AgDay Daily Recap -April 11, 2018

April 11, 2018 02:57 AM
 
AgDay

TODAY ON AGDAY
APRIL 11, 2018


HEADLINES
USDA RELEASES A FRESH TALLY OF WORLD SUPPLIES INCLUDING DROUGHT  STRICKEN ARGENTINA. TOUGH TRADE TALK BETWEEN THE U.S. CHINA SOFTENS  ON OUR I-80 PLANTING TOUR. I'M BETSY JIBBEN WE ARE IN EASTERN NEBRASKA  ALONG OUR I80 PLANTING TOUR AND WE'LL HAVE AN UPDATE ON PLANTING  CONDITIONS AHEAD IN THE SHOW IN AGRIBUSINES ...IS THE AG ECONOMY ON THE MEND? "WE COULD SEE ANOTHER YEAR WHERE STOCKS ARE BURDENSON BECAUSE WE  HAVE WAY ABOVE TREND YEILDS ECETERA SO IT'S NOTS GUARANTEED." AND A SPRING FLING IN THE NATION'S CAPITOL.  AGDAY - BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE CHEVY SILVERADO, THE MOST DEPENDABLE, LONGEST-LASTING FULL  SIZE PICKUPS ON THE ROAD. 

APRIL WASDE
GOOD MORNING I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. USDA'S APRIL 'WASDE' REPORT  REFLECTS THE SERIOUS DROUGHT PROBLEMS PLAGUING ARGENTINA'S  SOYBEAN CROP USDA LOWERED THE ESTIMATE FOR ARGENTINA'S SOYBEAN CROP BY SEVEN  MILLION TONS TO 40 MILLION DUE TO REDUCED HARVESTED AREA AND YIELD. DROUGHT HIT THE REGION DURING THE PRIME GROWING MONTHS JANUARY  THROUGH MARCH. MEANWHILE LOWER SOYBEAN PRODUCTION IS PARTIALLY OFFSET BY HIGHER  PRODUCTION IN BRAZIL. USDA EXPECTS BRAZIL FARMERS WILL PRODUCE A  RECORD AMOUNT OF SOYBEANS OF 115 MILLION TONS. THAT TWO MILLION TON  INCREASE IS BASED ON HIGHER PROJECTED YIELDS FROM MATO GROSSO,  BRAZIL'S TOP SOYBEAN GROWING STATE. JUST BEFORE RELEASING THE LATEST SOUTH AMERICAN PRODUCTION DATA,  USDA CONFIRMING A SHIPMENT OF 120-THOUSAND METRIC TONS OF U.S. SOYBEANS IS HEADED FOR ARGENTINA. THE WORLD'S THIRD LARGEST EXPORTER BUYING U.S. BEANS AMID STIFLING DROUGHT--MAKING ITS BIGGEST PURCHASE IN 20 YEARS AND THE FIRST SALE TO  ARGENTINA SINCE THE 2008-2009 SEASON. PROFARMER'S BRIAN GRETE HELPING US PUT IT ALL IN PERSPECTIVE. "ON THE SOYBEAN SIDE OF THINGS DRAMATIC 7 MILLION METRIC TON CUT TO THE ARGENTINE SOYBEAN  CROP WAY MORE THAN OFFSET A 2 MILLION METRIC TON INCREASE TO THE BRAZILIAN CROP AND AS A  RESULT WE SAW A BIG MONTH OVER MONTH DECLINE IN GLOBAL SOYBEAN ENDING STOCKS THAT WILL  CARRY US MOVING FORWARD AS FAR AS THE ARGENTINE CROP CONTINUES TO FALL I THINK BECAUSE IT  DOESN'T LOOK LIKE BASED ON WHAT WE'VE SEEN SO FAR THAT 40 MILLION METRIC TONS IS GOING TO BE THE LOW END FOR THE ESTIMATE COMING OUT OF ARGENTINA THIS YEAR." DOMESTICALLY, U.S. ENDING STOCKS FOR CORN COME IN AT 2.1 BILLION  BUSHELS, UP 55 MILLION BUSHELS FROM LAST MONTH. THE INCREASE IS BASED  ON USDA'S EXPECTATION FOR REDUCED FEED AND RESIDUAL USE. 2017-18 U.S. SOYBEAN ENDING STOCKS ARE ESTIMATED AT 550 MILLION BUSHELS, DOWN 5 MILLION FROM LAST MONTH. USDA EXPECTS INCREASED CRUSH. EXPORTS WERE ALSO UNCHANGED.THE PROJECTED 2017/18 U.S. WHEAT ENDING STOCKS COME IN 30 MILLION  BUSHELS HIGHER TO 1.06 BILLION BUSHELS. 

CHINA AND SOYBEANS
USDA ALSO CONFIRMING OF PURCHASE OF NEW CROP BEANS IS HEADED TO  CHINA. EVEN AS THE TWO NATIONS FACE OFF ON TRADE...AND THREATEN TARIFFS. CHINESE PRESIDENT XI JINPING SPEAKING AT A BUSINESS CONFERENCE,  PLEDGING TO REDUCE TARIFFS ON AUTOS, STRENGTHEN PROTECTION OF  INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY AND MOUNT A DRIVE TO BOOST IMPORTS AS PART OF A  QUOTE "A NEW PHASE OF OPENING UP" THE COUNTRY. PRESIDENT XI MAKING NO DIRECT MENTION OF U.S. PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP,  OR THE CURRENT TRADE DISPUTE.  GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS REACTING POSITIVELY TO THE STATEMENTS. CHINA REPORTING A GLOBAL TRADE SURPLUS OF 423 BILLION DOLLARS LAST  YEAR — ABOUT TWO-THIRDS OF THAT WITH THE UNITED STATES. XI SAYING AT THE MEETING "CHINA DOES NOT SEEK A TRADE SURPLUS ADDING THEY HAVE HAVE A GENUINE DESIRE TO INCREASE IMPORTS. PRESIDENT TRUMP REACTING TO XI JINPING'S COMMENTS VIA TWITTER SAYING  QUOTE, "VERY THANKFUL FOR PRESIDENT XI OF CHINA'S KIND WORDS ON  TARIFFS AND AUTOMOBILE BARRIERS...ALSO, HIS ENLIGHTENMENT ON  INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY AND TECHNOLOGY TRANSFERS.  WE WILL MAKE GREAT  PROGRESS TOGETHER!"  

TRUMP CANCELS SOUTH AMERICAN TRIP
MEANWHILE PRESIDENT TRUMP CANCELLING HIS TRIP TO SOUTH AMERICA AND  THE SUMMIT OF THE AMERICAS. THERE WAS TALK THAT LEADERS IN NORTH AMERICA MAY ANNOUNCE A COMPLETED NAFTA RENEGOTIATION. NOW THE MEXICAN ECONOMY MINISTER SAYING THAT'S NOT GOING TO BE  POSSIBLE BUT HE GIVES AN 80 PERCENT CHANCE AN AGREEMENT CAN BE REACHED BY THE FIRST WEEK OF MAY. 

I-80 PLANTING TOUR NEBRASKA
THE I-80 PLANTING TOUR - BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE ENLIST WEED CONTROL SYSTEM.  MORE WEED CONTROL.  LESS DRIFT AND VOLATILITY.  MAXIMUM YIELD POTENTIAL.  THERE'S BEEN LITTLE FIELD WORK ALONG THE I-80 CORRIDOR IN THE CORNBELT MONDAY'S CROP PROGRESS REPORT SHOWING IOWA AND ILLINOIS FARMERS  HAD LESS THAN A DAY OF "SUITABLE' WEATHER FOR FIELD WORK LAST WEEK.  AND THAT'S CONTINUING INTO THIS WEEK. NATIONALLY TWO PERCENT OF CORN GOT IN THE GROUND LAST WEEK WHICH IS  ON PAR WITH THE FIVE YEAR AVERAGE. IN NEBRASKA, THE STATE "NASS" REPORT SHOWS ONLY OATS GETTING PLANTED  LAST WEEK. IT'S 18-PERCENT, HALF OF LAST YEAR AND WELL BEHIND THE FIVE  YEAR AVERAGE. IN THIS WEEK'S STOP ALONG THE I-80 PLANTING TOUR, BETSY JIBBEN TALKS TO  FARMERS IN EASTERN NEBRASKA WHO ARE ANXIOUS TO GET GOING. PLANTERS ARE PARKED IN EASTERN NEBRASKA AND MAY SIT THERE FOR A WHILE. "I'D SAY SINCE 2012, NOTHING HAS GONE RIGHT IN THE SPRING OF THE YEAR FOR US IN THIS AREA( TAKE  OUT MIDDLE)I WOULD CALL IT MOTHER'S DAY MAYHEM WHERE EVERYONE PLANTED SOMETHING MOTHER'S  DAY WEEKEND,"2018 DOESN'T SEEM TOO MUCH DIFFERENT FOR NOW AS WINTER CONTINUES TO  LINGER FOR LUKE LAURTISEN AND HIS DAD, DALE IN ARLINGTON, NEBRASKA... "USUALLY WE HAVE AN INDIAN SPRING TYPE FEEL WITH 60S AND 70-, HAVEN'T HAD THAT FEELING YET THIS YEAR,"...AND KRIS KAVAN IN CEDAR BLUFFS, NEBRASKA. "WHEN WE WANT TO GET IN THE FIELD AND GET SOMETHING DONE, WE'RE BACK INTO FROZEN  TEMPERATURES AND FROZEN GROUND,""THE TIMEFRAME WHEN THESE NEBRASKA FARMERS WANT TO PLANT IS ITCHING CLOSER AND CLOSER BUT THEY SAY THERE IS STILL SOME FIELD WORK TO DO THIS YEAR,"KAVAN SAYS MOTHER NATURE HAS ONLY GIVEN HIM A DAY AND A HALF TO TILL  AND APPLY SPRING AMMONIA - HE NEEDS NEARLY A WEEK OF NICE WEATHER TO  GET IT ALL DONE. A SOIL TEMPERATURE OF 30 DEGREES SURE DOESN'T HELP. "THOSE TWO THINGS ARE WHAT WE NEED TO FINISH UP THIS SPRING," EVEN THOUGH THE SAME APPLIES FOR LAURITSEN'S AREA, HE DOESN'T THINK FARMERS ARE GOING TO CHANGE THEIR ACRES DUE TO A  LATE SPRING AT LEAST NOT YET. "IF THEY'VE GOT INPUTS BOUGHT AND THEY HAVE HTE MINDSET THEY'RE GOING TO DO IT, THEY'RE GOING  TO DO IT,""EVERYONE HAS SUCH BIG MACHINERY AND CAN PLANT IN 4 DAYS. IF YOU DO THAT AND HIT THE WRONG  ROULETTE NUMBER, YOU'RE DONE. I LIKE TO SPREAD IT OUT. THE LAST COUPLE OF YEARS OUR LATER CORN  LOOKED BETTER THAN OUR EARLIER CORN,"THAT'S BECAUSE THESE FARMERS SAY IT PAYS TO PLANT CORN. "BASIS IS PRETTY GOOD. WE HAVE A PROCESSOR ABOUT 60 MILES AWAY. THEY ARE ONE OF THE BETTER  BASIS' IN THE STATE IF NOT THE TRI-STATE AREA. THEY'RE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO THE LOW TEENS ALL OF THE  TIME.""YOU GET NORTH OF HERE IN THE DAKOTAS AND STUFF AND IT'S BAD. IT'S 40 TO 50 CENTS DIFFERENCE  THAN WHAT WE'RE BUYING AND SELLING CORN FOR,"AS FARMERS WAIT, THE LAURITSEN'S CONTINUE TO SEARCH FOR PROFITS. "IT AIN'T LIKE THE OLD DAYS WHEN MY GRANDPA TOLD ME IF YOU HAVE A FEW HOGS YOU CAN PYA THE  MORGATE, WELL IT DOESN'T WORK LIKE THAT ANYMORE. YOU GOTTA BE DIVERSIFIED. YOU MAY HAVE TO  SPRAY FOR SOMEONE OR SELL SEED,"ALL WHILE KEEPING AN EYE ON THE MARKET. "IT USED TO BE A GOOD FARMER IS SOMEONE GOOD WITH THEIR HANDS. NOW IT'S WHO CAN GO ON  THEIR PHONE QUICKLY AND MAKE A DECISION,"WAITING FOR FIELDS TO BE FIT HOPING THE FINAL PRODUCT WILL PAY OFF LATER  THIS SEASON. "IT'S BEEN LATE THE LAST FOUR YEARS, BUT IT'S BEEN TRYING BUT IN THE END WE'VE HAD GOOD CROPS  OUT OF IT WHICH IS SURPRISING WITH HOW SPRING WENT," REPORTING IN EASTERN NEBRASKA, I'M BETSY JIBBEN. THANKS BETSY. TEMPERATURES ARE SUPPOSED TO START WARMING UP THIS AFTERNOON. UNTIL  THEN, IT'S A WAITING GAME. EVEN IN THE SNOW THERE ARE SOME BRAVE SOULS WORKING FIELDS.

CROP COMMENTS
MIKE HOFFMAN HAS MORE IN TODAY'S CROP COMMENTS. GOOD MORNING CLINTON. YES KYLE THELEN SENT US THIS PICTURE ON FACEBOOK FROM MACKSBURG IOWA. HE SAYS FIELDS MAY HAVE SNOW COVER BUT HE'S GETTING SOME PREP WORK DONE.. PUTTING DOWN SPRING FERTILIZER. KYLE SAYS TEMPERATURES ARE CLOSE TO FIFTY AND MAY GET AS HIGH AS 70  DEGREES BY FRIDAY...BEFORE FALLING BACK TO THE FREEZING MARK OVER THE WEEKEND. USDA SAYS NO CORN HAS BEEN PLANTED IN IOWA YET..WHICH IS TYPICAL FOR  THIS TIME OF YEAR. AND TAKE A LOOK AT THE WINDSPEED FORECAST. YOU CAN SEE HOW IT TURNS WINDY THROUGH THE  MIDDLE PARTS OF THE COUNTRY AND INTO THE WEST AS WELL. TOMORROW WE'RE GOING TO SEE SOME  PRETTY HIGH WINDS FROM TEXAS ALL THE WAY INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND A FAIR AMOUNT OF WIND ALSO OUT WEST. WE'LL WATCH WHAT HAPPENS INTO THE AFTERNOON IT REALLY BECOMES WINDY IN  THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY AND THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. WE'LL HAVE YOUR  FORECAST COMING UP IN A FEW MINUTES. FIRST CHAIR SOME HOMETOWN TEMPS 

TEASE
WHEN WE COME BACK, WE'LL LOOK MARKET ACTION AND TALK ABOUT FINDING  STRENGTH IN THE FARM ECONOMY. PLUS, SPRING IS SHOWING ALL ITS GLORY IN WASHINGTON D-C THIS WEEK WITH  THE CHERRY BLOSSOMS. WE'LL TAKE YOU THERE, LATER ON AGDAY. AGDAY - BROUGHT TO YOU BY PROSARO FUNGICIDE FROM BAYER.  

FLOOR OF THE CME
IN AGRIBUSINESS MARKETS REACTING TO TUESDAY'S USDA REPORTS. LETS GET DETAILS FROM OUR FRIENDS ON THE FLOOR IN CHICAGO. THE SOYBEAN MARKET TRADED MOSTLY HIGHER ON TUESDAY FOLLOWING A FRIENDLY REPORT FROM  USDA. THE GOVERNMENT TOLD US THAT THE ARGENTINE SOYBEAN CROP WAS A LITTLE BIT SMALLER THAN  WHAT WE HAD EXPECTED. AND THE WORLD BALTES SHEETS TIGHTENED UP A LITTLE BIT MORE THAN WE HAD EXPECTED SO A FRIENDLY TONE HERE. IT'S REALLY BEEN SOME GREAT DRAMA HERE WITH THIS CHINA  STORY BACK AND FORTH. YOU KNOW THE INITIAL ANNOUNCEMENT REGARDING TARIFFS ON US BEING BEEF  IMPORTS OF US BEANS VERY BEARISH IT SENT THE MARKET INTO A SPIRAL LOWER. WE VERY QUICKLY  RECOVERED AND ALMOST POSTED SOME FRESH HIGHS HERE JUST TODAY ON TUESDAY. THE LIVE CATTLE MARKET TRADE BOTH SIDES OF UNCHANGED HERE ON TUESDAY AND A PRETTY INDECISIVE TRADE REALLY  WE'VE JUST BEEN BACK AND FORTH. NOT A WHOLE LOT OF ACTION. WE DID HAVE A REVERSAL LAST  WEDNESDAY WE WENT DOWN POSTED SOME FRESH LOWS. I CAME BACK FINISHED THE DAY HIGHER BUT NOT A WHOLE LOT OF EXCITEMENT SINCE THEN. I MEAN WE'VE SEEN WHY DAILY TRADING RANGES BUT  HAVEN'T REALLY GONE ANYWHERE. THE FUNDS HAVE BEEN NET SELLERS OF CATTLE FOR SIX CONSECUTIVE  WEEKS AND HAVE BEEN LIGHTENING UP THEIR ONCE VERY LARGE NET LONG POSITION AND THEY'VE LIGHTENED THAT UP QUITE A BIT. SO FUN SELLING HAS BEEN THE NAME OF THE GAME HERE AGAIN. JOE  VACLAVIK  FLOOR OF THE CME GROUP HERE IN CHICAGO.

AGRIBUSINESS
IS THE FARM ECONOMY ON THE MEND? THAT'S A QUESTION ECONOMISTS ARE  STARTING TO ASK. TYNE MORGAN HAS MORE IN TODAY'S ANALYSIS FROM THE  ROAD. HERE NOW WITH JIM MINTERT OF PURDUE UNIVERSITY. JIM YOU KNOW WHEN WE LOOK AT THE PAST  SEVERAL YEARS WE'VE REALLY HAD FOUR OR FIVE YEARS OF THESE ECONOMIC HEADWINDS FOR PRODUCERS SOME OF THEM LOOKING AT BELOW COST OF PRODUCTION. BUT IT SEEMS LIKE THERE'S SOME SOME  OPTIMISM WHEN YOU LOOK AT CORN WHEN YOU LOOK AT SOYBEANS. DO YOU THINK THAT WE'RE MAYBE  SLOWLY CLIMBING OUT OF THIS RECESSION. WELL I THINK THERE'S TWO THINGS TO THINK ABOUT THERE. ONE  IS THAT AS YOU LOOK AT STOCKS TO USE RATIOS WHICH ARE A GOOD MEASURE OF THE TIGHTNESS OF SUPPLIES RELATIVE TO DEMAND THEY'RE STARTING TO TIGHTEN UP NOT ONLY IN THE DOMESTIC MARKET BUT  ON A WORLDWIDE BASIS SO WE'RE SEEING STOCKS TO USE RATIOS FOR BOTH CORN AND SOYBEANS COME  DOWN FROM THEIR PEAKS AND THE TREND THERE IS REALLY IMPORTANT. THE SECOND THING IS THAT TOOK PLACE LAST YEAR. EVEN THOUGH WE HAD ABOVE TREND YIELDS SO USAGE HAS BEEN VERY STRONG. IF  WE SEE TREND LINE YIELDS THIS YEAR WE'RE GOING TO SEE THOSE STOCKS TO USE RATIOS TIGHTEN EVEN  FURTHER. SO THAT'S A DIFFERENT ENVIRONMENT THAN WE WERE FACING FROM ABOUT 2014 UP THROUGH 16 17. SO FROM THAT STANDPOINT THERE'S A POSSIBILITY OF SEEING A POSITIVE IMPACT ON PRICES AT  PARTICULAR VALUE WHETHER PRICES AT ALL THIS SUMMER. SO EVEN TREND LINE HERE YOU'D THINK THERE'S  ROOM FOR HIGHER PRICES EVEN TRENDLINE YIELDS WOULD CAUSE THOSE STOCKS TO USE RATIOS TO  TIGHTEN. LOOKING AHEAD TO SAY THE SUMMER OF 19 FOR BOTH CORN AND BEANS YES. SO IT DOES SEEM LIKE WE POSSIBLY COULD BE CLIMBING OUT OF THIS RECESSION. I THINK SO. AND IT'S NOT  GUARANTEED RIGHT. WE COULD SEE ANOTHER YEAR WHERE STOCKS ARE BURDENSOME BECAUSE WE  HAVE WAY ABOVE TREND YIELDS ET CETERA. SO IT'S NOT GUARANTEED BUT IT'S A DIFFERENT ENVIRONMENT  THAN WHAT WE'RE EXPERIENCING IN 2014 THROUGH ABOUT 2017 TIMEFRAME. SO WHAT THAT MEANS IS FROM A MANAGEMENT STANDPOINT TO THINK ABOUT THE POSSIBILITY OF THAT AND WHETHER OR NOT  YOU'RE POSITIONED TO POTENTIALLY CAPTURE THAT AND THAT DOESN'T MEAN JUST DELAY ANY OF YOUR  MARKETING DECISIONS BUT IT DOES MEAN THINKING ABOUT WELL IF I PRICE TODAY IF I GOT A STRATEGY TO  BACKSTOP THAT SO THAT I MIGHT PERHAPS BENEFIT IT EVEN IF PRICES CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND THROUGH A LOT BECAUSE THAT MIGHT MEAN USING OPTIONS. ALL RIGHT GOOD POINT. JIM THANK YOU SO  MUCH FOR JOINING US. WE NEED TO TAKE A QUICK BREAK ON AGDAY AND THEN WE'LL BE BACK WITH  MORE.

WEATHER
WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY HERE WITH METEOROLOGIST MIKE HOFFMAN LOOKING AT THE ROOT ZONE  MOISTURE MAP AND. MIKE WE CAN SEE THERE ARE POCKETS OUT THERE THAT ARE DRY EVEN THROUGH  THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY RIGHT. I MEAN WE'VE BEEN WATCHING THE SOUTHWEST WESTERN TEXAS WESTERN OKLAHOMA. BUT WE CAN SEE POCKETS IN ILLINOIS MISSOURI NORTHERN VIRGINIA NORTHERN  MINNESOTA. LIKE YOU POINTED OUT THOSE ARE ALL PLACES WHERE WE HAVE TO BE AT LEAST A LITTLE BIT  CONCERNED AS WE GO FORWARD INTO THE GROWING SEASON. YOU CAN ALSO SEE SOME WET AREAS SOUTHEAST TEXAS ALL THE WAY INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND ALSO THE NORTHERN PLAINS  ESPECIALLY BACK THROUGH MONTANA AND INTO THE NORTHWEST EVEN DOWN INTO PARTS OF CALIFORNIA  A LITTLE BIT ON THE WEST SIDE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS BECAUSE OF ALL THE SNOW THEY'VE BEEN GETTING OVER THE PAST FEW WEEKS. KIND OF THE END OF WINTER TURN KIND OF WET IN THAT PART OF THE  COUNTRY. TAKE A LOOK AT TODAY'S WEATHER MAP. THE MAIN STORM SYSTEM MOVING OFF SHORE OF THE  SOUTHEAST ONLY SOUTH FLORIDA MAYBE GET A SHOWER THUNDERSHOWERS THIS MORNING. LITTLE BIT OF  SNOW THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES AND ANOTHER SYSTEM KIND OF RIDING ALONG THIS FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL SPREAD SOME RAIN AND SNOW THROUGH THOSE AREAS. NEXT STORM  SYSTEM COMING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST PRETTY STRONG STORM THAT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE  EASTWARD AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE NIGHTTIME HOURS TONIGHT BE INTO WESTERN MONTANA AND NORTHERN IDAHO BY FIRST THING TOMORROW MORNING IN THE EASTERN SYSTEM THEN WE'RE TALKING INTO  THE SOUTHWESTERN GREAT LAKES WHERE THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE A LOT OF THE MOISTURE  WILL BE NORTH OF THERE. OTHERWISE HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATING THE SOUTHEAST TO THE SOUTHWEST  HEADING THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW THEN THE STORM SYSTEM THEN COMES OUT INTO THE PLAINS STATES AND SO IT WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD SOME MOISTURE FARTHER EAST. IT'S ALSO PUMPING UP THE  WARM AIR OUT AHEAD OF IT AND THAT SNOW AND RAIN WILL MOVE THROUGH NEW ENGLAND AND EASTERN  GREAT LAKES AS WE HEAD THROUGH LATE IN THE DAY TOMORROW. TAKE A LOOK AT PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. NOT A LOT HIT MIST THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FAR NORTHEAST  MAINLY FLORIDA THOUGH HAS SEEN A FAIR AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AND SOME HEAVIER THUNDERSTORMS  OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ADDING IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS THEN WE'RE NOT REALLY GOING TO ADD TOO MUCH IN FLORIDA BUT WE'RE GOING TO ADD SOME OUT WEST WITH SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS  ESPECIALLY ALONG THE WEST COAST. CENTRAL CALIFORNIA IN A LITTLE BIT OF MOISTURE SPREADING  THROUGH THE NORTHERN TIER OF STATES WITH THOSE TWO SYSTEMS MOVING FROM WEST TO EAST SNOWFALL  PAST 24 HOURS MAINLY NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE ROCKIES AND A FEW SPOTS IN NEW ENGLAND. THEN WE ADD IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS WE'RE GOING TO KEEP ADDING SOME SNOW TO THESE HIGHER  ELEVATIONS NORTHERN AND WESTERN ROCKIES AND THEN WE'LL HAVE SOME LIGHT SNOW ACROSS AREAS  FROM NORTH DAKOTA INTO NORTHERN MICHIGAN. TAKE A LOOK AT TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON IT IS  REALLY STARTING TO WARM UP FOR A CHANGE IN THE PLAINS STATES YOU CAN SEE THAT STILL CHILLY FARTHER  NORTH. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT GOING TO STAY MILD IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS OTHERWISE KIND OF CHILLY NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGHOUT THE EAST COAST. AND THE HEAT STARTS TO EXPAND INTO THE OHIO  RIVER VALLEY AS WE HEAD THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON. HERE'S THE JET STREAM AND YOU CAN SEE  AS WE MOVE THROUGH TIME WE'RE GOING TO SEE A LITTLE CUTOFF STORM SYSTEM THERE AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE WEEKEND MOVING SLOWLY. BUT THE ARCTIC AIR IS GOING TO BE KIND OF CUT OFF A LITTLE BIT.  WE'LL HAVE TO WATCH A QUICK SHOT OF COLD AIR THOUGH AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK FOR THE GREAT  LAKES IN NEW ENGLAND. THAT'S A LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY. NOW LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT SOME LOCAL  FORECASTS. FIRST OF ALL LAS CRUCES NEW MEXICO LOTS OF SUNSHINE AND HOT TODAY HIGH OF 92. DUBUQUE IOWA MILDER WITH AN AFTERNOON SHOWER IN MANY AREAS HIGH OF 59 AND  ANNISTON ALABAMA A GOOD DEAL OF SUNSHINE MILD HIGH AROUND 70>

TEASE
WHEN WE COME BACK AN UPDATE ON CITRUS PRODUCTION AND IS THERE  SOMETHING BEYOND ORGANIC? AND WHILE IT MAY BE DIFFICULT TO SEE SIGNS OF SPRING IN YOUR FIELDS,  HERE'S SOME PROOF IT'S HERE = THE ANNUAL CHERRY BLOSSOM SHOWCASE IN  WASHINGTON D-C. 

PACKER TV
ON THE PACKER TV, THE LATEST WASDE REPORT FROM USDA ALSO INCLUDES  PRODUCTION FORECASTS FOR ORANGES. THE LATEST ALL ORANGE FORECAST RISING NEARLY TO 4 MILLION TONS (3.90). THAT'S UP SLIGHTLY FROM LAST MONTH BUT DOWN MORE THAN 20 PERCENT (23)  FROM LAST SEASON. FLORIDA'S ALL ORANGE FORECAST OF 45 MILLION BOXES REMAINS 35 PERCENT LOWER THAN A YEAR AGO. WHILE CALIFORNIA PRODUCTION IS 8 PERCENT LOWER. MEANWHILE, A NEW REPORT FROM THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES OF SCIENCES,  ENGINEERING AND MEDICINE SAYS FINDING A SINGLE BREAKTHROUGH FOR  MANAGING CITRUS GREENING IS UNLIKELY. THE REPORT IS THE RESULT OF A REQUEST FROM THE CITRUS RESEARCH AND  DEVELOPMENT FOUNDATION, A $124 MILLION STATE CITRUS-INDUSTRY INITIATIVE. THE REVIEW SAYS THERE ARE STILL SIGNIFICANT BARRIERS TO SOLVING THE GREENING CRISIS...INCLUDING THE INABILITY TO CULTURE THE BACTERIA IN THE  LABORATORY, THE LACK OF ADVANCED DIAGNOSTICS FOR EARLY DISEASE  DETECTION, AND THE ABSENCE OF STANDARDIZED RESEARCH METHODS. IS THERE A BETTER LEVEL OF ORGANIC? SOME TRADITIONAL ORGANIC FARMERS SAYS THE COUNTRY'S ORGANIC  STANDARDS ARE BEING DILUTED. AS A RESULT THEY'VE DECIDED TO CREATE THEIR OWN CERTIFICATION PROGRAM  AND LABEL. IT WOULD EXCLUDE HYDROPONIC FARMING AND LARGE LIVESTOCK FARMS THAT DON'T PASTURE THEIR ANIMALS. ORGANIZERS HOPE TO ROLL OUT A PILOT PROGRAM THIS SUMMER. 

TEASE
STILL TO COME - ONE OF THE GREATEST 'NATURAL' SHOWS ON EARTH IS  UNDERWAY - BUT THERE'S NOT A LOT OF TIME TO TAKE IT IN. IN THE COUNTRY IS NEXT. 

IN THE COUNTRY
IN THE COUNTRY - SPONSORED BY KUBOTA. TRACTORS, HAY TOOLS, UTILILTY VEHICLES, MOWERS AND  MORE. VISIT KUBOTA.COM TODAY. WHILE SOME OF THE MIDWEST IS STRUGGLING TO START ITS SPRING FLING,  WASHINGTON D-C'S TIDAL BASIN IS AWASH IN SPRING COLORS...AND VISITORS. THOUSANDS OF TOURISTS ARE FLOCKING TO THE TIDAL BASIN TO CATCH A GLIMPSE OF THE CHERRY BLOSSOM TREES IN THEIR FULL GLORY. THE JEFFERSON MEMORIAL, THE MARTIN LUTHER KING, JR. NATIONAL MEMORIAL,  THE FRANKLIN ROOSEVELT MEMORIALS ARE LOCATED THERE. THE NATIONAL PARK SERVICE SAYS THE TREES REACH PEAK ON THURSDAY  WHICH MEANS 70 PERCENT OF THE CHERRY TREE BLOSSOMS ARE OPEN. THE CHERRY BLOSSOMS ARE A POPULAR TOURIST ATTRACTION FOR LOCALS AND  VISITORS ALIKE.  "IT IS UNBELIEVABLE. I MEAN IT WAS JUST GORGEOUS. WE CAME DOWN THE POTOMAC." "WE WALKED DOWN THE POTOMAC FROM THE LINCOLN MEMORIAL AND IT WAS JUST FANTASTIC. HARDLY  ANYBODY'S OVER THERE."THE PARK SERVICE SAYS BLOOMS CAN REMAIN ON THE TREES FOR UP TO TWO  WEEKS, DEPENDING ON WEATHER CONDITIONS. BUT THE BEST VIEWING WILL  LIKELY LAST FOUR TO SEVEN DAYS. 

CLOSE
THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. WE'RE GLAD YOU TUNED IN.  FOR ALL OF US AT AGDAY. I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. HAVE A GREAT DAY.

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