AgDay Daily Recap - August 24, 2018

August 24, 2018 02:57 AM
 
AgDay

TODAY ON AGDAY
AUGUST 24, 2018


HEADLINES
CROP TOUR CONTINUES.... PLUS, "THIS IS TRAGIC. MOLLY'S DEATH IS TRAGIC."...SEEKING ANSWERS IN A BACKGROUND CHECK THAT SEEMINGLY FAILED. IN AGRIBUSINESS...CORN PRICE POTENTIAL. AND FINDING THE BALANCE BETWEEN MOISTURE AND COMBINE EFFICIENCY. AGDAY - BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE CHEVY SILVERADO, THE MOST DEPENDABLE, LONGEST-LASTING FULL  SIZE PICKUPS ON THE ROAD. 

PROFARMER FINAL NUMBERS
GOOD MORNING I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. IN JUST A FEW SHORT HOURS, PRO FARMER WILL BE ROLLING OUT IT'S  EXPECTATIONS FOR THE NATION'S CORN AND SOYBEAN CROPS. AFTER FOUR DAYS, SEVEN STATES AND THOUSANDS OF MILES, THE PRO FARMER  MIDWEST CROP HAS WRAPPED UP ITS 26TH TOUR OF FARM COUNTRY. SCOUTS PULLING THOUSANDS OF SAMPLES FROM FIELDS ACROSS THE CORN  BELT HOPING TO JUDGE THE SIZE OF THE 2018 CROP. THOSE FINAL RESULTS COME OUT AT 1:30 CENTRAL TIME...JUST AFTER THE  MARKETS CLOSE FOR THE WEEK.  WE'LL HAVE FULL COVERAGE OF THE FINAL REPORT ON AGWEB DOT. 

WESTERN LEG UPDATE
MEANWHILE STATE REPORTS CONTINUE TO ROLL IN. WEDNESDAY NIGHT, IT WAS ILLINOIS WHERE USDA HAS PEGGED A HUGE CROP  FOR 2018...207 BUSHELS TO THE ACRE FOR CORN...64 BUSHELS PER ACRE ON  SOYBEANS. THIS WEEK, SCOUTS FINDING 192 BUSHELS TO THE ACRE IN ILLINOIS--12 BUSHELS  BETTER THAN LAST SEASON BUT WELL BELOW USDA'S AUGUST FORECAST. ILLINOIS SOYBEANS--ALSO MUCH BETTER THAN A YEAR AGO--- 1328 IN A 3 BY 3  FOOT SQUARE. 8 PERCENT BETTER THAN A YEAR AGO- ON THURSDAY THE EASTERN LEG MADE IT'S WAY THROUGH EASTERN AND  NORTHERN IOWA. AND AS TYNE MORGAN FOUND OUT, ONCE AGAIN, THE RESULTS ARE MIXED. CLINTON, 30 PERCENT OF IOWA IS CONSUMED BY DROUGHT, A MILD IMPROVEMENT FROM LAST WEEK. THE DRYNESS IS PARKED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE STATE. AND IT'S DRYNESS LEADING TO A CROP POSTING YIELDS ALL OVER THE BOARD. IT'S CORN CARRYING VARIABILITY THIS YEAR.  FROM SOLID EAR COUNTS "PLANT HEALTH IN HERE IS VERY GOOD"  TO HEALTHY PLANTS, SOME IOWA FIELDS ARE TURNING OUT IMPRESSIVE YIELDS.  "THE YIELD CALCULATED AT 232.2 BUSHELS PER ACRE. THAT'S A GOOD FIELD, HEAVY EAR POPULATION, GOOD GRAIN LENGTH AD THE PLANT HEALTH YOU CAN TELL IN THERE IS GOOD" WHILE OTHER FIELDS…  "NOT SUPER GERTHY, BUT DEEP KENERNELS"  ARE SHOWING SUB 200 BUSHEL PER ACRE YIELDS.  "185.5 IS THE YIELD" A YIELD UNDER USDA'S CURENT STATE PROJECTION OF 202 BUSHELS PER ACRE… THE SAME AS LAST YEAR.   "I DON'T THINK WE'RE GOING TO NECESSARILY SEE CONSISTENCY BECAUSE OF THOSE ZONES WE HAVE. THE SOUTH BEING TOO DRY AND TOO HOT DURING PARTS OF THE GROWING SEASON. NORTHEAST IOWA, VERY GOOD, PRISTINE ROWING CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE GROWING SEASON  BUT IT'S SOME IOWA FIELDS SHOWING MORE COMPARED TO WHAT SCOUTS FOUND IN ILLINOIS. AND NOW THERE'S SOME TALK THAT IOWA COULD OUT YIELD ILLINOIS THIS YEAR.   "USDA SAID NO IN AUGUST. WE HAVE TO FIND SOME REALLY GOOD STUFF AND I KNOW LIVING IN IOWA, THERE ARE AREAS THAT ARE VERY VERY GOOD, THERE ARE AREAS THAT HAVE STRUGGLED WITH DRYNESS IN THE SOUTH, THEN THERE ARE AREAS THAT HAVE STRUGGLED WITH TOO MUCH MOISTURE IN THE NORTHWEST" FOR LOCAL FARMER LANCE SCHIELE IT'S A GOOD CROP…  "THE EAR COUNTS FOR ME, ARE PROBABLY 1,000 LESS THAN LAST YAER.  BUT NOT A RECORD CROP THIS YEAR.  

"THIS CORN CROP IS EXCELLENT. I DON'T THINK IT'S QUITE AS GOOD AS LAST YEAR BUT TIME WILL TELL" HE SAYS HARVEST ON HIGH MOISTURE CORN FOR FEED COULD START NEXT WEEK… ONLY THE SECOND TIME IN HIS CAREER THE COMBINE HAS HIT THE FIELD IN AUGUST.  "IT SEEMS LIKE IF WE MATURE THIS YEAR, I ON' TKNOW IF WE CAN HAVE THE YIELDS WE HAD THE PAST TWO YEARS BECAUSE WE HAD SUCH A COOL AUGUST" BUT FOR IOWA SOYBEANS… WOW.. THAT'S QUITE A FEW PODS ON THESE PLANTS HERE"  IT'S THE OPPOSITE STORY…  "THESE ARE PRETTY HEAVILY PODDED SOYBEANS. " WITH LATE SEASON RAINS SAVING THE SOYBEANS.  "THE PODS ARE ALREADY STARTING TO PLUMP UP. MANY OF THESE ARE 3 BEAN PODS.  A STORY THAT'S PLAYING OUT IN FIELDS ACROSS THE CORN BELT THIS YEAR.   GRETE SAYS THE ENVIRONMENT IS RIPE FOR THE SOYBEANS TO FINISH STRONG..  "THE FACTORS ARE THERE FOR THE FACTORY TO BUILD AND GOOD SOLID SOYBEANS RIGHT NOW " CLINTON, IOWA FARMERS FACED ADVERSITY THIS YEAR WHEN IT CAME TO MOTHER NATURE. AND WHILE SCOUTS ARE IMPRESSED WITH THE CROP, IT'S HOW THE VARIABILITY PLAYS INTO THE FINAL YIELD ESTIMATE THAT SCOUTS ARE EAGER TO SEE. REPORTING FROM EASTERN IOWA, I'M TYNE MORGAN. THANKS TYNE. 

EASTERN LEG UPDATE
SINCE THE TOUR SPENT THURSDAY IN IOWA WE DON'T YET HAVE A FINAL COUNT  FOR IOWA BUT SCOUTS REPORTING MIXED RESULTS TO THE SOUTH AND WEST. BETSY JIBBEN IS ON THE WESTERN LEG OF THE TOUR...THAT TOOK SCOUTS  THROUGH PARTS OF MINNESOTA IN ROUTE TO A FINAL DESTINATION IN ROCHESTER. BETSY. MINNESOTA FARMERS ARE SUMMING UP THEIR GROWING SEASON IN A MATTER  OF WORDS.. NOT GOOD, NOT WHERE I LIVE.  THE CORN IS JUST TERRIBLE IN SOME PLACES.   BOTH FARMERS SAYING WET CONDITIONS BEGAN DURING PLANTING AND DIDN'T STOP. "WE HAD OVER 18 INCHES OF RAIN IN JUNE. WE HAVE POT HOLES AND REPLANTS HERE AND THERE. " "A LOT OF PRE DIDN'T GET DOWN, HERBICIDES DIDN'T GET DOWN, THEN WHEN WE GOT INTO SIDE DRESS  TIME, THERE WERE A LOT OF GUYS WHO WERE GOING TO SIDE-DRESS, ME INCLUDED, WE HAD A THREE DAY WINDOW THERE AND THAT SHUT DOWN ON US.  IN FIELDS TO THE WEST, SCOUTS ARE FINDING SIMILAR ISSUES,  NITROGEN LOSS, EMERGENCE PROBLEMS AND DELAYED PLANTING. IF I CAN GET MY FINGER AND THUMB OVER THE TOP OF MY INDEX FINGER, I KIND OF FIGURE THE KERNEL SIZE IS AVERAGE TO SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE.  "SCOUTS ON OUR ROUTE SEEING SIGNS THE CROP WAS PLANTED LATE, SOME  CORN WE FOUND LOOKS VERY IMMATURE WHILE OTHER EARS ARE JUST  STARTING TO DENT." THESE FIELDS ARE PROBABLY THE MOST IMMATURE FIELDS I'VE SEEN IN SOUTH DAKOTA, NEBRASKA SO  FAR AND IOWA OF COURSE 08 THAT'S JUST A TESTAMENT THEY HAD SO MANY PLANTING PROBLEMS EARLY  ON DURING THE SEASON.  USDA PUT THE MINNESOTA CORN YIELD AT 191 BUSHELS PER ACRE IN ITS  AUGUST REPORT, HIGHER THAN THE DEPARTMENT'S NATIONAL ESTIMATE OF 178.  FIELDS ARE NORMALLY GOING TO BE PRODUCING 220, 230, 240 BUSHELS. OUR HIGH IS 200 OUR LOW IS  93 BUSHELS IN THESE THREE FIELDS. THAT'S A BIG RANGE IN A GOOD PRODUCING AREA. WILSON SAYS BEANS ARE A DIFFERENT STORY. "THEY RANGE FROM 800 TO 1200. NOT GREAT, BUT GOOD. STILL HAS PLENTY OF MOISTURE TO FILL THOSE  PODS WITH SOME PRETTY GOOD SIZED BEANS." HE SAYS THAT CROP IS SHOWING MORE PROMISE. SO THEY STILL MIGHT BE ABLE TO HARVEST GOOD BEANS, BUT NOT ANYWHERE NEAR WHERE THEY WERE  LAST YEAR. ASPIRATIONS TO FINISH OUT STRONG, TO MOVE BOTH CROPS ALONG TO  MATURITY. REPORTING IN MINNESOTA, I'M BETSY JIBBEN. 

CROP COMMENTS
SOIL MOISTURE IN THE SEVEN CROP TOUR STATES IS MOSTLY ADEQUATE. BUT  THERE ARE SOME DRY SPOTS. ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN IOWA. MIKE HOFFMAN  HAS THE DETAILS IN CROP COMMENTS. GOOD MORNING CLINTON. THE CROP TOUR SCOUTS TRAVELED THROUGH IOWA THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS WHERE THE LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR MAP SHOWS INCREASING DROUGHT IN  THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE. THE COMBINED CATEGORIES OF D-2 AND D-3 DRIED-UP EVEN MORE FROM LAST  WEEK. NEARLY TEN PERCENT IS NOW IN SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT.  BUT MOST OF THE STATE HAS ABUNDANT MOISTURE. AND TAKE A LOOK AT THE WINDSPEED FORECAST GOING TO BE FAIRLY WINDY WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM  MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS EVEN THIS MORNING HEADING INTO THE AFTERNOON. THAT WIND WILL CONTINUE AS WELL AS PICKING UP FROM MONTANA DOWN INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. AND WE CONTINUE TO SEE A FAIRLY WINDY SITUATION TOMORROW FROM THE  LOWER AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES ALL THE WAY DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS  PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND THE WEST ALSO TURNING WINDY IN THE AFTERNOON. WE'LL TALK  MORE ABOUT YOUR FORECAST COMING UP BUT FIRST HERE ARE SOME HOMETOWN TEMPS.  

MOLLIE TIBBETTS
THERE'S NEW INFORMATION THIS MORNING ABOUT POSSIBLE FAILURES IN A  SCREENING PROCESS THAT ALLOWS FARMERS TO CONDUCT BACKGROUND  CHECKS ON MIGRANT WORKERS. ATTENTION ON THE PROBLEM HAS BEEN HEIGHTENED WITH THE DEATH OF IOWA  COLLEGE STUDENT MOLLY TIBBETTS, MIGRANT FARM WORKER CRISTHIAN RIVERA IS CHARGED WITH THE DEATH OF  TIBBETTS. FOR THE PAST FOUR YEARS, RIVERA WORKED FOR YARRABEE DAIRY  IN BROOKLYN, IOWA. FARM MANAGER DANE LANG SAYS RIVERA PRESENTED AN OUT-OF-STATE  GOVERNMENT-ISSUED PHOTO IDENTIFICATION AND A MATCHING SOCIAL  SECURITY CARD WHEN HE WAS HIRED IN 2014. "WE RAN THAT INFORMATION THROUGH THE VERIFICATION SERVICE AND THE INFORMATION CAME BACK VERIFIED. THAT MEANS THAT THE EXACT NAME BIRTHDAY AND EXACT SOCIAL SECURITY NUMBER WERE  ALL CROSS-REFERENCED. WHAT WE LEARNED IN THE LAST 24 HOURS IS THAT OUR EMPLOYEE WAS NOT WHO  HE SAID HE WAS,"THOSE COMMENTS MADE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LANG SAYS THE FARM DID NOT USE THE E-VERIFY SYSTEM AS PREVIOUSLY  STATED, HE SAYS A STAFFER MISTAKENLY THOUGHT THEY WERE THE SAME SYSTEMS. BOTH E-VERIFY AND THE SOCIAL SECURITY ADMINISTRATION'S PROGRAM - IMMIGRATION EXPERTS SAY - CAN BE BEATEN WITH A STATE I-D AND A SOCIAL  SECURITY NUMBER BELONGING TO SOMEONE ELSE. A SPOKESMAN FOR U.S. CITIZENSHIP AND IMMIGRATION SERVICES SAID  WEDNESDAY THAT A SEARCH OF THE AGENCY'S RECORDS FOUND NOTHING INDICATING THAT CRISTHIAN RIVERA HAS ANY "LAWFUL" IMMIGRATION STATUS. 

TEASE
WHEN WE COME BACK, THE MARKET POTENTIAL FOR CORN GIVEN THE  EXPECTED SIZE OF THE CROP. AND LATER ON FARM JOURNAL COLLEGE TV, MAXIMIZING COMBINE EFFICIENCY AT  HARVEST. 

AGRIBUSINESS
CORN MARKETS HAVE BEEN FEELING THE WEIGHT OF PRODUCTION AND TRADE  TALKS. BUT IS THERE STILL POTENTIAL FOR PRICES TO GO HIGHER?TYNE MORGAN ASKS THE QUESTION FROM THE ROAD IN TODAY'S ANALYSIS. HERE NOW WITH BILL BIEDERMAN OF ALLENDALE BILL YOU KNOW YOU LOOK AT USDA'S CURRENT  ESTIMATE OF THIS CORN CROP THEY THINK WE HAVE A RECORD CORN CROP ON OUR HANDS. BUT AT THIS  POINT IN TIME YOU KNOW A LOT OF PEOPLE ARE STILL DEBATING THAT NATIONAL CORN YIELD TIME. YOU  KNOW A MONTH AGO I WAS RIGHT AT 180 AND I WANTED TO USE 180 SO I WOULD KNOW WHAT THE DOWNSIDE MARKET RISK WAS. BUT I THINK IT'S GOING TO BE BELOW WHAT THEY JUST PUT OUT. I MEAN  I'M AFRAID OF THE TEST WEIGHTS THAT'S I'M JUST HEARING THAT IN SO MANY STATES RIGHT BECAUSE THIS  LAST ESTIMATE THAT THEY DID WAS BASED ON AIR COUNTS NOT TEST WEIGHTS RIGHT. THEY USED THE  STANDARD TEST WEIGHT. AND YOU KNOW I MEAN THERE'S GOING TO BE SOME GOOD CORN THROUGHOUT THE CENTRAL PART OF THE MIDWEST BUT WHEN YOU GO TO THE SOUTH TO THE NORTH IT'S THERE'S A WHOLE  BAND THERE THAT'S THAT'S ROUGH. SO BILL WHAT IF WE DID PUT IN THE BIGGEST YIELD ESTIMATE NOW.  WHAT IF WE DID PUT THAT IN IN THE AUGUST REPORT. DOES THAT SET THE STAGE FOR MUCH HIGHER CORN  PRICES TO COME. DO YOU THINK WE MAY BE PRICED IN THE WORST OF IT. I THINK HIGHER. I DON'T KNOW  ABOUT THE MUCH HIGHER UNLESS CERTAIN THINGS HAPPEN. LIKE WHAT. WELL MIKE WE WE GET A SIMPLE ROTATION. NEXT YEAR WE DON'T GET A PILE OF ACRES OR YOU KNOW WE GET TRADE DEALS WITH  WITH MEXICO AND CHINA AND CHINA ESPECIALLY IN THE CHINA ONE. IF THEY DO THE ETHANOL DEAL  BECAUSE THE ETHANOL DEAL WE WILL PARTICIPATE IN THAT IN A BIG WAY. SO WHAT ELSE HAS TO HAPPEN  SHORT TERM. I MEAN WHEN YOU LOOK AT PRICES WHAT NEEDS TO HAPPEN TO AT LEAST GET REALLY ABOVE THAT 420 MARK WHEN IT COMES TO FARMERS GOT TO GET THIS CROP PUT AWAY. THAT'S THE  BOTTOM LINE BECAUSE ONCE THEY PUT IT AWAY THEY'RE NOT GOING TO GET IT. THEY'RE NOT GOING TO  GET IT OUT OF THE BIN UNTIL THEY HIT GET TO THAT 420 LEVEL THERE'S A GAP ON THE CHART TO IT FOR 10.  SO I THINK WE'RE GOING TO I THINK WE'RE GOING TO END UP THERE. I FEEL VERY CONFIDENT THAT YOU DO.  SO WHAT ABOUT PRODUCERS RIGHT NOW THAT ARE FEELING THE HEAT GETTING READY TO HARVEST. YEAH IT'S TOUGH FOR THOSE THAT HAVE STILL HAVE SOME INVENTORY TO MOVE OUT. PERSONALLY IF I WAS THEM  I'D BE REPLACING IT ON THE BOARD. I THINK THAT'S JUST IT'S JUST CHEAP. IT JUST IS IT'S JUST CHEAP CHEAP  CHEAP COMMODITY AND THEN I JUST HANG ON. I THINK THERE'S GOOD PROSPECTS GOING INTO THE WINTER. ALL RIGHT HANG ON. BILL BITTERMAN THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR JOINING US. WE APPRECIATE IT.  WE NEED TO TAKE A QUICK BREAK HERE ON AKTAY AND THEN WE'LL HAVE A CHECK OF WEATHER. 

WEATHER
WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY HERE WITH METEOROLOGIST MIKE HOFFMAN LOOKING AT THE DROUGHT  MONITOR MIKING YOU CAN SEE THERE ARE SPOTS WHERE IT'S STILL PRETTY SERIOUS. I KNOW WHEN YOU  LOOK AT IT FROM MISSOURI DOWN INTO TEXAS THERE'S SPECKLED. IT REALLY JUST DEPENDS ON WHETHER THUNDERSTORMS HAPPEN TO HAVE HIT YOUR AREA OVER THE PAST MONTH OR SO BUT IT HAS TO BE  FRUSTRATING IF YOU'RE SITTING THERE IN THE EXTREME OR EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT AREA AND ONE OR TWO  COUNTIES OVER. IT'S NOT AT ALL LIKE THAT JUST BECAUSE THEY HAPPEN TO HAVE SOME RAIN. WE DO NOTICE NORTHERN MICHIGAN GET A LITTLE DRIER OR WE'RE STARTING TO SEE A LITTLE BIT MORE IN THE  DAKOTAS. OREGON CONTINUES TO DRY OFF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AS WELL BUT LET'S GO BACK A MONTH  AND SEE FOUR WEEKS AGO WE WERE ALREADY SEEING THESE SAME GENERAL AREAS BUT LIKE I SAID WE'VE PICKED UP A LITTLE BIT OF EXTRA DROUGHT NORTHERN GREAT LAKES INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS  OVER THE PAST FOUR WEEKS YOU CAN SEE AS WE GO THROUGH TIME WE STARTED TO GET A LITTLE DRIER IN  PARTS OF TEXAS. THEN IT IMPROVED A LITTLE BIT OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS. BUT STILL THERE ARE  SOME AREAS IN EXTREME EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT IN THAT AREA. BUT THE BIG BULL'S EYE CONTINUES TO BE THE FOUR CORNER REGION AS YOU CAN SEE THERE. HERE'S THE WEATHER MAP AS WE START THE DAY  TODAY WE HAVE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN WESTERN SOUTHWESTERN CANADA. AND YOU CAN SEE  A WARM FRONT TO THE EAST AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THAT WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND  STORMS AND IT WILL HAVE A LITTLE BIT OF ROTATION WITH THAT CAN CAUSE SOME ACTIVITY EVEN INTO THE  WARM SECTOR AS YOU'LL SEE ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THERE'S LATER TODAY SOME AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE  WESTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY SPOTTY STUFF IN THE SOUTHWEST. HEADING INTO TOMORROW MORNING YOU  CAN SEE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS INTO WISCONSIN AND ALSO MICHIGAN OHIO VALLEY THAT  WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH THIS IS PRETTY WARM HUMID AIR HERE. SO YOU'VE SEEN SEEN A LITTLE BIT A  LITTLE BIT LESS HEAT AND HUMIDITY RECENTLY BUT THAT'S GOING TO BE CHANGING PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES NORTHERN PLAINS AND THE MISSOURI VALLEY AS YOU CAN SEE ADDING IN THE NEXT 36  HOURS THAT WHOLE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO COME EAST. WE'LL HAVE SOME AREAS IN FLORIDA AND  THE SOUTHWEST AS WELL HEAT FROM KANSAS SOUTHWARD AND THAT PLEASANT AIR IS GOING TO START TO  GO AWAY. BUT IT'S STILL VERY COMFORTABLE. GREAT LAKES IN THE NORTHEAST NORTHERN PLAINS ON THROUGH TONIGHT. AND YOU CAN SEE THAT HEAT WILL START TO BUILD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS WE  HEAD THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THERE'S THE JET STREAM. YOU CAN SEE THE SYSTEM CANNOT  GO UNDERWAY THERE THE RIDGE TRIES TO COME INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND THE NORTHEAST AS WE HEAD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. AND THEN WE KIND OF GO ZONAL AS YOU CAN SEE AS WE HEAD TOWARD  THE END OF NEXT WEEK. THAT'S A LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY. NOW LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT SOME LOCAL  FORECASTS AND OKON OF ATTAH. FIRST OF ALL LOTS OF SUNSHINE AND HOT HIGH OF 89 DEGREES KANSAS  CITY MISSOURI HOT AND HUMID THUNDERSTORM IN SPOTS HIGH OF 94 AND PORTLAND MAINE  COMFORTABLE WITH LOTS OF SUNSHINE THE AFTERNOON HIGH AROUND 78 DEGREES.

TEASE
WE'RE TALKING HARVEST AND GRAIN MOISTURE FOR MAXIMIZING FIELD WORK  NEXT ON FARM JOURNAL COLLEGE TV. AND LATER, FARMERS AND RANCHERS GO MAINSTREAM--AS COMMERCIAL  CHARACTERS. MY THOUGHTS IN FARM SENSE.  

FARM JOURNAL COLLEGE TV
IN JUST A FEW WEEKS COMBINES WILL BE ROLLING ACROSS THE COUNTRY. AND AS WE LEARN IN TODAY'S CORN COLLEGE TV SEGMENT, THERE'S NO TIME  LIKE THE PRESENT TO START MAKING PREPARATIONS.  WHEN WE GET TO HARVEST I WANT TO MAKE SURE YOU'RE ONE YOU'RE PREPARED YOU'RE READY. BUT  THERE'S A LOT OF THINGS DURING HARVEST THAT WE REALLY SHOULD BE PAYING ATTENTION TO INCLUDING ALL  THE MOVING PARTS THAT ARE GOING ON AROUND US BUT. REALLY THE TIMING OF WHEN WE START HARVEST A LOT OF THAT'S DRIVEN BY MOISTURE RIGHT. YEAH. IF YOU LOOK BACK AT UNIVERSITY STUDIES OVER TIME  THEY WOULD SAY THAT THE OPTIMUM TIME FOR HARVEST AS FAR AS PERCENT MOISTURE THE CORN IS 25  PERCENT. OK. SO 25 PERCENT CORN WOULD BE IDEAL. OBVIOUSLY YOU CAN'T HARVEST ALL YOUR CORN AT  THAT MOISTURE. BUT ACCORDING TO STUDIES THAT IS WHAT'S OPTIMUM. FOR YIELDS AS AS A CORN GETS DRIER. THEY'VE ACTUALLY SEEN THE YIELDS COME DOWN. OK BUT WHAT ABOUT MOISTURE WHILE WE'RE  HARVESTING BECAUSE A LOT OF TIMES WE'LL RUN THROUGH THE NIGHT. WE CAN START HITTING HEAVY DEW'S DOES THAT MAKE A DIFFERENCE OR NOT SHOULD WE STOP AT SOME POINT. SOMETIMES WE  HAVE TO BECAUSE IF THE FODDER GETS REALLY WET YOU KNOW IF YOU GET A HEAVY ENOUGH NEW THERE  IT'S ALMOST LIKE GETTING A MIST OF A RAIN OR A LIGHT RAIN. WE CAN SEE WHERE OUR ACTUAL LOSSES  REALLY START TO GO UP. SO THAT IS IMPORTANT TO PAY ATTENTION TO. YOU KNOW SOME OPERATIONS ARE  VERY LARGE AND REALLY HAVE TO HARVEST THROUGH THE NIGHT BUT THEY SHOULD BE PAYING ATTENTION TO LOSSES IF YOUR LOSSES ARE GOING UP. YOU PROBABLY NEED TO STOP OR MAKE SOME GOOD  ADJUSTMENTS ON THE COMBINE. OKAY. AND SPEAKING OF THE COMBINE WHAT KIND OF ADJUSTMENTS  DO WE NEED TO BE MAKING ON THAT AS FAR AS YOU KNOW REALLY CALIBRATING EVERYTHING AND  MAKING SURE IT'S WORKING THE WAY IT NEEDS TO BE WHILE WE WANT TO DEFINITELY KEEP IN MIND  PAYING ATTENTION TO HETER LOSS AND LOSS OUT THE BACK OF THE CAR. OKAY. AND BRAD I'LL TALK ABOUT  THAT AND MAKING THOSE ACTUAL ADJUSTMENTS THERE TO REDUCE AS MUCH OF THAT LOSS AS WE CAN BY  MAKING THE PROPER ADJUSTMENTS ON. 

TEASE
WHEN WE COME BACK, THE CHARACTERIZATION OF AMERICAN AGRICULTURE. 

IN THE COUNTRY
WITH LESS THAN TWO PERCENT OF THE POPULATION IN AGRICULTURE, I'VE  NOTICED IN RECENT YEARS THE CONCEPT OF BEING A FARMER OR RANCHER  SEEMS TO HAVE A CERTAIN AMOUNT OF NOSTALGIA WITH IT. IT'S A STRANGE AND FOREIGN CONCEPT FOR THE MAINSTREAM'S CONCRETE AND  SUBURBAN JUNGLE. WHICH MAY BE WHY AG IS FINDING ITS WAY INTO TELEVISION COMMERCIALS ON A  SEMI-REGULAR BASIS. FROM THIS RECENT PORTRAYAL OF COWBOYS DISCUSSING INSURANCE AROUND  THE CONCEPT OF MORE--PLAYING OFF THE IDEA OF BIG BUCKLES --AS IT GROWS TO INCLUDE THE RIDICULOUS...WHICH IS ALSO WHAT MAKES IT FUNNY.  TO THIS ONE--THAT SHOOTS FOR HEARTFELT OVER FUNNY  A FATHER AND SON--GRAPPLING WITH THE IDEA OF LEGACY, DISAPPOINTMENT  AND PRIDE. ITS AN IDEA THAT RINGS TRUE FOR MANY FARM FAMILIES, BUT HOW IT APPLY'S TO FOLKS IN TOWN--I GUESS HAS ME PUZZLED. OF COURSE THE DAD IS PORTRAYED AS TERSE, GRUFF AND UNWAVERING--UNTIL  THE FINAL MOMENTS OF REDEMPTION. I THINK IT SHOULD SERVE AS A REMINDER THAT WHILE, OUR PROFESSION IS  SACRED TO US, IT'S A COLORFUL MEMORY AND PROFESSIONAL SIDEBAR IN TODAY'S URBAN SOCIETY. WHAT DOES A FARMER OR RANCHER LOOK AND ACT LIKE?  IF THESE TWO EXAMPLES ARE ANY INDICATION, DON'T EXPECT THE OTHER 98 PERCENT TO ASK YOUR OPINION. ITS ALSO WHY, WHEN YOU GET THE CHANCE, IMPRESSIONS BEYOND THE FARM  GATE MATTER...MORE THAN EVER. 

CLOSE
THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. WE'RE GLAD YOU TUNED IN.  FOR ALL OF US AT AGDAY I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. HAVE A GREAT DAY. 

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