AgDay Daily Recap -Aug. 29, 2016

August 29, 2016 02:57 AM
 

TODAY ON AGDAY
AUG. 29, 2016


OPENING HEADLINES:
COMING UP ON A SPECIAL EDITION OF AGDAY -A LOOK AT THE FINAL RESULTS FROM THE PROFARMER TEAM. PLUS, RECAPPING THE STATE BY STATE EXPERIENCE FROM BOTH EAST AND WEST. IN AGRIBUSINESS...IS IT A RECORD OR NOT? THERE'S STILL A LOT OF OPPORTUNITES TO EITHER A LITTLE BIT BIGGER OR SMALLER. WEEDS MAKING THEIR PRESCENSE KNOWN IN FIELDS ALL ALONG THE TOUR. AND FROM SERIOUS BUSINESS TO FUN FROM THE ROAD...THE LIGHTER SIDE OF TOUR WEEK.
PROFARMER CROP TOUR WRAPS UP:
NEARLY 3-THOUSAND SAMPLES, ACROSS 7 STATES AND THOUSANDS OF MILES...THE 2016 PROFARMER MIDWEST CROP TOUR STANDS UP ANOTHER YEAR OF HARVEST EXPECTATIONS. FOR THE AMERICAN FARMER. COVERAGE OF THE 2016 PRO FARMER MIDWEST CROP TOUR IS PROVIDED BY DUPONT PIONEER WITH YOU FROM THE WORD GO. GOOD MORNING I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. AFTER FOUR DAYS ON THE ROAD, AND THOUSANDS OF SAMPLES TAKEN, THE PROFARMER TEAM AGREES WITH USDA THERE'S A RECORD SOYBEAN CROP OUT THERE. BUT CORN FALLS SHORT. GETTING RIGHT TO THE NUMBERS...PROFARMER PUTS THE CORN PRODUCTION ESTIMATE AT 14-POINT-SEVEN BILLION BUSHELS, ON AN AVERAGE YIELD OF 170 BUSHELS AN ACRE. THAT ESTIMATE COMPARES TO USDA'S 15-POINT-SEVEN BILLION ON A YIELD OF 175 BUSHELS AN ACRE. THE CORN YIELD RECORD WAS ONE-71 SET IN 2014. SOYBEANS -PROFARMER PUTS THE CROP SIZE AT JUST OVER FOUR BILLION BUSHELS WITH AN AVERAGE YIELD OF 49-POINT-THREE BUSHELS AN ACRE. BOTH OF THOSE NUMBERS ARE AHEAD OF USDA'S PROJECTIONS.
CORN ESTIMATES FOR SEVEN STATES:
BREAKING IT DOWN STATE BY STATE... PROFARMER'S CORN ESTIMATES FOR ALL SEVEN STATES CAME IN LOWER THAN THE AG DEPARTMENT. SOYBEANS WERE MIXED. OHIO CORN COMES IN AT ONE-54...NINE BUSHELS BELOW USDA. OHIO SOY IS PEGGED AT 50 BUSHELS. INDIANA CORN ONE-74....SOY 55 BUSHELS. ILLINOIS GETS THE BLUE RIBBON WITH 194 BUSHELS, SIX BELOW USDA. BUT TOPS IN THE SEVEN STATE TOUR. AND SOYBEANS -58-AND A HALF. BETSY JIBBEN SPENT THE WEEK ON THE TOUR, SHE HAS A WRAP-UP OF THE FINDINGS.
RECORD CROP EXPECTED, BUT POCKETS OF COUNTRY FACE TROUBLE:
A RECORD CROP IS PROJECTED FOR THIS YEAR BY USDA. BUT SCOUTS SAY THERE ARE SOME POCKETS WITH INCONSISTENCIES IN THE EASTERN BELTSTARTING IN OHIO. MINNESOTA WAS FIRST KNOWN AS A 'GARDEN SPOT.' BUT LATE-SEASON WATER DAMAGE COULD SHAVE OFF YIELD. MARK BERNARD: "ONE THING I'M CURIOUS TO SEE IS HOW FAR SDS HAS PROGRESSED ON THESE SOYBEANS. THERE'S BEEN AN INDICATION BEFORE WE LEFT THAT IT WAS DEVELOPING IN FIELDS BEFORE WHERE WE DIDN'T SEE IT. AND PROBABLY IN A LARGER DEGREE THAN I WOULD HAVE EXPECTED TO SEE IT. I WANT TO SEE HOW IT HAS ADVANCED 37 THE CORN CROP, I THINK THE CORN CROP WAS PRETTY WELL MADE. I DON'T THINK WE HAVE MANY NEGATIVES TO COME, THE ONLY THING IS ONCE IT'S MATURE, TO SEE IF THE STALK ROT IS AT PLAY OUT THERE."
REPORTING FOR AGDAY, I'M BETSY JIBBEN.

WEATHER WOES:
RAINS, WIND AND STORM DAMAGE LEAVING A PERMANENT MARK. EARLY ON THIS MORNING.WE SAW SOME STORM DAMAGE AND WE WERE EVEN WALKING ON CARPETS OF GREEN MATTER. SO IT REALLY REALLY IS GOING WE THINK SET BACK THAT YIELD RIGHT NOW. HEADING TO MINNESOTA, SOMETHING WAS MISSING.
BEANS:
WHILE BEANS AND BEAN HEALTH LOOKED GOOD, WEEDS LEFT SCOUTS IN SHOCK. IT'S AN EPIDEMIC IT'S SCARY. "I MEAN WHAT WOULD YOU SAY WE'VE GONE 20 MILES AND WE HAVEN'T FOUND A CLEAN BEAN FIELD YET. OVERALL IOWA CROPS LOOK GOOD...BUT... DOG GONE IT I THOUGHT WE WERE RAINS, WIND AND STORM DAMAGE LEAVING A PERMANENT MARK. EARLY ON THIS MORNING. YIELD WE'RE AT RIGHT NOW. HEADING TO MINNESOTA, SOMETHING WAS MISSING. ON MY ROUTE
AROUND THE EAR.

NASS:

USDA-NASS DISPATCHED MEMBERS OF ITS TEAM TO BE A PART OF THE PROFARMER TOUR. THE AGENCY IS OFTEN CRITICIZED FOR THE DATA IT RELEASES SINCE IT CAN PUSH THE MARKET UP OR DOWN. A NUMBER CRUNCHER FROM THE NASS OFFICE IN ILLINOIS EXPLAINED THEIR PROCESS.NASS HAS TWO METHODS FOR ESTIMATING YIELDS. ONE HAS TO DO WITH THE FIELD COUNTS AND MEASUREMENTS. THAT'S THE OBJECTIVE FIELD SURVEY. WHAT YOU SEE IS WHAT YOU COUNT. IT'S ALSO WHAT YOU MEASURE. WE ALSO ASK PRODUCERS. WHAT DO YOU THINK YOUR YIELD IS GOING TO BE? WITH THOSE TWO PROJECTS TOGETHER, WE CAN GENERATE A YIELD FORECAST FOR ALL OF THE STATES. THEN WE USE THE EAR COUNTS WE GOT FROM THE FIELD MEASUREMENTS AND DEVRIVE AN EAR COUNT FOR THOSE TEN STATES THAT ARE IN THE OBJECTIVE YIELD SURVEY." 
HE SAYS WITH NASS SURVEYS, EVERY REPORT RECEIVED IS CONFIDENTIAL BY LAW. THEY ARE ALSO EXEMPT FROM THE FREEDOM OF INFORMATION ACT. CROP COMMENTS IS POWERED BY RESICORE HERBICIDE FOR CORN, FROM DOW AGROSCIENCES. PROFARMER SAYS THEIR ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON THE ASSUMPTION OF "NORMAL WEATHER" THROUGH SEPTEMBER. BUT THE FATE OF MANY OF THESE FIELDS WAS SET EARLY.
CROP COMMENTS:
MIKE HOFFMAN HAS DETAILS IN CROP COMMENTS.  GOOD MORNING CLINTON. AS WE POURED THROUGH THE REPORT, PROFARMER SAYS OHIO'S DISAPPOINTING NUMBERS ARE THE RESULT OF TOO MUCH WATER IN SPRING, FOLLOWED BY A DRY JUNE. IN ILLINOIS AND INDIANA, THE SOYBEAN CROPS HAVE PLENTY OF SOIL MOISTURE TO FILL PODS AND FINISH STRONG. BUT IN IOWA, THE BEAN CROP FACES A BIG CHALLENGE OF SUDDEN DEATH SYNDROME IN EASTERN IOWA. AND THE SCOUTS DESCRIBED THE MINNESOTA CORN CROP AS "DISAPPOINTING"...BLAMING A LATE FROST IN MID-MAY AND THREE WEEKS OF HEAT IN LATE JUNE AND EARLY JULY.
TEASE:
WHEN WE COME BACK, TYNE MORGAN AND BRIAN GRETE JOIN US FROM THE END OF THE CROP TOUR WITH HIS TAKE AWAYS FROM A WEEK ON THE ROAD. AND LATER, WEEDS AND MORE WEEDS. AFTER YEARS OF EFFECTIVE SPRAYING, AGRONOMISTS AND FARMERS WORRY THE FUTURE ISN'T AS BRIGHT.
AGRIBUSINESS:
TYNE MORGAN TRAVELED TO ROCHESTER FOR THE END OF CROP TOUR. SHE CAUGHT UP WITH PRO FARMER EDITOR BRIAN GRETE. TO ASK HIM IF THE POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A RECORD CROP. HERE NOW WITH BRIAN GRETE OF PRO FARMER BRIAN LAST WEEK ON THE PRO FARMER CROP TOUR I DON'T KNOW IF IT WAS BECAUSE EXPECTATIONS WERE SET SO HIGH THAT THERE WAS A LOT OF DISAPPOINTMENT BUT THIS IS STILL A REALLY GOOD CROP OUT THERE. YEAH A VERY GOOD CROP I MEAN LETS BE HONEST WHEN IT CAME IN AT ONE SEVENTY FIVE POINT ONE IN AUGUST FROM USDA THE RECORD CORN CROP IS ONE SEVENTY ONE POINT ZERO IN TWENTY FOURTEEN SO IT COULD COME DOWN FOUR BUSHELS PER ACRE AND STILL BE A RECORD CROP. SO IT'S A REALLY GOOD CORN CROP. ILLINOIS VERY GOOD. IOWA'S VERY GOOD YOU KNOW THAT THE ONE THING I WOULD SAY THOUGH WAS THAT EVERY STATE PROBABLY HAS A LITTLE BIT OF AN ISSUE SOME WHERE MAY ILLINOIS IS THE ONE THAT DOESN'T THE REST OF THEM ALL HAVE SOME KIND OF ISSUE. THAT'S THE ONLY THING THAT MAKES ME BELIEVE IT MAY NOT BE A RECORD WHEN ALL IS SAID AND DONE. WE HAVE A LOT OF CROP YEAR LEFT TO GO WELL ON AND WE HAVE USDA ESTIMATES IN SEPTEMBER OCTOBER NOVEMBER AND THEN JANUARY SO THERE ARE STILL A LOT OF OPPORTUNITY FOR IT EITHER VEN GET LITTLE BIT BIGGER OR SMALLER BUT
NATIONAL WEATHER:
WELCOME BACK TO THIS SPECIAL EDITION OF AGDAY. MIKE IF WE LOO AT RAINFALL OVER THE LAST WEEK OR SO YOU SEE HOW SCOUTS GOT WET IN THE HEART OF THE CORNBELT. YEA NO DOUBT. WE HAD SOME RAIN AGAIN LOUISIANA OVER TOWARD TEXAS BUT THE HEART OF IT WAS REALLY THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY, MISSOURI, AND PARTS OF KANSAS AS WELL OVER INTO ILLINOIS AND INDIANA WITH SOME DECENT AMOUNTS OF RAIN. UNLIKE LAST WEEK THOUGH WE DON'T HAVE THAT ONE STRIP OF MOISTURE COMING OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO ACROSS PARTS OF THE EASTERN CORN BELT. THESE ARE MORE SCATTERED VARIETY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THIS PAST WEEK. HERE'S THE JET STREAM AS WE START THE WEEK. IT'S MAINLY ZONAL BY THE CANADIAN BORDER OTHERWISE. LOTS OF HEAT ACROSS THE COUNTRY BUT WATCH WHAT HAPPENS COMPUTER MODELS BRING A TROUGH INTO THE NORTHEAST EASTERN GREAT LAKES FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK SHOVING THE RIDGE A LITTLE FARTHER WEST.
REGIONAL WEATHER:
THAT'S A LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY NOW LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT SOME LOCAL FORECASTS. FIRST OF ALL FOR TUCSON ARIZONA MOSTLY SUNNY AND HOT TODAY MAYBE AN AFTERNOON STORM HIGH OF NINETY SIX, DULUTH MINNESOTA PARTLY SUNNY A THUNDERSTORM LIKELY COULD BE STRONG, HIGH TEMP OF EIGHTY FOUR AND COLUMBIA SOUTH CAROLINA MOSTLY SUNNY HOT AND HUMID HIGH AROUND NINETY TWO. WEEDS APPEAR TO BE A MAJOR ISSUE IN FIELDS ALONG THE CROP TOUR THIS YEAR. UP NEXT, A LOOK AT WHAT THE FUTURE HOLDS IN THE BATTLE AGAINST RESISTANCE. PLUS, WE VISIT SOME OF THE LIGHTER MOMENTS OF THE CROP TOUR.
WEEDS:
FIELD SCOUTS SAW PLENTY OF UGLY UNWANTED WEEDS, CROPPING UP IN FIELDS AND ROBBING YIELD POTENTIAL IN THE FIELDS. AND THE PROBLEM IS GETTING WORSE. ACCORDING TO RESEARCH FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS EXTENSION, THERE'S BEEN AN EXPANSION OF GLYPHOSATE RESISTANT WATERHEMP IN THE STATE. A DOZEN COUNTIES SHOWED RESISTANCE IN 2010 -NOW RESEARCHERS ARE CONFIDENT IT'S FOUND IN ALL ONE-HUNDRED-TWO COUNTIES. BETSY JIBBEN INVESTIGATES WHAT SEEMS LIKE AN EVER-GROWING BATTLE FIELD. THEY'RE NOT HARD TO SPOT...
TEASE:
NO CROP TOUR IS COMPELTE WITHOUT A LITTLE BIT OF FUN. WE'LL LOOK AT SOME OF THE LIGHTER MOMENTS FROM THE WEEK. WHEN THIS CROP TOUR SPECIAL RETURNS.
 IN THE COUNTRY:
HAVING BEEN ON THE CROP TOUR, I CAN TELL YOU THE FOUR DAY JOURNEY CAN BE GRUELING, EXHAUSTING AND FRUSTRATING AT TIMES. SO THE SCOUTS TRY TO HAVE A LITTLE FUN WHEN THEY CAN. ABEESON INC SEEMS TO BE AUDITIONING FOR THE CIRCUS AS HE ENTERTAINS THE OTHER SCOUTS WITH HIS JUGGLING ACT...WE ENJOYED THAT ON TWITTER. THEN THERE WAS CROP TOUR KARAOKE--INCLUDING CHIP FLORY AND OUR OWN BETSY JIBBEN JAMMING OUT TO THE RADIO. AND ANOTHER PART OF THE TRIP IS THE FOOD. BRIAN GRETE TALKED ABOUT ONE OF HIS FAVORITE MEALS -PULLED PORK POUTINE FROM THE HUMBLE HOG IN PAXTON, ILLINOIS. OF COURSE NO CROP TOUR IS COMPLETE WITH OUT A FLAT CHIP SIGHTING OR TWO. THIS LONG FORGOTTEN POSTER OF CHIP FLOREY KEEPS FINDING HIMSELF IN PRECARIOUS SITUATIONS. YOU CAN ENJOY ALL OF THESE ANTICS AND MORE ON TWITTER--JUST SEARCH HASHTAG PF-TOUR-16 OR GO TO THE FARMJOURNAL TV APP AND CLICK ON THE PROFARMER CROP TOUR BUTTON.
CLOSING:
THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. WE'RE GLAD YOU TUNED IN FOR THIS SPECIAL EDITION OF AGDAY. FOR TYNE MORGAN, BETSY JIBBEN, AND MIKE HOFFMAN, I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS.
PROMO:
I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. TUESDAY ON AGDAY -SOUTH DAKOTA FARMERS SOUNDOFF ABOUT LOW GRAIN PRICES AND THE PRESSURE OF GOVERNMENT REGJULATIONS. MACHINERY PETE IS HERE TO TALK ABOUT SOME OF THE LATEST FARM EQUIPMENT DEALS. WATCH US WEEKDAYS HERE ON AGDAY.

 

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