The Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) says the heatwave that began in early to mid–January, accompanied by below-average rainfall across the major summer cropping regions, has resulted in a less-than-favorable summer cropping season. As a result, the agency sees total summer crop production around 13% lower than last year at 4.8 MMT. But it raised its wheat production slightly from its previous estimate, saying harvest was completed before the recent flooding.
ABARES says 2012–13 wheat production is estimated around 22 MMT, down from last year’s record of 29.9 MMT, but up slightly from its previous peg of 22.035 MMT. It pegs barley production at 7.1 MMT and canola production at 3.1 MMT.
ABARES Executive Director, Paul Morris, said heavy rainfall in late January is expected to benefit late sown summer crops and increase the area planted to some summer crops with a later planting window, but had come too late to benefit early sown crops. "The drier and warmer conditions in late spring and early summer have resulted in many producers not fully realizing their planting intentions for grain sorghum and reduced yield prospects," he said.
The entire report is available at this link.