AgDay Daily Recap -July 6, 2016

July 6, 2016 02:57 AM
 

TODAY ON AGDAY
JULY 6, 2016


OPENING HEADLINES:
COMING UP TODAY ON AGDAY -COMMODITIES MARKETS REACT TO FORECASTS AND THE START OF A MONTH. IN AGRIBUSINESS...THE BUSINESS OF WHEAT. BIG CROPS HAVE A WAY OF CAUSING THAT PRICE CYCLE TO MOVE LOWER AND CATCH NEW DEMAND OR AT LEAST INCREASE THE QUANTITY OF IT. A NEW LABELING LAW BEGINS IN VERMONT WHILE IN WASHINGTON THE SENATE PREPARES ITS OWN BILL. AND GETTING A CHECKUP WITHOUT LEAVING THE FARM.
GRAIN MARKETS RESPOND TO WEATHER FORECASTS:
GOOD MORNING I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. RAINSHOWERS OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND MAY HAVE DAMPENED FOURTH OF JULY CELEBRATIONS IN PARTS OF THE MIDWEST. AND THEY ALSO PUT A DAMPER ON GRAIN PRICES IN CHICAGO. WHEN GRAIN MARKETS OPENED IN CHICAGO TUESDAY, THEY RESPONDED TO WEATHER FORECASTS. SEPTEMBER SOYBEANS CLOSED NEARLY DOWN THE LIMIT. DECLINES IN CORN FUTURES WERE NOT AS SEVERE, RAINS FELL OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN MIDWEST OVER THE WEEKEND. AND RAIN LOOKS LIKELY IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE MIDWEST THIS WEEK.
CROP PROGRESS REPORT:
IN THE HOLIDAY-DELAYED CROP PROGRESS REPORT, CORN CONDITION IS UNCHANGED, 75-PERCENT IS STILL GOOD TO EXCELLENT. WISCONSIN IN THE GARDEN SPOT WITH 85-PERCENT GOOD TO EXCELLENT. A THIRD OF THE STATES' CROP "TOPS" THE CHARTS. 15-PERCENT IS TASSELING, TWO POINTS AHEAD OF AVERAGE, NEARLY 60-PERCENT OF MISSOURI CORN HAS SILKED, DOUBLE THE FIVE YEAR AVERAGE. SOYBEANS SAW A TWO POINT DECLINE. STILL, 70-PERCENT IS GOOD TO EXCELLENT. ONCE AGAIN, WISCONSIN CROPS LEAD WITH 83-PERCENT GOOD TO EXCELLENT. 22-PERCENT OF THE NATION'S CROP IS BLOOMING, WINTER WHEAT HARVEST REACHED 58-PERCENT THIS WEEK....THAT'S THREE POINTS AVERAGE OF AVERAGE, TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA ARE NEARLY COMPLETED. KANSAS HARVESTERS AT 79PERCENT.  THOUGH WE SAW GRAIN PRICES DROP TUESDAY, A PRICE RALLY LAST MONTH SEEMED TO GIVE FARMERS IN THE MIDWEST A REASON TO BE A BIT MORE OPTIMISTIC. PURDUE UNIVERSITY AND THE C-M-E JUST RELEASING THE RESULTS OF THEIR BRAND NEW AG ECONOMY BAROMETER.
H-2-A CAUSES PROBLEMS ON THE FARM:
A NEW SURVEY CONDUCTED BY THE AMERICAN FARM BUREAU SHOWS THE H-2-A WORKER PROGRAM IS CREATING PROBLEMS FOR FARMERS IN 22 STATES. FARMERS SAY ADMINISTRATIVE PROBLEMS ARE CAUSING WORKERS TO ARRIVE DAYS, EVEN WEEKS LATE -PUTTING FRUIT AND VEGETABLE HARVEST AT RISK. NATIONAL REPORTER BETSY JIBBEN VISITS A NEW YORK DAIRY FARM FACING ITS OWN LABOR SHORTAGES. A GLOBAL GLUT OF MILK IS NOW IN THE MARKET, BUT DAIRY PRODUCERS WORRY IMMIGRATION AND FARM LABOR ISSUES COULD DRY UP MILK SUPPLY. "IT'S A COMPETITIVE PAY. I THINK WE'RE JUST HAVING TROUBLE FINDING ENOUGH PEOPLE TO DO IT,"ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR DAIRY FARMS IN NEW YORK. FARMS WHICH HIRE SEASONAL WORKERS TO HARVEST FRUITS AND VEGETABLES CAN USE THE H-2A VISA PROGRAM. THE DAIRY INDUSTRY CAN'T BECAUSE DAIRY IS NOT SEASONAL.
LABOR CHALLENGES:
NEW YORK IS NOT THE ONLY ONE SEEING LABOR CHALLENGES,""A GUEST WORKER PROGRAM SUIT FOR DAIRY WOULD BE THE BEST FIX WE CAN HAVE TO TRY TO FIND SOME EMPLOYES WHO WILL DO THE WORK ON THE FARM,"THESE DAIRIES SAY THEY'RE ALSO REACHING OUT LOCALLY. BUT EXPERIENCE SAYS PEOPLE DON'T WANT THE JOBS. "LOCAL LABOR TENDS TO ENJOY CROP MANAGEMENT OR NUTRIENT MANAGEMENT PROGRAMS, BUT MILKING IS A CHALLENGE TO FIND LOCAL LABOR FOR MILKING,""WE'RE PULLING AS MANY LOCAL FOLKS AS WE CAN. WE LIST AND WORK WITH OUR LOCAL DEPARTMENT OF LABOR AND ON CRAIG'S LIST. WE'RE JUST NOT FINDING PEOPLE WHO WANT TO COME AND MILK OUR COWS, EVEN AS COMPETITIVELY AS WE'RE PAYING,"THEY SAY IT'S ESPECIALLY DIFFICULT TO FIND ENTRY LEVEL EMPLOYEES.
PAY ISN’T THE PROBLEM:
"WE'VE ALWAYS PAID PRETTY COMPETITIVELY,"HOWEVER, STATES LIKE OREGON, CALIFORNIA AND NEW YORK WILL SEE MINIMUM WAGE INCREASES(CHECKING TO SEE IF ALL AREAS WILL GO TO 15) NOW A 15 DOLLAR MINIMUM WAGE WILL BE PHASED IN BY 2021 IN NEW YORK. AND A 12-WEEK PAID FAMILY LEAVE. "THAT'S GOING TO INCREASE OUR COST STRUCTURE. ALSO, THE RAMIFICATIONS ON EVERYBODY ELSE WHO IS MAKING HIGHER THAN THAT, THEY'LL HAVE TO MOVE UP AS WELL,"THOSE IN THE INDUSTRY SAY THE PAY HIKE WILL PUT THEM AT A COMPETITIVE DISADVANTAGE AND WILL NOT ENTICE MORE PEOPLE TO THE FARM.
REPORTING IN WESTERN NEW YORK, I'M BETSY JIBBEN. THANKS BETSY. NEW YORK DAIRY FARMERS SAY THERE ARE MANY REASONS WHY THEY'RE GETTING HIT HARD THIS YEAR. IT HAS TO DO WITH LABOR SHORTAGES, MINIMUM WAGE INCREASING AND A LAWSUIT CHALLANGING THE STATE, TRYING TO GIVE FARM WORKERS THE RIGHT TO UNIONIZE.
CROP COMMENTS:
THE YOGURT INDUSTRY ALSO MOVED INTO THE STATE YEARS AGO. THAT PROMISED AN ICNREASE IN DEMAND AT THAT TIME. CROP COMMENTS IS POWERED BY RESICORE HERBICIDE FOR CORN FROM DOW AGROSCIENCES. LET'S CHECK IN WITH MIKE HOFFMAN FOR THIS MORNING'S CROP COMMENTS. MIKE. GOOD MORNING, CLINTON. LET'S START OFF IN SOUTHEAST IOWA. SHIRLEY WAITE SAYS THE CORN IS GROWING DESPITE LACK OF RAINFALL. SHE SAYS SOME LEAVES ARE STARTING TO CURL. SHIRLEY IS HOPING THE AREA RECEIVES SOME MUCH-NEEDED RAIN SOON. CONTINUING ON IN BURT COUNTY, NEBRASKA, AN IN OF RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND IS PERKING UP CORN. NOW THE CROP IS TALLER THAN KNEE HIGH ON THE FOURTH OF JULY.
TEASE:
STILL TO COME -WE'RE TALKING WHEAT MARKETS WITH MIKE NORTH. FIND OUT WHY HE THINKS IT'LL BE TOUGH FOR THOSE PRICES TO MOVE VERY MUCH. A NEW ANTI-GMO LAW GOES INTO EFFECT. WE HAVE A LIST OF SOME FAVORITE GROCERY ITEMS THAT YOU CAN NO LONGER GET IN THE "GREEN MOUNTAIN STATE'. PLUS, FIND OUT WHERE FARMERS DON'T EVEN HAVE TO LEAVE THE FARM FOR A QUICK HEALTH-CHECK. DETAILS AS WE HEAD IN THE COUNTRY.
AGRIBUSINESS:
IN AGRIBUSINESS...IT'S NOT SAUDI ARABIA, IT'S NOT RUSSIA. ACCORDING TO A NEW STUDY, THE U.S. IS THE WORLDS LARGEST HOLDER OF RECOVERABLE OIL RESERVES. RYSTAD ENERGY ESTIMATES, THE U.S. HOLDS 264 BILLION BARRELS IN RESERVE. WELL ABOVE SAUDI ARABIA AND 10 BILL MORE THAN RUSSIA. WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY HERE WITH MIKE NORTH OF COMMODITY RISK MANAGEMENT GROUP. LET'S TALK ABOUT THE WEAK MARKET RIGHT NOW. WE'RE IN THE MIDDLE OF HARVEST IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, WHAT ARE YOU SEEING AS FAR AS MARKETS ARE GOING AND WHAT PEOPLE ARE TALKING ABOUT WE'VE GOT A SPRING CROP COMING OUT WE'VE GOT QUITE THE CROP COMING. I MEAN AS YOU FOLLOW TOUR YOU HEAR ABOUT YIELDS, TEST WEIGHTS, PROTEINS EVERYTHING HAS BEEN ROCK SOLID AND BUSHELS ARE THERE TO BACK IT UP.AND SO CROPS ARE COMING OFF BIG, THEY'RE COMING OFF GOOD, COMING OFF TIMELY. AS I TALK TO MY CLIENTS IN THE NORTHWEST, SPRING WHEAT LOOKS REALLY GOOD.
NATIONAL WEATHER:
WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY HERE WITH METEOROLOGIST MIKE HOFFMAN. MIKE, AS WE LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY HERE, IT'S KIND OF THOSE TYPICAL SUMMER STORMS WE ARE STARTING TO SEE. ONE THING WE'RE STARTING TO SEE IS A COMPLEX OF STORMS ACROSS THE STATIONARY FRONT. THAT COULD LEAD TO SOME WIDE-SPREAD HEAVY RAIN IN SOME AREAS. WE ALSO HAVE A STATIONARY FRONT LINGERING THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST. WHICH IS CAUSING SOME AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL. WHAT WE'RE GOING TO SEE TO THE NORTH, WHEN I TALK ABOUT THESE COMPLEXES OF STORMS, YOU END UP SOME OF THESE STORMS THAT DEVELOP MAINLY AT NIGHT. THEN THEY CONTINUE IN THE DAY.
REGIONAL WEATHER:
THAT'S A LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY. NOW LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT SOME LOCAL FORECASTS. FIRST OF ALL IN TWIN FALLS, IDAHO, PARTLY SUNNY, BREEZY AND COMFORTABLE. THE HIGH TEMPERATURE IS 77. FORT DODGE, IOWA IS WARM AND HUMID. POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM. THE HIGH IS 77. AND COLUMBUS, GEORGIA, HOT AND HUMID. A SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM IS LIKELY. THE HIGH IS 91.
TEASE:
IT'S PEAR PICKING TIME. WE'LL TAKE A LOOK AT THIS SEASONS HARVEST ALONG WITH OUR REPORTING PARTNERS FROM THE PACKER T-V. PLUS, IF YOU THINK YOU'RE TOO BUSY TO SEE A DOCTOR FOR A HEALTH CHECKUP, FIND OUT WHERE NURSES ARE MAKING "FARM CALLS".
PEAR HARVEST:
PEAR HARVEST IS KICKING OFF IN THE WEST. OUR PARTNERS AT THE PACKER REPORTING THE BARTLETT PEAR CROP IS EXPECTED TO BE STRONG, WHILE OTHER VARIETIES MAY TAKE A HIT. CALIFORNIA'S BARTLETT PEAR CROP IS EXPECTED TO BE NEARLY EQUAL TO LAST YEAR'S CROP. BUT BOSC AND GOLDEN BOSC ARE DOWN. SOME PRODUCERS SAY PRODUCTION COULD BE AS MUCH AS 30-PERCENT SMALLER. THE DECREASE MAY BE DUE TO A BLIGHT PROBLEM IMPACTING SOME ORCHARDS. IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST, TOO MUCH HEAT HAS PUSHED THE CROP ALONG, MAKING FOR AN EARLY HARVEST. THE PACKER SAYS THAT MEANS OVERLAPPING CROPS AND A BIG SUPPLY.
GMOS:
IT'S GOING TO BE DIFFICULT TO GET A PEPSI, A COKE, OR EVEN DEL MONTE SLICED PEACHES IN VERMONT. THE STATE'S ANTI-GMO LAW IS NOW IN EFFECT. GROCERS MUST REMOVE THREE THOUSAND PRODUCTS THAT DO NOT MEET VERMONT'S LAW WHICH REQUIRES FOOD LABELS TO SPELL-OUT IF THERE ARE GM-OS IN THE RECIPE. OBVIOUSLY THE ENTIRE LIST IS TOO LONG TO SHOW HERE. BUT AMONG THE BRAND NAMES -COKE AND PEPSI PRODUCTS, A VARIETY OF DEL MONTE CANNED FOODS, ENTEMANNS AND SARAH LEE BAKED GOODS. EVEN BABY FORMULA LIKE ENFAMIL AND PRO-SOBEE ARE NO LONGER AVAILABLE. VERMONT RETAILERS HAVE ONE YEAR TO SELL THEIR CURRENT INVENTORY THAT DOES NOT HAVE A LABEL.
SENATE TO VOTE ON NATIONAL GMO LAW:
MEANWHILE, LATER TODAY, THE SENATE IS PLANNING TO VOTE ON A NATIONAL GMO LABELING LAW. IF PASSED, IT WOULD PREEMPT STATE LAWS--LIKE THE ONE IN VERMONT. THE FINAL LANGUAGE IS COMPROMISE AND HAS WON SUPPORT FROM FOOD AND AGRICULTURE GROUPS. THE BILL MUST FIRST PASS A CLOTURE VOTE BEFORE BEING CONSIDERED ON THE SENATE FLOOR.
CHIPOTLE MARKETING MESSAGES EMPLOYEE ON LEAVE AFTER COCAINE BUST:
 THE MAN BEHIND CHIPOLTE'S MARKETING MESSAGES INCLUDING IT'S FOOD WITH INTEGRITY CAMPAIGN--HAS BEEN CHARGED FOLLOWING A COCAINE BUST IN NEW YORK. MARK CRUMPACKER--ONE OF THE TOP FOUR EXECUTIVES AT THE FOOD COMPANY--HAS NOW BEEN PLACED ON ADMINISTRATIVE LEAVE. CITY AUTHORITIES SAY HE WAS CONNECTED TO A GROUP OF DRUG DEALERS SUPPLYING REPEAT CUSTOMERS THROUGHOUT THE CITY. THE CUSTOMERS ARE BEING CHARGED WITH CRIMINAL POSSESSION OF A CONTROLLED SUBSTANCE IN THE SEVENTH DEGREE.
TEASE:
WHEN'S THE LAST TIME YOU WENT TO THE DOCTOR FOR A CHECK-UP? NEXT, SEE WHAT'S BEING DONE TO HELP FARMERS WHO ARE JUST TOO DARN BUSY TO LEAVE THE FARM.
IN THE COUNTRY:
A NEW NATIONAL SURVEY ON HEALTH SHOWS MEN ARE OFTEN MORE LIKELY TO MAKE EXCUSES FOR NOT GOING TO THE DOCTOR FOR A REGULAR CHECK-UP. A SURVEY COMMISSIONED BY ORLANDO HEALTH SYSTEM FOUND THESE TOP THREE REASONS -TOO BUSY TO GO, AFRAID TO FIND OUT WHAT MIGHT BE WRONG, AND UNCOMFORTABLE WITH BODY EXAMS. IN WISCONSIN, A REGIONAL "WELLNESS" PROGRAM IS IN PLACE TO HELP FARMERS WHO ARE TOO BUSY TO LEAVE THE FARM.
WE GET DETAILS FROM THE WISCONSIN MILK MARKETING BOARD. DAWN DINGELDEIN IS A RURAL NURSE, WHO'S MAKING A VISIT TO THE SHAIRER (SHY-UR) FARM FOR A VERY SPECIFIC REASON. SHE'S DOING PREVENTATIVE HEALTH SCREENING FOR BUSY FARMERS WHO FIND IT CHALLENGING TO GET TO THE DOCTOR'S OFFICE.
CLOSING:
FOR MIKE HOFFMAN, AND BETSY JIBBEN. I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. HAVE A GREAT DAY IN FARM COUTNRY.
PROMO:
I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. THURSDAY ON AGDAY WE INVESTIGATE THE "GREAT DIVIDE" BETWEEN RURAL AMERICA AN URBAN AMERICA -AND HOW THOSE DIFFERENCES MIRROR THE POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC LANDSCAPE. WATCH US WEEKDAYS, RIGHT HERE ON AGDAY.

 

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