AgDay Daily Recap -October 4, 2017

October 4, 2017 06:00 AM
 

TODAY ON AGDAY
OCTOBER 4, 2017


HEADLINES
VIEWS ON THE CURRENT AG ECONOMY HOLD STRONG,  WHILE LONG-TERM OUTLOOKS ARE TEMPERED BY FEAR  OF WHAT'S AHEAD.  BOOTS ARE ON THE GROUND FOR OUR NEXT I-80  HARVEST UPDATE... <"I'M BETSY JIBBEN. MUCH OF ILLINOIS RECEIVED A DELUGE OF RAIN RIGHT  IN THE HEAT OF PLANTING. AND DID THAT CREATE SOME PROBLEMS THAT  CARRIED INTO HARVEST? WE'LL HAVE THAT STORY AHEAD ON THE SHOW."> IN AGRIBUSINESS, COULD CHINA'S PUSH FOR E10  BLENDS COME AT THE COST OF SOYBEANS? <MAYBE THE MARKETS MISJUDGING WHAT CHINA IS GOING TO BE  NEEDING FROM US IN THE FUTURE.> AND AN ITALIAN WINE MAKER IN SEARCH OF THE  PERFECT WINE, THANKS TO THE HELP OF MOZART.  AGDAY-BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE DEPENDABLE, LONG  LASTING CHEVY SILVERADO.

PURDUE AG BAROMETER
GOOD MORNING I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS.  AS FARMERS RUSH TO THE FINISH LINE WITH THE 2017  CROP, SENTIMENTS ABOUT THE AG ECONOMY APPEAR  TO BE HOLDING STEADY.  HOWEVER THE LATEST AG ECONOMY BAROMETER  FROM PURDUE AND THE CME RAISING QUESTIONS  ABOUT HOW CONFIDENT THEY ARE IN THE FUTURE. THE SEPTEMBER BAROMETER POSTING A 132. THAT'S  THE SAME AS AUGUST.  AND IT FALLS WITHIN THE RANGE OF THE BAROMETER  OVER THE PAST 6 MONTHS... STAYING BETWEEN 130  AND 139. BUT, THE 132 MARK IS STILL WELL BELOW THE PEAK OF  153 FROM LAST JANUARY.  PURDUE AND THE CME GROUP TEAM UP FOR THE  SURVEY. IT'S BASED ON ANSWERS FROM 400 PRODUCERS. A SUB INDEX GAUGES CURRENT CONDITIONS... IT CLIMBED TO IT'S SECOND HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE THE  SURVEY BEGAN IN THE FALL OF 2015.  HOWEVER, LOOKING OUT FARTHER, FARMERS AREN'T  SO CONFIDENT. BUT THE INTERESTING THING WHEN YOU LOOK AT IT, EVEN THOUGH WE  HAD NO CHANGE IN THE BAROMETER ITSELF. YOU DID SEE SOME  CHANGES IN THE UNDERLYING SUB-INDECIES.  THE INDEX OF CURRENT  CONDITIONS AND THE INDEX OF FUTURE EXPECTATIONS. IN PARTICULAR IT  WAS INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT WE'VE SEEN A FAIRLY SHARP DROP OFF IN  THE INDEX OF FUTURE EXPECTATIONS MEANING PRODUCERS HAVE LOST  SOME CONFIDENCE THAT THEY HAD ON WHERE THE AG ECONOMY WAS  HEADED.ANOTHER QUESTION ON THE SURVEY ASKED ABOUT  TRADE. 59 PERCENT OF THOSE SURVYED SAID NAFTA IS  GOOD FOR U-S FARMERS AND RANCHERS. 41 PERCENT  SAYING IT'S BAD FOR AG. 

I-80 ILLINOIS
THE I-80 HARVEST TOUR IS BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE ENLIST WEED  CONTROL SYSTEM.  MORE WEED CONTROL.  LESS DRIFT AND VOLATILITY.   MAXIMUM YIELD POTENTIAL.  ) USDA'S LATEST CROP PROGRESS REPORT SAYS  ILLINOIS CORN HARVEST IS 21 PERCENT COMPLETE. 17 POINTS BEHIND THE 5 YEAR AVERAGE. SOYBEANS ARE THE OPPOSITE...30 PERCENT CUT  WHICH IS 9 POINTS AHEAD OF THE 5 YEAR AVERAGE. WEATHER HAS BEEN HIGHLY VARIABLE ACROSS THE  STATE THIS SEASON.  NATIONAL REPORTER BETSY JIBBEN STOPS IN ILLINOIS  THIS WEEK TO SEE HOW AN IMPERFECT YEAR HASN'T  DAMPENED HOPES FOR A BUMPER CROP. <"CLINTON, LIKE MUCH OF THE CORN BELT, ILLINOIS FARMERS FACED  SOME CHALLENGES IN THE BEGINNING OF THE SEASON. FARMERS  WORRIED IN LATE APRIL WHEN A DELUGE OF RAIN WITH A STORM WOULD  CREATE SOME ISSUES WITH THE CROP BUT AS THE CROP PROGRESSED, SO  DID THEIR OPTIMISM,"> GOLDEN FIELDS ARE ASKING TO BE HARVESTED  AS JOEL BEAR-ICK-MEN BARICKMAN ROLLS THROUGH HIS  FIRST SET OF SOYBEANS.  <"I GOT IT GOING EARLY THIS MORNING HERE AND THE BEANS ARE ABOUT  11 OR 12 PERCENT MOISTURE, THAT'S PRETTY IDEAL,"> <"YOU CAN'T SIT STILL EITHER BECAUSE YOU DON'T KNOW HOW THE  WEATHER IS GOING TO BE. THIS IS BEAN WEATHER,"> BARICKMAN DOESN'T HAVE TO HARVEST MUCH IN ANN- CO-NA, ILLINOIS TO SEE A BIG BEAN CROP IS THERE.  <"LAST YEAR, THE GOOD GROUND WAS AVERAGING LOW 70S 14(TAKE OUT  MIDDLE ) 19WE DIDN'T QUITE GET THE MOISTURE THIS YEAR BUT  SURPRINGLY, WE'RE SEEING VERY SIMILIAR YIELDS TO WHAT WE SAW LAST  YEAR,"> JOE ZUMWALT AND HIS CREW ARE AT IT TOO.  <"WELL, MY LEAST FUN JOB IS THE GRAIN CART. GUESS WHERE I'M AT  TODAY - LAUGHS,"> THE ZUMWALTS ARE DOWN THE ROAD IN WARSAW,  ILLINOIS - WHERE IT APPEARS TO BE THE LUCKY SPOT  THIS YEAR.  <"WE'RE PROBABLY LOOKING AT LOWER 90S AT THIS FIELD BEHIND ME.  (TAKE OUT MIDDLE) OVERALL, FARM AVERAGES SHOULD BE 80 ON  SOYBEANS AND 220 TO 240 ON CORN. ME: ARE YOU AMAZED WITH  THAT? HIMM: QUITE, ESPECIALLY WITH THE ADVERSE WEATHER WE HAD  THIS YEAR,"> HE'S REFERRING TO A LATE APRIL STORM WHICH  BROUGHT A DELUGE OF RAIN TO MUCH OF ILLINOIS  RIGHT IN THE HEAT OF PLANTING. <"THOSE HEAVY RAINS IN APRIL REALLY SEPARATED THE GOOD SOIL FROM  THE BAD. I THINK YOU'RE GOING TO SEE WITH HARVEST, YOU'RE GOING TO  SEE PEOPLE WITH EXCELLENT YIELDS AND YOU'RE ALSO GOING TO SEE A  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF ACRES HURT,"> BARICKMAN SAYS HE PLANTED SOME OF HIS BEST  GROUND BEFORE THE STORM WHICH HELPED. <" WE DID HAVE SOME POPULAT ION LOSS IWTH THE CORN THAT WAS  PLANTED BEFORE THAT BUT AT THE SAME TIME, I THINK WE'RE AHEAD OF  THAT CORN BECAUSE IF WE WOULD AHVE WAITED, YOU WOULD HAVE  BEEN 2 OR 3 WEEKS LATER GETTING THAT CORN IN THE GROUND,"> ZUMWALT DID TOO.  <"THIS IS OUR GOLDEN YEAR YOU MIGHT SAY. IF WE WOULD HAVE HAD 3  OR 4 INCHES MORE, WE MAY HAVE BEEN LESS IN YIELD ACTUALLY,"> <"I'D SAY WITH MY WHOLE FARM, MY AVERAGE MIGHT COME IN  SOMEWHERE CLOSE TO MY APH BUT I HAVE VARIABLE GROUND."> <"AS FAR AS SOYBEANS GO, I THINK WE'RE GOING TO BE ABOVE."> IDEAL YIELDS FOR BOTH DURING A TIME OF IMPERFECT  PRICES. 

<"$3 CORN AND $9 SOYBEANS? THERE'S A LOT OF BREAKEVENS THAT FALL BELOW THAT,">  COMMODITY PRICES ARE STILL PRETTY DARN TOUGH. THE  PRICE OF CORN RIGHT NOW IS BELOW BREAK EVEN. AND SO MOVING  FORWARD, IT WOULD BE NICE TO HAVE SOME OPPORTUNITIES TO SELL CORN  AT SOME MORE PROFITABLE LEVELS."> 10 "> AS CONDITIONS STAY FIT..  BOTH CNTINUE TO HARVEST IN THEIR FIELDS,  THANKFUL FOR A BONTIFUL CROP BUT HOPEFUL FOR  BETTER PRICES.  REPORTING IN ILLINOIS, I'M BETSY JIBBEN.  THANKS, BETSY.

IOWA LAND VALUES
AND JUST TO THE WEST, IOWA LAND  VALUES SEEING LIFE, GAINING FOR THE FIRST TIME IN  THREE YEARS.   OUR PARTNERS AT LANDOWNER NEWSETTER  REPORTING IOWA FARMLAND VALUES ROSE 2 PERCENT  FROM 6 MONTHS AGO.  A SEMIANNUAL SURVEY FROM IOWA CHAPTER OF THE  REALTORS LAND INSTITUTE REVEALING LAND VALUES  SAW STRONGER GAINS IN THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN  AREAS ABOVE I-80, MAINLY DUE TO SUMMER RAINS.  BUT WHERE DRY WEATHER SET IN ACORSS THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE STATE, LAND VALUES SAW  SMALLER GAINS. 

CROP COMMENTS
HARVEST ROLLS ON ACROSS THE COUNTRY.  MIKE HOFFMAN HAS TODAY'S CROP COMMENTS FROM  MICHIGAN. GOOD MORNING CLINTON. YES THAT'S RIGHT, KEN ZAHM SENT US THIS PICTURE  ON FACEBOOK. HE SAYS THEY'RE COMBINING SOYBEANS NEAR  COOPERSVILLE MICHIGAN. SO FAR MOISTURE IS RUNNING ABOUT 9 PERCENT AND  YIELDS ARE AVERAGE. THE AREA HAS BEEN REALLY DRY LATELY. ALL OF THEIR WHEAT WAS PLANTED INTO DUST BUT  OTHERWISE THE HARVEST WEATHER HAS BEEN  BEAUTIFUL. AND SUGAR BEET HARVEST IS CHUGGING ALONG IN  NORTH DAKOTA.  TOM KEN-NELLY SAYS IT'S A VERY NICE CROP THIS YEAR  CONSIDERING HOW WET IT WAS IN 2016,  FOLLOWED BY THE DROUGHT IN 2017. HE SAYS HE'S  SHOCKED BY HOW GOOD YIELDS ARE...  NOW HE JUST WISHES PRICES WERE A LITTLE BETTER.  AND CONGRATULATIONS TO PAUL KRONBERG, OUR  OCTOBER COVER PHOTO WINNER!  HE TOOK THIS PICTURE IN STILLWATER, MINNESOTA  ALONG THE ST. CROIX RIVER ON THE  MINNESOTA/WISCONSIN STATE LINE. SEND PHOTOS TO AGDAY ON FACEBOOK OR TWITTER  FOR YOUR CHANCE TO WIN AN AGDAY HAT AND NOW HERE ARE SOME HOMETOWN TEMPS. (   WITH MARKET PRICES CONSTANTLY CHANGING, IT'S IMPORTANT TO  KNOW WHERE CURRENT PRICES STAND. GET MARKET PRICES DELIVERED  RIGHT TO YOUR MOBILE PHONE, JUST TEXT MARKETS TO 31313 TO GET  STARTED!  )

TEASE
WHEN WE COME BACK WE'LL CHECK ON MARKETS AND  TALK ABOUT THE IMPACT OF CHINA'S DECISION TO ADD  ETHANOL TO ITS FUEL AND WHAT THAT COULD MEAN TO  U.S. FARMERS. AND LATER, A MUSICAL HARVEST IN ITALY. THESE VINES  SHARING THEIR FRUIT WITH HELP FROM MOZART.

FLOOR OF THE CME
IN AGRIBUSINESS, TUESDAY TURNED INTO A MIXED DAY  FOR THE MARKETS. LET'S HEAD TO THE CME FLOOR TO FIND OUT WHY.  THIS IS JOE VACLAVICK FROM CME GROUP HERE IN CHICAGO THE LEAN  HOG MARKET WAS HIGHER HERE ON TUESDAY OUR NEARBY OCTOBER  CONTRACT TRADED LIMIT UP AT ONE POINT IN THE SESSION. SO A VERY  VERY STRONG TRADE IN THOSE OCTOBER FUTURES FOLLOWING A MULTI WEEK  SELL OFF THAT SPANNED CERTAINLY MORE THAN $10 A HUNDRED WEIGHT.  SO WE'RE SEEING A LITTLE BIT OF A BOUNCE HERE WHETHER OR NOT IT  HOLDS. I'M NOT TOO SURE. OVERSUPPLY HAS BEEN A TOPIC THAT'S BEEN  ON THE RADAR OF A LOT OF TRADERS HERE RECENTLY. PACKERS IN THIS  COUNTRY ARE ON TRACK TO KILL A RECORD NUMBER OF HOGS THIS YEAR  AND THAT'S WHY THE THE BOARD ESPECIALLY THESE NEARBY FUTURES  HAVE BEEN UNDER PRESSURE. SO YOU KNOW A LOT OF THAT'S BEEN  PRICED IN AND NOW WE'RE SEEING A LITTLE BIT OF A RECOVERY EFFORT.  WE'LL SEE IF THAT'S ABLE TO HOLD. INTERESTINGLY ENOUGH DESPITE THE  BIG SELL OFF AND SUBSEQUENT BOUTS WE SAW IN THE NEARBY FUTURES  SOME OF THE BACK MONTH DEFERRED HOG CONTRACTS POST SOME  FRESH MULTI-MONTH HIGHS TODAY. SO WE'VE SEEN SOME BEAR  SPREADING IN THE MARKET AND THE MARKET VERY MUCH TELLING US THAT  WE'RE OVERSUPPLIED UPFRONT BUT THAT PERHAPS THINGS COULD LOOSEN  UP A LITTLE BIT DOWN THE ROAD. AND YOU KNOW A BEAR SPREADING  MARKET CERTAINLY A SIGN OF AN OVERSUPPLIED MARKET IN GENERAL.  AGAIN JOE VACLAVICK FROM CME GROUP HERE IN CHICAGO.

AGRIBUSINESS
DUSTIN JOHNSON WITH AG YIELD OUR GUEST HERE AT AGRIBUSINESS  YESTERDAY DOESN'T LET'S TALK ABOUT SOME OF THE I GUESS THE  DEMAND MOVES THAT ARE HAPPENING AROUND THE GLOBE. AND A LOT  OF IT DRIVEN BY A PURSUIT OF USING MORE ETHANOL IN FUEL.   AND LET'S JUST TALK ABOUT CHINA, BECAUSE THEY'RE TALKING ABOUT  GOING TO AN E10 BLEND WHAT BY 2020 YEAH BY 2020 THEY'RE  EXPECTED TO DO YOU THEIR RELIANCE ON THE ETHANOL IS GOING TO  GROW. RIGHT NOW THEY'RE PRODUCING THEY HAVE CAPACITY TO  PRODUCE ABOUT SIX MILLION METRIC TONS WORTH OF YOU KNOW CORN  EQUIVALENT. AND THEY'RE GOING TO BE GROWING TO CLOSER TO ABOUT 50  IN A MATTER OF VERY SHORT SHORT TIME. AND SO WE'RE GOING TO SEE  THESE THINGS START TO RAMP UP VERY QUICKLY. WE KNOW HOW FAST  CHINA MOVES ON THINGS. AND THAT COULD START TO CHANGE THEIR  DYNAMIC OF WHAT CHINA RELIES US ON. EXPLAIN THAT. WELL RIGHT NOW  YOU KNOW WE'RE OBVIOUSLY EXPORTING MORE THAN HALF OF OUR, CLOSE  TO HALF OF OUR BEAN CROP. AND SO OUR ENTIRE MARKET IS BASICALLY  CHINA. IT NOT ONLY SUPPORTS ARE BEAN PRICES BUT THE COMPETITION  FOR OTHER ACRES THAT COULD BE GOING IN THE GROUND THAT ARE BEING  PLANTED BEANS. SO IF CHINA STARTS TO MANEUVER TO MORE OF A  BASKET, BECAUSE THEY DO HAVE A LOCAL NEED FOR CORN AND THAT TRANSLATES TO THE BYPRODUCT DDGS THAT COULD START TO DISPLACE  SOME OF THEIR GROWTH FOR BEANS. BY THAT I MEAN MAYBE THEY START  TO LEVEL OFF ON THEIR GROWTH BASED ON THE AMOUNT OF BEANS THAT  THEY'RE IMPORTING AT A TIME THAT WE'RE ALSO SEEING INCREASED  COMPETITION FROM SOUTH AMERICA. YOU KNOW WE'RE PRICING A  PRETTY GOOD SIZED PREMIUM FOR BEANS OUT FORWARD. MAYBE THE  MARKETS MISJUDGING WHAT CHINA IS GOING TO BE NEEDING FROM US  IN THE FUTURE.   YEAH MAYBE THEY'LL NEED MORE CORN TO FILL THAT. AND THEN OF  COURSE WE'RE LOSING SOME OF THAT BEAN DEMAND.   YEAH THE PENDULUM OF THE CORN VERSUS BEING PRICING IT TENDS TO  MEAN MANEUVERING GOOD TRENDS. AND THEN WHEN IT SWITCHES IT  SWITCHES FAST AND FOR A LONG PERIOD OF TIME AS WELL. IF YOU GO  BACK JUST YOU KNOW SIX SEVEN YEARS AGO. THE SAME COULD BE  SAID ABOUT THE ETHANOL BOOM. WE'RE NEVER GOING TO PRODUCE  ENOUGH CORN TO MEET THAT MEET THE NEEDS. YOU KNOW THE BLEND  WALL WAS YOU KNOW IN THE FUTURE IS KIND OF ON OUR MINDS BUT IT  WASN'T REALLY AN ISSUE UNTIL WE GOT TO THE BLEND WALL. RIGHT. AND I  THINK THE SAME RHETORIC HAS KIND OF HURT TODAY IN SOYBEANS. LIKE  OK WELL WHATEVER WE GROW CHINA IS GOING TO ACTUALLY BUY FROM  US AND USE AND WE'RE SEEING POTENTIALLY FEED DEMAND LEVELING  OFF. AS WELL AS THIS SWITCH OVER TO E10. THAT COULD IMPACT OUR  FUTURE EXPORTS WITH THEM. THE GROWTH PACE MAY NOT BE AS FAST AS  WE THINK IT IS.   AND CHINA'S NOT ALONE WE'RE TALKING INDIA OR MEXICO A LOT OF  DIFFERENT PLACES AROUND THE COUNTRY DOING THE SAME DUSTIN  APPRECIATE YOU BEING HERE. WE'LL BE BACK WITH MORE AGDAY IN  JUST A MINUTE.  AGDAY WEATHER - BROUGHT TO YOU BY KAWASAKI AND THE NEW  MULE PRO-FXR™ SIDE X SIDE. RIDE LIKE A BOSS WITH HIGH-END  STYLING AND RUGGED CAPABILITY.  )

WEATHER
WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY HERE WITH METEOROLOGIST MIKE HOFFMAN  LOOKING AT THE ROOT ZONE MOISTURE MAP AND BOY IT BECOMES A  KIND OF A TWO PICTURE MAP DONE WHERE IT'S GETTING A LOT MORE DRY  THERE IN THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY IN ILLINOIS BUT WETTER IN THE  NORTHERN PLAINS AND THE ROCKIES. THAT'S BEEN THE PATTERN TROUGH  IN THE WEST RIDGE IN THE EAST AND THAT'S KIND OF WHAT IT LEADS TO.  BUT WE ARE GOING TO SEE SOME THINGS MOVING ALONG AS WE HEAD  THROUGH THIS WEEK. SO THAT MEANS WE'LL SEE SOME OF THIS  MOISTURE THAT'S BEEN STUCK OVER THE WESTERN PLAINS MOVING EAST  ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE EASTERN OHIO  VALLEY AND THAT SHOULD HELP THESE AREAS. BUT THE FEELING IS GOING  TO BE KIND OF A COME AND GO TYPE THING ALTHOUGH WE MAY SEE A  FRONT KIND OF LAY ACROSS THAT AREA WHICH COULD GIVE YOU MORE  THAN ONE DAY OF MOISTURE IN THOSE SECTIONS SO THAT COULD BE  SOME GOOD NEWS. THIS IS THE FRONT I'M TALKING ABOUT. WE'RE GOING  TO SEE AT LEAST SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS TODAY FROM THE GREAT  LAKES BACK INTO THE CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BUT ESPECIALLY OFF  TO THE WEST A LITTLE CLOSER TO THAT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. WE'RE  GOING TO SEE SOME DECENT RAINS PARTS OF OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE OF  TEXAS INTO KANSAS AS THE VERY WARM HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM IN  THE SOUTHEAST IS REPLACED BY A SLIGHTLY COOLER WIN OVER THE  NORTHERN PLAINS HEADING THROUGH TONIGHT. ENDING SEE ALL THIS FRONT  KIND OF STALLS OUT HERE SO THAT THAT'LL GIVE ADDITIONAL CHANCES.  THERE'S JUST NOT A LOT OF MOISTURE ALONG THAT FRONT AT THIS POINT.  ONCE WE SEE THIS SYSTEM COMING BACK NORTHWARD AS A WARM  FRONT THEN WE START TO MOISTEN THINGS UP OVER PARTS OF IOWA.  THAT'S THE SYSTEM THAT WE KIND OF HOPE SPREADS A LITTLE BIT MORE  INTO ILLINOIS THAN OUR MODEL IS SHOWING THERE. BUT AT LEAST THAT  GIVES YOU A CHANCE AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW AND  ACTUALLY WITH THIS SYSTEM KIND OF HANGING HANGING OUT. YOU'LL  HAVE SOME ADDITIONAL CHANCES AFTER THAT. WE'LL HAVE TO WATCH  THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AS WELL. AS WE  HEAD THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK SEE IF THAT DEVELOPS INTO  ANYTHING. THERE'S THE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATE PAST 24 HOURS FROM  TEXAS ON NORTHWARD. YOU CAN SEE AS WE ADD ON THE NEXT 36  WE'LL CONTINUE TO ADD SOME IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS THERE. LIGHTER  AMOUNTS FARTHER EAST MIDDLE EAST SOME DEVELOPING INTO THE  CENTRAL AND EASTERN OHIO RIVER VALLEY SNOWFALL MAINLY CONFINED  TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS BUT HAVEN MONTANA ALREADY BROKE A  RECORD FOR OCTOBER 1ST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OVER TWO FEET OF SNOW  IN PARTS OF THAT AREA. SO REALLY SIGNIFICANT SNOW IN THAT PART OF THE  COUNTRY AND THAT'S WHERE THE COLD AIR IS HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS  AFTERNOON ONLY 30S AND 40S THEIR 70S AND 80S THOUGH AS YOU GET  FARTHER EAST INTO THE OHIO VALLEY SOUTHWARD TO SEE THE COOLER AIR  TRYING TO COME SOUTHWARD. SO WE HAVE LOWS TOMORROW MORNING  IN THE 40S AND 50S GREAT LAKES INTO THE NORTHEAST AND THEN YOU  CAN STAY COOL NORTH OF THE FRONT BUT PRETTY WARM TO THE SOUTH OF IT.  AND THERE'S THE JET STREAM YOU SEE THE RIBS TRYING TO HOLD ON WE  HAVE LITTLE TROUGHS TRYING TO DIG INTO IT BUT IT'S NOT GOING TO BE A  REAL COLD SHOT OF AIR UNTIL PERHAPS NEXT WEEK WHEN WE START TO  SEE SOME OF THAT MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN TIER OF STATES. THAT'S A  LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY. NOW LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT SOME LOCAL  FORECASTS HEADING INTO FRESNO CALIFORNIA FIRST OF ALL LOTS OF  SUNSHINE RATHER WARM HIGH AROUND 80 DEGREES. SPENCER IOWA  MILD WITH TIMES OF SUNSHINE AND CLOUDS HIGH OF 65 AND CHARLOTTE  NORTH CAROLINA A GOOD DEAL OF SUNSHINE AND NICE HIGH AROUND 79  DEGREES. 0

TEASE
WHEN WE COME BACK, WE'LL CHECK IN WITH THE  FOLKS FROM THE PACKER INCLUDING AN UPDATE ON  HURRICANE DAMAGE IN PUERTO RICO AND FLORIDA. PLUS, PUTTING A TWIST ON CLASSICAL WINE.  WE'LL TAKE A TRIP TO ITALY LATER ON AGDAY. 

PACKER TV
IN THE PACKER TV, PUERTO RICO MAKING PLEAS FOR  HELP AS SOME LEADERS ESTIMATE 80 PERCENT OF THE  AREA'S CROPS ARE DESTROYED.  THIS COMES AS PRESIDENT TRUMP MADE HIS WAY TO  SURVEY THE DAMAGE IN PUERTO RICO FIRST HAND.  HURRICANE MARIA CREATING CHAOS IN PUERTO RICO  AFTER THE CATEGORY 4 STORM HIT LAST MONTH.  THE SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE THERE PUTS CROP  LOSSES AT 80 PERCENT, OR AN ESTIMATED 780 MILLION  DOLLARS IN VALUE.  IT DEVASTATED CROPS LIKE BANANA, PLAINTAINS AND  COFFEE.  PRESIDENT TRUMP ARRIVING IN PUERTO RICO ON  TUESDAY, TO SEE THE DEVASTATION FROM HURRICANE  MARIA. MOST OF THE ISLAND STILL DOESN'T HAVE  ELECTRICITY, AND THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION HAS  FACED  CRITICISM OVER ITS RESPONSE. WHILE THE ADMINISTRATION SAYS IT HAD MORE THAN  10-THOUSAND FEDERAL OFFICIALS ON THE GROUND,  AND URBAN SEARCH AND RESCUE TEAMS HAVE  COVERED THE ENTIRE ISLAND. FARM JOURNAL WASHINGTON CORRESPONDENT JIM  WEISEMEYER SAYS THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION IS  EXPECTED TO REQUEST BETWEEN 10 AND 15 BILLION  DOLLARS OF DISASTER AID BY THE END OF THE WEEK.  AND THE DEVASTATION FROM HURRICANE IRMA  CONTINUES, AS SOUTHWEST FLORIDA WORKS TO  RECOVER.  THE PACKER REPORTING CITRUS GROVES RAVAGED BY  THE HURRICANE HAVE AN ESTIMATED FRUIT LOSS OF 60  TO 70 PERCENT.  BUT NOW PRODUCERS ARE LOOKING FOR FEDERAL AID  TO HELP. LEE JONES, GENERAL MANAGER FOR GARDINIER  FLORIDA CITRUS TELLING OUR REPORTING PARTNERS ,  QUOTE, "HOW ARE WE GOING TO SURVIVE THIS? IF THE  FEDS DON'T STEP IN WITH SOME DISASTER  ASSISTANCE, WE'RE TOAST."  BACK IN WASHINGTON, LATER TODAY VIRGINIA  REPRESENTATIVE BOB GOODLATTE IS EXPECTED TO  SEE A JUDICIARY COMMITTEE VOTE ON HIS NEWLY  PROPOSED AGRICULTURE GUEST WORKER PROGRAM. THE H-2-C BILL WOULD END THE CURRENT H-2A VISA  AND MOVE ITS OVERSIGHT TO THE USDA. IT ALSO ALLOWS AG EMPLOYERS TO APPLY FOR YEAR  ROUND WORKERS AND NOT REQUIRE EMPLOYERS TO  PROVIDE HOUSING OR TRANSPORTATION. IT WOULD REQUIRE A WAGE SCALE 15 PERCENT ABOVE A STATE'S MINIMUM WAGE AND ALLOWS CURRENTLY  ILLEGAL FARMWORKERS TO PARTICIPATE IN THE  PROGRAM. THIS BILL OFFERS 500-THOUSAND VISAS ANNUALLY. STILL TO COME, SOME PREFER A LITTLE MOZART WHILE  INDULGING IN A GLASS OF WINE... BUT WHAT HAPPENS 

TEASE
WHEN YOU PLAY MOZART WHILE GROWING GRAPES?  WE'LL SHOW YOU NEXT ON AGDAY. 

IN THE COUNTRY
IT'S HARVEST SEASON AT VINEYARDS ACROSS THE  COUNTRY. IN ITALY THIS TRADITION IS GETTING AN AIR OF  AMBIANCE AS GRAPE PICKERS WORK TO THE SOUND OF  MOZART. AT THE "AL PARADISO DI FRASSINA" VINEYARD OF  TUSCANY THE MUSIC IS NOT FOR WORKER'S  BENEFIT.....IT IS FOR THE BENEFIT OF THE VINES. THIS IS PERHAPS THE WORLD'S MOST MUSICAL  VINEYARD  THE FOUNDER PLANTED 10 ACRES OF GRAPES IN 2000  AND BEGAN PLAYING DIFFERENT KINDS OF MUSIC. UNIVERSITY SCIENTISTS THEN JOINED HIS EFFORT  FINDING THAT MOZART OFFERS BENEFITS FOR BOTH  PLANT PROTECTION AND HEALTH.   A 2012 STUDY BY FLORENCE UNIVERSITY FOUND THAT  THE SUGAR CONTENT AND THE CHEMICAL MAKE-UP OF  THE GRAPES WERE DIFFERENT DEPENDING ON  WHETHER THE PLANTS HAD BEEN EXPOSED TO THE  MUSIC OR NOT. PLANTS SUBJECTED TO SOUND HAD A RICHER  INTENSITY OF AROMATIC SUBSTANCES.

CLOSE
THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. WE'RE  GLAD YOU TUNED IN.  FOR MIKE HOFFMAN AND ALL OF US AT AGDAY, I'M CLINTON  GRIFFITHS. HAVE A GREAT DAY. 

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