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside price
breakout objective for the bulls is closing prices above
solid technical resistance at 1.6000. Bears' next downside
technical breakout objective is closing prices below solid
support at 1.5500. First resistance is seen at today’s high
of 1.5813 and then at 1.5850. First support is seen at
today’s low of 1.5721 and then at this week’s low of
1.5670. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

The March U.S. dollar index closed down 30 points at 79.31
today. Prices closed nearer the session low and hit a fresh
five-week low today. The bears have the solid overall near-
term technical advantage and this week are gaining fresh
downside momentum. Bulls' next upside price breakout
objective is to close prices above solid technical
resistance at 80.27. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is to produce a close below solid
technical support at the December low of 79.01. Next
resistance lies at today’s high of 79.66 and then at 80.00.
First support is seen at today’s low of 79.21 and then at
79.01. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.5.

March U.S. T-Bonds closed down 5/32 at 143 9/32 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today and hit a fresh contract
low. Not even a friendly FOMC report and a weak GDP report
could help the bond market bulls today, and that’s a very
bearish clue. T-Bond bears have the solid overall near-term
technical advantage and this week have gained more downside
momentum. The next downside price breakout objective for
the T-Bond bears is closing prices below solid technical
support at 142 even. The next upside technical objective
for the bulls is to produce a close above solid technical
resistance at the January high of 146 17/32. First
resistance is seen at today’s high of 143 22/32 and then at
144 even. First support is seen at 143 even and then at
today’s contract low of 142 19/32. Wyckoff's Market Rating:
1.0.

March U.S. T Notes closed up 1.5 (32nds) at 131.08.5 today.
Prices closed near mid-range on short covering in a bear
market. Bears still have the overall near-term technical
advantage. The next upside price breakout objective for the
bulls is closing prices above solid resistance at the
January high of 132.17.5. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is producing a close below solid
technical support at the September low of 130.10.5. First
resistance is seen at this week’s high of 131.16.5 and then
at 131.24.0. First support is seen at today’s low of
130.30.0 and then at 130.24.0. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0

GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT: The U.S. stock indexes closed
weaker today on profit taking. Bulls still have the overall
near-term technical advantage as the indexes hover near the
recent highs. The big news of the day for the precious
metals was a surprisingly weak U.S. economic report.
Fourth-quarter U.S. GDP contracted by 0.1% on an annual
basis. It is the first U.S. GDP decline in over three
years. The market place was expecting the figure to be up
1.0%. The gold and silver markets popped higher immediately
following the GDP report, on ideas the weak data will
prompt the Federal Reserve to adhere to is very easy money
policies presently in place. Also on Wednesday afternoon
the two-day FOMC meeting ended with its official policy
statement indicating still-tepid U.S. economic growth that
suggests the central bank will keep its monetary policy
very easy, including continuing to purchase government
bonds. Most market watchers expected the Fed to keep U.S.
monetary policy unchanged. However, traders also were
watching for any nuances that were included in the Fed
statement, which could provide early clues on when the Fed
will stop its asset purchases. The market place read on
Wednesday’s FOMC is that the Fed will have to continue to
fight sluggish economic growth with very accommodative
monetary policy.

The Nasdaq stock futures index closed down 6.25 at 2,736.50
today. Prices closed near mid-range today. Bulls still have
the near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price
breakout objective is closing prices above solid resistance
at 2,800.00. The bears' next downside price breakout
objective is closing prices below solid technical support
at 2,675.00. First resistance is seen at today’s high of
2,751.75 and then at last week’s high of 2,768.75. First
support is seen at this week’s low of 2,716.25 and then at
last week’s low of 2,707.75. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5

The S&P 500 futures index closed down 10.10 at 1,495.00.
Prices closed near the daily low today. Prices poked to a
fresh five-year high early on today. Bulls still have the
solid near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside
price breakout objective is closing prices above solid
resistance at 1,525.00. The next downside price breakout
objective for the bears is closing prices below solid
support at 1,457.00. First resistance is seen at today’s
high of 1,505.90 and then at 1,515.00. First support is
seen at this week’s low of 1,491.20 and then at last week’s
low of 1,475.10. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

The Dow futures closed down 63 points at 13,845. Prices
closed near the session low today. Bulls have the solid
near-term technical advantage. The next upside price
objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid
technical resistance at 14,000. The next downside price
objective for the bears is closing prices below solid
technical support at 13,500. First resistance in the Dow
lies at this week’s high of 13,908 and then at 13,950.
First support is seen at this week’s low of 13,805 and then
at 13,750. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

Click below for my welcome letter to all new customers and
for an explanation of my Market Rating System.

http://www.jimwyckoff.com/newsletter/WelcomeAboard/

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage
any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It
is my goal to point out to you potential trading
opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when
and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine
the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I
discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for
everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS.
Before you invest any money in futures or options
contracts, you should consider your financial experience,
goals and financial resources, and know how much you can
afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a
broker. You should understand commodity futures and options
contracts and your obligations in entering into those
contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and
other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk
disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.

Jim Wyckoff
 

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