3 Marketing Tips to Tackle Spring Opportunities

March 26, 2019 12:38 PM
 
While planting might seem like a distant dream, it is top of mind for many farmers. As planting draws near, farmers need to have a well-established plan in motion for spring marketing.

While planting might seem like a distant dream, it is top of mind for many farmers. As planting draws near, farmers need to have a well-established plan in motion for spring marketing.

“Have your marketing plan built before you head out in the spring,” says Angie Setzer, vice president of grain for Citizens LLC. “Think it over in your head—what are you hoping to accomplish. When it comes to marketing, nine times out of 10 the market gives the best marketing opportunity when the farmer doesn’t have time to give the market their attention, like spring planting.”

As you go into planting, here are a few tips to Setzer says to keep in mind:

  1. Have target orders in place.
    “One thing we’re discovering is that some opportunities presented in the market structure don’t last long—have orders in place and know what you want to accomplish before you go out into the field.”
  2. Have a plan for moving old crop and be prepared to move it even when it might not be the most convenient.
    “Sometimes the best basis opportunities come when the farmer is busy. Move grain when it’s not the most convenient, weigh the pros and cons and maybe do something someone else isn’t willing to do.”
  3. Consider incremental target orders.
    “I like to see a good portion of production with target orders in places—orders that tend to run a decent 10%, 15% to 20% rally from the previous fall lows. Last fall in corn the lows would have been $55 or $3.60 futures and using the percentage gain approach would put us around that $4 futures target on old crop. Try scale selling. You don’t have to sell the entire new crop, I generally say 50% to 60% of your expected production using incremental values to ensure you’re capturing a rally. Use a broker or elevator to set target orders. Having an order in place is the main thing.”

Corn acres probably won’t hit USDA’s official estimates.

“I’ve been saying since November there is no way we’ll get 94 million acres of corn because of fall field work not getting done. We needed warm, dry spring to get caught up and we didn’t get it," Setzer says. "Plus, the planting cost increases you’ve seen across the board for all crops, particularly corn, will be taken into consideration. Also consider local changes in corn demand, like near me where we have a new soybean crusher that’s pushed more farmers to plant soybeans. This doesn’t mean corn will be below a year ago—we’re seeing conversations at 90 to 91 million acres of corn. If we see this NOAA precipitation and temperature prediction we could whittle these down more.”

 

Back to news


Comments

 
Spell Check

Kevin
Montfort, WI
3/28/2019 06:00 PM
 

  Ck, so I think u should go long futures seeing that u are so positive that better prices are coming. Put your money where your mouth is. Here are the facts. Soybean carryovers are estimated to be 600 million bushels larger than last year. China is buying virtually all beans from South America. Oh and by the way, the swine fever is pulling down hog numbers by the day. Those missing hog numbers don't equate to more soybean demand. There are no $10 soybeans coming. So go long those future contracts and we will see long it takes for u to bleed out.

 
 
ck
bad axe, MI
3/27/2019 06:57 AM
 

  Go contract 60% of your corn and soy's before planting, that way when Trump signs this trade agreement with China and crop prices go up Citizens LLC can make a boat load of money off of the cheap grain you contracted for fall delivery

 
 

Corn College TV Education Series

2014_Team_Shot_with_Logo

Get nearly 8 hours of educational video with Farm Journal's top agronomists. Produced in the field and neatly organized by topic, from spring prep to post-harvest. Order now!

Markets

Market Data provided by QTInfo.com
Brought to you by Beyer
Close