“It was the best of times, it was the worst of times.” Was Charles Dickens a Hoosier?
He may as well be an honorary Indiana resident in 2016, as “mixed bag” reports continue to pour in from a state plagued with too much rain in the southern half of the state and not enough rain in the northern half. Expect these frustrating patterns to contine, according to Dev Niyogi, Indiana state climatologist.
“We have spatially varying wet/dry patterns, and this is what we had expected as we transitioned the El Niño/ La Niña phases,” he says. “We expect more of the same over the rest of the growing season.”
USDA has high hopes for the state, predicting an average corn yield of 187 bu. per acre statewide. That’s a 37 bu. per acre bump from 2015. In a separate yield estimate, big data startup Descartes Labs says its imagery analysis only puts Indiana corn yields at 177.8 bu. per acre.
A Farm Journal Pulse poll earlier in August suggests an abundance of rain has fallen in parts of the state with big deficits showing up in others. Many areas to the south have received more than 20 inches of rain so far. Meantime, growers in northeastern Indiana have reported seeing 2 inches or less to-date.
According to NASS crop condition reports, Indiana corn and soybeans are both performing just fine. The crop condition report for week ending Aug. 8 pegged the corn crop at 20/53/18 excellent/good/fair and the soybean crop at 19/55/19 excellent/good/fair. NASS says some soybean growers have expressed concerns over less-than-adequate moisture, but the soybean crop is already 90% blooming and 67% setting pods – right on track, according to the 5-year average.
A recent AgWeb Crop Comment reader from LaGrange County, Ind. (in the northeast) perhaps sums up his state the best when he commented:
“As in every year, there are "have's" and "have not's". We've had very little rain in July and only about 0.2 this month. So, I'll be in the "have not" crowd this year along with most of northeast Indiana. Our farms in Michigan and Ohio are probably even dryer. I keep hearing about a big crop on the horizon, so at least I'll be in the double “have not” crowd with low yields AND low prices.”
What will 2016 Pro Farmer Crop Tour scouts discover in the Hoosier State? Tune in next week to find out.
AgWeb will be posting a series of previews for the states covered by the Pro Farmer Midwest Crop Tour: Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Iowa, South Dakota, Nebraska and Minnesota.
The 2016 Pro Farmer Midwest Crop Tour, hosted by Pro Farmer, runs Aug. 22 through Aug. 25. Follow the tour on Twitter with the hashtag #pftour16. Or, you can join the Crop Tour from your own backyard and win! Upload your crop photos on Instagram with the hashtag #pftour16 to enter the Midwest Crop Tour Sweepstakes. Learn more here!