AgDay Daily Recap- April 17, 2017

April 17, 2017 02:57 AM
 
AgDay

TODAY ON AGDAY
APRIL 17, 2017

HEADLINES
BEEF TO CHINA HAS THE CATTLE INDUSTRY EXCITED...WHAT'S NEXT? YOU WON'T  BELIEVE HOW LONG ITS BEEN SINCE THE U.S. SAW SUCH LOW LEVELS OF  DROUGHT. IN AGRIBUSINESS...ACREAGE, PLANTING AND WHAT ABOUT PRICES. MACHINERY PETE LOOKS AT LARGER FOUR WHEEL DRIVE TRACTORS. AND  PROTECTING THESE CREEPY POLLINATORS WITH A LITTLE HELP FROM TEQUILA .  AGDAY-BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE DEPENDABLE, LONG LASTING CHEVY  SILVERADO.

BEEF TO CHINA
GOOD MORNING I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS.IT'S BEEN 13 YEARS SINCE CHINA  CLOSED IT'S DOORS TO U.S. BEEF. THAT MAY CHANGE AND SOON IF LAST WEEK'S MEETING BETWEEN THE TWO  COUNTRY'S PRESIDENT'S IS ANY INDICATION. "... I THINK TRULY PROGRESS HAS BEEN MADE. WE'LL BE MAKING A LOT OF ADDITIONAL PROGRESS."  PROGRESS AND A PRODUCTIVE MEETING IS HOW BOTH SIDES DESCRIBED THE  EARLY APRIL SUMMIT BETWEEN PRESIDENT TRUMP AND CHINESE PRESIDENT XI  JINPING.  AND OUT OF IT...WORD THAT CHINA IS AGREEING TO LIFT ITS BAN ON  U.S. BEEF. CHINA IS GOING TO ALLOW IMPORTS OF U.S. BEEF FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 13 YEARS. NOW WE DON'T  HAVE ANY DETAILS HERE. WE DON'T KNOW EXACTLY WHAT THE TIMING IS GOING TO BE BUT WE'RE PRETTY  SURE THAT THIS IS A HEADLINE TO BE TAKEN POSITIVELY. HELPING ADD A BOUNCE TO CATTLE MARKETS THIS WEEK-- BUT IN REALITY  THESE EXPORTS HAVEN'T LEFT THE FARM. THE CHINESE DID ANNOUNCE SEVERAL MONTHS AGO AT THIS POINT THAT THEY WOULD ALLOW U-S BEEF,  BUT WE'VE SEEN NONE TRADE AT THIS POINT. AND I THINK WE STILL HAVE A NUMBER OF ISSUES LEFT,  NUMBER ONE, WE NEED SOME PLANTS CERTIFIED TO BE ABLE TO SHIP PRODUCT TO CHINA BEFORE WE  CAN MOVE ANY U-S PRODUCT AT THIS POINT,BUT THE INDUSTRY SAYS THEY'RE WORKING ON IT. "THE DISCUSSION IS SLOW BUT WE'RE MAKING PROGRESS. WE DID GET AN OFFICIAL ANNOUNCEMENT  FROM THE CHINESE GOVERNMENT THAT THEY LIFTED THE BAN, BUT NOW, WE HAVE TO FOCUS ON THE  EXPORT PROTOCOLS.," "IT'S PROBABLY A 2 OR 3 STEP PROCESS SO WE HAVE TO AGREE ON THE PROTOCOL. WHAT ARE THE  ELGIBLE PRODUCTS, WHAT WOULD HAPPEN IF WE GET ANOTHER CASE OF BSE FOR EXAMPLE, WOUDL THEY  CLOSE HTE MARKET AND THOSE PROCEDURES? THERE ARE CONCERNS WITH ELGIBLE CATTLE FROM CANADA AND MEXICO. THESE ARE ALL THINGS I THINK CAN BE WORKED OUT BUT ONCE THE PROTOCOL IS  ESTABLISHED, THE CHINESE WILL HAVE TO COME OVER AND AUDIT,"SOME SAY THE CHINESE COULD PUT STIPULATIONS ON U.S. BEEF- SIMILAR TO  WHAT WE'VE SEEN IN HOGS... CHINA ONLY IMPORTS RACTOPAMINE FREE PORK  FROM THE U.S. - EXPERTS SAY WHETHER BEEF WILL SEE THOSE RULES IT'S TOO  EARLY TO KNOW...BUT "WE WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED IF BEEF WERE TO GAIN MOVEMENT THAT THERE WOULD BE STIPULATIONS  THERE AS WELL,"WITH A POPULATION OF MORE THAN 1.3 BILLION PEOPLE, CHINA HOLDS HUGE  POTENTIAL FOR U.S. BEEF. EARLY ESTIMATES SAY REOPENING THE CHINESE  BEEF MARKET COULD ADD 2 POINT 5 BILLION DOLLARS IN VALUE.  THEY COULD OPEN IT UP AND START TO BUY FROM US, BUT IT'S NOT GOING TO HAVE A QUICK IMPACT ON  PRICE. IT'S MORE OF A LONGTERM THING, IT WOULD TAKE SOME TIME, WE NEED TO DEVEOP THAT  APPETITIE OVER THERE."PRODUCERS AGREE... LOOK HOW MANY MOUTHS WE FEED OVER THERE. IF PRESIDENT TRUMP COULD OPEN THOSE  DOORS FOR US, IT COULD DO NOTHING BUT HELP US CREATE MORE DEMAND THE CATTLE HERDS HAVE BEEN  INCREASING AGAIN THIS LAST YEAR. CHINA IS A HUGE POTENTIAL MARKET, I MEAN, THEIR POPULATION KEEPS GROWING, THEY HAVE  MORE PEOPLE MOVING UP TO THE MIDDLE CLASS AND CONSUMING MORE BEEF AND PROTEIN PRODUCTS  AND IT WOULD BE A VERY GOOD DEAL FOR AMERICA TO EXPORT AS MUCH BEEF AS I COULD TO CHINA. WHEN YOU HAVE 96 PERCENT OF THE WROLD'S CONSUMERS LIVING OUTSIDE OF THE BORDER OF  HTE U.S. AND WHEN WE HAVE AN EXPANDING BEEF SUPPLY, WE NEED TO MAKE SURE WE'RE FINDING  AS MANY CONSUMERS AS POSSIBLE TO EAT OUR PRODUCT. NATS FROM AP FOOTAGE OF MEETING--TOWARD END OF CLIP "IT IS A TREMENDOUS HONOR FOR ME AND ALL OF MY REPRESENTATIVES TO HOST THE PRESIDENT AND HIS  REPRESENTATIVES. AND AGAIN, PROGRESS HAS BEEN MADE." NCBA SAYS BOTH SIDES AGREED TO TAKE THE NEXT 100 DAYS TO LAYOUT A  TRADE PLAN AND A PATH FORWARD. AGRICULTURE AND BEEF HOPES TO BE ON  THE TABLE. I SEE THIS GOING ON WITH A PROCESS. IT'S CHALLENGING IN CHINA BECAUSE THEY HAVE SO  MANY MINISTRIES. BUT FRANKLY, WHEN THE LEADERSHIP SAYS T HEY WANT TO OPEN THE MARKET, THAT'S  A WONDERFUL THING TO HAPPEN, THAT MEANS THEY HAVE TO COME TOGETHER ON THIS. U.S. BEEF EXPORTS WERE 13% HIGHER BY VOLUME DURING THE FIRST TWO  MONTHS OF THIS YEAR. IN FEBRUARY THOSE SHIPMENTS COVERED NEARLY 13 PERCENT OF TOTAL BEEF  PRODUCTION. THE USMEF SAYS LARGER U.S. PRODUCTION IS OPENING UP EXPORT  OPPORTUNITIES AND HELPING THE ENTIRE SUPPLY CHAIN.

TRADE ON TRACK TO EXPAND
MEANWHILE, THE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION SAYS GLOBAL TRADE IS ON  TRACK TO EXPAND 2 POINT 4 PERCENT THIS YEAR, ALTHOUGH IT SAYS THERE IS  "DEEP UNCERTAINTY" ABOUT ECONOMIC AND POLICY DEVELOPMENTS IN THE  UNITED STATES.  THE WTO SAYS CLARITY IS NEEDED ON PRESIDENT TRUMP'S TRADE POLICIES.  THE WTO ALSO PUSHING BACK AGAINST TRADE PROTECTIONISM. A SPOKESPERSON SAYING QUOTE "WE SHOULD SEE TRADE AS PART OF THE  SOLUTION TO ECONOMIC DIFFICULTIES, NOT PART OF THE PROBLEM."  THERE'S BEEN PLENTY OF BUZZ AROUND NAFTA RENEGOTIATIONS. NOW THE SECRETARY OF COMMERCE SAYS CONGRESS IS SLOWING DOWN THE  PROCESS.  UNDER TRADE PROMOTION AUTHORITY, THE ADMINISTRATION MUST SUBMIT A  NOTICE TO CONGRESS OF ITS INTENT TO ENTER INTO TRADE NEGOTIATIONS.  WILBUR ROSS TELLING NEW OUTLETS THE ADMINISTRATION IS WAITING ON  PERMISSION FROM CONGRESS.  QUOTE SAYING "IN TERMS OF NAFTA, WE NEED CONGRESS' PERMISSION TO  ENTER THE FORMAL 90-DAY LETTER INTO THE RECORDS SO THAT WE CAN BEGIN  THE NEGOTIATIONS."  HE SAYS THEY HAD HOPED TO HAVE THAT DONE BEFORE THE EASTER RECESS,  BUT THE PROCESS HAS BECOME "FRUSTRATINGLY SLOW". 

DAIRY TRADE BARRIERS
SPEAKING OF TRADE, A GROUP OF SENATORS IS URGING THE TRUMP  ADMINISTRATION TO ACT AGAINST WHAT THEY CALL TRADE BARRIERS THAT ARE  RESTRICTING U.S. DAIRY FARMERS ACCESS TO CANADA.  NEW YORK DEMOCRATS CHARLES SCHUMER AND KRISTEN GILLIBRAND, ALONG  WITH WISCONSIN DEMOCRAT TAMMY BALDWIN, SENT A LETTER TO THE  ADMINISTRATION SAYING THE TRADE BARRIERS ARE HURTING AMERICAN DAIRY  FARMERS AND PROCESSORS.  AT ISSUE IS CANADA'S NEW MILK PRICING SCHEME. ..WHICH HAS LED  PROCESSORS LIKE GRASSLAND TO CANCEL CONTRACTS WITH DAIRY'S IN  WISCONSIN. DAIRY FARMERS OF CANADA: "WE DON'T FEEL GOOD ABOUT U.S. FARMS GOING OUT OF BUSINESS . BUT YOU KNOW WHAT? IT'S NOT OUR RESPONSIBILITY. IT'S YOUR OWN RESPONSIBILITY, AS A CO UNTRY, TO MANAGE YOUR PRODUCTION."] BUT, A SPOKESPERSON FOR DAIRY FARMERS OF CANADA TELLING THE  MILWAUKEE JOURNAL-SENTINEL: "WE DON'T FEEL GOOD ABOUT U.S. FARMS  GOING OUT OF BUSINESS. BUT YOU KNOW WHAT? IT'S NOT OUR RESPONSIBILITY.  IT'S YOUR OWN RESPONSIBILITY, AS A COUNTRY, TO MANAGE YOUR  PRODUCTION."

ORGANIC MILK DEMAND
ALSO IN DAIRY, DESPITE CURRENT EXCESS SUPPLIES IN THE CONVENTIONAL  MARKET, DEMAND FOR ORGANIC MILK CONTINUES TO BUILD.  ACCORDING TO A NEW REPORT FROM COBANK A RECORD NUMBER OF DAIRIES  ARE TRANSITIONING TO ORGANIC MILK PRODUCTION. COBANK SAYS ORGANIC MILK IS GENERATING THE HIGHEST SALES OF ANY  CERTIFIED ORGANIC COMMODITY.  THE 12-MONTH AVERAGE NATIONAL ORGANIC MILK PRICE IN APRIL 2016 WAS  $36.25 PER HUNDREDWEIGHT COMPARED TO A CONVENTIONAL AVERAGE OF  $14.89. IN 2016, HALF-GALLONS OF ORGANIC MILK SOLD MORE THAN $2'S HIGHER HALF- GALLONS OF CONVENTIONAL. 

TENNESSEE BIRD FLU
THE STATE OF TENNESSEE IS GETTING AN 'ALL CLEAR' SIGNAL FOLLOWING A  LIMITED OUTBREAK OF HIGHLY PATHOGENIC AVIAN FLU. THE STATE VETERINARIAN HAS RELEASED THE CONTROL ZONE SURROUNDING  TWO LINCOLN COUNTY POULTRY FARMS AFFECTED BY THE HIGH-PATH FLU. THE STATEWIDE POULTRY HEALTH ADVISORY IS ALSO LIFTED. THE TENNESSEE DEPARTMENT OF AG SAYS ITS TESTING SHOWS THIS CASE OF  FLU HAS NOT SPREAD TO OTHER POULTRY FLOCKS IN THE SIX MILE CONTROL  ZONE. THE FIRST CASE OF H-7-N-9 WAS CONFIRMED ON MARCH FOURTH. A SECOND  CASE WAS FOUND TEN DAYS LATER. BOTH FLOCKS WERE DEPOPULATED  IMMEDIATELY.

DROUGHT MONITOR
TAKING A QUICK GLANCE AT THE LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR. AND WHAT STANDS  OUT IS JUST HOW LITTLE "RED" WE SEE. THE MOST SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS COVER JUST A HANDFUL OF  COUNTIES IN NORTHERN GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA. THE MONITOR SHOWS JUST NINE HUNDREDTHS OF A PERCENT IN THE D-3 OR  EXTREME DROUGHT CATEGORY. AND NOTHING IN D-4 ACROSS THE LOWER 48  STATES. YOU WOULD HAVE TO GO BACK TO MAY  18TH 2010 TO SEE SO LITTLE DROUGHT IN  THOSE CATEGORIESS.

CROP COMMENTS
A STRETCH OF DRIER WEATHER HAS PLANTERS ROLLING. IN THIS MORNING'S CROP COMMENTS, MIKE HOFFMAN TAKES A LOOK AT  PLANT  2017. MIKE.  GOOD MORNING, CLINTON.  DAVID WOLFE FROM CHARITON COUNTY, MISSOURI IS PUTTING SEED IN THE  GROUND. HE TOOK THIS PICTURE LATE LAST WEEK WHEN IT WAS A  COMFORTABLE 73 DEGREES AND THE SOIL TEMPERATURE WAS AT 61.  AND LAUREN TURLEY IS JUST GETTING THE PLANTERS ROLLING IN WEBSTER  COUNTY, KENTUCKY. SHE SAYS CONDITIONS ARE GREAT. SHE STARTED THE  PLANTER UP ON WEDNESDAY.  ...AND NOW HERE ARE SOME HOMETOWN TEMPS.  HERE'S THE SECRET TO SELLING OLD EQUIPMENT. PETE'S PICK OF THE WEEK LETS YOU EASILY VIEW  CURRENT MARKET PRICES. JUST TEXT PETE TO 31313 TO GET STARTED! 

TEASE
WHEN WE COME BACK WE'LL LOOK THE MARKET IMPACTS OF ACREAGE  EXPECTATIONS...ITS YOUR 2017 OUTLOOK FOR COMMODITIES. AND FIND OUT HOW A SHOT OF TEQUILA MAY ACTUALLY HELP THOSE NOCTURNAL  CREATURES OF THE NIGHT...BATS! DETAILS AS WE HEAD IN THE COUNTRY. GET THE ROOTS YOUR CROPS NEED, BY GETTING RADIATE FIRST.  VISIT LOVELAND PRODUCTS.COM SLASH RADIATE.  SEE YOUR CPS DEALER TODAY. 

AGRIBUSINESS
IN AGRIBUSINESS... FIRST WE WERE WAITING FOR PREDICTIONS ABOUT PLANTED  ACREAGE.NOW PLANTING IS UNDERWAY. SO WHAT IS THE PRICE OUTLOOK CONSIDERING THE FACTS WE NOW KNOW? TYNE MORGAN ASKS THE QUESTIONS IN TODAY'S ANALYSIS. HERE NOW WITH PAT WESTOFF THE FAPRI DIRECTOR BUT ALSO ECONOMISTS AT UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI. PAT  LET 'S LOOK AT THESE THESE CROP PRICES IN THE LATEST ACREAGE ESTIMATES WE KNOW THAT WE'RE  GONNA HAVE A BIG BUMP IN SOYBEAN ACRES TO NO SURPRISE THERE THESE PRICES HAVE BEEN  BUYING ACRES BUT CONSIDERING THE ACRES AND LET 'S SAY WE HAVE A TREND LINE YIELDS MEAN THAT  SEEMS LIKE IT 'S JUST CUT A FURTHER PUT PRESSURE ON PRICES THIS YEAR WE COULD HAVE ANOTHER VERY  BIG SOYBEAN CROP THIS YEAR. WE HAVE ANYTHING OR DID NOT HTTP://RECORD.BUT EVEN AVERAGE YIELD  WOULD GIVE US A LOT OF ADDITIONAL SOYBEANS WE ALREADY HAVE LARGE STOCKS COMING INTO THIS  DEMAND HAS BEEN STRONG DEMAND HAS BEEN A REALLY STRONG AND THAT 'S REALLY KIND OF KEPT IT  KEPT A FOUR UNDER THESE THESE PRICES SO HAS DEMAND TAPERED OFF. ARE YOU WORRIED ABOUT THAT  AT ALL SO FOR THEM AS A PRETTY STRONG THING IS NONE OF THE FUNDAMENTAL DEMAND FOR SOYBEANS  BY FINAL CONSUMER 'S BEEN GOING LIKE CRAZY BECAUSE OF CHINA SO THE REAL QUESTIONS HOW MUCH  ADDITIONAL SUPPLIES FROM PLACES LIKE BRAZIL LIKE ARGENTINA ON TOP OF OUR OWN DOMESTIC SUPPLIES  HERE THEY'RE GOING TO HAVE TO COMPETE FOR THOSE CHINESE CONSUMERS SO WHAT'S YOUR ADVICE  FOR THOSE PRODUCERS THAT DIDN'T TAKE ADVANTAGE OF ALL OF THE SOYBEAN PRICE IS ONE WIN WHEN  THEY WERE AT THAT ABOUT TEN DOLLARS LEVEL RIGHT I THINK THERE 'S LOT OF DOWNSIDE RISK RIGHT NOW SO  I'D AT LEAST WANT TO BE CAREFUL AND THINK ABOUT WHETHER EVEN THOUGH YOU DON'T LIKE THESE  PRICES TODAY YOU AT LEAST HAVE TO LOOK AT THEM VERY CAREFULLY BEFORE DECIDING WHETHER TO PASS  IF THESE PRICES CONTINUE TO HOVER AROUND THIS AREA DO YOU THINK PRODUCERS AND LET 'S SAY WE  JUST HAVE AVERAGE YIELDS HOW ARE PRODUCER 'S BOTTOM LINE IS GOING TO BE IN TWENTY SEVENTEEN I  THINK THERE 'S SOME CHALLENGES OBVIOUSLY I DON'T KNOW THAT IT'S NECESSARILY A WORSE YEAR THAN  AVERAGE BEAT HIS PRICES BUT NOW CERTAINLY NOW WE'VE GOT PEOPLE IN TROUBLE ALREADY KNOWING  WHAT HE WANTED TO HAVE A BETTER YEAR TO BE ABLE TO GET BY AND PAT YOU TESTIFIED IN FRONT OF  CONGRESS TALK ABOUT KIND OF THE HEALTH OF THAT THE AG ECONOMY WHAT WAS YOUR MESSAGE TO  CONGRESS MY MESSAGE WAS JUST THAT YOU KNOW WE ARE IN DANGER OF TIME WITH AND YOU'RE  GETTING WORSE AND WORSE AND RISING DEBT LEVELS WERE SAYING AW FALLING ASSET VALUES AND THE  POTENTIAL FOR RISING INTEREST RATE AS WELL THIS IS NOT THE 1980S BUT IT'S DEFINITELY A BAD  COMBINATION NOT THE NINETEEN EIGHTIES BUT A BAD COMBINATION. ALL RIGHT THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR  BEING WITH US STAY WITH US. WE'LL HAVE MORE AGDAY WHEN WE COME BACK. 

WEATHER
WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY, WE'RE HERE WITH MIKE HOFFMAN. MIKE, WE LOOK AT  RAINFALL OVER THE LAST WEEK OR SO, MAN IT LOOKS LIKE THE SOUTHERN  PLAINS GETTING A LITTLE BIT OF THAT RAIN. YES, ESPECIALLY EASTERN TEXAS YOU CAN SEE SOME SCATTERED STUFF FARTHER NORTH ACROSS THE CORN  BELT BUT AS YOU CAN SEE, THAT HEAVIER AMOUNTS HAVE DEFINITELY BEEN IN  THE EASTERN PARTS OF TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND OBVIOUSLY THIS  PATTERN HAS BEEN A BIG CHANGE FROM WHAT WE WERE IN FOR TWO OR THREE  WEEKS WHEN THERE WERE BIG STORMS WERE MOVING RIGHT UP THROUGH THE  MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY  BUT IT DOES LOOK LIKE WE HAVE A A PRETTY WET  STORM COMING LATER THIS WEEK THERE 'S THE WAY THINGS SHAPED UP FOR  THE JET STREAM WE'VE GOT NO MORE OF A ZONAL FLOW AND AS WE HEAD INTO  THE EARLY PART OF THIS WEEK THAT KIND OF STICKS AROUND NOW WE'VE BEEN  WATCHING THIS BIG TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST  SENDING STORM SYSTEMS  INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST EVERY TWO OR THREE DAYS NOW THE MODELS  ARE CHANGING A LITTLE BIT AND THEY MAY GO BACK AND FORTH HERE FOR A  WHILE BUT AT LEAST THE LATEST ONE THAT  I'M LOOKING AT SHOWS A TROUGH  DIGGING INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY AGAIN THAT 'S TOTALLY DIFFERENT  THAN WHAT WE'RE LOOKING AT YESTERDAY. THAT PUTS A RIDGE ALONG EAST  COAST AND THAT BRINGS THAT TROUGH A LITTLE FARTHER EAST AS WE HEAD  INTO NEXT WEEKEND  THAT IS A FLUCTUATING SITUATION. WE'LL JUST HAVE TO  SEE WHETHER THIS DOES ACTUALLY DIG IN OR NOT. IF NOT, WE'LL JUST  CONTINUE TO SEE STORM SYSTEMS MOVING  FROM WEST TO EAST SO  TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK WITH THAT IN MIND I'M GOING ABOUT NORMAL FOR  MOST OF THE SOUTHERN TIER OF STATES ALLOW EARLY STARTING WITH THAT  SOUL A FLOWER WHICH WILL KEEP THE A COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPS IS  FARTHER NORTH. I GO BELOW NORMAL IN NEW ENGLAND AND ALSO PACIFIC  NORTHWEST DOWN INTO PARTS OF NEVADA AND PARTS OF CALIFORNIA AS WELL  BUT IF THAT DUST STORM SYSTEM DIGS, IN WE'LL START TO SEE COOLER  WEATHER INTO THE PLAINS STATES AND THAT HE WILL COME FARTHER  NORTHEAST. SO THE PRECIPITATION THIS WEEK WE'LL GO ABOUT NORMAL  PACIFIC NORTHWEST NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AS STORM SYSTEMS CONTINUE TO  COME IN THERE AND THEN WE WILL SEE THAT ONE OR TWO STORM SYSTEMS  MOVING ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY LATER IN THE WEEKS AND WE'LL  GO ABOVE NORMAL FOR MOST OF THE PLAINS STATE CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. INTO THE GREAT LAKES OHIO VALLEY AND THROUGHOUT THE  NORTHEAST BELOW NORMAL FOR THE FAR SOUTHEAST.  AND ALSO FROM  SOUTHERN COLORADO THROUGH THE FOUR CORNER REGION IN THE  NORTHWESTERN MEXICO. THIRTY DAY OUTLOOK FOR TEMPERATURES ABOVE  NORMAL ARE FOR THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE ENTIRE  MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHEAST BACK THROUGH TEXAS BELOW  NORMAL TEMPS IS EXPECTED IN THE FAR NORTHEAST AND NORTHWEST ALL THE  WAY DOWN IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. PRECIPITATION OVER  THE NEXT THIRTY DAYS WERE ALL ABOVE NORMAL RIGHT THROUGH THAT  MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY REGION AGAIN BELOW NORMAL THE FAR EAST COAST,  FAR SOUTHWESTERN ABOVE NORMAL IN THE FAR NORTHWEST. THAT 'S A LOOK  ACROSS THE COUNTRY. NOW LET 'S TAKE A LOOK AT SOME LOCAL FORECASTS  WE'LL HEAD TO LIMON, COLORADO FIRST OF ALL, WARM WITH CLOUDS IN SOME  SUNSHINE TODAY WITH A HIGH OF SEVENTY FOUR DEGREES. LAKE CHARLES,  LOUISIANA, RATHER CLOUDY A SPOTTY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON, HIGH OF EIGHTY ONE AND WATERTOWN, NEW YORK REGION  CALLED A MIX OF CLOUDS AND SOME HIGH FORTY NINE. 

TEASE
WE'LL CHECK ON TRACTOR SALES AND RECENT AUCTION ACTION WITH  MACHINERY PETE...COMING UP IN JUST A MOMENT. AND LATER, PROTECTING A FLIGHTY POLLINATOR WITH TEQUILLA.  I'LL EXPLAIN  TODAY ON IN THE COUNTRY.

MACHINERY PETE
U.S. TRACTOR SALES IN MARCH INCREASED SIX PERCENT COMPARED TO A YEAR  AGO.THE ASSOCIATION OF EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURERS RELEASED ITS MONTHLY  SALES REPORT THIS WEEK.  IT SHOWS THAT FOR THE FIRST THREE MONTHS IN 2017, A TOTAL OF 42,033  TRACTORS WERE SOLD, A FIVE PERCENT INCREASE YEAR OVER YEAR.  "WE'VE STAYED THE SAME. WE HAVEN'T MADE ANY BIG MAJOR EQUIPMENT PURCHASES OR ANYTHING.  IT'S NOT LOOKING TOO GOOD BUT WE DON'T LOOK AT OUR BALANCE SHEET WHEN WE MAKE AN  EQUIPMENT PURCHASE. WE KIND OF FIND A DEAL HERE AND WE BUY IT."> BUT DESPITE THE RECENT UPTICK IN SALES, ONE ECONOMIST WHO GAUGES THE  RURAL ECONOMY, SAYS IT'LL STILL BE A TOUGH ROAD AHEAD IN 2017. " YOU'RE SEEING FARMERS SAYING LET'S TAKE A CAUTIOUS APPROACH BECAUSE THEIR INCOME IS  DOWN AND SOME ARE NEGATIVE, WHAT ARE YOU WRITING IT OFF AGAINST? IT'S PRETTY WIDE-SPREAD IN  THE SMALL TOWNS WITH A DEALER. 02 NOW THE DEALER IS SELLING GARDEN PRODUCTS AND LAWN PRODCTS SO THEY'VE DONE THAT. BUT BIG 500-THOUSAND DOLLARS OF AG EQUIPMENT, IT'S NOT AS STRONG. AND I JUST DON'T SEE IT THIS YEAR."LARGER FOUR-WHEEL DRIVE TRACTORS INCREASED 21 PERCENT FOR THE  MONTH. COMBINE SALES FOR THE YEAR SO FAR ARE DOWN 16 PERCENT FROM LEVELS  LAST YEAR. SPEAKING OF THOSE LARGER FOUR WHEEL DRIVE UNITS...MACHINERY PETE  JOINS US WITH SOME RECENT INSIGHTS INTO AUCTION PRICES. WE'LL FOLKS I'M CONTINUING TO SEE WHO REALLY NICE CONDITION USED FOUR WHEEL DRIVE TRACTORS BRING  STRONG PRICES NOW A COUPLE OF EXAMPLES FROM SALES LAST WEEK HERE'S A PICTURE OF A TWO  THOUSAND ONE JOHN DEERE NINE TWO HUNDRED YOU COULD SEE SUPER NICE SHINY CONDITION TWENTY  THREE HUNDRED EIGHTY FIVE HOURS ON SOLD ON AN ONLINE FARM AUCTION LAST WEDNESDAY AND THIS  WAS A SALE BY MY FRIENDS AT THE STEFFES GROUP OUT OF NORTHWEST IOWA 'S OVER EIGHTY FIVE THOUSAND FIVE HUNDRED DOLLARS. NOW WHEN I LOOK AT OUR MACHINERY PETE AUCTION PRICE DATA  THAT IS THE HIGHEST AUCTION PRICE IN TWENTY MONTHS. ON A JOHN DEERE NINETY TWO HUNDRED TWO  DAYS BEFORE THAT LAST ON MONDAY APRIL TENTH ON A FARM AUCTION IN CENTRAL SASKATCHEWAN HERE  'S A PICTURE OF A TRACTOR THAT SOLD US SUPER SHARP NINETEEN EIGHTIES THREE. VERSATILE NINE FORTY  FIVE FOUR WHEEL DRIVE EIGHTY FIVE HUNDRED HOURS YOU CAN SEE HOW BEAUTIFUL IT IS SOLD FOR THIRTY  EIGHT THOUSAND SEVEN HUNDRED EIGHTY TWO DOLLARS AND A COURSE THAT 'S CONVERTED INTO U S  DOLLARS. THAT IS A RECORD HIGH AUCTION PRICE. THE PREVIOUS HIGH THAT HAD SEEN ON A VERSATILE  NINE FORTY FIVE WAS THIRTY THOUSAND DOLLARS. SO AGAIN TWO EXAMPLES HERE IF THE TRACTOR IS IN  VERY GOOD CONDITION WITH A LITTLE AGE ON A TREMENDOUS BUYER INTEREST OUT THERE AND FO;LS WHILE  YOU'RE LOOKING FOR A FOUR WHEEL DRIVE TRACTOR ANY PIECE OF EQUIPMENT CHECK OUT OUR WEB SITE  AND TELL THOSE DEALERS AND AUCTIONEERS YOU SAW IT ON MACHINERY PETE 

TEASE
THE NEXT TIME YOU HAVE A SHOT OF TEQUILA....YOU MAY BE HELPING TO  PROTECT A CREEPY, BUT IMPORTANT, POLLINATOR....BATS! FIND OUT WHY WHEN WE COME BACK.

IN THE COUNTRY
IN THE COUNTRY - BROUGHT TO YOU BY KUBOTA.  SEE THE ALL-NEW KOMMANDER-PRO ZERO-TURN MOWER AT KUBOTA.COM. TEQUILA MAKERS AND SCIENTISTS HAVE TEAMED-UP IN MEXICO TO HELP SAVE AN  ENDANGERED BAT SPECIES. AND BY DOING SO, THEY MAY BE ENSURING THE  FUTURE OF THIS MEXICAN FAVORITE. LONG-NOSED BATS FEAST ON THE SWEET NECTAR OF THE FLOWERING AGAVE  PLANT. HOWEVER  TEQUILA MAKERS ROUTINELY TRIM THE GREEN STALKS THAT GROW  FROM THE CENTER OF THE PLANT. BY DOING SO, IT PUTS MORE SUGAR INTO THE  CORE. BUT THEN THE PLANT WON'T FLOWER - AND BATS CAN'T FEED. EVEN THOUGH IT'LL REDUCE THE SUGAR LEVELS, FIVE TEQUILA BRANDS HAVE  NOW AGREED TO HARVEST THEIR CROPS AFTER FLOWERING TO HELP PROTECT  THE POLLLINATORS. "SOME OF THE TEQUILA PRODUCERS THAT ARE IN THE PROGRAM TOLD ME: 'YOU KNOW... WE ARE GOING TO  LOSE A LOT OF MONEY WITH THIS. THIS YEAR WE ARE GOING TO LOSE A LOT OF MONEY'. BUT WE ARE  AWARE OF THE FACT THAT THIS IS THE FUTURE. AND IF WE DO NOT INVEST IN THE FUTURE, WE ARE GOING TO  END UP WITH NO PLANTS IN OUR FIELDS."> CURRENTLY THE BAT PROJECT INVOLVES ONLY ABOUT FIVE PERCENT OF THE  AGAVE PRODUCTION OF THE COMPANIES TAKING PART.  THE TEQUILA INDUSTRY PRODUCES AROUND 1 BILLION U-S DOLLARS A YEAR IN  EXPORTS TO 120 COUNTRIES AROUND THE WORLD. 80 PERCENT OF THAT  PRODUCTION GOES TO THIS COUNTRY.

CLOSE
THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. WE'RE GLAD YOU TUNED IN.  FOR ALL OF US AT AGDAY. I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. HAVE A GREAT DAY. 

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