AgDay Daily Recap - April 13, 2018

April 13, 2018 02:57 AM
 
AgDay

TODAY ON AGDAY
APRIL 13, 2018

HEADLINES

THE HOUSE ROLLS OUT A NEW FARM BILL AND THE ROAD IS ALREADY ROCKY. IN AGRIBUSINESS...THE OBSTACLES THAT STAND IN THE WAY. PLUS COLD WEATHER STRESSES PEACH GROWERS IN ARKANSAS. AND TIPS FOR CORN ON CORN FROM FARM JOURNAL COLLEGE TV. AGDAY-BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE DEPENDABLE, LONG LASTING CHEVY  SILVERADO. 

HOUSE VERSION OF FARM BILL
GOOD MORNING I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. THE HOUSE AG COMMITTEE HAS OFFICIALLY RELEASED ITS VERSION OF THE  FARM BILL.  AND IT'S ALREADY FACING HURDLES OVER WORK REQUIREMENTS IN THE  NUTRITION TITLE. AG COMMITTEE CHAIRMAN MIKE CONAWAY SHARING THE TEXT THURSDAY. IT INCLUDING ADDED WORK REQUIREMENTS FOR FOLKS SEEKING SNAP  BENEFITS. THE SNAP CHANGES DO NOT AFFECT ANYONE YOUNGER THAN 18 OR OLDER  THAN 59, THOSE ON DISABILITY OR SINGLE PARENTS OF A CHILD UNDER 6.  HOWEVER, THOSE NOT EXEMPT WILL BE REQUIRED TO PARTICIPATE IN A STATE- RUN JOB TRAINING OR VOLUNTEER PROGRAM OR WORK A MINIMUM NUMBER OF  HOURS TO QUALIFY FOR SNAP PAYMENTS.  DEMOCRATS SAY IT'S A NON-STARTER. ON THE FARM SIDE OF THE BILL--WE'RE JOINED BY NATIONAL REPORTER BETSY  JIBBEN FOR DETAILS.  CLINTON, CONAWAY SAYS THERE ARE SOME CHANGES ON THE AG SIDE OF THE BILL.  BUT INSISTS TITLE ONE IS MORE EVOLUTIONARY THAN REVOLUTIONARY. TEXT OF THE PROPOSED HOUSE FARM BILL IS RELEASED TODAY.  CONAWAY SAYS THERE ARE NO BIG CHANGES TO TITLE 1 MORE BUT 'FINE TUNING' TO PROGRAMS LIKE ARC AND PLC. THE BIGGEST FIX IS AIMED AT THE A  RC COUNTY NUMBERS.  "WE TRIED TO FIX THE COUNTY ARC SCHEME USING BETTER DATA SO WE DON'T GET SUCH DESPERATE  PAYMENT RATES BETWEEN COUNTIES"THEY'LL BE USING DATA FROM THE AGRICULTURAL MARKETING SERVICE RATHER  THAN NASS TO DETERMINE PAYMENTS.  CHANGES SOME GROWERS HAVE WANTED.  "A BETTER ARC OR ARC AND PLC? HIM: A BETTER ARC," "I'D LIKE TO SEE A MORE SPECIFIC VERSION OF THE PAYMENT PROGRAM COME IN,"CONAWAY SAYS WHILE THERE ARE SMALL CHANGES WITH THE FEDERAL CROP  INSURANCE BUT SUBSITY LEVELS SHOULDN'T CHANGE.  "AT THIS TIME WITH LOWER COMMODITY PRICES, AND THE FARM ECONOMY GOING DOWN AS  A WHOLE FOR CONSECUTIVE YEARS, I DON'T THINK WE'RE HEARING A LOUD OUTCRY TO LOWER PREMIUM SUPPORT TO FARMERS AT THIS TIME,"THE CONSERVATION PROGRAM HAS YEAR OVER YEAR INCREASES CLIMBING TO POTENTIALLY 29 MILLION ACRES BY 2023. "WE'RE GOING TO LOWER THE RENTAL RATES WILL HAVE TO GO BACK DOWN. TOO COMPETIVE RIGHT NOW,"CONAWAY SAYS THERE IS A NEW PROGRAM FOR LIVESTOCK PRODUCERS, A  VACCINE BANK TO PREVENT FOOT AND MOUTH DISEASE..  "WE ALSO WOULD LIKE TO SEE USDA ESTABLISH A FOOT AND MOUTH DISEASE VACCINE BANK TO TRY TO  GIVE US ANOTHER TOOL TO PROTECT US FROM THE REINTRODUCTION OF FOOT AND MOUTH DISEASE,"CONAWAY CALLING THE PROGRAM A "MEANINGFUL START" BUT ACHNOLWEDGES HE DIDN'T GET ALL THE FUNDS FOR IT LIVESTOCK GROUPS WANTED IN THIS TEXT.  HOUSE AG COMMITTEE RANKING MEMBER COLLIN PETERSON ALSO INTRODUCED   THE DAIRY RISK MANAGEMENT PROGRAM WHICH WOULD REPLACE THE MARGIN  PROTECTION PROGRAM. THE LEGISLATION PROVIDES DAIRY FARMERS WITH A STRONGER SAFETY NET TO ADDRESS VOLATILE MARKET CONDITIONS OUTSIDE OF THEIR CONTROL.  CONAWAY SAYING HE'S HOPING FOR A MARK-UP OF THE BILL BY MID-WEEK IN THE  HOUSE AG COMMITTEE, WITH HOUSE FLOOR DEBATE AND VOTES AS SOON AS HE  CAN. CONAWAY NEEDS 218 VOTES.  THANKS BETSY. 

FAIRNESS FOR FARMERS, TPP REJOIN?
ALSO OUT OF WASHINGTON - PRESIDENT TRUMP IS TELLING A  GROUP OF FARM STATE GOVERNORS AND LAWMAKERS THAT HE'S PRESSING  CHINA TO TREAT THE AMERICAN AGRICULTURE INDUSTRY FAIRLY. THE PRESIDENT MET THURSDAY WITH A GROUP OF GOVERNORS AND  CONGRESSIONAL LEADERS FROM THROUGH-OUT THE MIDWEST. THE GROUP HAS CONCERNS WITH HOW U-S TARIFFS AND CHINESE RETALITORY  TARIFFS COULD HURT RURAL AMERICA. PRESIDENT TRUMP SAYS CHINA HAS CONSISTENTLY TREATED U.S. AGRICULTURE  UNFAIRLY AND HIS ADMINISTRATION IS "CHANGING THINGS WITH RESPECT TO TRADE." HE IS TELLING THE GROUP, - QUOTING - "EVERYTHING IS GOING TO BE BETTER." MEANWHILE, PRESIDENT TRUMP ASKING TOP ADMINISTRATION OFFICIALS TO  LOOK INTO REJOINING TALKS ON THE TRANS-PACIFIC PARTNERSHIP. THE REQUEST CAME DURING THAT SAME MEETING WITH FARM STATE  LAWMAKERS. TRUMP ASKING U.S. TRADE REPRESENTATIVE ROBERT LIGHTHIZER AND ECONOMIC ADVISER LARRY KUDLOW TO LOOK INTO THE U.S. REJOINING THE 11  NATION PACT.  LAWMAKERS ALSO URGING AG SECRETARY PERDUE TO CONSIDER TPP DURING A  SENATE APPROPRIATIONS SUBCOMMITTEE HEARING ON WEDNESDAY.  "IF WE'RE GOING TO ENGAGE IN CHINA IN TRADE POTENTIAL WAR BASED ON TARIFFS, 15 THAT MEANS WE NEED TO MAKE CERTAIN OTHER COUNTRIES ARE OUR ALLIES. 19 THE EUROPEAN UNION,  MEXICO, THOSE WHO BUY GRAIN FROM US. WE NEED TO BE ENGAGED IN TPP 1:26 AND TRYING TO GET  THOSE MARKETS."MORAN SAYING THE U.S. NEEDS TO 'PICK OUR BATTLES'  STATING WE NEED MORE  TRADE AGREEMENTS, NOT LESS.  

ASA ON POSSIBLE SOYBEAN TARIFFS
ALSO ON THE HILL - THE PRESIDENT OF THE AMERICAN SOYBEAN ASSOCIATION  TESTIFED BEFORE THE HOUSE WAYS-AND-MEANS COMMITTEE ABOUT THE  POTENTIAL IMPACT TARIFFS COULD HAVE ON SOYBEAN GROWERS. IOWA FARMER JOHN HEISDORFFER SAYS RETALIATION BY CHINA AGAINST U-S  TARIFFS WOULD UNDERCUT PRICES RECEIVED BY SOYBEAN PRODUCERS AND  FURTHER HURT THE ALREADY DEPRESSED FARM ECONOMY. HEISDORFFER WAS JOINED BY AN ARRAY OF BUSINESS EXECUTIVES  EXPRESSING ALARM ABOUT THE IMPACT THAT TARIFFS COULD HAVE ON THEIR  BUSINESS. "IN 2017 CHINA IMPORTED ONE POINT FOUR BILLION BUSHELS OF U.S. SOYBEANS OR 62 PERCENT OF  TOTAL U.S. EXPORTS. THIS REPRESENTS NEARLY ONE THIRD OF OUR ANNUAL SOY PRODUCTION OVER THE  NEXT 10 YEARS. CHINESE DEMAND FOR SOYBEANS WILL GROW ANNUALLY BY THE SIZE OF OUR EXPORTS TO THE EUROPEAN UNION.' HEISDORFFER SAYS SOYBEAN FARMERS WANT TO BE AN ESSENTIAL PART OF  HELPING LOWER OUR TRADE DEFICIT WITH CHINA. HE SAYS EXPANDING MARKET  ACCESS CAN PLAY A VITAL ROLE IN INCREASING THE AGRICULTURAL TRADE  SURPLUS.  

NAFTA RENEGOTIAITONS
MEANWHILE THE TOP NAFTA NEGOTIATOR--USTR ROBERT LIGHTHIZER WILL NOT  BE ATTENDING THE SUMMIT OF THE AMERICAS THAT BEGINS TODAY IN PERU. THERE HAD BEEN HOPE THAT A NAFTA BREAKTHROUGH MIGHT BE ANNOUNCED  AT THE GATHERING. THOSE EXPECTATIONS HAVE BEEN PUSHED BACK TO EARLY MAY. PRESIDENT TRUMP SAYING THURSDAY HE HAS NO TIMELINE FOR NEGOTIATIONS. PRESIDENT TRUMP ALSO TELLING REPORTERS THURSDAY HE'S IN FAVOR OF  YEAR ROUND SALES OF E-15. THE STATEMENT AMID RECENT DISCUSSIONS CENTERED ON POTENTIAL  CHANGES TO THE RENEWABLE FUELS STANDARD.  ETHANOL GROUPS SAY THEY'RE PLEASED TO GET THE PRESIDENT'S SUPPORT. 

ARKANSAS PEACH CROP
ARKANSAS FARMERS AND FRUIT GROWERS ARE IN "WORRY AND WAIT" MODE  RIGHT NOW. SEVERAL CROPS WERE HIT BY A HARD FREEZE LAST WEEKEND. AND  ANOTHER THREAT IS ON THE WAY. IN THIS PHOTO FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF ARKANSAS EXTENSION YOU CAN SEE  HOW SOME YOUNG CORN PLANTS ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF FREEZER BURN  AFTER TEMPERATURES ACROSS ARKANSAS DROPPED IN TO THE 30S LAST WEEKEND. OTHER CROPS LIKE BLUEBERRIES AND GRAPES ALSO GOT HIT WITH THE LOW  TEMPS. FARMERS ARE STILL ASSESSING THE DAMAGE. AND NOW THEY'RE BRACING FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF COLD THIS WEEKEND. IN THIS REPORT PROVIDED BY THE ARKANSAS FARM BUREAU, KEN MOORE VISITS  ONE PEACH GROWER WHO EXPECTS WIDESPREAD DAMAGE IN HIS ORCHARDS. JAMISON ORCHARD NEAR NASHVILLE HAS BEEN A DESTINATION FOR PEACH LOVERS FOR MORE THAN SIX DECADES. IN HIS 58 YEARS OF WORK ON THE FAMILY FARM, JOEY JAMISON DIDN'T LOSE A CROP TO AN  APRIL FREEZE UNTIL 2007. ON APRIL 8 SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES STRUCK AGAIN, DAMAGING HIS CROP  FOR THE THIRD TIME IN NINE YEARS. WITH MORE THAN 3,000 TREES TO EXAMINE, IT'S TOO EARLY TO TELL  HOW MUCH OF HIS CROP WILL BE LOST, BUT THE DAMAGE SEEMS WIDESPREAD. SOT:00:20-01:08 WE'VE GOT LOTS OF PEACHES ON THE TREE BUT WE HAD COLD WEATHER THE OTHER NIGHT THAT I'M AFRAID  HAS HURT THEM PRETTY BAD. WE'VE GOT PEACHES THAT ARE STILL IN THE SHUCK BUT ARE TRYING TO  COME OUT OF IT. THEN WE HAVE PEACHES THAT ARE ALREADY OUT OF THE SHUCK AND BIGGER PEACHES.  THESE ARE THE ONES I'M AFRAID ARE HURT THE WORST BECAUSE THEY WERE OUT, EXPOSED TO MORE COLD WEATHER. WHEN I CUT THAT PEACH OPEN YOU NOTICE THE LITTLE KERNEL INSIDE IS ALREADY TURNING  BROWN WHICH TELLS ME THE PEACH IS DEAD. IT'S GOING TO BE SHRIVELING UP AND FALLING OFF IN THE  NEXT WEEK TO 10 DAYS.  I'M HOPEFUL BUT I'M REALISTIC TOO AT THE SAME TIME. IT GOT TO 31 DEGREES FOR FOUR HOURS WHICH PEACHES IN THIS STAGE IS PRETTY CRITICAL. I'VE 30 SOMETHING DIFFERENT VARIETIES  SO SOME OF THEM MAY HAVE DECENT, SOME OF THEM, THEY'RE ALL IN DIFFERENT STAGES. THESE HERE  ARE FURTHER ALONG THAN A LOT OF THEM. A LOT OF THEM STILL HAVE GOT A LOT OF LITTLE PEACHES. HOPEFULLY SOME OF THOSE WILL MAKE IT THROUGH BUT IT'S HARD TO SAY RIGHT NOW. 

CROP COMMENTS
PLANTING IS SLOW MOVING AROUND THE CORN BELT. MIKE HOFFMAN HAS AN  UPDATE. GOOD MORNING, CLINTON.  TIM DUFAULT IN CROOKSTON, MINNESOTA SAYS "NOT TODAY" WHEN IT COMES TO  PLANTING. HE SAYS HIS OPERATION RECEIVED AN INCH OF SNOW ON  WEDNESDAY. HE HOPES TO MISS OUT ON MORE OVER THE WEEKEND. AS YOU CAN EXPECT, THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR SAYS OVER 94 PERCENT OF  THE STATE IS DROUGHT FREE.  AND NOW HERE ARE SOME HOMETOWN TEMPS.  

TEASE
WHEN WE COME BACK WE'LL TALK MORE ABOUT THE FARM BILL AND THE  OBSTACLES STANDING IN THE WAY. AND LATER WE'LL STOP IN WITH THE FARM JOURNAL COLLEGE TEAM FOR A  LESSON IN CORN ON CORN. 

FLOOR OF THE CME
IN AGRIBUSINESS IT WAS MIXED DAY ON THURSDAY WITH STRENGTH IN  SOYBEANS AND LIVESTOCK WHILE WHEAT STRUGGLED. DETAILS NOW FROM THE  FLOOR OF THE CME. SOYBEAN MARKET TRADING MOSTLY HIGHER HERE ON THURSDAY. WE'VE HAD SOME REALLY  IMPRESSIVE KONTRA SEASONAL DEMAND FOR U.S. SOYBEANS HERE RECENTLY. WE HAD A PHENOMENAL EXPORT SALES NUMBER ON THE WEEKLY REPORT FROM USDA. TODAY WE SOLD BEANS TO  CHINA WE SOLD BEANS TO ARGENTINA. WE SOLD BEANS TO MEXICO. DURING THIS TIME OF YEAR WE  GENERALLY DON'T DO A WHOLE LOT OF EXPORT BUSINESS YOU KNOW WHETHER I THINK CAN IMPACT THE  ACREAGE MIX AND I THINK IT COULD RESULT IN MORE SOYBEAN ACREAGE IN SOME AREAS OF THE COUNTRY IF WE GET INTO A SCENARIO WHERE WE CAN'T PLANT CORN EARLY OR WE GET INTO LATE PLANTING.  SOME FARMERS SWITCHED TO SOYBEANS AND THE PRICES ARE GOOD. SO YOU'RE GOING TO HAVE AN  ECONOMIC INCENTIVE AND ALSO WEATHER INCENTIVE. THAT'S SOMETHING THAT COULD BE NEGATIVE  DOWN THE ROAD. A LIVE CATTLE MARKET WAS SHARPLY HIGHER HERE ON THURSDAY. YOU KNOW FOR A FEW DAYS THIS WEEK WE STARTED TODAY'S HIGHER AND THEN ENDED UP FINISHING UNCHANGED OR  LOWER. KIND OF MIXED. WE WERE ACTUALLY ABLE TO HOLD THE RALLY HERE ON THURSDAY. NOW THE  CASH CATTLE MARKET'S BEEN A LITTLE BIT BETTER. WE DID TRADE CASH IN THE 117 RANGE AGAIN. SO  WE'RE FINALLY SEEING THOSE APRIL FUTURES KIND OF COME UP TO WHERE THE CASH MARKET HAS BEEN FOR A WHILE. AGAIN JOE VACKLAVIK WELL THE CME GROUP HERE IN CHICAGO. 

AGRIBUSINESS
IT'S ONE THING TO ROLL OUT TEXT FOR A FARM BILL..IT'S ANOTHER TO GET IT  PASSED AND TO THE PRESIDENT'S DESK.  HERE NOW WITH PAT WESTHOFF OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI PAT'S WITH FAPPRI AND HE'S BEEN GOING THROUGH AND LOOKING AT THE FARM BILL OBSTACLES OF GETTING THE FARM BILL PASSED BEFORE I  ASK YOU WHAT THOSE OBSTACLES ARE. DO YOU THINK WE CAN GET A FARM BILL PASSED IN 2018 OR  YOUR CAMERA WILL GO DOWN. AND IT'S TOUGH. AND I KNOW YOU HAVE SOME HURDLES THAT YOU'VE LISTED OF OF OF WHY IT WILL BE TOUGH. WHAT ARE THOSE HURDLES THAT YOU FORESEE. LIKE THE SINGLE  BIGGEST ONE RIGHT ON SNAP OR WE HAVE THE HOUSE APPEARING TO GO ONE DIRECTION ON SNAP SO  GIVING A VERY DIFFERENT SET OF INDICATIONS EVEN IF BOTH HOUSES MANAGE TO GET SOMETHING  THROUGH THEIR RESPECTIVE HOUSES. WHAT KIND OF COMPROMISE COULD WE AGREE TO. NOW THE PRESIDENT WILL ALSO SIGN. SO DO YOU THINK THEN THAT MAYBE WE JUST EXTEND THE 28 THE 2018 OR  THE 2014 IS A VERY GOOD CHANCE IT WILL BE AN EXTENSION AND SOME POINT THAT MAY NOT HAPPEN  BEFORE OCTOBER 1ST BUT PROBABLY HAVE TO HAPPEN BY NEXT SPRING. BUT WHAT THEN DOES AN EXTENSION LOOK LIKE. THAT'S WHAT'S THE BIG QUESTION. WE'RE SIMPLY EXTEND THE CURRENT  PROVISIONS FOR ANOTHER YEAR ANOTHER COUPLE OF YEARS OR WE MAKE SOME MINOR CHANGES  AROUND THE EDGES. THERE'S NOTHING THERE'S NO SUCH THING AS A SIMPLE EXTENSION. YOU KNOW IT'S NOT JUST ME CHOOSING A DATE OR TWO. SO WHAT WILL WE DO ABOUT PROGRAMS THAT WILL ROUND  THE FUNDING THIS YEAR. WHAT WE DO ABOUT DO WE GIVE PEOPLE KNEW OUR CURRENT SITUATION IN 2019. LOTS OF FINER POINTS ADAM SILVER RESULT OF WHAT ARE SOME KEY PROGRAMS PAT THAT ARE WILL  RUN OUT OF FUNDING IN 2018. THERE ARE CERTAIN RESEARCH PROGRAMS OUT THERE THAT WILL EXTEND  THEM WELL INTO THE END OF 2014 FISCAL YEAR. THERE'S NO NEW LEGISLATION OR FARMERS MARKET  PROGRAMS ORGANIC RESEARCH PROGRAMS IT'S 30 SOME PROGRAMS OVERALL MOST REVERSED MORE PROGRAMS BECAUSE THEY TEND TO HAVE LARGE POLITICAL SUPPORT EITHER. AT THE SAME TIME WE HAVE  THIS BRADE AN END IN TARIFF TALK GOING ON IN AND TRYING TO FIGURE OUT EXACTLY HOW IT IMPACTS  AGRICULTURE. IF THAT DOES IMPACT AGRICULTURE DO YOU THINK WE TRY TO FIT SOMETHING IN THE FARM BILL  THAT WILL HELP PRODUCERS WHO ARE SUFFERING AND STRUGGLING WITH LOWER PRICES. I THINK THAT'S ONE  OF THE BIG QUESTIONS OF THE ADMINISTRATION APPEARS TO BE TURNING TO COME UP WITH A PACKAGE OF PROPOSALS THINGS THEY CAN DO UNDER EXISTING AUTHORITY WITHOUT REQUIRING LEGISLATION. IF THEY  COULD PUT SOMETHING TOGETHER PEOPLE BUY MAYBE YOU DON'T HAVE TO WORRY ABOUT IT  LEGISLATIVELY BUT CERTAINLY WE'VE HEARD ALREADY FROM LEADING MEMBERS OF CONGRESS CONCERNS  ABOUT THAT HAPPEN TO ME. WILL WE NEED TO SHAPE THAT SOMEHOW. YEP EXACTLY RIGHT PAT THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR JOINING US. LET'S TAKE A QUICK BREAK HERE ON AG DAY AND THEN WE'LL HAVE A  CHECK OF WEATHER.

WEATHER
WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY WITH METEOROLOGIST MIKE HOFFMAN MIKE WINTER STILL NOT OVER. SEEMS  LIKE EVEN THOUGH WE'RE IN APRIL NOT IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS OR MOST OF THE ROCKIES YOU CAN SEE  THE SNOW THIS MORNING FLY IN AND THOSE PARTS OF THE COUNTRY. WE HAVE A VERY SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM. EASTERN NEBRASKA AND THE SNOW WILL BE FLYING TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THAT  AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND IS GOING TO MOVE ULTRA SLOW ACROSS THE COUNTRY OVER THE NEXT  COUPLE OF DAYS YOU'LL SEE THE JETSTREAM WHY THERE'S A CUTOFF LOW IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE WHICH IS WHY IT'S JUST BARELY MOVING ALONG. SO IT'S GOING TO BE VERY WET ACROSS THE GREAT  LAKES NORTHERN AREAS WILL TURN WHITE AND WILL BE WET BACK INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA ALL THE WAY  DOWN THE FRONT IN THE EAST TEXAS WESTERN LOUISIANA. BUT ON THE BACK SIDE WE'LL CONTINUE TO  SEE THE SNOW. AND YOU CAN SEE SOME RAIN AND SNOW COMING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM WHICH IS ALSO MOVING SLOW BECAUSE IT'S KIND OF BACKED UP IT'S LIKE A TRAIN  HERE AND YOU SLOW DOWN ONE CAR OBVIOUSLY THE NEXT ONE SLOWS DOWN AS WELL. VERY WARM  THROUGHOUT THE SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES HEADING INTO TOMORROW MORNING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES ALL THE WAY DOWN INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS. SNOW  CONTINUES ON THE WEST SIDE AND YOU SEE THE RAIN TURNS TO SNOW OVER NEBRASKA KANSAS  NORTHWESTERN IOWA AND IT CONTINUES TO BE SNOW FARTHER EAST ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN MIGHT BE A LITTLE BIT OF FREEZING RAIN DEVELOPING IN BETWEEN THE RAIN AND THE SNOW OUT OF THIS SYSTEM  AS WELL SOMETHING WE NEED TO WATCH PRECIPITATION ESTIMATE PAST 24 HOURS SOME AMOUNTS IN  THE NORTHEAST AND THE NORTHERN ROCKIES BUT IT'S REALLY GOING TO BE THAT STORM SYSTEM COMING  EAST IN THE GULF MOISTURE FEEDING UP THAT PUTS DOWN THE BIG MOISTURE ESPECIALLY IF WE GET SOME HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE GULF COAST A LITTLE BIT FARTHER NORTH. SNOWFALL HAS BEEN  MAINLY OUT WEST IN THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES AND THAT'S WHERE IT'S GOING TO CONTINUE BUT IT IS  GOING TO MOVE FARTHER AND FARTHER SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE  NEXT 36 HOURS. BIG DIFFERENCE ACROSS THIS FRONT. HIGH 70S SOUTH OF 30S TO THE NORTH AND THAT'S  GOING TO CONTINUE TO BE THE CASE. TONIGHT'S LOWS IN THE TEENS AND THE COLD AIR BUT STILL 60S IN  THE OHIO VALLEY SOUTHWARD AND ACT CONTINUES TOMORROW. JUST SOME MINOR CHANGES THERE THERE'S THE JET STREAM AND YOU CAN SEE THAT CUTOFF LOW THAT IS THAT STORM SYSTEM AT THE  SURFACE GOING TO MOVE VERY VERY SLOWLY. EVENTUALLY IT MOVES INTO THE EAST INDIANS SEE  ANOTHER ONE COMING EAST. BUT OVERALL A LITTLE BIT OF A ZONAL FLOW WHICH WILL WARM PLACES UP MORE THAN YOU'VE BEEN RECENTLY. OVER THE NEXT WEEK OR SO THAT'S A LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY.  NOW LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT SOME LOCAL FORECASTS. FIRST OF ALL FOR BAKER CITY OREGON CLOUDY SOME SHOWERS HIGH OF 56 DEGREES. GRAND ISLAND NEBRASKA CLOUDY WITH RAIN DEVELOPING HIGH  AROUND 60. AND FINALLY FRANKFORT KENTUCKY PARTLY SUNNY AND ON THE WARM SIDE. HIGH AROUND  78. 

TEASE
SKIPPING ROTATIONS CAN HAVE ITS OWN SET OF CHALLENGES. NEXT WE'LL TALK ABOUT THE CHALLENGES OF CORN AFTER CORN.  AND LATER, FARMERS AND RANCHERS ARE BEING HEARD IN WASHINGTON.  PERSPECTIVE AND FARM SENSE FROM YOURS TRUELY.

FARM JOURNAL COLLEGE TV
IF YOU OFTEN SKIP ROTATIONS OR YOU'RE THINKING ABOUT IT THIS YEAR, FARM  JOURNAL AGRONOMIST MISSY BAUER SAYS THERE ARE SOME THINGS YOU NEED  TO BE MINDFUL OF WHEN GOING CORN AFTER CORN. SOME OF THE TOP MISTAKES TO TRY TO AVOID IF YOU'RE JUST GETTING INTO CORN ON CORN NUMBER ONE IS GOING TO BE NITROGEN MANAGEMENT. SO WE RUN INTO A LOT OF ISSUES BECAUSE WE'VE GOT ALL THE CARBON TAX PROCESS FROM THE PREVIOUS YEAR'S CROP SO WHEN YOU START MANAGING YOUR NITROGEN PROGRAM IN CORN ON CORN WE'VE GOT TO MAKE SURE WE HAVE ENOUGH NITROGEN UP FRONT TO  MANAGE WHAT WE CALL THE CARBON PENALTY WHICH IS HELPING THE MICROBES BREAK DOWN. LAST  YEAR'S CORN RESIDUE THAT'S GOING TO TAKE A LITTLE BIT OF BROADCAST NITROGEN OUT THERE TO DO THAT.  WE ALSO GOT TO MAKE SURE THERE'S ENOUGH NITROGEN THERE TO FEED THE PLANTS. WE'VE GOT TO KEEP THE PLANTS HAPPY AND KEEP THE MICROBES HAPPY AT THE SAME TIME. IT'S A LOT DIFFERENT  THAN IF IT'S A CORN SOYBEAN ROTATION. SO THAT'S A BIG CHANGE IS NOT ONLY TOTAL POUNDS AND YOU'RE  LOOKING AT YOUR PROGRAM BUT THE TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF THOSE POUNDS OF NITROGEN THAT'S  GOING ON. ANOTHER BIG ASPECT IN MISTAKE THAT WE WANT TO AVOID IS IN HYBRID SELECTION. ARE YOU  SELECTING HYBRIDS THAT ARE SUITABLE FOR CORN ON CORN AND THIS IS GOING TO GO BACK TO DISEASE MANAGEMENT IN TRAITS THAT ARE IN THERE THEN. THE OTHER ISSUE WE'VE GOT TO PAY ATTENTION TO IS  JUST GOING TO BE PEST MANAGEMENT IN GENERAL. SO HOW HAS IT CHANGED YOUR ENVIRONMENT FOR  DISEASE WHEN YOU HAVE ALL THIS RESIDUE THAT'S OVERWINTERING OUT THERE IN BEING A RESOURCE FOR INOCULANT FOR THAT FOLLOWING YEAR AND THEN WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR THINGS LIKE CORN ROOT WORM OR SOME OTHER PESTS THAT WE TYPICALLY SEE POTENTIALLY HIGHER IN CERTAIN ROTATIONS.

TEASE
WHEN WE COME BACK, ARE WE IN A CRISIS OR FIGHTING TO AVOID ONE? A LITTLE FARM SENSE AFTER THE BREAK. 

IN THE COUNTRY
IN THE COUNTRY - SPONSORED BY KUBOTA. TRACTORS, HAY TOOLS, UTILILTY VEHICLES, MOWERS AND  MORE. VISIT KUBOTA.COM TODAY. I THINK ITS SAFE TO SAY THAT AGRICULTURE HAS FOUND IT'S VOICE. I'VE SEEN IT ON TWITTER, ON FACEBOOK, IN THE HALLS OF WASHINGTON-- AMERICA'S FARMERS AND RANCHERS ARE ENGAGED IN THE ISSUES AT HAND IN A  WAY I'VE NOT SEEN SINCE STARTING MY CAREER. AND RIGHTLY SO. QUESTIONS ABOUT THE FUTURE OF NAFTA, TRADE WITH CHINA, A NEW FARM  BILL, POTENTIAL CHANGES TO THE RENEWABLE FUELS STANDARD, A BUDDING DROUGHT AND A SPUTTERING AG ECONOMY-- ALL HIT AT THE HEART OF ONE  PASSIONATE INDUSTRY.  AND WHILE -- YES-- WE STAND ON THE CHASM'S EDGE THANKFULLY WE ARE NOT  YET HURTLING TOWARD THE BOTTOM.  ITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE DAIRY...COMMODITY PRICES ARE...KIND OF HOLDING..DON'T GET ME WRONG THEY COULD BE BETTER BUT BY ALL  ECONOMIST ACCOUNTS THIS ISN'T THE 1980'S. AND IF YOU NEED PERSPECTIVE-- YOU DON'T HAVE TO LOOK FAR TO FIND IT.  ARGENTINA FARMERS ARE LOOKING AT THEIR WORST CROP IN A DECADE--A  THIRTY PERCENT DROP IN SOYBEAN PRODUCTION. IMAGINE IF THAT WERE HERE. IN VENEZUELA PEOPLE ARE STARVING BECAUSE OF A LACK OF FOOD AND IN SOUTH AFRICA FARMS ARE IN THE MIDDLE OF A RACE WAR. YES THERE ARE DARK CLOUDS HERE AT HOME BUT, I'M IMPRESSED BY SO MANY  VOICES STANDING UP TO BE HEARD.  PEOPLE ARE DOING WHAT THEY CAN TO DEAL WITH THAT UNCERTAINTY...MUCH  LIKE THE WEATHER THEY FACE EACH AND EVERY YEAR. AND THIS YEAR FINDING CERTAINTY IN FRONT OF A PLANTER MIGHT BE THE  ABSOLUTE BEST WAY FOR SOME MENTAL STABILITY.   

CLOSE
THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. WE'RE GLAD YOU TUNED IN.  FOR ALL OF US AT AGDAY I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. HAVE A GREAT DAY. 

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