AgDay Daily Recap - May 9, 2018

May 9, 2018 02:57 AM
 
AgDay

TODAY ON AGDAY
MAY 9. 2018

HEADLINES

A WHITE HOUSE MEETS AGAIN ON THE RFS-- THE INDUSTRY REACTS. ON THE I 80 PLANTING TOUR. "I'M BETSY JIBBEN . SOME FARMERS IN EASTERN IOWA ARE DONE WITH PLANT 2018. WE'LL TELL YOU  MORE ABOUT THEM AND THEIR LOCATIONS AHEAD IN THE SHOW." "AS SOON AS THAT GROUND WARMED UP, THE RUBBER MET THE ROAD AND WE WERE ROCKIN AND ROLLIN." IN AGRIBUSINES ...THE SOYBEAN COMPLEX IS MOVING MARKETS. AND GRADUATING A NEW CLASS FOR TODAYS CAREERS IN AGRICULTURE. AGDAY - BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE CHEVY SILVERADO, THE MOST DEPENDABLE, LONGEST-LASTING FULL  SIZE PICKUPS ON THE ROAD. 

RFS
GOOD MORNING I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. THE PRESIDENT TAKES ACTION ON THE CONFLICT BETWEEN RENEWABLE FUELS  ADVOCATES AND OIL REFINERY SUPPORTERS. PRESIDENT TRUMP HOLDING A SEVENTH MEETING TUESDAY AT THE WHITE  HOUSE WITH ADVOCATES ON BOTH SIDES OF THE AISLE, INCLUDING SENATORS CHUCK GRASSLEY AND TED CRUZ.  ALSO IN  THE ROOM, AG SECRETARY SONNY PERDUE AND EPA ADMINISTRATOR  SCOTT PRUITT. DETAILS ARE THIN BUT EARLY INDICATIONS INDICATE THE PRESIDENT DECIDED  AGAINST A CAP ON RIN PRICES AND SHOWING SUPPORT FOR YEAR ROUND E15. SENATOR CRUZ STATING THERE WAS ALSO DISCUSSIONS ABOUT ALLOWING RINS ON EXPORTS OF ETHANOL AND OTHER BIOFUELS. EARLY REPORTS SAY PURDUE AND PRUITT NOW HAVE THE TASK OF WORKING OUT THE DETAILS.  TWITTER ERUPTED ON THE NEWS FOLLOWING THE MEETING. TEXAS SENATOR TED CRUZ TWEETING THE RINS FOR ALL EXPORTS IS A WIN - WIN  FOR EVERYONE. MORE CORN WILL BE SOLD AND LOWER RINS. SCOTT IRWIN WITH THE UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS SAYS RINS FOR ETHANOL  EXPORTS MAKES ABSOLUTELY NO SENSE. CALLING IT DIRECTLY CONTRARY TO  THE ORIGINAL INTENT FOR THE RFS...TO FORCE DOMESTIC BLENDING. ENERGY MARKET EXPERT PETE MEIER TWEETING THIS IS A MOVE TO LET THE  ETHANOL MARKET WORK. H HE BELIEVES ITS GOOD FOR PRODUCTION IN THE LONG RUN. TERRIFIC FINAL DECISION FROM @POTUS MEETING:  E15, YEAR-ROUND PLUS RINS FOR ALL EXPORTS.  THIS IS A WIN-WIN FOR EVERYONE. MORE CORN WILL BE SOLD (GOOD FOR FARMERS), PLUS LOWER RINS (SAVES BLUE-COLLAR REFINERY JOBS), PLUS MORE ETHANOL EXPORTS (GOOD FOR AMERICA). IF TRUE, THE RINS FOR ETHANOL EXPORTS MAKES ABSOLUTELY NO SENSE.  THIS IS DIRECTLY CONTRARY TO THE NORTH STAR OF THE ORIGINAL CONGRESSIONAL INTENT FOR THE RFS.  THAT IS, RFS IS A TECHNOLOGY  FORCING DOMESTIC BLEND MANDATE.  SO, RINS FOR EXPORTED ETHANOL CANNOT GENERATE A  RIN. THIS IS A MOVE TO LET THE ETHANOL MARKET WORK, BOTH DOMESTICALLY AND GLOBALLY. STOP WORRYING  ABOUT THE EPA AND FINALLY SPEND ALL THAT MONEY IN DEVELOPING EXPORT MARKETS EVEN FURTHER.  GOOD FOR PRODUCTION IN THE LONG RUN. MARKET IS MATURE ENOUGH AT THIS POINT TO STAND ON ITS  OWN."THE FARMER IS ONLY GOING TO WIN IF THE ETHANOL BUSINESS SPENDS MORE TIME AND MORE MONEY  WORKING ON GLOBAL OUTLETS FOR US ETHANOL, THAN LOBBYING THE EPA TO TRY TO SHOVE 15 PERCENT OF  ETHANOL INTO A 10 PERCENT TANK. AND I THINK THAT'S WHAT'S REALLY GOING TO HAPPEN HERE."THE FARMER IS NOT GOING TO LOSE OUT IN THE LONG RUN. AS LONG AS THE ETHANOL BUSINESS KEEPS  THEIR EYE ON THE BALL AND THAT BALL AT THE MOMENT IS THE GLOBAL DEMAND FOR ETHANOL, NOT JUST DOMESTIC DEMAND FOR ETHANOL". GETTING E-15 TO MARKET IS GOING TO REQUIRE MORE WORK BOTH IN  WASHINGTON AND AT THE PUMP. THE EPA HAS BEEN LOOKING INTO WHETHER IT HAS THE AUTHORITY TO WAIVE  VAPOR RESTRICTIONS ALLOWING FOR YEAR ROUND SALES, OR IF THAT NEEDS  TO GO THE LEGISLATIVE ROUTE. "AS A MEMBER OF THE ADMINISTRATION I DON'T EVER MISS AN OPPORTUNITY TO SAY IF CONGRESS  WANTS TO ENACT SOMETHING THROUGH STATUTES, THEY HAVE A PROCESS AND A WAY TO DO THAT. BUT  WE UNDERSTAND THE EQUITIES THERE ARE JUST AS DIFFICULT AS THEY ARE IN TERMS OF THE GROUPS THAT  ARE COMING TO THE ADMINISTRATION AND ASKING FOR HELP."

FARM BILL
ALSO IN WASHINGTON, THE PUSH IS ON TO BRING THE HOUSE VERSION OF THE  FARM BILL TO A VOTE NEXT WEEK. WASHINGTON BASED PUBLICATION, AGRIPULSE REPORTING THAT SENATE AG  COMMITTEE CHAIRMAN PAT ROBERTS, HOUSE AG CHAIR MIKE CONAWAY ALONG  WITH AG SECRETARY SONNY PERDUE AND ECONOMIC ADVISOR LARRY KUDLOW WILL JOIN PRESIDENT TRUMP LATER TODAY TO DISCUSS THE NEW FARM BILL. THAT MEETING APPARENTLY REQUESTED BY THE PRESIDENT. 

U.S.-CHINA TRADE CONVERSATIONS
ALSO IN WASHINGTON, TRADE CONVERSATIONS BETWEEN THE U.S. AND CHINA  CONTINUE. THE CHINESE PRESIDENT'S TOP ECONOMIC AIDE IS SLATED TO BE IN WASHINGTON NEXT WEEK. PRESIDENT XI JINPING OF CHINA PLANNING TO SEND VICE PREMIER LIU HE, TO  WASHINGTON NEXT WEEK TO CONTINUE DISCUSSIONS OVER THE ONGOING TRADE DISPUTES WITH THE WHITE HOUSE. THE PENDING MEETING FOLLOWS TWO DAYS OF TALKS LAST WEEK. THOSE DISCUSSIONS RESULTING IN NO MAJOR BREAKTHROUGHS.  WHITE HOUSE PRESS SECRETARY SARAH SANDERS SAYING THIS WEEK THE  PRESIDENT HAS A GREAT RELATIONSHIP WITH PRESIDENT XI, AND QUOTE "WE'RE  WORKING ON SOMETHING THAT WE THINK WILL BE GREAT FOR EVERYBODY." ALSO ON TRADE, MEXICO CONTINUES PRESS FOR COMPLETED NAFTA  NEGOTIATION. TRADE OFFICIALS SAY THEY'RE WORKING ON A HOST OF MAJOR ISSUE SIMULTANEOUSLY. LINGERING ISSUES INCLUDE DISPUTE SETTLEMENT, LABOR, A SUNSET CLAUSE,  SEASONAL BARRIERS TO AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND CANADA'S DAIRY INDUSTRY. 

I-80 PLANTING TOUR
THE I-80 PLANTING TOUR - BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE ENLIST WEED CONTROL SYSTEM.  MORE WEED CONTROL.  LESS DRIFT AND VOLATILITY.  MAXIMUM YIELD POTENTIAL. OF THE FIVE STATES ON OUR I-80 PLANTING TOUR, ILLINOIS LEADS THE WAY WITH  ITS PLANTING PROGRESS AS THE STATE MADE HUGE GAINS 74-PERCENT OF CORN IS PLANTED IN ILLINOIS, UP 42-POINTS FROM THE  PREVIOUS WEEK. AND IT BLEW PAST THE FIVE YEAR AVERAGE. ABOUT A THIRD OF ILLINOIS SOYBEANS ARE PLANTED, A SIZEABLE JUMP FROM  THE LAST REPORT. INDIANA CORN IS 42-PERCENT PLANTED, UP 34 POINTS.  BEAN PLANTING  REACHED 23-PERCENT, UP 20. OHIO CORN JUMPED 22 POINTS IN A WEEK. SOYBEANS ARE STILL IN SINGLE  DIGITS. TO THE WEST, NEBRASKA CORN PLANTING JUMPING 25 POINTS IN A WEEK'S TIME. SOYBEANS CLIMBING TEN POINTS. AND IN IOWA, 40-PERCENT OF THE STATE'S CORN IS PLANTED. SOYBEAN  PLANTING IS IN THE TEENS. IOWA HAD A DECENT WEEK OF PLANTING, CORN CLIMBING 23 POINTS FROM THE  PREVIOUS WEEK.  BUT IT STILL LAGS THE FIVE YEAR AVERAGE. SOYBEAN PLANTING IS A POINT AHEAD OF THE FIVE YEAR AVERAGE. AS BETSY JIBBEN REPORTS FROM EASTERN IOWA, SOME FARMERS ARE HAVING A  NICE RUN, AND OTHERS HAVE ALREADY PUT THEIR PLANTERS AWAY. RAIN IS READY TO FALL IN WASHINGTON COUNTY, IOWA.  WHICH MEANS PLANTERS ARE MOVING AND FAST.  I'M GOING TO GO FIX FENCE AND TURN OUT COWS TO GRASS. MY BROTHER DAN, HE'S PLANTING CORN RIGHT NOW, KEEPING IT GOING. BUT THESE FARMERS SEEM TO BE OK WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A SMALL RAIN DELAY BOTH ON AND OFF  THE SOIL.  LIKE THE REST OF THE CORN BELT ITS BEEN A SLOW START TO SPRING, BUT ITS ALSO ONE OF THE ONLY  AREAS IN THE MIDWEST ON THE DROUGHT MONITOR.WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE DROUGHT MONITOR, THIS IS  ONE OF THE ONLY AREAS OF IOWA THAT'S COLORED. IS THE RAIN WELCOMED HERE THEN? BERDO: VERY VERY. THE GRASS IS VERY SHORT COMPARED TO LAST YEAR AND PAST YEARS, IT'S FAR BEHIND. 46 WE'VE HAD TO BUY HAY WITH EVERYONE ELSE OF COURSE. THAT WAS ONE WEEK AGO. A POCKET OF WASHINGTON COUNTY FACING TORNADO WARNINGS AND 1  TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN FELL THROUGHOUT THE AREA.  BERDO IS STILL PLANTING AND STILL THINKS THE AREA COULD USE MORE NICE, TIMELY RAINS. THE SAME MESSAGE ECHOED BY NEIGHBOR, JERRY VITTETOE.  TILE IS RUNNING GOOD. WE FEEL LIKE WE'RE IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE IF WE GET AN  INCH OF RAIN. HOWEVER,  VITTETOE ISN'T WORRIED ABOUT FINISHING UP. HE ALREADY DID.  HOW DOES IT FEEL TO BE ALL WRAPPED UP WITH PLANT 2018? IT  FEELS GREAT. WE'RE PRETTY TIRED AND NEED SOME TIME OFF.IN RECORD FASHION TOO. A SLOW START ENDING UP BEING NOTHING TO WORRY ABOUT. THIS IS PROBABLY THE EARLIEST WE'VE HAD BOTH CROPS IN 45  TAKE OUT UNTIL 50  CONDITIONS WERE IDEAL SO WE JUST KEPT PLANTING. 52> PLANTING PACE TURNED QUICKLY FOR THESE TWO FARMERS AS IDEAL CONDITIONS SLOWLY RETURN, THOSE WITH WORK LEFT TO DON'T MIND THE  DELAYS IF IT MEANS HOLDING DROUGHT AT BAY THIS GROWING SEASON.  REPORTING IN WASHINGTON, IOWA, I'M BETSY JIBBEN THANKS BETSY.  BOTH BERDO AND VIT-A-TOE PLANT HEAVY CORN FOR THEIR ROTATIONS.  LOSSES FROM THOSE WILDFIRES THAT SWEPT ACROSS WESTERN OKLHOMA TWO WEEKS AGO CONTINUE TO MOUNT. 

WILDFIRE UPDATE
OKLAHOMA STATE LIVESTOCK MARKETING SPECIALIST DERRELL PEEL PUTS  PRELIMINARY LOSSES AT MORE THAN 26 MILLION DOLLARS FOR OKLAHOMA  CATTLE OPERATIONS. THOSE LOSSES INCLUDE 16 MILLION DOLLARS FOR FENCE REPLACEMENT AND  REPAIR. SIX MILLION FOR BURNED FACILITIES AND CORRALS. ONE AND A HALF MILLION FOR EMERGENCY FEED. AND A SIMILAR AMOUNT FOR  LIVESTOCK KILLED BY THE FIRE, OR PUT-DOWN DUE TO INJURIES. I REALLY DON'T THINK WE'RE SEEING A LOT OF MARKET IMPACT CERTAINLY NOT FROM A CATTLE STANDPOINT THE NUMBERS EVEN THOUGH THERE ARE BIG NUMBERS FOR INDIVIDUALS THERE IN THE GRAND SCHEME  OF THINGS RELATIVELY SMALL NUMBERS OF LIVESTOCK IMPACTED THE HAY MARKETS A LITTLE BIT DIFFERENT  SITUATION. THERE IS A LOT OF DEMAND FOR HAY. SOME SUPPLIES ARE RELATIVELY TIGHT AT THIS POINT IN  THE YEAR. SO I THINK WE ARE SEEING SOME IMPACTS ON FORAGE MARKETS.PEEL'S ESTIMATES DO NOT INCLUDE LOSSES OF VEHICLES, EQUIPMENT OR  HOMES. PEEL ALSO REMINDS US THAT DROUGHT STILL EXISTS AND HAS EVEN EXPANDED.  AND THERE'S NO MOISTURE TO SPEAK OF. LAST WEEK THE DROUGHT MONITOR SHOWED NEARLY A QUARTER OF THE STATE  IN D-4 OR EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT - THAT'S THE MOST INTENSE LEVEL. THERECENT WILDFIRES IN OKLAHOMA ARE SPOTTED WITH POWERFUL STORIES  OF SURVIVAL AND SELFLESS GIVING FROM THE AG COMMUNITY. JOIN ME ON MY NEW PODCAST--FARM SENSE-- TO HEAR THE PERSONAL  EXPERIENCES AND IMPACTS FROM FOLKS IMPACTED BY THE FIRES. FARM SENSE IS AVAILABLE FOR DOWNLOAD ON ITUNES.   

CROP COMMENTS
METEORLOGIST MIKE HOFFMAN IS ALSO KEEPING A CLOSE EYE ON WEATHER  THIS PLANTING SEASON. HE JOINS US WITH TODAY'S CROP COMMENTS. GOOD MORNING CLINTON. WINTER WHEAT IS LOOKING GOOD IN RIDGLEY, TENNESSEE. "NASS" SAYS 67- PERCENT OF THE CROP IS IN THE HEADING STAGE. THAT'S ON PAR WITH THE FIVE YEAR AVERAGE. FARMERS IN THAT AREA TOLD US CORN AND SOYBEANS ARE ABOUT THREE  WEEKS BEHIND SCHEDULE. TWO-THIRDS OF THE CORN IS PLANTED.  NOW IN COLORADO 53-PERCENT OF WINTER WHEAT IS GOOD TO EXCELLENT. AND 55-PERCENT OF ALFALFA HAY IS RATED AS GOOD TO EXCELLENT. AND TAKING A LOOK AT THE WINDSPEED FORECAST WE'RE GOING TO SEE A FAIR AMOUNT OF IT THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY FROM TEXAS TO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. YOU CAN SEE THAT THIS  MORNING IT EXPANDS INTO THE REST OF THE GREAT LAKES CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI VALLEY  NORTHERN PLAINS GETTING KIND OF WINDY AND THEN AS WE HEAD INTO THE DAY TOMORROW SEVERAL POCKETS FROM THE GREAT LAKES BACK INTO THE HIGH PLAINS. AND AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE DAY IT  JUST GETS STRONGER IN MANY PLACES AS YOU CAN SEE RIGHT THERE. SO LOTS OF THE COUNTRY A LITTLE BIT  ON THE WINDY SIDE FOR TOMORROW I'LL HAVE YOUR FORECAST COMING UP BUT FIRST HERE ARE SOME  HOMETOWN TEMPS. 

TEASE
THE SOYBEAN MARKET IS MORE THAN JUST PLANTING PROGRESS. WE'LL TALK ABOUT IT WITH TED SEIFRED COMING UP. AND LATER, THIS NEW GRADUATE IS EXCITED ABOUT A CAREER IN THE DAIRY  BARN. THAT STORY FROM WISCONSIN, COMING UP ON IN THE COUNTRY. 

AGRIBUSINESS
TED SEIFRED ZANER AG HEDGE OUR GUEST HERE AT AGRIBUSINESS DESK TODAY TED AS WE KIND OF  LOOK AT THE SOYBEAN COMPLEX AND TRY TO SORT OUT BETWEEN OIL MEAL AND BEANS. WHAT ARE THE  KEYS THAT YOU'RE WATCHING HERE IS THIS WHOLE THING KIND OF MOVES FORWARD WHETHER THE SOYBEAN OIL HAS AN INTERESTING STORY DEVELOPING. OK. YOU LOOK AT WHAT EXPORTS HAVE BEEN.  LAST WEEK WE SAW A BIG EXPORT NUMBER MUCH BIGGER THAN WHAT THE TRADE WAS EXPECTING OVER  44000 METRIC TONS. AND THEN ON TOP OF THAT SAME DAY ON THURSDAY WE SAW AN ADDITIONAL SALE OF 30000 METRIC TONS TO PERU. THE INTERESTING SOYBEAN OIL HAS BEEN UNDER A TREMENDOUS  AMOUNT OF PRESSURE. WE'RE LOOKING AT SOME RATHER LOW PRICES COMPARED TO MEAL AND BEANS  AND REALLY BEEN LOSING OUT ON THE OIL SHARE. BUT I DON'T KNOW IF THERE'S A GOOD REASON FOR THAT.  WHILE THE CRUSH HAS BEEN VERY VERY STRONG THE SOYBEAN OIL YIELD HAS BEEN HISTORICALLY LOW OR YOU KNOW ON THE LOW END OF THINGS REALLY ALL YEAR. I MEAN WE'RE NOT JUST NOT SEEING GOOD OIL  FIELD OFF OF LAST YEAR'S BEAN CROP. SO WHILE SOYBEAN OIL STOCKS ARE FAIRLY LARGE THE STOCKS  USAGE RATIO DOESN'T NECESSARILY I'D SAY JUSTIFY THE PRICES THAT WE'RE AT. SO AT SOME POINT HERE  YOU MIGHT START TO SEE A BIT OF A SOYBEAN OIL RALLY. I THINK GLOBAL USERS ARE STARTING TO SEE THAT  A LITTLE BIT NOW THAT KIND OF TIES INTO SORT OF THE CRUSH AND CRUSH MARGINS AND YOU WONDER IF WE  MIGHT SEE SOME PRESSURE ON SOYBEAN MEAL AT THE SAME TIME THAT MIGHT ALLOW SOYBEAN OIL TO COME UP. AND I'M WONDERING IF YOU KNOW WE MIGHT HAVE GOTTEN TOO WORRIED ABOUT WHAT'S  HAPPENING IN ARGENTINA AND WHETHER THEY'RE GOING TO BE ABLE TO CRUSH AS MANY SOYBEANS AS  WHAT THEY WERE ORIGINALLY PLANNING ON AND PROVIDE THAT MEAL FOR THE WORLD BECAUSE THEIR MAIN EXPORT ARE SO. RIGHT. SO WITH RECORD CRUSH HERE DOMESTICALLY ALSO BRAZIL ARGENTINA  LOOKS LIKE THEY'RE GOING TO DO WHAT THEY DO. WE MIGHT BE OVERSUPPLYING THE MARKET WITH MIEL  SO YOU MIGHT HAVE TO COME DOWN THAT MIGHT ALLOW SOYBEAN OIL TO COME UP IN SOYBEANS I THINK WE'LL FOLLOW MULE A BIT LOWER. OKAY. SO YOU'RE LOOKING FOR KIND OF A LITTLE BIT OF A CHANGE  OF DYNAMICS HERE OVER THE NEXT SORT OF BALANCING OF THE OIL SHARE AND A REBALANCING OF  CRUSHED MARGINS. ALL RIGHT APPRECIATE IT. THANK YOU. WE'LL BE BACK WITH MORE AGDAY IN JUST A  MINUTE.

WEATHER
WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY HERE WITH. METEOROLOGIST MIKE HOFFMAN HERE LOOKING AT THE ROOT  ZONE MOISTURE MAP AND MIKE IF YOU LOOK AT THIS MAP YOU CAN SEE IN THAT FIRST THREE FEET OF  SOIL HOW DRY IT'S GETTING IN PARTS OF THE MIDWEST. I KNOW AND I KIND OF THOUGHT THAT WOULD  IMPROVE A LITTLE MORE WITH THE RAIN THAT WE HAD LAST WEEK BUT IT REALLY DIDN'T. PARTS OF ILLINOIS  MISSOURI STILL VERY DRY. AND YOU CAN SEE THE NORTHEASTERN PLAINS WESTERN GREAT LAKES TURNING A LITTLE BIT DRIER AS WELL NOW. THE DROUGHT AREAS DON'T LOOK AS DRY BUT THE TOPSOIL IS STILL IT'S  TYPICALLY DRY. SO THIS IS JUST DRY EARLIER THAN IT NORMALLY IS SO ROOT ZONE MOISTURE IS STRAIGHT  FROM SPACE WE GET THAT INFORMATION FROM NASA. AND IT IS A DIRECT RESULT OF HOW MUCH DRYER  YOU ARE THAN NORMAL OR WETTER THAN NORMAL. LIKE YOU CAN SEE THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY EASTERN OHIO VALLEY PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES. ALL RIGHT LET'S CHECK OUT THE WEATHER MAP  TODAY. WE DO HAVE SOME AREAS OF RAIN MOST OF THIS EAST COAST STORM IS GOING TO STAY  OFFSHORE BUT WE DO HAVE SOME AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS IN THE UPPER MIDWEST UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ALSO IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FOR THAT NEXT SYSTEM KIND OF COMING IN.  YOU CAN SEE AS WE HEAD THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON THE FIRST SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE WESTERN  GREAT LAKES DOWN INTO THE BOOT HEEL OF MISSOURI WITH SOME SHOWERS. SECONDARY COLD FRONT  WON'T HAVE A LOT OF MOISTURE TO WORK WITH BUT IT COULD TOUCH OFF A SHOWER HERE AND THERE HEADING THROUGH TOMORROW THEN WE'LL START OFF IN THE MORNING WITH SOME SHOWERS IN THE  EASTERN GREAT LAKES EASTERN OHIO VALLEY. THE EASTERN SYSTEM MAY EVENTUALLY KIND OF TOUCH  THE FAR NORTHEAST AS IT COMES UPWARD TOWARD THE EASTERN CANADIAN AREA. AND THEN YOU CAN SEE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS MONTANA INTO THE DAKOTAS AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE DAY  TOMORROW. NONE OF THIS IS REAL HEAVY. BUT YOU KNOW AFTERNOON POCKETS CAN GET SOME DECENT SHOWERS OUT OF THAT. AND YOU CAN SEE THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN  ALABAMA AND NORTHERN GEORGIA ALL THE WAY UP THE FRONT INTO THE NORTHEAST TOMORROW AFTERNOON PRECIPITATION ESTIMATE PAST 24 HOURS. YOU CAN SEE THE HIT AND MISS AREAS MAINLY  THE NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL ADD IN THE NEXT 36. YOU'LL NOTICE NO WIDESPREAD HEAVY  RAIN EXPECTED. BUT YOU CAN GET A HALF INCH TO AN INCH IN SOME OF THESE SHOWERS OR  THUNDERSHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS THE MIDWEST INTO THE EAST HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON PRETTY MILD FOR A CHANGE ALL ACROSS THE COUNTRY. THERE ARE SOME COOL AREAS ESPECIALLY THE  PACIFIC NORTHWEST LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT DOWN TOWARD 40 THOUGH AS YOU GET TO THE  CANADIAN BORDER BUT MOST OF THE CORN BELT GOING TO BE IN THE 50S AND 60S TONIGHT AND THE HEAT CONTINUES IN THE SOUTH TOMORROW A LITTLE BIT ON THE CHILLY SIDE THOUGH IN THE FAR NORTHERN  PLAINS AS YOU CAN SEE THERE. THE JET STREAM SHOWS SOME WEAK TROUGHS KIND OF MOVING  THROUGH THE UPPER GREAT LAKES INTO THE NORTHEAST AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AND THEN WE CAN GO ZONE ALL WITH A LITTLE BIT OF A CUT OFF IN THE SOUTHWEST. NOW THAT COULD BE SOME  GOOD NEWS FOR THOSE DRY AREAS. BUT BOY WE JUST HAVEN'T BEEN GETTING A LOT OF MOISTURE OUT OF  THAT LATELY. THAT'S A LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY. NOW LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT SOME LOCAL FORECASTS.  FIRST OF ALL CARLSBAD NEW MEXICO SUNNY AND QUITE HOT TODAY. HIGH NEAR 100 DEGREES. CLAIRE WISCONSIN CLOUDY WITH AN OCCASIONAL SHOWER. HIGH AROUND 68. AND FINALLY FLORENCE SOUTH  CAROLINA WARM LOTS OF SUNSHINE HIGH 85.

TEASE
STILL TO COME FROM THE PACKER - CAN A REVISED NAFTA HELP THE U-S  BLUEBERRY INDUSTRY? PLUS IT'S GRADUATION SEASON. FIND OUT WHICH FIELDS OFFERS A LOT OF HOPE FOR JOB SEEKERS RIGHT OUT OF COLLEGE. 

PACKER TV
IN NEWS FROM THE PACKER - SUPPLIES OF FRESH APPLES IN THE U-S ARE  HIGHER THAN A YEAR AGO. BUT DESPITE THAT ABUNDANCE, PRICES ARE  HOLDING STRONG ON SEVERAL VARIETIES. THE U-S APPLE ASSOCIATION SAYS FRESH APPLE INVENTORIES ON MAY 1  TOTALED 46-AND-A-HALF MILLION CARTONS, THAT'S 20% HIGHER THAN A YEAR AGO. WHEN YOU ADD IN APPLES FOR PROCESSING, THE TOTAL NUMBER OF APPLES IN  STORAGE IS ABOUT 66 MILLION CARTONS. RED DELICIOUS MAKES UP THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE OF THE APPLE  INVENTORY. ALSO FROM THE PACKER - TRADE GROUPS REPRESENTING BLUEBERRY  GROWERS IN FLORIDA AND GEORGIA ARE ASKING THAT "SEASONAL TRADE  PROTECTION" PROVISIONS BE INCLUDED IN NAFTA-TWO-POINT-OH. GROWERS SAY BIG IMPORTS FROM MEXICO HAVE THREATENED THE ECONOMIC  VIABILITY OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA BLUEBERRY PRODUCERS. ACCORDING TO A JOINT LETTER FROM THE BLUEBERRY GROWERS  ASSOCIATIONS, MEXICO HAS SHIPPED MORE THAN 43 MILLION POUNDS OF FRESH BLUEBERRIES TO THE U.S., WHILE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA GROWERS HAVE  PRODUCED ABOUT HALF OF THAT. THAT LARGE SUPPLY IS PUSHING FARM PRICES DOWN. 

TEASE
WHEN WE COME BACK, GRADUATING WITH HONORS...THE HONOR OF WORKING  IN THE DAIRY INDUSTRY. 

IN THE COUNTRY
IN THE COUNTRY - SPONSORED BY KUBOTA. TRACTORS, HAY TOOLS, UTILILTY VEHICLES, MOWERS AND  MORE.  VISIT KUBOTA.COM TODAY.ITS THAT TIME OF YEAR...NO NOT PLANTING SEASON, NOT GRILLING SEASON, IT'S  GRADUATION SEASON. AND SOON A FRESH CROP OF AG MAJORS WILL BE GRADUATING FROM UNIVERSITIES ACROSS THE COUNTRY. AND AS THIS REPORT FROM THE DAIRY FARMERS OF WISCONSIN TELLS IT, THE  JOB OUTLOOK IS VERY PROMISING. CONNOR WILLEMS, A SENIOR IN THE COLLEGE OF AGRICULTURE AND LIFE SCIENCES AT UW-MADISON IS EXAMINING THE FEED RATIONS FOR THE COWS AT THE UW DAIRY BARN.  "I THINK COMING INTO COLLEGE I REALLY LIKED CHEMISTRY UM, AND IN NUTRITION THERE'S…THERE'S QUITE  A BIT OF CHEMISTRY IN THAT, SO IT WAS KIND OF A GOOD MATCH IN THAT WAY." CONNOR DIDN'T GROW UP ON A FARM, BUT HAD FRIENDS IN HIGH SCHOOL WHO DID. JOINING FFA AND 4- H PUT HIM ON THE PATH TOWARDS A CAREER IN AGRICULTURE.  "I HAVE ACCEPTED A JOB WITH CARGILL ANIMAL NUTRITION. I'VE INTERNED WITH THEM THE LAST TWO  SUMMERS, AND SO THAT LED INTO A JOB OFFER THAT I HAVE ACCEPTED." JOHN KLATT, ASSISTANT DEAN OF ACADEMIC AFFAIRS FOR UW-MADISON, SAYS MOST STUDENTS IN THE  DAIRY SCIENCE PROGRAM HAVE AN ACCEPTED JOB OFFER BEFORE GRADUATION, OR SHORTLY THEREAFTER. "WHEN WE LOOK AT A PROGRAM LIKE DAIRY SCIENCE WE KNOW THAT OUR STUDENTS LAST YEAR; 75  PERCENT OF THEM HAD ACCEPTED JOBS, OR WERE ACCEPTED INTO GRADUATE OR PROFESSIONAL PROGRAMS AT THE TIME OF GRADUATION." A RECENT USDA EMPLOYMENT ASSESSMENT REVIEWING UNDERGRADUATE JOB AVAILABILITY ESTIMATED  THAT THERE WOULD BE ALMOST 58,000 JOBS AVAILABLE IN AGRICULTURE-- WITH 50% IN BUSINESS AND  MANAGEMENT, ABOUT 25% IN STEM, OR SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY, ENGINEERING AND MATH, AND APPROXIMATELY 15% IN FOOD SCIENCE AND BIOMATERIALS. "DAIRY SCIENCES ENROLLMENT OVER THE LAST FIVE YEARS HAS GROWN I THINK BY ABOUT FIFTEEN  PERCENT. OUR BIOLOGICAL SYSTEMS ENGINEERING PROGRAM HAS GROWN BY LEAPS AND BOUNDS, THEY'RE UP BY ABOUT 35 PERCENT." WHICH MEANS DEMAND FOR JOBS IN AGRICULTURE IS EXCEEDING THE NUMBER OF CANDIDATES  AVAILABLE. FOR CONNOR WILLEMS, IT MEANS A GUARANTEED JOB RIGHT AFTER GRADUATION! "I'M REALLY EXCITED TO START MY CAREER! I THINK YOU KNOW I HAVE THE DRIVE TO REALLY GO INTO THAT  AND HAVE SOME SUCCESS!" AND THAT'S WISCONSIN DAIRY NEWS. AN INTERESTING TREND AT THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN SHOWS WOMEN NOW  MAKE UP 65 PERCENT OF OVERALL ENROLLMENT IN THE DAIRY SCIENCES  PROGRAM.

CLOSE
THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. WE'RE GLAD YOU TUNED IN.  FOR BETSY JIBBEN AND MIKE HOFFMAN, I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. HAVE A GREAT  DAY. 

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