AgDay Daily Recap - April 20, 2018

April 20, 2018 12:57 AM
 
AgDay

TODAY ON AGDAY
APRIL 20, 2018

HEADLINES

THE LATEST RURAL MAIN STREET INDEX RAISING CONCERNS ABOUT TRADE  TENSIONS. PLUS, THE CHALLENGES FACING DAIRY. IN AGRIBUSINESS...THE COST OF TARIFFS ON SOYBEANS MISSY BAUER TEACHES ON PLANTING DEPTH IN FARM JOURNAL COLLEGE TV. AND WEATHER, WILDFIRES AND THE KINDNESS OF COMMUNITY...ON FARM SENSE. AGDAY-BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE DEPENDABLE, LONG LASTING CHEVY  SILVERADO. 

RURAL MAINSTREET INDEX
GOOD MORNING I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. A NEWLY RELEASED INDEX MEASURING  CONFIDENCE OF THE RURAL ECONOMY TOOK A BEATING AS BANKERS  EXPRESSED CONCERN ABOUT TRADE TENSIONS. OVERALL, THE RURAL MAINSTREET INDEX FROM CREIGHTON UNIVERSITY  REMAINED ABOVE GROWTH NEUTRAL, INDICATING AN UPWARD TREND WITH IMPROVING ECONOMIC GROWTH. BUT THE R-M-I ALSO SHOWS BANKERS IN THE TEN-STATE DISTRICT HAVE  CONCERNS ABOUT UN-RESOLVED TRADE MATTERS. THE CONFIDENCE INDEX WITHIN THE RMI SANK FROM 58 LAST MONTH TO 50 THIS  MONTH.  CREIGHTON ECONOMIST DOCTOR ERNIE GOSS SAYS "AN UNRESOLVED NORTH  AMERICA FREE TRADE AGREEMENT AND RISING TRADE TENSIONS WITH CHINA  ARE SIGNIFICANT CONCERNS." MORE THAN THREE-FOURTHS OF BANK CEOS REPORTED THAT EXPORT MARKETS WERE VERY IMPORTANT TO THEIR LOCAL ECONOMY. ALMOST ONE-THIRD OF BANKERS SUPPORT THE ABOLITION OF NAFTA AND UNDERTAKING A NEW AGREEMENT. BUT 40-PERCENT SUPPORT THE CURRENT  PACT. 

NAFTA RENEGOTIATIONS
ON THE MATTER OF NAFTA NEGOTIATIONS... THE TRADE MINISTERS LEADING THE  NAFTA TALKS ARE MEETING THIS WEEK IN WASHINGTON. THEY HOPE TO ACHIEVE  A DEAL IN PRINCIPLE WITHIN WEEKS. U-S TRADE REPRESENTATIVE ROBERT LIGHTHIZER MET THURSDAY WITH HIS  COUNTERPARTS FROM CANADA AND MEXICO. ACCORDING TO BLOOMBERG NEWS THERE ARE SIGNS THAT THERE COULD BE A  DEAL THAT LEAVES THE FINE-PRINT TO FURTHER TALKS BETWEEN  BUREAUCRATS.BUT SOME BIG GAPS REMAIN, INCLUDING AUTO PRODUCTION AND AGRICULTURE,  SAY THE BLOOMBERG REPORT. 

DAIRY FARMERS STRUGGLING, LOW PRICES, LARGE SUPPLIES
DAIRY FARMERS ACROSS THE COUNTRY ARE STRUGGLING TO SURVIVE.  THAT'S AS MILK PRICES AREN'T EVEN AT BREAK-EVEN LEVELS FOR SOME  FARMERS.  U-S DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE'S DATA SHOWS IN WISCONSIN, THE STATE  LOST 430 DAIRY HERDS LAST YEAR ALONE. AND SO FAR THIS YEAR, THE STATE'S  HERDS HAVE DECLINED BY AN ADDITIONAL 150.  THE LATEST FARM JOURNAL'S MILK INTELLIGENCE SURVEY PROVING 2018 COULD PROVE TO BE A CHALLENGE.  IT'S A SURVEY OF DAIRY PRODUCERS WITH 500 OR MORE COWS.  TEH SURVEY FOUND 37 PERCENT OF PRODUCERS SAY THEY'LL ONLY SURVIVE  ONE MORE YEAR UNDER CURRENT MILK PRICES.  35 PERCENT OF PRODUCERS SAY THEY CAN ONLY LAST 2 TO 3 MORE YEARS.  IT'S LOW PRICES AND HEFTY MILK SUPPLIES CAUSING PAIN ON DAIRY FARMS  ACROSS THE COUNTRY, WITH SOME LEFT WITHOUT A HOME TO SHIP THEIR MILK. BUT AS TYNE MORGAN REPORTS, THAT'S NOT STOPPING THEM FROM FIGHTING FOR THEIR FUTURE.  FOR JOHNSTON COUNTY INDIANA FARMER JOE KELSEY HOW THINGS GO ON. IT'S NOT JUST ANOTHER DAY  COWS MILKING WELL HE'S CONTINUING TO PUMP MILK WHILE A CLOUD OF UNCERTAINTY HANGS OVER HIS  FARM. RIGHT NOW IT'S A BIT DIFFICULT TO BE A DAIRY FARMER. HIS JOB JUST BECAME EVEN MORE DIFFICULT. HE FOUND OUT IN FEBRUARY FROM DEAN FOODS THAT HE HAS 90 DAYS TO FIND A NEW HOME FOR HIS MILK. IT WAS A LITTLE BIT SURPRISING HE NOT ONLY RECEIVED A LETTER IN THE MAIL BUT HE'S ALSO BEEN IN CONSTANT CONTACT WITH THE COMPANY. HE'S DONE BUSINESS WITH FOR MORE THAN 25 YEARS.  OUR CONVERSATIONS WITH BOTH BOFILL STAFF AND AND AND TOP LEADERSHIP HAVE BEEN THERE. THEY'RE VERY FRUSTRATED THAT THIS IS THE REALITY THAT THEY'RE DEALING WITH. KELSEY IS ONE OF 27 PRODUCERS  IN INDIANA AND ONE OF MORE THAN 80 ACROSS THE COUNTRY WHO RECEIVED THE LETTER FROM DEAN  FOODS. IN THE LETTER DEAN CALLING IT A DIFFICULT DECISION BUT ONE BASED ON TWO MAIN FACTORS.  THE FIRST IS THE NEW WAL-MART MILK PROCESSING PLANT COMING ONLINE NEAR FORT WAYNE IN MAY AND THE SECOND IS THE DAIRY MARKET FLOODED WITH JUST TOO MUCH MILK WERE CAUGHT IN IT AT A  TIME WHERE THERE'S JUST TOO MUCH MILK MORE THAN WHAT THE MARKET CAN BEAR AT THIS MOMENT.  MIKE NORTH OF COMMODITY RISK MANAGEMENT GROUP SAYS PRODUCERS RAMPED UP PRODUCTION AS OVERALL DEMAND DREW HIGHER DEMAND GREW ESPECIALLY AT THE WORLD LEVEL AND OUR PRODUCERS  MADE THE INVESTMENT PUT THEIR BEST FOOT FORWARD AND THEY REALLY ROSE TO THE OCCASION. WHILE  DEMAND CLIMBS WITH APPETITES FOR ITEMS LIKE CHEESE AND BUTTER GROWING CONSUMERS CONTINUE TO DRINK LESS MILK AND THAT'S ADDING TO THE OVERSUPPLY PAIN. DEAN FOODS TELLING FARM JOURNAL  THAT MILK CONSUMPTION HAS DROPPED 11 GALLONS PER PERSON SINCE 1975. AT THE SAME TIME THE  US DAIRY INDUSTRY IS PRODUCING 350 MILLION MORE GALLONS OF MILK EACH YEAR A COMBINATION  THAT'S PROVING TO BE LETHAL TO THE INDUSTRY. A LOT OF DAIRY PRODUCERS COST OF PRODUCTION RIGHT  NOW IS EXCEEDING WHAT THEY'RE GETTING IN THEIR MILK CHECK. BUT ELIMINATING SUPPLY ISN'T AN  EASY FIX. IT TAKES TWO YEARS TO GET THE ANIMAL UP TO SIZE TO START MILKING AND THEN ONCE A YEAR  YOU'RE ROLLING ON THAT PROCESS IT'S REALLY HARD TO TURN THE SPICKET AND ADJUST THAT SPIGOT TO THE  EXACT NEEDS OF THE MARKET. THAT'S WHY WHEN THE LETTER FROM DEANE'S CAME IN THE MAIL HE WAS OVERCOME WITH CONCERN. THE COWS ARE MAKING MILK EVERY DAY WERE THREE TIMES A DAY  MILKING AND WORLDTRADE LOAD EVERY OTHER DAY INSTEAD OF PLAYING THE BLAME GAME. KELSEY IS  COMMITTED ON THE HUNT FOR A NEW BUYER. INITIAL RESPONSES ARE YOU KNOW MILK SUPPLIES ARE  PRETTY ABUNDANT AT THE MOMENT AND AS DEBTS RISE LANG SAYS IT'S A HARSH REALITY THAT'S SETTING  IN HOW MANY DOLLAR ESTATES LOST OR HOW MUCH ADDITIONAL DEBT THEY'VE HAD TO TAKE ON AND ARE LOOKING AT THOSE 2018 BUDGETS AND SAYING BOY WE'RE REALLY GOING TO BE PUTTING OUR BUSINESS  OR OUR EQUITY IN A POSITION THAT WE DON'T FEEL COMFORTABLE WITH. IT'S THAT DILEMMA KELSEY IS  FACING TODAY IF A NEGATIVE MARGIN AND WE HAVE BEEN FOR A BIT. HOW MUCH MORE EQUITY IS ARE WE WILLING TO INVEST TO WAIT FOR THESE PRICES TO IMPROVE AND THAT'S GOING TO BE THE QUESTION  THAT I THINK OUR FAMILY AND MANY OTHER FAMILIES ARE GOING TO HAVE THOSE DIFFICULT CONVERSATIONS  AROUND KITCHEN TABLES AS THEY COME TO GRIPS WITH THAT REALITY OF THAT THOSE PRICE CHANGES ARE REAL AS AN ETERNAL OPTIMIST HE KNOWS HE ALSO HAS TO BALANCE IT WITH BEING A REALIST AND THE  REALITY IS IT'S NOT ONLY HIS FAMILY BUT EMPLOYEES WHOSE LIVELIHOODS PIVOT ON THE SUCCESS OF THIS  DAIRY. IT'S REALLY A FAMILY. IT'S EXTENDED FAMILY. I MEAN THE FOLKS THAT HELP US ON THE FARM ARE  ABSOLUTELY CRITICAL TO WHAT WE DO EVERY DAY AND AS ONE DOOR CLOSES HE'S HOPEFUL ANOTHER DOOR WILL OPEN AS HE WORKS TO KEEP HIS FAMILY'S LEGACY ALIVE THANKS TYNE. 

CROP COMMENTS
A STRESSFUL TIME FOR FARMERS BEING RECOGNIZED IN WASHINGTON. ON THURSDAY SENATORS TAMMY BALDWIN OF WISCONSIN AND JONI ERNST OF  IOWA INTRODUCED THE FARMERS FIRST ACT. ITS SEEKING 50 MILLION DOLLARS TO PROVIDE THE AG COMMUNITY WITH  CRITICAL MENTAL HEALTH SUPPORT AND RESOURCES. A RECENT CDC REPORT FOUND THAT AG WORKERS HAVE A HIGHER SUICIDE RATE  THAN OTHER OCCUPATION. THE FARMERS FIRST ACT LOOKS TO ESTABLISH HELPLINES, PROVIDE SUICIDE PREVENTION TRAINING, CREATES SUPPORT GROUPS AND MORE. MOST OF THAT WOULD BE HANDLED THROUGH STATES AND NON-PROFITS. THE SENATORS HOPE TO INCLUDE THE MEASURE IN THE NEW FARM BILL. 

CROP COMMENTS
THAT HEAVY-DUTY LATE SEASON SNOW STORM IN THE UPPER MIDWEST CHASED  AWAY DRYNESS IN WISCONSIN. THE DROUGHT MONITOR MAP FROM THURSDAY SHOWS JUST THREE PERCENT OF  THE STATE IS DRY. THAT'S A 44 POINT IMPROVEMENT FROM THE PREVIOUS WEEK. GREEN BAY MEASURED 24 INCHES OF SNOW OVER THE WEEKEND. THAT'S THE  BIGGEST APRIL SNOW STORM ON RECORD FOR THE CITY. LET'S TURN TO MIKE HOFFMAN FOR CROP COMMENTS, MIKE. GOOD MORNING CLINTON. A FARMER FROM JACKSON COUNTY, IOWA POSTED A FIELD-WORK-UPDATE ON  AGWEB. IT WAS SHORT-AND-SWEET - "NOT MUCH ACTIVITY TO REPORT...... THE  END." FROM CENTRAL INDIANA, A FARMER IN HOWARD COUNTY TOOK ADVANTAGE OF A  FEW DAYS OF WARM WEATHER LAST WEEK BY PLANTING FOUR ACRES OF SWEET  CORN. BUT THEN A COLD FRONT CAME THROUGH AND BROUGHT COLD AND SOME  SNOW. DID HE START TOO SOON?  THE FARMER SAYS CHECK BACK IN JULY. AND TAKE A LOOK AT THE WIND FORECAST A LITTLE BIT IN THE NORTHEAST BUT MAINLY ON THE EASTERN  EDGE OF THE ROCKIES YOU CAN KIND OF SEE THOSE WINDY AREAS AS WE START TODAY KIND OF  EXPANDS INTO PARTS OF NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. NOW THE WINDS REALLY DO CALM DOWN THROUGH MOST OF THE COUNTRY BY TOMORROW MORNING. THAT  SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS NOT NEARLY AS STRONG AS RECENT STORMS. WE DO TURN WINDY IN  TEXAS AND PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS. LATER IN THE DAY TOMORROW WE'LL HAVE YOUR FORECAST COMING UP. BUT FIRST HERE ARE SOME HOMETOWN TEMPS 

TEASE
EVER WAKE UP WONDERING WHAT DOES TODAY'S WEATHER HAVE IN STORE  WELL WITH WEATHER UPDATES IT DELIVERS THE LOCAL FORECAST RIGHT TO  YOUR CELLPHONE EACH MORNING TO MAKE PREPARING FOR THE DAY EASIER  JUST TEXT WEATHER 6 TO 31313 TO GET STARTED  UP NEXT, CALCULATING THE IMPACT OF CHINESE TARIFFS ON THE U.S. SOYBEAN  PRICES.  NUMBERS YOU WON'T WANT TO MISS, COMING UP IN ANALYSIS. AND LATER, WHETHER YOU'RE PLANTING YET OR NOT, HITTING A TARGET DEPTH  IS IMPORTANT TO A UNIFORM STAND. WE'LL GET A LESSON ON PLANTING DEPTH TODAY ON FARM JOURNAL COLLEGE  TV. 

FLOOR OF THE CME
IN AGRIBUSINESS A MIXED BAG FOR MARKETS THIS WEEK. LETS SEE HOW THRUSDAY'S TRADE FINISHED. FOR THAT WE HEAD TO THE FLOOR OF THE CME IN CHICAGO. I WANT TO START LOOKING AT THIS CORN MARKET ALTHOUGH MAY IS GOING OFF THE BOARD HERE IN THE  NEXT WEEK AND A HALF WE'RE GOING TO TOUCH ON THAT BECAUSE WE HAVE OPTIONS GOING OFF THE  BOARD TOMORROW AFTERNOON. I THINK THAT'S KIND OF INFLUENCING PRICE HERE. NOW WHEN WE LOOK AT AUCTION EXPLORATION WE LOOK AT THE STRIKES WITH THE MOST OPEN INTEREST. IT LOOKS LIKE 380 IS  GOING TO BE A MAGNET FOR THAT MAY CONTRACT IN THE WEEK OR SO I THINK THE FUNDS AREN'T GOING TO  BE IN ANY SORT OF A HURRY TO DO ANY LIQUIDATION WITHOUT A CROP IN THE GROUND JUST YET. AND I  THINK THAT OFFER OF SUPPORT GOING FORWARD NOW TOUCHING ON THE SOYBEANS KIND OF A MIXED BAG HERE WE'VE RETREATED OFFICE SOME OF THESE LEVELS FILL THE GAP. FROM APRIL 6 HERE THIS MORNING I  THINK THAT FILLING UP THE GAP REPRESENTS GREAT VALUE AS FAR AS RISK REWARD GOES ON THE FIRST  SESS IF WE CAN SAVE LIVES IN THE WEEK. I THINK THAT PUTS US IN GOOD SHAPE GOING INTO NEXT  WEEK AND WE COULD SEE THE MARKET WORK A LITTLE BIT HIGHER AND THE CATTLE MARKETS WERE BLEEDING A LITTLE BIT LOWER. A LOT OF THIS IS PROBABLY SOME SWEARING UP AND SOME JOCKEYING  BACK AND FORTH FROM THE FUNDS THAT SHAKE OUT THE WEAK LONGS GOING INTO TOMORROW'S CATTLE ON  FEED REPORT WHICH A LOT OF MARKET PARTICIPANTS ARE VERY MUCH LOOKING FORWARD TO THAT SHOULD  GIVE US A GOOD PICTURE GOING INTO NEXT WEEK AND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE MONTH. IT'S BEEN ALL  OVER SLOPE WITH BLUE LINE FUTURES FROM THE FLOOR OF THE CME.

AGRIBUSINESS
MARK FEIGHT WITH THE INTERNATIONAL AGRIBUSINESS GROUP JOINING US HERE AT THE AGROBUSINESS  TODAY. MARK AS WE LOOK AT THE SOYBEAN MARKET AND ALL THE TALK ABOUT TARIFFS BETWEEN THE U.S.  AND CHINA HOW DOES THAT PENCIL OUT AS WE START TO LOOK AT THE END OF THE CHAIN OF IMPACT FROM  THIS DECISION AND THIS BACK AND FORTH. YOU KNOW I THINK THERE'S TWO POTENTIAL OUTCOMES. ONE  IS A LITTLE BIT NEGATIVE AND IF YOU GO THROUGH THE NUMBERS OUR BELIEF IS THAT YOU IMPACT 20  MILLION TONS OF SOYBEAN TRADE. OK. AND IT ENDS UP WITH A 30 CENT WIDER SOYBEAN BASIS IN THE  U.S. OVER THAT FARMER GETS THE COST FROM A WIDER BASIS. IT DOESN'T IMPACT FUTURES. YEAH. WHAT  ABOUT AS FAR AS DEMAND. DO YOU SEE THIS SHIFTING A BIG PORTION OF WORLD DEMAND. YOU KNOW  WE ALSO HAVE PEOPLE SAYING WELL IF THEY BUY FROM SOUTH AMERICA THEN WE'VE GOT TO SELL IT SOMEWHERE ELSE. DO YOU SEE THAT. YES I THINK. I DON'T THINK IT CHANGES DEMAND. I DON'T THINK IT  CHANGES THE CHINESE DEMAND. THEY'RE CRUSHERS TODAY ARE SCREAMING JUST AS LOUDLY AS U.S.  FARMER NOT TO HAVE THAT TARIFF. THEY DO NOT WANT TO HAVE THAT TARIFF. THERE'S A SHORT TERM  OPPORTUNITY FOR THEM TO BUY MORE BEANS AND MAYBE EVEN EXPORT A LITTLE MEAL. SO MARGINS ARE GOOD. THEY'D LIKE TO IMPORT MORE BUT I DON'T THINK IT CHANGES DEMAND. WE WOULD SHIFT  MORE BRAZILIAN BEANS GO TO CHINA WE TAKE MORE EUROPEAN BUSINESS. IT ALL OFFSETS WE OVERLAP  THAT BUSINESS ANYWAY IT'S PRETTY EASY TO SWITCH. AS WE LOOK OUT A LITTLE BIT INTO THE FUTURE THESE  TARIFFS GO INTO PLAY. DO YOU SEE THAT LONG TERM IMPACTING THE ACREAGE THE DECISION TO PLANT  SOYBEANS HERE IN THE U.S.. WELL I THINK IT IS A RELATIONSHIP TO PROFITABILITY CERTAINLY YOU WOULD  THINK THAT WE WOULD SWITCH TO CORN. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THAT THERE'S A POSITIVE OUTCOME  TO THIS THAT WE GET TO THE NEGOTIATING TABLE. AND CHINA SAYS AS A CONCESSION BECAUSE SOYBEANS ARE A TOUGH PIECE FOR THEM THAT THEY SAY WE'LL BUY 40 MILLION TONS OF U.S.  SOYBEANS IF YOU GIVE US CONCESSIONS SOMEWHERE ELSE OR WE BUY A LITTLE MORE ETHANOL FROM  THE U.S. WHICH ARE GOING TO BUY ANYWAY. YEAH AND THAT'S A CONCESSION. AND THIS ENDS UP BEING A POSITIVE. SO WELL THAT WOULD BE GREAT. YEAH THAT WOULD BE GREAT SO MANY MOVING  PIECES. THANK YOU SO MUCH MARK WILL BE BACK WITH MORE AGDAY JUST A MINUTE.

WEATHER
WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY HERE WITH METEOROLOGIST MIKE HOFFMAN LOOKING AT THE DROUGHT  MONITOR AND MIKE SOME OF THESE AREAS WE'LL SEE A LITTLE BIT OF RAIN AT LEAST ONE SYSTEM A WEAK  SYSTEM BUT IT DOES HAVE A DECENT AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WITH IT. SO HOPEFULLY IT'S AT LEAST A LITTLE  BIT OF A HELP. NOT GOING TO REALLY TAKE AWAY THE DROUGHT. WE GO BACK FOUR WEEKS AND YOU CAN SEE IT WAS ALREADY A PRETTY LARGE AREA FROM THE FOUR CORNERS REGION INTO NORTHWEST TEXAS  WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS. BUT AS WE GO THROUGH THE LAST FOUR WEEKS YOU  CAN SEE HOW THAT HAS EXPANDED OFF TO THE NORTHEAST A LITTLE BIT IN THE KANSAS AND PARTS OF THE  MISSOURI VALLEY. ALSO THE SOUTHEASTERN PARTS OF THE COUNTRY AS YOU CAN SEE THOUGH A LARGE CHUNK OF THE COUNTRY AND MOST OF THE CORN BELT. NOT LOOKING TOO BAD. AND IT CONTINUES TO GET  BETTER FOR THE DAKOTAS NORTHEASTERN MONTANA. IT'S TAKING A WHILE IT ALWAYS TAKES A WHILE TO GET  RID OF A WIDE SPREAD BAD DROUGHT LIKE THAT. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATING CENTRAL CANADA MOST  OF THE CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THIS COUNTRY AS WELL YOU CAN SEE THE COLD FRONT MOVING SLOWLY THROUGH FLORIDA. SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DOWN THERE TODAY. STORM  SYSTEM COMING ACROSS COLORADO WILL SPREAD SOME RAIN THEN INTO AREAS EAST OF THE ROCKIES.  YOU CAN SEE THERE'S NOT A LOT OF MOISTURE WITH THIS BUT IT DOES PUT DOWN SOME DECENT AMOUNTS ANYWAY. PARTS OF TEXAS OKLAHOMA INTO KANSAS. ALSO A SYSTEM COMING INTO THE  PACIFIC NORTHWEST THAT WILL JUST BE A WEAK COLD FRONT KIND OF COME IN THROUGH THE NORTHERN  ROCKIES BY LATER IN THE DAY TOMORROW PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES OVER THE PAST OVER THE NEXT 36  HOURS YOU CAN SEE OUR MODELS PUTTING DOWN SOME AREAS WITH AN INCH IN THE PANHANDLE OF OKLAHOMA. PARTS OF THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA AND ALSO ON UP INTO PARTS OF  NEBRASKA IN WESTERN KANSAS AS WELL. SO I'M NOT SURE IT'S GOING TO BE A WIDESPREAD AREA BUT  NONETHELESS IT COULD HELP. NO MATTER WHAT. AND YOU CAN SEE SOME SNOW AMOUNTS MAINLY THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF COLORADO AND NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. TEMPERATURES ON THE COOL SIDE  ACROSS MOST AREAS EAST OF THE ROCKIES STILL WARM IN FLORIDA AND SOUTH TEXAS HEADING  THROUGH TONIGHT. THEN YOU CAN SEE LOW TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER STATES LOTS OF  30S THERE 50S AND 60S BY THE TIME YOU GET TO THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THEN TOMORROW AFTERNOON WE START TO SEE THE WARM AIR TRYING TO COME BACK NORTHWARD. LOTS OF 70S DOWN  SOUTH 40S AND 50S ACROSS A GOOD CHUNK OF THE CORN BELT. TAKING A LOOK AT THE JET STREAM  THEN YOU CAN SEE IT'S AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN EACH OF THESE LITTLE TROUGHS HERE A LITTLE IN  SOME CASES ALMOST A CUTOFF TROUGH MOVING VERY SLOWLY ACROSS THE COUNTRY. BUT WE CONTINUE TO SEE THAT THE ARCTIC AIR IS KIND OF CUT OFF NOW. SO WE SHOULD SEE A GENERAL WARMING TREND  OVERALL ACROSS MOST OF THE LOWER 48. THAT'S A LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY. NOW LET'S TAKE A LOOK  AT SOME LOCAL FORECASTS HEADING TO WILLISTON NORTH DAKOTA PARTLY SUNNY AND MILDER TODAY.  HIGH TEMPERATURE UP TO 62 DEGREES. TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA PARTLY SUNNY AND VERY COMFORTABLE HIGH OF 72. AND FINALLY ELMIRA IN NEW YORK MOSTLY CLOUDY BREEZY AND COLD HIGH 43.

TEAE
UP NEXT, ITS OUR WEEKLY TRIP TO COLLEGE. MISSY BAUER WILL HELP US CHECK PLANTING DEPTH ON FARM JOURNAL  COLLEGE TV. AND LATER, AN UPDATE FROM THE OKLAHOMA WILDFIRES.

FARM JOURNAL COLLEGE TV
FOR A GOOD PART OF THE COUNTRY, UNFORTUNATELY, THERE'S STILL TIME TO  GET YOUR PLANTER SET UP. FIELD AGRONOMIST MISSY BAUER SHOWS US HOW TO CHECK PLANTING DEPTH  ON FARM JOURNAL COLLEGE TV. WELL FIRST THING WE DO IS JUST GO AHEAD AND DIG UP THE PLANT ONCE WE GET IT DUG UP. WANT TO  CLEAN OFF THE SOIL FROM THE ROOT SYSTEM HERE AND THEN WE WANT TO FOCUS IN ON LOOKING AT WHAT WE CALL THE MEZZA CATTLE THIS MEZZEH CATTLE CAN BE FOUND IF WE FIND WHERE THE OLD SEED IS  AND THEN FOLLOW IT UP IT ACTUALLY ATTACHES HERE TO THE CROWN OF THE PLANT. AND IF WE GO AHEAD  AND MEASURE THE LENGTH OF THIS MEZER CATTLE AND ADD THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO IT THAT'S GOING TO BE OUR PLANNING DEPT. SO THERE'S A COUPLE OF WAYS OF DOING IT WE CAN DO IT WHY IT'S  STILL ATTACHED TO THE PLANT HERE AND WE CAN TAKE OUR TAPE AND LAY IT RIGHT OUT THE THREE QUARTER  LINE AT THE BASE OF THIS CROWN. THIS CROWN IS WHERE ALL THESE CROEN ROOTS ARE GOING TO COME  OUT OF. SO IF I PUT THAT RATE UP THE THREE QUARTER LINE AND THEN MEASURE DOWN HERE THIS ONE  WAS PLANTED TO THE BOTTOM SEED HERE RATE AT TWO INCHES NO OTHER WAY I CAN DO IT IS ACTUALLY SNAP AS A CATTLE OFF AS I HAVE IN THESE EXAMPLES I HAVE LAND HERE AND THEN JUST MEASURE THE  ACTUAL LENGTH OF THE MEZZA MODEL ITSELF AND ADD THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO IT. SO THIS ONE'S  AT AN INCH AND A HALF PLUS THREE QUARTERS WOULD BE TWO AND A QUARTER INCHES DEEP. THIS ONE  HEARS AT ONE INCH PLUS THREE QUARTERS WOULD BE AN INCH AND THREE QUARTERS. SO THAT'S WHERE AT ANY POINT IN TIME IF YOU'RE WONDERING WHAT THE PLANNING OF DIFFERENCES MAY BE FROM THIS  PLANT TO ANOTHER PLANT IF HE HAD EMERGENCY ISSUES YOU CAN CHECK THAT OUT.

TEASE
AN UPDATE ON THE WILDFIRES AND HOW YOU CAN HELP. NEXT ON FARM SENSE. 

IN THE COUNTRY
IN THE COUNTRY - SPONSORED BY KUBOTA. TRACTORS, HAY TOOLS, UTILILTY VEHICLES, MOWERS AND  MORE. VISIT KUBOTA.COM TODAY. AS MUCH AS FARMERS TRY TO MITIGATE THE IMPACT OF WEATHER...THERE'S  REALLY ONLY SO MUCH WE CAN DO. WE'VE SEEN THAT ON FULL DISPLAY JUST IN THE LAST WEEK. FROM 25 INCHES OF SNOW, TO SLEET, HAIL, TORNADOS AND ICE STORMS AND  FLOODING -- IT HAS BEEN A CRAZY WEATHER WEEK AND IT'S BRUTALLY CLEAR WE  STILL DON'T CONTROL THE SKY. A LACK OF RAINFALL AND SCORCHING SPRING TEMPERATURES ARE AGAIN  IGNITING HEARTACHE IN THE HEARTLAND. OVER THE PAST WEEK, WILDFIRES HAVE BURNED ROUGHLY 400-THOUSAND ACRES, CAUSED 2 DEATHS, BURNED  FENCING, FEED, LIVESTOCK AND HOMES.  AND THE IMMEDIATE DANGER IS NOW BEING REPLACED BY THE LONGER TERM  STRESS OF FINDING FEED AND FENCING. FRIENDS AND FELLOW PRODUCERS FROM ACROSS THE COUNTRY ARE ALREADY  ASKING HOW THEY CAN HELP. OKLAHOMA EXTENSION IS COORDINATING RELIEF EFFORTS. IF YOU'RE INTERESTED FEEL FREE TO CALL ONE OF THE NUMBERS ON  THE SCREEN.  IF YOU ARE IN OKLAHOMA AND IN NEED OF HAY, OR IF YOU HAVE HAY TO DONATE, @OKSTATE_AG IS COORDINATING RELIEF EFFORTS. YOU MAY CALL:  405-496-9329 405-397-7912 405-590-0100NEW MEXICO, KANSAS AND TEXAS HAVE ALSO SEEN FIRES. DON'T FORGET THEM  EITHER.  LAST YEAR, WE WITNESSED ONE AND HALF MILLION ACRES GO UP IN FLAMES.  AMERICAN AGRICULTURE STEPPED IN AND HELPED TREMENDOUSLY. I HAVE NO  DOUBT WE'LL SEE A SIMILAR OUTPOURING OF SUPPORT. IN THESE UNCERTAIN  ECONOMIC TIMES ONE THING AMERICAN AG CAN COUNT ON -- IS EACH OTHER. 

CLOSE
THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. WE'RE GLAD YOU TUNED IN.  FOR MIKE HOFFMAN, AND ALL OF HERE AT AGDAY. I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. HAVE A GREAT...BUT SAFE DAY IN FARM COUNTRY. 

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