AgDay Daily Recap - August 28, 2018

August 28, 2018 02:57 AM
 
AgDay

TODAY ON AGDAY
AUGUST 28, 2018

HEADLINES

USDA RELEASING THE FINE DETAILS OF HOW MUCH FARMERS WILL GET PAID FOR  TRADE AID. "OUR FARMERS AND RANCHERS WORK HARD AND ARE THE MOST PRODUCTIVE IN THE WORLD. AND WE AIM  TO PROTECT THEM."THE U.S. AND MEXICO STRIKING AN 'UNDERSTANDING.'  WHAT DOES THAT MEAN  FOR CANADA? IN ANALYSIS- IS NOW A GOOD TIME TO INVEST IN YOUR FARM BUSINESS?  AND ALL EERIE COSTUMES ARE WELCOME IN THIS POLICE TRAINING FOR ITS HORSES.  AGDAY - BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE CHEVY SILVERADO, THE MOST DEPENDABLE, LONGEST-LASTING FULL  SIZE PICKUPS ON THE ROAD. 

USDA PAYMENT PLAN
GOOD MORNING I'M BETSY JIBBEN. CLINTON GRIFFITHS IS ON ASSIGNMENT AT  FARM PROGRESS SHOW IN BOONE, IOWA. WE HAVE TWO MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS THIS MORNING STEMMING FROM TRADE  ACTION. FIRST, USDA LAYS-OUT DETAILS OF ITS PLAN TO HELP FARMERS HURT BY TRADE TARIFFS. THIS PLAN - FIRST ANNOUNCED TWO WEEKS AGO - PROMISED 12- BILLION DOLLARS IN AID TO FARMERS. ALSO ON MONDAY, U-S AND MEXICO TRADE NEGOTIATORS COME TO TERMS ON A  NEW TRADE PACT - RE-DEFINING WHAT 'NAFTA' USED TO BE. WE BEGIN WITH TARIFF AID FOR FARMERS. USDA RELEASING NUMBERS OF HOW MUCH FARMERS MAY RECEIVE IN TARIFF AID  PER COMMODITY.  THE DEPARTMENT GIVING AN OUTLINE OF PAYMENTS PER COMMODITY.  SOYBEANS RECEIVING THE LARGEST PAYMENT OF ONE-DOLLAR-AND 65 CENTS PER BUSHEL. HOWEVER, THE PAYMENTS WILL BE CALCULATED BY THE PAYMENT AND   MULTIPLYING 50 PERCENT OF THE PRODUCER'S TOTAL 2018 ACTUAL PRODUCTION. USDA SAYING FARMERS NEED TO ESTABLISH THEY ARE MAKING UNDER A  CERTAIN AMOUNT AND THERE IS A PAYMENT LIMIT AS WELL. THAT PORTION WILL COVER ROUGHOLY 4-POINT-7 BILLION DOLLARS.  THE REST OF THE TOTAL 12 BILLION WILL BE DESPERSED THROUGH THE OTHER  TWO SILOS OF THE PLAN WITH USDA - THROUGH A DOMESTIC FOOD PROGRAM  AND TOWARDS DEVELOPING FOREIGN MARKETS.  "IT'S IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT ALL OF THIS COULD GO AWAY TOMORROW IF CHINA AND THE OTHER NATIONS WOULD SIMPLY CORRECT THEIR BEHAVIOR BUT IN THE MEAN TIME, THE PROGRAM WE ARE  ANNOUNCING TODAY WILL ADD TIME FOR THE PRESIDENT TO STRIKE LONG LASTING TRADE DEALS WHICH WILL  BENEFIT OUR ENTIRE ECONOMY." "I DON'T WANT A HANDOUT. I WANT FREE TRADE WHERE WE HAVE A MARKET THAT WORKS.  OBVIOUSLY, FARMERS ARE STRUGGLING RIGHT NOW. THERE'S A LOT OF TOUGH TIMES THERE. ANYTHING WOULD  HELP TO GET BY. OVERALL, I WOULD MUCH RATHER HAVE FREE TRADE. PLUS, IT GIVES US A BAD IMAGE TOO. PEOPLE IN TOWN SAY TO GO TO THE MAILBOX TO GET THAT CHECK TOO. WE WAN TOT PRODUCE IT AND  SELL AT A GOOD PRICE," WHEN WE ASKED DO YOU THINK FARMERS IN YOUR AREA WILL ACCEPT A CHECK  IF GIVEN A PAYMENT? HE SAID - YES, THEY'LL TAKE IT. WE'LL TAKE IT.  

MEXICO-U.S. TRADE
THE U-S AND MEXICO STRUCK A NEW TRADE "UNDERSTANDING"  - AND PRESIDENT TRUMP EXCLUDES NAFTA-PARTNER CANADA IN THE TITLE. THE PRESIDENT CALLS IT THE "UNITED STATES-MEXICO TRADE AGREEMENT" THE PRESIDENT SAYS THIS PRELIMINARY "UNDERSTANDING" COULD LEAD TO AN  OVERHAUL OF THE NORTH AMERICAN FREE TRADE AGREEMENT. MUCH OF THE AGREEMENT FOCUSES ON THE PROTECTION OF INTELLECTUAL  PROPERTY WHICH DID NOT EXIST IN THE 1994 NAFTA DEAL. CANADA, WHICH IS PART OF NAFTA, DID NOT PARTICIPATE IN THE  ANNOUNCEMENT. TRUMP SAYS NEGOTIATIONS WITH CANADA HAVE YET TO BEGIN AND IS CALLING ON THE COUNTRY TO NEGOTIATE FAIRLY.  MEXICO IS ONE OF THE LARGEST BUYERS OF AMERICAN MEAT AND GRAIN. MARKETS TOOK NOTE AFTER THE DEAL HAD BEEN ANNOUNCED. "WE WILL GET RID OF THE NAME NAFTA.  HAS A BAD CONNOTATION BECAUSE THE UNITED STATES  WAS HURT VERY BADLY BY NAFTA FOR MANY YEARS.  NOW IT IS A REALLY GOOD DEAL FOR BOTH  COUNTRIES AND WE LOOK VERY MUCH FORWARD TO IT."MEXICAN PRESIDENT ENRIQUE PENA KNEE-ET-O NIETO SAYS HE HOPES CANADA  WILL SOON BE INCORPORATED INTO THIS NEW AGREEMENT. BUT PRESIDENT TRUMP WAS NON-COMMITAL, SAYING "WE COULD HAVE A  SEPARATE DEAL OR WE COULD PUT IT INTO THIS DEAL." IN JUNE, MEXICO IMPOSED TARIFFS ON U.S PORK AND OTHER AG PRODUCTS IN  RETALIATION FOR AMERICAN TAXES ON STEEL AND ALUMINUM. THOSE TARFFIS  CONTRIBUTED TO TUMBLING HOG PRICES,  "I DO AGREE WITH THE NEGOTIATION T ACTICS THAT HAVE BEEN DONE. I HATE TO SAY IT BUT THE FACT IS  EVERYONE HAS TO EAT. IT HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE. IT IS DISHEARTENING FOR THE FARMERS? YES, BUT THE FARMER IS THE ETERNAL OPTIMIST. T HERE'S ALWAYS SUNSHINE SOMEWHERE."MOVING FORWARD - THE U-S TRADE REPRESENTATIVE INTENDS TO SEND A  FORMAL LETTER TO CONGRESS ON THE NEW DEAL. ROBERT LIGHTHIZER BELIEVES IT HAS CONGRESSIONAL AUTHORITY TO MOVE  AHEAD WITH ITS CURRENT PLAN AS A TWO-WAY DEAL. BUT SOME TRADE EXPERTS ARE LESS CERTAIN. MICKEY KANTOR - WHO SERVED  AS TRADE REPRESENTATIVE WHEN NAFTA WAS FIRST ENACTED SAYS THE  ADMINSTRATION WILL HAVE TO GO BACK TO CONGRESS TO RATIFY A BILATERAL AGREEMENT WITH MEXICO. 

SOYBEAN YIELD
FARMERS, ANALYSTS AND AGRIBUSINESS OWNERS SEEING A VERY LARGE  SOYBEAN CROP ON THE PRO FARMER MIDWEST CROP TOUR.  PRO FARMER RELEASING ITS NUMBER ON FRIDAY - WITH SOYBEAN ESTIMATES OF 4-POINT- 6 - 8 BILLION BUSHELS WITH AN AVERAGE YIELD OF 53 BUSHELS PER  ACRE.  BOTH NUMBERS ARE HIGHER THAN USDA'S AUGUST 10 REPORT. THE DEPARTMENT HAS SOYBEAN PRODUCT AT 4-POINT - 5 - 9 WITH AN EXPECTED  YIELD OF 51-POINT- 6 BUSHELS PER ACRE.  SCOUTS TELLING AGDAY THEY'RE WORRIED A LARGE BEAN CROP WILL BRING DOWN PRICE ESPECIALLY IF MORE TRADE DEALS AREN'T SORTED OUT SOON.  "MY CONCERN IS THIS PRICE OF BEANS, IF IT'S GOING TO GO DOWN MORE BECAUSE WITH WHAT BRAZIL IS RIGHT NOW, THEY'RE BEING ABLE TO PRICE THEIR BEANS AT A HIGHER PRICE AND I BELIEVE  THEY'RE SELLING THEM." "I THINK WE'VE GOT REALLY GOOD WEATHER HERE FOR THIS FALL, OTHER THAN THE FROST, NO ONE HAS SAID THAT WORD YET THIS YEAR, BUT OTHER THAN A FROST, THAT'S THE ONLY THING THAT CAN SLOW DOWN  THESE BEANS.  I JUST SEE THEM GOING DOWN IN PRICE,""BRAZIL IS STILL GOING TO GET THEIR FAIR SHARE OF BUSINESS. I'M WORRIED WE ARE GOING TO ADD  ANOTHER 200 TO 250 MILLION BUSHELS BACK ONTO THE SOYBEAN BALANCE SHEET. IF YOU HAVE THE  YIELD THE USDA IS LOOKING AT CURRENTLY OR HIGHER, THERE IS A DISTINCT ROADMAP TO A BILLION BUSHEL  CARRYOVER IN SOYBEANS OR ABOVE."SPEAKING OF NEW NUMBERS,  THE PRO FARMER MIDWEST CROP TOUR WRAPPED UP LATE LAST WEEK.  PRO FARMER ADJUSTING SOME OF ITS ESTIMATES FROM WHAT SCOUTS FOUND  IN THE FIELD WITH SAMPLES.  THE SOUTH DAKOTA CORN YIELD ESTIMATE IS ONE NUMBER PRO FARMER  ADJUSTED IN ITS FINAL SYNOPSIS FROM 178 TO 171 BUSHELS PER ACRE. PART OF THE CHANGE  IS DUE TO AREAS OF THE STATE UNDER SEVERE  DROUGHT PRO FARMER DID NOT SAMPLE.  "WE YIELD TESTED IT IN SEVERAL FIELDS ABOUT 2 WEEKS AGO. THERE WAS SOME PLACES WHERE IT WAS  187 BUSHEL. AND THEN I COULD GO PLACES WHERE THERE ARE NO EARS.SWANHORST SAYS FEDERAL CROP ADJUSTERS STARTED TO COME OUT TO HIS  AREA TO SEE ZEROED OUT SOYBEANS.  USDA RELEASING UPDATED CROP PROGRESS NUMBERS FOR THE WEEK. MONDAY'S CROP PROGRESS REPORT MATCHES WHAT PRO FARMER CROP  SCOUTS SAW LAST WEEK - AN ADVANCED CORN CROP. THIS WEEK TEN PERCENT IS MATURE - DOUBLE THE FIVE YEAR AVERAGE. 61-PERCENT IS DENTED - 19 P;OINTS AHEAD OF AVERAGE. ILLINOIS IS 27 POINTS AHEAD. 68-PERCENT OF CORN IS STILL GOOD-TO EXCELLENT. AND THE SOYBEAN CROP IS STARTING TO DROP LEAVES. SEVEN PERCENT  COMPARED TO FOUR PERCENT.   95-PERCENT IS SETTING PODS. AND THE CONDITION RATING ACTUALLY TICKED ONE POINT HIGHER FROM LAST  WEEK WITH 66-PERCENT GOOD TO EXCELLENT. 

CROP COMMENTS
WE'RE ANALYZING THE MINNESOTA CROP THIS MORNING FOR CROP COMMENTS.  HERE'S MIKE. GOOD MORNING, BETSY.  KEITH ALLEN IN GOODHUE, MINNESOTA SAYING THE CORN CROP LOOKS GREAT IN  HIS AREA - HE EVEN HAS A PICTURE TO PROVE IT!  THIS IS BECAUSE SCOUTS ON THE PRO FARMER MIDWEST CROP TOUR SAW A  WIDE RANGE OF CORN YIELDS, SOME FIELDS IN SOUTHERN MINNESOTA WERE  PLANTED VERY LATE AND HAVE A LONG WAY TO GO BEFORE HARVEST.  AND YOU CAN SEE THE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE MINNESOTA CROP IN THIS PICTURE FROM ANDREW WOLFF WHOSE FARM BORDERS MARTIN COUNTY,  MINNESOTA. HE SAYS ALL OF HIS CORN WAS PLANTED IN LATE MAY. THE CORN IS  NOT MATURE AND SOME 15 INCH ROW BEANS IN THE AREA HAVE 6 PODS ON  AVERAGE. HERE'S A LOOK AT THE WIND SPEED FORECASTING KIND OF WINDY TO START TODAY FROM THE GREAT  LAKES ALL THE WAY DOWN INTO WESTERN TEXAS. WE'LL SEE THAT WIND CONTINUE IN THOSE SAME  AREAS AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND PICK UP IN PARTS OF THE FOUR CORNER REGION LOOKS  LIKE TOMORROW MORNING STARTS A LITTLE BIT LESS WINDY ONLY BREEZY IN SPOTS. AND IF IT DOES BECOME BREEZIER AGAIN IN THE EASTERN LAKES AND PARTS OF THE WEST WE'LL HAVE YOUR FORECAST  COMING UP AT FIRST HERE SOME HOMETOWN. TEMPS.  

TEASE
STILL TO COME ON AGDAY - WITH UNCERTAINTY IN GRAIN MARKETS IS NOW A  GOOD TIME TO INVEST IN THE FARM?  WE'LL TAKE A CLOSER LOOK IN ANALYSIS. AND LATER - IT'S NOT HALLOWEEN SO WHY DO WE SEE DINOSAUR COSTUMES ON  DISPLAY? DETAILS AS WE HEAD IN THE COUNTRY. 

FLOOR OF THE CME
IN AGRIBUSINESS - MARKET'S REACTED TO A NEW TRADE DEAL WITH MEXICO.  LET'S HEAD TO THE CME FOR DETAILS. CATTLE JUMPS THAT NAFTA BREAKTHROUGH LIFTED THE FUTURES AND REALLY GAVE IT A BIG BOOST. KIND OF UNEXPECTEDLY THE MARKET ACTUALLY SHRUGGED OFF THAT BEARISH CATTLE ON FEED REPORT YESTERDAY AND THE TARIFF RELIEF IS REALLY WHAT WE'RE LOOKING AT RIGHT NOW. ALSO THE FEEDERS RALLY THAT LONG TERM BULLISH MOMENTUM IS REALLY POSSIBLE NOW AND WE CAN SEE IT AS EVERYONE'S JUMPING BACK INTO THE MARKET WHEN THEY HAVE SOME IDEA THAT THERE IS GOING TO BE AN END TO THIS TEAR OF TALK TO THE PROBLEMS WITH NAFTA AND THAT'S IT THIS COULD POSSIBLY BE JUST THE BEGINNING EVEN THOUGH THE TARIFFS ARE STILL IN PLACE WITH CHINA. JUST THE IDEA THAT THERE'S GOING TO BE SOME RELIEF AHEAD JUST GAVE THE MARKET A BIG BOOST. NOW INTERESTINGLY ENOUGH THE HOGS WERE ALL WERE LIMIT UP TODAY AND THEY WERE THE ONES THAT REALLY HAD BEEN TAKING IT ON THE CHIN THE WHOLE TIME. ALSO WHAT'S HAPPENED WITH THE NAFTA TALKS HAS LEFT CANADA A LITTLE BIT ON ICE RIGHT NOW. SO AS THEY COME BACK IN. THAT SHOULD DEFINITELY BENEFIT THIS MARKET AGAIN AND IT HAS BEEN OVERSOLD FOR A LONG TIME. AND ON THE HOG COMPLEX IS WHAT I'M TALKING ABOUT MOSTLY. THAT'S ALL FROM THE FLOOR OF THE. CME GROUP HERE IN CHICAGO AND VIRGINIA MCGATHEY. ​

AGRIBUSINESS
WITH A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY IN GRAIN MARKETS - AND THE AG-ECONOMY IN  GENERAL - IS NOW A GOOD TIME TO INVEST IN YOUR OWN BUSINESS? TYNE  MORGAN TAKES A CLOSER LOOK IN THIS MORNING'S ANALYSIS. HERE NOW WITH CHRIS NARAYANAN AND CHRIS WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE MARKET TODAY AND FOR PRODUCER LET'S SAY IS READY TO INVEST LOOKING TO INVEST SOMEWHERE. WHAT IS THE BEST AVENUE  TO DO THAT AT THIS POINT. WELL I DON'T KNOW THERE'S ANY BEST WAY I THINK EVERYBODY'S GOING TO BE  A LITTLE BIT DIFFERENT. SOME CASES IT MIGHT BE BUY MORE LAND OR RENTING MORE LAND TO PUT IN  PRODUCTION MAYBE DIVERSIFY THEIR OPERATIONS AND MIGHT BE INVESTING SOME OF THE NEW TECHNOLOGY BUT YOU DON'T DO THAT IF YOU CAN SEE WHAT THE PAYBACK IS GOING TO BE AND HOW  THAT'S GOING TO INCREASE REVENUES DECREASE YOUR COSTS HOPEFULLY BOTH. AND KIND OF PLANNING IT  ALL HOUSING WHERE YOUR OPERATION IS TODAY AS YOU ADD WHATEVER IT IS THAT YOU'RE GOING TO ADD.  WHERE IS IT GOING TO TAKE YOU IN MAKING SURE THAT THAT ASHLEY HAS ADDED VALUE TO IT. RATHER TAKE IT AWAY. WHEN YOU LOOK AT LAND AS AN INVESTMENT. I MEAN IS IT STILL A GOOD IDEA TO INVEST  OR ARE THERE CERTAIN AREAS OF THE COUNTRY WHERE IT'S NOT A GOOD IDEA TO INVEST ALL THAT RIGHT  NOW. WELL I MEAN THERE'S I MEAN THERE'S GOING TO BE PLACES THAT ARE YOU KNOW RIPE FOR  INVESTMENT FOR SURE ON LAND BUT LAND ISN'T THE ONLY THING. LIKE I SAID THE TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFYING YOUR OPERATIONS MAYBE EVEN DOING JOINT VENTURES YOU KNOW THERE'S NO ONE SIZE  FITS ALL AND I THINK THAT'S THE PROBLEM THAT MOST PEOPLE GET INTO. WHAT WE CAN'T DO IT HERE I  MEAN I'VE GOT YOU KNOW I'VE COVERED IT AND I TALKED TO QUITE A BIT THERE AND AT COMPANY AND YOU KNOW THEY WERE TRADITIONALLY ROW CROP BUT NOW THEY'VE INVESTED THE BERRIES BASE RIGHT.  AND BECAUSE THEY FOUND SOME OPPORTUNITIES THERE TO DIVERSIFY IT'S COMPLETELY UNCORRELATED  WITH WHAT THEY'RE DOING TODAY. SO I THINK WHEN YOU LOOK AT DIFFERENT OPPORTUNITIES LIKE THAT  YOU'VE GOT TO KIND OF WEIGH THE COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS ON THAT AND OF COURSE YOU KNOW IT SEEMS LIKE WE'VE SEEN MORE OPERATIONS THAT WERE REALLY DIVERSE LIKE IN THE 80S AND 90S KIND  OF JUST FOCUS ON ONE OR TWO THINGS. DO YOU THINK WE'RE GETTING BACK TO THE POINT NOW WHERE WE'RE GOING TO SEE MORE OPERATIONS DIVERSIFY MAYBE NOT IN THE WAY THAT WE TRADITIONALLY  SEEN. I THINK SO. I THINK I MEAN THERE'S THIS WAVE OF CONSOLIDATION YOU KNOW YOU HAVE LARGER  AND LARGER FARMERS NOW THAT ARE OUT THERE AND THEY'RE ABLE TO HAVE THE SKILL TO BE ABLE TO DIVERSIFY BUT IN SOME CASES THAT CONSOLIDATION HELPED TO KIND OF KEEP THEM WHERE THEY'RE AT.  THAT GOOD POINT. ALL RIGHT CHRIS THANK YOU SO MUCH. I APPRECIATE IT. STAY WITH US. WE NEED TO  TAKE A QUICK BREAK AND THEN WE'LL HAVE MUCH MORE HERE ON AGDAY. ADVICE, INFORMATION, IDEAS AND MORE. IF IT'S AG TECH, IT'S IN THE TECH TOOLSHED, YOUR  UNBIASED, ONE-STOP SOURCE FOR EVERYTHING AG TECH. 

WEATHER
WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY HERE WITH METEOROLOGIST MIKE HOFFMAN. MIKE IT LOOKS LIKE THE CORN  BELT MIGHT GET SOME RAIN. YEAH I'LL START IN A WESTERN CORN BELT AS THIS WHOLE FRONT SAGS  SOUTHWARD THAT'LL START TO KIND OF SPREAD EASTWARD SOUTH OF THAT SYSTEM NO BIG DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE KEEPING THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY IN THE MOST OF THE CORN BELT AS WELL AS THE  SOUTHEAST. AND AS WE HEAD THROUGH TIME WE WILL SEE THAT SUPPRESSED A LITTLE BIT FARTHER TO THE  SOUTH SO LET'S PUT THE MAPS INTO MOTION A COUPLE OF AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THAT  FRONTAL SYSTEM. THERE'LL BE SOME DECENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS AS WE SEE THIS FRONT MOVE SOUTHWARD FROM THE NORTHERN GREAT  LAKES ALL THE WAY DOWN INTO THE KANSAS CITY AREA. OUR COMPUTER MODELS SHOWING SOME  PRETTY GOOD THUNDERSTORMS BY THIS EVENING AND THAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF MISSOURI EASTERN KANSAS THOSE ARE AREAS THAT NEED THE RAIN. NO DOUBT ABOUT THAT AND WE'LL SEE  SCATTERED ACTIVITY FARTHER TO THE NORTHEAST AS WE HEAD INTO TOMORROW MORNING AND IN THROUGH  THE DAY TOMORROW THE ACTIVITY OVER MISSOURI WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD INTO OKLAHOMA PARTS OF TEXAS ARKANSAS AND A STRIP ALONG THAT COLD FRONT THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY INTO THE  EASTERN GREAT LAKES. HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND IT IS SLIGHTLY COOLER AND A LOT LESS HUMID THAN THE  AIR IN FRONT OF THAT. ANOTHER SYSTEM COMING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE  SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK. THERE IS A PRECIPITATION ESTIMATE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS SOME  PRETTY HEAVY AMOUNTS IN SOME AREAS ESPECIALLY PARTS OF MINNESOTA AND NORTHERN WISCONSIN NORTHERN MICHIGAN ADDING IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. YOU CAN SEE WHERE OUR COMPUTER MODEL  PUTS DOWN SOME HEAVY AMOUNTS THAT WOULD BE NICE. YOU FOLKS HAVE BEEN GETTING MISSED A  LOT OF TIMES IN NORTHERN MISSOURI BUT THAT WOULD SURE BE NICE. I'M SURE YOU COULD USE SOME OF  THAT ALTHOUGH MIGHT BE TOO LITTLE TOO LATE AND A LOT OF SITUATIONS BUT YOU NEUS NEED IT FOR THE  FUTURE DROP MONITORS BECAUSE IN THE FUTURE WE'LL NEED SOME OF THAT MOISTURE YOU CAN SEE SOME HIT AND MISS ACTIVITY ALONG THE GULF COAST AS WELL. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON VERY  HOT SOUTH OF THAT FRONT LOTS OF 90S HEAT INDEX VALUES INTO THE LOW 100 DEGREE READINGS IN  PLACES BUT A LOT COOLER BEHIND IT THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ONLY IN THE 60S ACROSS THE  NORTHERN PLAINS LOWS DOWN INTO THE UPPER 40S LOWER 50S TOMORROW MORNING BEHIND THE FRONT STILL MUGGY THOUGH IN THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES SOUTHWARD AND WE'LL SEE THAT SLIGHTLY COOLER  AIR SLOWLY PRESSING SOUTHWARD AS WE HEAD THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THERE IS A JET  STREAMING SEE THE RIDGE OVER THE EAST KIND OF GETS KNOCKED DOWN A LITTLE BIT BY THAT WEAK TROUGH COMING THROUGH. WE KIND OF LOOK AT A ZONAL FLOW SITUATION AS WE HEAD THROUGH MUCH  OF THIS WEEK THROUGH LABOR DAY. BUT THE REDS KIND OF TRIES TO HOLD GREAT LAKES IN THE  NORTHEAST AS WE HEAD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THAT'S A LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY. NOW LET'S TAKE  A LOOK AT SOME LOCAL FORECASTS THEY HAD TO BOISE IDAHO. FIRST OF ALL MOSTLY SUNNY AND COMFORTABLE TODAY HIGH OF 77 TEXARKANA TEXAS PARTLY SUNNY. HOT AND HUMID HIGH OF 93. AND  FINALLY BAY CITY MICHIGAN PARTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL BE A THUNDERSTORM IN SOME AREAS HIGHER AROUND 87.

TEASE
STILL TO COME - THE MAKERS OF <TOE-FURK-EE>  TOFURKY WANT THEIR DAY IN  COURT TO ARGUE THAT IT'S "MEAT. AND THE RIGORS OF POLICE-HORSE TRAINING CAN INCLUDE COSTUMES. CREEPY  COSTUMES. DETAILS WHEN WE HEAD IN THE COUNTRY. 

DAIRY REPORT
WHILE THE U-S AND MEXICO REACHED A NEW DEAL IN TRADE BETWEEN THE TWO  COUNTRIES, CANADA REMAINED ON THE SIDELINES. ONE OF THE STICKING POINTS BETWEEN THE U-S AND CANADA IS CANADA'S  SUPPLY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM WHICH PROTECTS ITS DAIRY FARMERS. IT'S A SYSTEM OF PRODUCTION QUOTAS AND IMPORT TARIFFS. THERE'S ALSO A MAJOR DIVIDE IN THE WAY DISPUTES ARE RESOLVED UNDER  NAFTA.. MANY AG GROUPS WELCOMED THE NEWS ABOUT THE MEXICO DEAL - BUT THEY  ALSO URGE THE ADMINISTRATION TO FINISH A DEAL WITH CANADA. THE NATIONAL CORN GROWERS ASSOCIATION SAID IN A STATEMENT - "THE TRILATERAL RELATIONSHIP IS IMPORTANT, AND WE URGE PRESIDENT TRUMP TO  RECONSIDER TERMINATING THE UNDERLYING AGREEMENT UNTIL FULL  TRILATERAL NEGOTIATIONS HAVE BEEN CONCLUDED AND A NEW AGREEMENT IS  SECURED." NCGA SAYS PREMATURELY TERMINATING THE EXISTING AGREEMENT WOULD ONLY UNDERMINE POTENTIAL FOR ECONOMIC CERTAINTY. IN THE BATTLE OVER WHAT SHOULD BE DEFINED AS "MEAT" - VEGETARIAN FOOD- MAKER "TOFURKY"  <TOE-FURK-EE>  FILED A LAWSUIT MONDAY IN MISSOURI  ATTEMPTING TO DEFEND ITS RIGHT TO CALL ITS PRODUCTS "SAUSAGE" AND "HOT DOGS,". THE COMPANY SAYS AS LONG AS THE PACKAGING MAKES CLEAR WHAT THE  INGREDIENTS ARE, IT HAS EVERY RIGHT TO USE MEAT TERMINOLOGY IN ITS PACKAGING. A MISSOURI STATE LAW IS SET TO GO INTO EFFECT TODAY THAT BARS  COMPANIES FROM "MISREPRESENTING" PRODUCTS AS MEAT IF THEY'RE NOT  FROM "HARVESTED LIVESTOCK OR POULTRY". THE MISSOURI CATTLEMEN'S ASSOCIATION - WHICH SUPPORTED THE STATUTE - SAYS ITS CONCERN IS NOT WITH PRODUCTS LIKE <TOE-FURK-EE> TOFURKY THAT  MAKE CLEAR THEY'RE FROM PLANTS.   THE GROUP IS MORE CONCERNED ABOUT  THE EMERGING PRODUCTS OF MEAT GROWN BY CULTURING ANIMAL CELLS IN A LAB, AND WHETHER THEY'LL DISCLOSE HOW THEY WERE MADE ONCE THEY'RE  ON THE MARKET. 

TEASE
UP NEXT - AREN'T YOU AMAZED TO SEE HOW WELL BEHAVED MOUNTED POLICE  HORSES BEHAVE IN A CROWD? YOU MIGHT NOT BELIEVE SOME OF THEIR TRAINING THEY UNDERGO. DETAILS  JUST AHEAD. 

IN THE COUNTRY
IN THE COUNTRY - SPONSORED BE THE ALL-NEW KUBOTA SIDEKICK. A UTILITY VEHICLE THAT LETS YOU CLIMB MORE, COVER MORE, TOW MORE AND ENJOY MORE. VISIT KUBOTAUSA.COM.  KANSAS CITY POLICE ARE GOING "OLD" SCHOOL TO TRAIN THEIR HORSES. AND  WHEN WE SAY "OLD", I MEAN DINOSAUR AGE! YES, THEY'RE PUTTING A LITTLE TY-RANN-O-SAURUS INTO THEIR TRANING. OUTRAGEOUS COSTUMES AND LARGE INFLATABLES ARE PART OF THE TRAINING  FOR KANSAS CITY POLICE HORSES. POLICE OFFICERS WANT THE HORSES COMFORTABLE IN ANY SITUATION SO THEY  DON'T SPOOK WHILE ON THE BEAT. DURING A RECENT TRAINING SESSION, SOMEONE IN A DINOSAUR COSTUME RAN  IN FRONT OF THE HORSES. THE HORSES BACKED UP BUT DIDN'T BOLT. THAT'S  WHAT POLICE WANT. "YOU'VE GOT TO KNOW THAT THAT HORSE IS UNDER YOU, AND HE'S GOING TO BE CONFIDENT, AND NOT  FREAK OUT SOMEBODY GOT AN UMBRELLA OR WAVING SOMETHING IN THE AIR OR WHATEVER. YOU'VE GOT  TO KNOW THAT HE'S SOLID, YOU KNOW BEFORE YOU EVER PUT HIM INTO THAT KIND OF SITUATION."POLICE ARE SEEKING DONATIONS OF MORE COSTUMERS AND INFLATABLES, THE STRANGER THE BETTER. 

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