AgDay Daily Recap -September 28, 2016

July 12, 2016 02:57 AM
 

TODAY ON AGDAY
SEPTEMBER 28, 2016

HEADLINES
COMING UP TODAY ON AGDAY-FLOODING ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI IS SET TO KEEP SHIPPERS ON THE SIDELINES...AS TOWN WATCH AND WAIT ON WATERS RECEDE. PLUS, OUR I -80 HARVEST TOUR KICKS OFF WITH A LOOK AT STORAGE CAPACITY. IN AGRIBUSINESS...SOUTH AMERICAN PLANTING AND THE POTENTIAL IMPACT ON U.S. ACREAGE. SOYBEAN PRODUCTION IS UNFORTUNATELY GOING TO BE UP MAYBE 101 OR 104 MILLION METRIC TONS COULD TEXAS SEE A MASSIVE INCREASE IN IMPORTED PRODUCE FROM MEXICO? AND IT IS CRANBERRY HARVEST TIME IN MASSACHUSETTS--BUT THIS YEAR FARMERS ARE FACING MULTIPLE CHALLENGES. AGDAY-BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE DEPENDABLE, LONG LASTING CHEVY SILVERADO.

RIVER GRAIN SHIPMENT DELAYS
GOOD MORNING I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. GRAIN SHIPMENTS ON THE PRIMARY WATERWAY IN THE MIDWEST MAY COME TO A HALT THIS WEEKEND AS RUN-OFF FROM RECORD RAINFALL IN THE UPPER MIDWEST FLOWS SOUTHWARD. THE ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS TELLING AGDAY THAT IT MAY TEMPORARILY CLOSE FOUR LOCKS ON THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. CLOSING THE LOCKS WILL PREVENT GRAIN SHIPMENTS FROM MOVING SOUTH. THOSE FOUR LOCKS ARE NUMBER 16 IN MUSCATINE, 17 IN NEW BOSTON, ILLINOIS, 18 IN BURLINGTON, IOWA AND 20  IN CANTON, MISSOURI. THE CORPS ANTICIPATES SHUTTING DOWN TRAFFIC ON SATURDAY OR SUNDAY, DEPENDING ON THE FLOODING CREST. THE LOCKS WOULD BE OUT OF OPERATION FOR "A COUPLE DAYS".EXCESSIVE RAINS LAST WEEK IN NORTHERN IOWA, SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN SWAMPED FARMLAND IN THE UPPER MIDWEST LAST WEEK. IT'S ALSO BRINGING NEAR-RECORD FLOODING IN CEDAR RAPIDS, IOWA - THE STATE'S SECOND LARGEST CITY. THE CEDAR RIVER - WHICH DUMPS INTO THE MISSISSIPPI   RIVER - IS TEN FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. FLOODING ON THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER IS LIKELY TO CLOSE THREE LOCKS ON THE GRAIN SHIPPING WATERWAY FROM SOUTHERN IOWA TO NORTHERN MISSOURI LATER THIS WEEK, THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS SAID ON MONDAY. CLOSURE OF LOCK 17 NEAR NEW BOSTON, ILLINOIS; LOCK 18 NEAR GLADSTONE, ILLINOIS; AND LOCK 20 NEAR CANTON, MISSOURI, WOULD EFFECTIVELY HALT BARGE SHIPPING THROUGH THE AREA AND COULD LAST TWO OR THREE DAYS, SAID ALLEN MARSHALL, SPOKESMAN FOR THE ARMY CORPS' ROCK ISLAND DISTRICT, CITING NATIONAL WEATHER   SERVICE RIVER LEVEL FORECASTS. THE FLOOD-SWOLLEN MISSISSIPPI IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 18.3 FEET (5.6 METERS) AT NEW BOSTON ON SATURDAY, ACCORDING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST, WHICH TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PAST PRECIPITATION ALONG WITH RAIN EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.                                      

I-80 IN INDIANA
THE I-80 HARVEST TOUR - SPONSORED BY THE ENLIST WEED CONTROL SYSTEM FROM DOW AGROSCIENCES -COMBINING THE PROVEN CONTROL OF A NEW 2,4-D AND GLYPHOSATE.  TAKE CONTROL OF TOUGH WEEDS LIKE NEVER BEFORE. IT'S A BAD TIME FOR THE RIVER TO CLOSE, GRAIN VOLUMES RAMP-UP THIS TIME OF YEAR AS NEWLY HARVESTED CROPS ARE MOVED TO THE GULF COAST FOR EXPORT. BUT BEFORE GRAIN IS LOADED ON BARGES, IT SITS IN STORAGE.  AND STORAGE MAY BE AT A PREMIUM THIS YEAR. AS WE LAUNCH OUR I-80 HARVEST TOUR, BETSY JIBBEN TALKS WITH ELEVATOR MANAGERS ABOUT THE POTENTIAL CHALLENGES.USDA IS FORECASTING A RECORD CORN AND SOYBEAN CROP IN THE U.S. THIS YEAR. NOW THE QUESTION IS WHETHER FARMERS HAVE A PLACE TO STORE THE LARGE CROP, ESPECIALLY IF THERE IS OLD CROP IN THE BIN... SHIPPED THROUGH THE AFFECTED AREA NORMALLY INCREASE LATER IN THE FALL AS NEWLY HARVESTED CROPS ARE MOVED DOWNRIVER TO EXPORT TERMINALS ALONG THE GULF COAST, WHERE SOME 60 PERCENT ALL U.S. CROP EXPORTS EXIT THE COUNTRY. IN THE WEEK ENDED SEPT. 24, BARGES HAULING ABOUT 117,000 TONS OF CORN, SOYBEANS, WHEAT AND OTHER GRAIN PASSED THROUGH MISSISSIPPI RIVER LOCK 15 JUST UPRIVER FROM THE AFFECTED LOCKS, ACCORDING TO ARMY CORPS DATA.HARVEST IS STILL EARLY.. AND RECORD OR NOT, U.S. FARMERS SHOULD SEE A LARGE CROP. "THE BEAN CROP HAS JUST BEEN TREMENDOUS FROM WHAT WE'VE SEEN THUS FAR, NOW THE QUESTION REMAINS: WHERE WILL IT ALL GO? "A LOT OF GUYS DIDN'T SELL ENOUGH BUSHELS SO THE LAST THIRD OF HARVEST IS GOING TO BE INTERESTING WHERE THE CORN IS GOING TO GO," IT ALL MAY JUST DEPEND ON LOCATION. "STORAGE WILL BE TIGHT IN THE STATE OF IOWA. WE ARE LOOKING AT A HUGE CROP BUT I BELIEVE IT WILL BE MANAGEABLE," HEIMERDINGER SAYS FARMERS WIN COOPERATIVE IS SITTING ON SOME OLD CROP BUT HE DOESN'T SEE THAT AS A PROBLEM GOING INTO HARVEST. "BEANS, WE'RE VIRTUALLY EMPTY GOING INTO HARVEST. CORN, WE DO HAVE SOME FARMER OWNED CORN AT OUR FACILITIES BUT IT'S PROBABLY COMPARABLE TO LAST YEAR. NOT TOO BAD. WE EXPECT TO HANDLE ALL OF OUR CUSTOMER'S CROP THIS YEAR," WE VISITED THE AREA JUST DAYS BEFORE THE TORRENTIAL RAIN. HEIMERDINGER SAYS THE DOWNPOUR DIDN'T IMPACT HIS WHOLE TRADE TERRITORY. THEREFORE, IT'S TOO EARLY TO TELL IF THERE'S HUGE IMPACT TO BUSINESS. HE SAYS TRANSPORTATION TRAVEL IS RUNNING OK FOR NOW. "WE'VE BEEN BUSY SHIPPING AND WE'RE AT THE END OF THAT NOW," CENTRAL ILLINOIS IS WELL INTO HARVEST. MIKE KUHNS SAYS PREMIER COOPERATIVE MOVED A TREMENDOUS AMOUNT OF GRAIN SINCE MAY. THAT'S THE ELEVATOR IN BETTER SHAPE THIS HARVEST. "GOING INTO MAY IT WAS QUITE BOTHERSOME ON MY END THAT WE WEREN'T GOING TO HAVE MUCH ROOM THE WAY THINGS WERE GOING BUT AS OF NOW, WE'VE MOVED A BUNCH OF GRAIN," KUHNS SAYS SO FAR, RAIL CARS HAVE BEEN COMING IN  EARLIER THAN NORMAL. "WE'RE STILL MOVING GRAIN," AGAIN, IT ALL DEPENDS ON LOCATION.RICHARD GUSE OWNS WALDORF AG AND GRAIN LLC IN  WALDORFF, MINNESOTA. HE'S MOVED LITTLE GRAIN OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF "WE'RE CARRYING MORE  GRAIN THAN WE EVER HAVE BEFORE." "FARMERS HAVEN'T SOLD. SO, WE'RE HOLDING IT UNTIL THEY SELL IT," GUSE SAYS THE AREA WAS WASHED OUT WITH RAIN LAST WEEK-WATER WAS UP TO THE CORN TASSELS AT ONE POINT. ROADS AND CROPS ARE WASHED OUT. HE'S WORRIED ABOUT TRANSPORTATION AND POTENTIAL SPROUTING. "THERE'S TOO MUCH AROUND. WE DON'T HAVE ENOUGH EXPORTS FOR THE MARKET WE'RE SITTING ON," HOWEVER, SOME BELIEVE THERE COULD BE A LOT OF TRAFFIC THIS FALL WITH A POTENTIAL RECORD CROP. "WE'RE GO TO BE ASKING THE SYSTEM TO MOVE A HUGE AMOUNT OF GRAIN TO EXPORTS THROUGH OCTOBER, NOVEMBER, DECEMBER UNLIKE WE'VE EVER SEEN IN OUR HISTORY," ERICKSEN SAYS HE'S PROJECTING A MOVE OF ROUGHLY 146 MILLION BUSHELS A WEEK FOR 13 WEEKS BY RIVER AND RAIL. THE PREVIOUS HIGH WAS 127 MILLION BUSHELS IN 2014 DURING THE SAME TIMEFRAME. BUT LOCKMASTER, GARY KILBURG AT LOCK AND DAM 11 IN DUBUQUE, IOWA  SAYS HE FEELS THEY CAN ACCOMODATE. THAT'S BECAUSE THEY'VE MOVED A LOT OF GRAIN ALREADY THIS YEAR. "WE'VE MOVED MORE ALMOST UP TO SEPTEMBER THIS YEAR THAN WE DID ALL OF FLAST YEAR. I'M SURE WE SURPASSED THE  TONNAGE OF LAST YEAR TO THIS YEAR," KILBURG SAYS HE DOESN'T KNOW WHY SO MUCH GRAIN HAS BEEN MOVED THROUGH DEBUQUE THIS EARLY. "I TALKED TO SOME OF OUR OPERATORS WHO HAVE BEEN HERE 30 PLUS YEARS AND THEY SAY IT'S ONE OF THE BUSIEST THEY'VE SEEN IN THEIR CAREERES... A LOT OF GRAIN BEING MOVED DOWN THIS RIVER,"  WHILE TRANSPORTATION, STORAGE AND WEATHER  ARE OUT OF THE FARMER'S CONTROL.. FOR NOW, THE FOCUS IS GETTING THIS LARGE CROP OUT OF THE GROUND. "SO FAR, SO GOOD," REPORTING FOR AGDAY, I'M BETSY JIBBEN. THANKS BETSY. HEIMERDINGER SAYS STORAGE RATES FOR CORN AND BEANS WILL BE THE SAME AS LAST FALL. HE SAYS HE CAN SEE THE ELEVATOR HOLDING MORE GRAIN FOR FARMERS THIS YEAR DUE TO BASIS AND FUTURES PRICES.

CROP COMMENTS
CROP COMMENTS IS POWERED BY RESICOREHERBICIDE FOR CORN, FROM DOW AGROSCIENCES. THE FLOODING IN IOWA, MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN TAKES CENTER STAGE IN TODAY'S CROP COMMENTS. MIKE HOFFMAN HAS DETAILS, MIKE. CLINTON, WE LOOKED AT THE CROP PROGRESS REPORTS FROM THOSE THREE STATES HIT BY THE FLOODING. A CROP REPORTER FOR "NASS" IN MINNESOTA SAYS THE CONSISTENTLY WET CONDITIONS IN SOUTHERN COUNTIES CONTINUE TO RAISE CONCERNS ABOUT MOLD IN CORN AND SOYBEANS, STALK PROBLEMS IN CORN, AND ROT RELATED TO WET SOIL. IT'S A SIMILAR STORY IN WESTERN WISCONSIN WHICH ALSO RECEIVED ABOUT A FOOT OF RAIN. A CROP REPORTER IN TREMPEALEAU COUNTY SAYS THE REMARKABLE RAIN FALL HAS ALL BUT HALTED HARVEST AND HAS CAUSED THE SIGNIFICANT LOSS IN QUALITY OF A REALLY GOOD CROP. MEANWHILE IT'S THE OPPOSITE PROBLEM IN PLYMOUTH, MASSACHUSETTS WHERE GROWERS ARE HARVESTING CRANBERRIES, THEY'VE BEEN DEALING WITH DROUGHT WHICH MEANS TIGHT WATER SUPPLIES.  THEY GOT ABOUT A HALF INCH OF WELCOME-RAIN LAST WEEK.  LATER IN THE SHOW, WE'LL TAKE YOU TO MASSACHUSETTS WHERE WATER SHORTAGE IS JUST ONE OF THE PROBLEMS GROWERS FACE. NOW TAKING A LOOK AT THE WEATHER MAP YOU CAN SEE A STORM SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT LAKES WITH SOME SHOWERS THAT ONES GOING TO BE ALMOST STALLED OUT AS WE SHOW YOU COMING UP AND A STORM SYSTEM OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST FINALLY MOVING AWAY WE’LL HAVE YOUR FORECAST BUT NOW HERE ARE SOME HOMETOWN TEMPS                                           

IOWA FARMLAND VALUES DECLINE
IOWA FARMLAND VALUES ARE ON THE DECLINE. A NEW SURVEY FROM THE IOWA CHAPTER OF REALTORS LAND INSTITUTE SHOWING THE AVERAGE PRICE PER ACRE IN THE STATE IS AROUND 6 THOUSAND 486 DOLLARS. THAT'S AN 8 POINT 7 PERCENT DROP FROM SEPTEMBER OF LAST YEAR, AND A 25 PERCENT DECLINE FROM THE PEAK IN 2013. ALL NINE CROP REPORTING DISTRICTS SHOWED YEAR OVER YEAR DECLINES, WITH THE BIGGEST DROP HITTING SOUTHWEST IOWA.                                  

TEASE
ALRIGHT WHEN WE COME BACK WE'LL LOOK AT PLANTING PROGRESS IN SOUTH AMERICA AND WHAT IT MAY MEAN FOR THE ACREAGE BATTER HERE AT HOME COME SPRING. AND CRANBERRY DEMAND WILL START TO RAMP-UP AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE HOLIDAYS. LATER MEET A GROWER WHO'S DOING WHAT HE CAN TO FILL THE DEMAND. BUTMOTHER NATURE ISN'T HELPING.

FROM THE FLOOR OF THE CME
AGRIBUSINESS TODAY, BROUGHT TO YOU BY YAMAHA -MAKERS OF VIKING SIDE-BY-SIDES.  YAMAHA - REAL WORLD TOUGH. IN AGRIBUSINESS TODAY, MARKETS CONTINUE TO PRESS FORWARD TOWARD THE END OF THE MONTH. LETS SEE WHERE MARKETS STAND FROM THE FLOOR OF THE CME IN CHICAGO. "LIVESTOCK MARKETS HERE IN CHICAGO SHARPLY LOWER ON TUESDAY. WE AT ONE POINT HAD A LIMIT DOWN TRADE IN THE CATTLE, FEEDER CATTLE, AND A SHARPLY LOWER TRADE IN THE HOG MARKET. SO FOLLOWING A NEUTRAL TO SLIGHTLY BEARISH CATTLE ON FEED REPORT FRIDAY THE CATTLE MARKET IS GIVING BACK ALL OF THAT REVERSAL FROM FRIDAY BEFORE THE REPORT AND INTO SOME NEW LOWS. AND SOME OF THE CONTRACTS, ESPECIALLY BACK MONTH FEEDERS, HAVE ACTED VERY, VERY POORLY."WHILE IT'S HARVEST SEASON HERE IN THE U.S. IN   ARGENTINA, FARMERS ARE PLANTING. THE AG MINISTRY IN THE COUNTRY EXPECTS NEALRY 17.8 MILLION ACRES OF CORN THIS YEAR. THAT'S UP 4 PERCENT....AND WOULD BE THE LARGEST CROP IN THE LAST 76 YEARS. ECONOMISTS SAY IT WILL PUT SOME PRESSURE ON U.S. GROWERS. "THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT EVEN A BIG RESPONSE THERE IS NOT A LOT OF ACRES, BUT ALL THAT INCREASE WOULD BE LOOKING FOR A HOME IN THE EXPORT MARKET. WHICH WOULD BE COMPETITION FOR THE U.S. " GOOD SAYS THAT NEAR 18 MILLION ACRES IS A LITTLE MORE THAN WHAT FARMERS PLANTED IN SOUTH DAKOTA THIS LAST YEAR.

SOUTH AMERICAN CROPS
HERE AT THE AGRIBUSINESS DESK WE HAVE DON ROOSE, US COMMODITIES. DON AS WE START TALKING ABOUT HARVESTING OUR CROP, WE KNOW DOWN IN SOUTH AMERICA THEY'RE JUST GETTING STARTED PLANTING WHICH ALWAYS HAS A LONG TAIL FOR US. YEAH IT IS. IN FACT, THEY RAISE MORE SOYBEANS 1 AND A HALF PLUS KINDS OF SOYBEANS THAT WE DO. LEGALLY, BRAZIL COULD START PLANTING SEPTEMBER 15TH. THEY'RE A BIT DRY. IT'S THEIR DRY SEASON, BUT THEY'RE STARTING TO GET SOME RAIN NOW SO IT LOOKS LIKE THEY'RE OFF TO A PRETTY TIMELY PLANTING STANDPOINT. IT LOOKS LIKE SOYBEAN PRODUCTION UNFORTUNATELY IS GOING TO BE UP MAYBE 101-104 MILLION METRIC TONS VERSUS ABOUT 96 MILLION METRIC TONS THIS YEAR. BUT THE OTHER ISSUE THAT YOU REALLY HAVE TO HAVE IS IN THE CORN MARKET BECAUSE IT LOOKS LIKE LAST YEAR THEY HAD A SHORT CROP OF COURSE BUT IT LOOKS LIKE THEIR PRODUCTION IS GOING TO BE UP SOMEWHERE AROUND 30 PERCENT SO THEIR FIRST CROP THEY'RE PLANTING NOW, NO REAL ISSUES WITH THAT CROP EITHER. ARGENTINE IS JUST ABOUT DONE PLANTING. NO REAL ISSUES THERE SO THEY'RE OFF TO A GOOD CROP. REMEMBER WE'RE PROBABLY GOING TO RUN INTO COMPETITION FROM THAT AREA OF THE JUNE AND JULY TIME FRAME. I THINK THE EXPORT WINDOW IS GOING TO CLOSE IN THE MIDDLE OF THE WINTER. OK AS WE LOOK AT WHAT THEY'RE DOING WITH THEIR PLANTING, THAT STARTS TO TRANSLATE BACK TO WHAT ARE WE GOING TO DO WITH OUR CROPS AND HOW ARE WE GOING TO DECIDE WHAT TO PUT IN OUR FIELDS. WHAT ARE YOU SEEING AS FAR AS 2017 ACREAGE MIX? EXACTLY AND THAT IS STARTING TO BUBBLE TO THE TOP AS WE'RE STARTING HARVEST AND STARTING TO PREPARE FOR NEXT YEAR. BUT I TELL YOU IF YOU LOOK AT IT REALISTIC, LOOK AT THE WEED ACRES. PROBABLY THE THIRD LOWEST WHEAT ACRES ON RECORD IN THE LAST 100 YEARS SO PROBABLY DOWN TO 49 MILLION ACRES, SOMETHING LIKE THAT. THOSE ACRES ARE GOING TO GO TO SOMETHING. IT LOOKS LIKE TO US THAT THE BEAN ACRES UNFORTUNATELY COULD BE UP 4-5 MILLION. THAT GIVES YOU A CHANCE FOR A POSSIBLY 650, 700 MILLION CARRY OUT. THE CORN ACRES, WE PROBABLY REMEMBER THIS FROM LAST YEAR, ARE PROBABLY UP ABOUT 6 MILLION. PROBABLY TAKE THOSE DOWN 5 MILLION, BUT STILL ITS GOING TO BE HARD TO GET CARRYOUT WITHOUT WEATHER PROBLEMS UNDER 2 BILLION BUSHELS EVEN THERE. LOOKS LIKE NEXT YEAR COULD BE A STOCK BUILDING YEAR ON SOYBEANS AND HOLDING OUR OWN IN CORN. OF COURSE WE GOT TO SEE WHAT THE WEATHER DOES ON BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICA. WELL EXACTLY. THE WEATHER IS THE GREAT EQUALIZER AND THAT'S WHAT WE'RE GOING TO KEEP AN EYE ON. IN THE LA NINA YEAR, I THINK WE HAVE TO REMEMBER LAST YEAR WAS AN EL NINO YEAR. USUALLY GOOD CROPS. LA NINA YEARS, USUALLY STRUGGLING CROPS. ALRIGHT WE'LL KEEP AN EYE ON IT. WE APPRECIATE IT DON. WE'LL BE BACK WITH MORE AGDAY IN JUST A MINUTE. FOR ALL OF YOUR RISK MANAGEMENT AND TRADING NEEDS, CALL ONE OF THE U.S. COMMODITIES SPECIALISTS AT 800-247-4071.  

TEASE
THIS IS MACHINERY PETE - INVITING YOU TO CHECK OUT MY NEW WEBSITE - MACHINERYPETE.COM -OFFERING FARMERS TENS OF THOUSANDS OF USED EQUIPMENT LISTINGS TO SEARCH.  LET MACHINERY PETE HELP YOU FIND AND VALUE YOUR NEXT PIECE OF USED EQUIPMENT.

NATIONAL WEATHER
WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY HERE WITH MIKE HOFFMAN. MIKE WE'RE WATCHING THIS LOW THATS KIND OF SEEDED RIGHT THERE OVER MICHIGAN TODAY.L YEAH WHEN YOU SEE HTE JET STREAM YOU'LL SEE THE BIG CUT OFF AND THAT'S WHY THAT THING IS NOT GOING TO MOVE FOR FIVE TO SEVEN DAYS IT'S JUST GOING TO STAY THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. THIS MORNING HTE LOW IS CENTERE DOVER WEST CENTRAL PORTIONS OF HTE LOWE RPART OF MICHIGAN. NOW WE'LL BE WATCHIGN THAT ONE MOVE WELL WE'LL ALSO WATCH THE SYSTEM MOVE AWAY OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THAT'S MOVIN OFF TO THE NORTHEAST AND WE HAVE A SLOW MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER HTE SOUTHWEST WHICH IS GOING TO SLOWLY TRACK INT OTHE CENTRAL ROCKIES. SO PUTTING HTE MAPS INTO MTION YOU CAN SEE THE ROTATING AREAS OF RAIN SHOWERS NOTHING REAL HEAVY IS EXPECTED IN MOST OF THESE AREAS BUT THERE MAY BE SOME POCKETS ESPEIALLY TO NORTH OF HTE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IT COUDL GET TWO TO THREE INCHES OF A RAIN OVER A FOUR TO FIVE DAY PERIOD. SO THAT'S JUST SOMTHING WE'LL HAVE TO WATCH. HIGH PRESSUR EBULDING SOUTHWEARED IS GOING OT BE EVEN CHILLIER THAN THE ONE THAT CAME JUST EBFORE IT. MOVING THROUGH THE GULF COAST RIGHT NOW. SO THE STYSTEM OUT WEST AGAIN MOVING ON UP INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA EVUTALLY UTAH AND THE CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ROCKIES. SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS WTIH THAT ONE. AND YOU CNA SEE AS THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE KIND OF MEANDERS THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY, WE WILL SEE SOME MOISTURE START TO COME OUT OF HTE ATLANTIC AND THERE COULD BE SOME HEAVY AMOUNTS IN THE MID ATLANTIC AGAIN. NOT FOR THE SYTEM OFF SHROE BUT FOR THE INLAND WHICH IS KIND OF UNUSUAL AS WELL. SO EVEN THOUGH WE SHOW THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST IT'S PROBABLY GOING TO BACK TRACK A LITTLE BIT. EXCUSE ME AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND SO IT'S GOIGN TO OCNITNUE TO BRING SOME MOISTURE THERE. AND YOU CAN SEE A FLOW OF MOISTURE NOW UP THROUGH THE DESERT SOUTHWEST INTO THAT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE ROCKIES. SO PRECIP ESTIAMTES OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, YOU CAN SEE A LITTLE BIT IN MID ATLANTIC, SOUTH FLORIDA, ADDING ON THE NEXT 36 HORUS THOUGH WE'RE GOING OT ADD A FAIR AMOUINT OUR COMPUTER MODEL IS REALY SHOWING FAIRLY HEAVY AMOUTNS FOR OUR CAPITAL ALL THE WAY DOWN TO PARTS OF NORTH ACAROLINA DN SOME OF THAT GOES BACK INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AS WELL IN SOME AREAS AGAIN MOST OF THAT WILL BE LIGHT RAIN BUT OVER A SEVERL DAY PERIOD. IT MAIGHT START TO ADD UP. HIGH TEMPS THIS AFTERNOON ONLY IN 60S FOR NORHTARN HALF OF PLAINS 80S FOR SOUTHERN HALF, LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT GOING TO DROP OFF PRETTY GOOD. CROSS THE PLAINS STATES EVEN INTO THE LOWER 60S IN NORTHERN TEXAS BUT YOU CAN SEE A LOT OF 40S THERE CETNRAL AND NORTHENR PLAINS AND HIGH TEMPS TOMORROW MORE OF HTE WSAME. VERY COOL WEATHER, TYPICAL WEATHER FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR FOR MOST OF HTE CORN BELT. TAKING A LOOK AT THE JET STREAM THERE'S THAT CUOTOFF LOW AND WATCH WHAT HAPPENS IT KIND OF MOVES SOUTH FOR A WHILE THEN IT COMES BACK NORTH EVENTUALLY KIND OF NEXT WEEK MOVES INTO THE REST OF HTE JET STREAM AND A BIG TROPH DEVELOPS OUT WEST.

REGIONAL WEATHER
THAT'S A LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY NOW LET'S TAKE A LOOKAT SOME LOCAL FORECAST.S FOR HOLBROOK ARIZONA, VARIABLY COULDY, SHOWER OR STORM IN AREA HIGH OF 75. JONESBORO ARAKNSAS LOTS OF SUN, PLEANSANTLY WARM HIGH OF 84 AND HOLTON MAINE, MOSTLY COULDY RATHER COOL, AFTERNOON HIGH OF JSUT 58 DEGREES.

TEASE
THE PACKER TV LOOKS AT A POTENTIAL BOOM IN PRODUCE IMPORTS FROM MEXICO. WE'LL TELL YOU ABOUT THE STUDY. LATER WE'RE CHECKING ON CRANBERRY HARVEST WHERE GROWERS ARE GETTING "BOGGED DOWN" IN THE ECONOMY. THE LOCAL WEATHER CAN HAVE A BIG IMPACT NOT ONLY ON YOUR DAY, BUT ALSO ON YOUR CROPS. START YOUR DAY OFF RIGHT WITH YOUR LOCAL FORECAST DELIVERED RIGHT TO YOUR MOBILE PHONE, JUST TEXT WEATHER TO 31313 TO GET STARTED!

MEXICO FRESH PRODUCE ON THE RISE
ON THE PACKER TV, A NEW TEXAS A&M STUDY SAYS THE    NEXT SEVEN YEARS COULD USHER IN A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN FRESH PRODUCE FROM MEXICO. THE RESEARCHERS SAY GROWING DEMAND FOR FRESH PRODUCE IN THE U.S. WILL LEAD TO MAJOR INCREASES IN IMPORTS AND TRAFFIC ACROSS THE BORDER. ACCORDING TO THE STUDY, THE ECONOMIC IMPACT COULD BE AS HIGH AS 1 AND A HALF BILLION DOLLARS. AND MORE THAN HALF OF THAT BENEFITING TEXAS. BY 2023 TRUCKLOADS ARE FORECAST AT 550-THOUSAND--AN INCREASE OF 32 PERCENT COMPARED TO CURRENT LEVELS.


NON-BROWNING APPLE
THE USDA HAS APPROVED ANOTHER NON-BROWNING APPLE. THE GENETICALLY ENGINEERED ARCTIC FUJI IS NOW CLEARED TO BE SOLD. THE USDA PREVIOUSLY APPROVED THE G-E ARCTIC GOLDEN AND ARCITIC GRANNY APPLES. USDA'S APHIS DIVISION SAYS THEY FOUND NO SPECIAL  CONCERNS WITH THE APPLE. AND IF YOU'RE LOOKING TO KEEP UP WITH TRENDS IN THE KITCHEN, DON'T FORGET TURMERIC. THE SPICE IS GROWING IN POPULARITY. THE RHIZOME HAS BEEN SAID TO POSSES COMPOUNDS WITH ANTI-INFLAMMATORY AND ANTIOXIDANT PROPERTIES.                                                 

TEASE
STILL TO COME - WE'LL CHECK ON CRANBERRY HARVEST IN THE STATE WHERE THE FIRST THANKSGIVING WAS HELD. FARMERS WILL BE 'THANKFUL' IF THEY GET THEIR CROP OUT.                                       

CRANBERRY CHALLENGES
IN THE COUNTRY - BROUGHT TO YOU BY KUBOTA'S BX   AND L SERIES COMPACT TRACTORS - AVAILABLE NOW WITH A SIX-YEAR LIMITED POWERTRAIN WARRANTY.  LEARN   MORE TODAY AT YOUR LOCAL KUBOTADEALER. ALL IS NOT WELL IN CRANBERRY COUNTRY THIS HARVESTING SEASON. MANY MASSACHUSETTS GROWERS FACE CHALLENGES THAT INCLUDE RISING PRODUCTION COSTS, DECREASING CROP VALUES, AND A DROUGHT THAT THREATENS TO LEAVE FARMS WITHOUT ENOUGH WATER FOR HARVEST. MICHAEL HILL REPORTS.THERE ARE BIG WORRIES IN CRANBERRY COUNTRY. RISING COSTS AND DROPPING CROP VALUES ARE SQUEEZING BERRY GROWERS IN MASSACHUSETTS.  AND THE WORST DROUGHT IN DECADES THREATENS TO MAKE IT HARDER TO FLOOD THE BOGS FOR THE JUST STARTED    HARVEST. "AS I SEE IT, IF WE DON'T GET A GOOD RAINSTORM OR A GOOD SEVERAL RAINSTORMS, WE WILL NOT BE ABLE TO HARVEST." COMMERCIAL CRANBERRY PRODUCTION ON CAPE COD AND MASSACHUSETTS IS 200 YEARS OLD. JUICE AND SAUCE SALES HAVE LEVELED OFF, BUT DRIED CRANBERRIES ARE POPULAR. THE FRUIT IS STILL THE TOP CROP IN THIS STATE, THOUGH WISCONSIN AND QUEBEC NOW PRODUCE MORE OF THE THANKSGIVING TABLE STAPLE. AS HARVESTING STARTS IN MASSACHUSETTS, FARMERS WORRY ABOUT COVERING COSTS. "RIGHT NOW WE'RE DEALING WITH A SURPLUS AND LOW COMMODITY PRICES. SO EVERY OPERATION HAS A DIFFERENT SET OF CHALLENGES." GROWER STEVE WARD SAYS HE GETS ABOUT $11 PER BARREL OF CRANBERRIES BUT PRODUCTION COSTS OFTEN EXCEED $30 PER BARREL. BUT HE DOES NOT WANT TO GIVE UP. "IT'S A THOUGHT EVERY DAY WHETHER I SHOULD EXIT OR NOT BUT MY GUT FEELING IS THAT IF YOU TAKE A BOG OUT OF PRODUCTION, IT'S NEVER COMING BACK INTO PRODUCTION." HOPES FOR SWEETER TIMES AHEAD ON BOGS THAT HAVE SUSTAINED FARMERSFOR TWO CENTURIES. MICHAEL HILL, ASSOCIATED PRESS.DESPITE THE WATER SUPPLY CHALLENGE, USDA'S CROPPROGRESS REPORT SHOWS 73-PERCENT OF THE CRANBERRY CROP IN MASSACHUSETTS IS GOOD TO EXCELLENT.                                             

CLOSE
THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. WE'RE GLAD YOU TUNED IN. FOR MIKE HOFFMAN, AND ALL OF US AT AGDAY. I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. HAVE A GREAT DAY.

Back to news


Comments

 
Spell Check

No comments have been posted to this News Article

Corn College TV Education Series

2014_Team_Shot_with_Logo

Get nearly 8 hours of educational video with Farm Journal's top agronomists. Produced in the field and neatly organized by topic, from spring prep to post-harvest. Order now!

Markets

Market Data provided by QTInfo.com
Brought to you by Beyer
Close