AgDay Daily Recap- November 2, 2017

November 2, 2017 02:57 AM
 
AgDay

TODAY ON AGDAY
NOVEMBER 2, 2017


HEADLINES
INVESTIGATIONS, QUESTIONS AND DELAYS ARE WEIGHING ON USDA  NOMINATIONS. MEET A TOP PRODUCER CANDIDATE STILL PURSUING PERFECTION IN ILLINOIS. IN AGRIBUSINESS... CHECKING ON RECENT STRENGTH IN THE CATTLE MARKET. AND MEET A CALIFORNIA VINTNER WORKING TO RECOVER FROM THE NAPA  VALLEY WILDFIRES.  AGDAY - PRESENTED BY CHEVY SILVERADO. HIGH-STRENGTH STEEL FOR HIGH-STRENGTH DEPENDABILITY.

CLOVIS CONNECTION
GOOD MORNING I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. THE MAN WHO WOULD BE THE CHIEF  SCIENTIST FOR USDA IS NOW BEING PULLED INTO THE RUSSIA INVESTIGATION....WHICH COULD DERAIL HIS YET UN-SCHEDULED CONFIRMATION  HEARING. FORMER TRUMP CAMPAIGN ADVISOR SAM CLOVIS SUPERVISED GEORGE PAPADOPOULOS WHO WAS A LOW-LEVEL VOLUNTEER AIDE FOR THE CAMPAIGN. AS PART OF ROBERT MUELLERS INVESTIGATION LOOKING INTO RUSSIA INFLUENCE ON THE ELECTION, PAPADOPOLOUS ADMITTED LYING TO THE FBI  ABOUT HIS CONTACTS WITH RUSSIA. CLOVIS IS A PRESIDENTIAL ADVISOR WITH CLOSE TIES TO IOWA. ACCORDING TO A REPORT IN BLOOMBERG NEWS, CLOVIS SAID PAPADOPOULOS WAS ACTING ON HIS OWN AND THAT THE CAMPAIGN HAD A STRICT RULE AGAINST  TRAVELING ABROAD AND CLAIMING TO SPEAK ON BEHALF OF THE CAMPAIGN. BLOOMBERG AND NBC - QUOTING UN-NAMED SOURCES - REPORTED THAT CLOVIS  TESTIFIED BEFORE A GRAND JURY IN THIS CASE. THIS RAISES THE QUESTION ABOUT THE CLOVIS NOMINATION TO SERVE AS CHIEF  SCIENTIST AT THE USDA. A HEARING DATE FOR THE CONFIRMATION HAS NOT  BEEN SET. SENATOR DEBBIE STABENOW - THE RANKING DEMOCRAT ON THE SENATE  AGRICULTURE COMMITTEE - SAYS A CONFIRMATION HEARING FOR CLOVIS  SHOULD BE DELAYED IN LIGHT OF NEW TWISTS IN THE MUELLER INVESTIGATION. STABENOW HAS RAISED DOUBTS IN THE PAST OVER CLOVIS QUALIFICATIONS TO  ASSUME THE ROLE OF CHIEF SCIENTIST. SENATOR CHUCK GRASSLEY OF IOWA SITS ON THE AG COMMITTEE. HE STILL  STANDS BY THE NOMINEE. 'DEMOCRATS DON'T WANT HIM IN THERE BECAUSE THEY WANT SOMEBODY THAT'S A PHYSICAL SCIENTIST  AS OPPOSED TO SOCIAL SCIENTISTS. BUT REMEMBER THIS IS EDUCATION RESEARCH AND ECONOMICS  AND A PROFESSOR OF ECONOMICS A PERSON WITH A PH.D. OUGHT TO BE CONSIDERED FOR THAT POSITION  AS MUCH AS ANYBODY ELSE." 

CRUZ HOLDOUT
ALSO IN WASHINGTON  NINE SENATORS ARE HOLDING OUT ON THE NOMINATION  OF IOWA AG SECRETARY BILL NORTHEY TO BE USDA UNDER-SECRETARY. SENATOR TED CRUZ IS LEADING THE IMPASSE. CRUZ WANTS THE WHITE HOUSE  TO BROKER A MEETING WITH A GROUP OF MIDWESTERN SENATORS OVER THE  RENEWABLE FUEL STANDARD. CRUZ WANTS CHANGES TO THE R-F-S THAT WOULD HELP OIL REFINERS. IN A RELATED MATTER - EPA SENT ITS PROPOSED FINAL VOLUME REQUIREMENTS  OF BIOFUEL BLENDS FOR 2018 AND 2019 TO THE OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND  BUDGET ON WEDNESDAY O-M-B WILL NOW REVIEW THE NUMBERS. EPA ADMINISTRATOR SCOTT PRUITT  ABANDONED HIS PLANS TO LOWER RFS LEVELS, FOLLOWING PUSHBACK FROM  MIDWEST LAWMAKERS. THE FINAL RULE IS DUE BY NOVEMBER 30TH.

RFS VOLUMES
A NEW SURVEY OF BANKERS SHOWS 82 PERCENT OF AGRICULTURAL LENDERS  REPORTED A DECLINE IN FARM PROFITABILITY IN THE LAST 12 MONTHS.  HOWEVER, THE PACE OF THE DECLINE HAS SLOWED.  THE SURVEY PRODUCED BY THE AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION AND FARMER  MAC SHOWS 51 PERCENT OF AGRICULTURAL LENDERS NOTED AN INCREASE IN  THE DEMAND FOR AGRICULTURAL OPERATING LOANS, WHILE THERE WAS NO  NOTABLE CHANGE IN THE DEMAND FOR AGRICULTURAL REAL ESTATE LOANS.  THE SURVEY OF MORE THAN 580 AGRICULTURAL LENDERS REVEALING THAT THE  AGRICULTURAL LOAN APPROVAL RATE IS 84 PERCENT. 

JOURNEY TO THE TOP
JOURNEY TO THE TOP IS BROUGHT TO YOU EXCLUSIVELY BY SMARTSTAX.  SMARTSTAX - STAY TRUE TO  YOUR ROOTS.  EACH YEAR, OUR CORPORATE PARTNERS AT TOP PRODUCER MAGAZINE, NAME A  PRODUCER 'TOP PRODUCER OF THE YEAR.'  WELL, WE'RE FOLLOWING UP WITH PAST CANDIDATES OF THE AWARD TO SEE  HOW THEIR OPERATION IS PROGRESSING. BETSY JIBBEN TAKES US TO WARSAW, ILLINOIS TO CATCH UP WITH 2014  CANDIDATE, JOE ZUMWALT.  THE ROAR OF MACHINERY  AND MULTIPLE HANDS AT WORK SHOW ANOTHER HARVEST IS HERE IN WARSAW, ILLINOIS. "WELL, MY LEAST FUN JOB IS THE GRAIN CART AND GUESS WHERE I AM?" AS THE COMBINE CUTS ANOTHER ROW OF SOYBEANS - IT MAY BE THE BEST JOE  ZUMWALT AND HIS DAD SAM HAVE PRODUCED ON THIS GROUND JUST MILES  FROM THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. "WE'RE LOOKING AT PROBABLY LOWER 90S ON THIS FIELD YOU ARE LOOKING AT BEHIND ME. 58 AGAIN,  WE'RE AMAZED AT WHAT WE'RE SEEING OUT HERE,"LOFTY YIELDS, THE RESULT OF PLANNING, PRACTICE AND LESSONS FROM CROP  LOSSES IN 1993 AND 2008. "I GUESS IF YOU HAD TO SUM IT UP, YOU NEED A LOT OF RESILLIANCE TO COVER AND DEAL WITH THE  STRESS OF THAT. IT'S AN UNIQUE TERRITORY WHEN YOU FARM HERE ON THE RIVER BOTTOM,"THE ZUMWALTS SAY THEY ARE NOT LOOKING AT EXPANDING ACRES IN THE RIVER  BOTTOMS BUT YIELD. THEY WANT TO GET MORE OUT OF EVERY ACRE,  ESPECIALLY WHEN THEY DON'T HAVE A FLOOD YEAR.  "IF YOU'RE GOING TO PUSH POPULATIONS, YOU BETTER BE READY TO FEED IT AND HAVE THE MECHANICAL  ABILITY TO FEED IT. PLUS, THE PEOPLE TO READ THOSE FOLLIAR TISSUE TESTS AND SOIL TESTING TO TELL YOU  WANT YOU'RE GOING TO NEED,"THEY DON'T JUST THINK A RETURN ON INVESTMENT IS SIMPLY MAKING A DOLLAR  AND INCREASING BUSHELS.  "AT THE END OF THE DAY, FOR THE PEOPLE WHO WORK WITH YOU, SOMETIMES A REDUCTION IN STRESS IS  A RETURN ON INVESTMENT" "ANYTHING YOU CAN DO TO RELIEVE STRESS ON AN INDIVIDUAL TO ME IS EFFICIENCY."> TODAY THEIR MAJOR FOCUS IS A SUCCESSION PLAN TO TRANSITION ACRES AND  MANAGEMENT.  THEY ARE IN THE MIDDLE OF A 5-YEAR-PLAN JOE CREATED FOR HIS UNCLE AND  DAD - BOTH IN THEIR 70S - A PLAN THEY FEEL WORKS BEST FOR THEIR  OPERATION.  "REALITY, THAT'S WHAT IT IS.YOU HAVE TO LET GO. IT'S HARD AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY BY YOURSELF,  BUT WE  ALL GET THROUGH IT,"ACRES WILL GRADUALLY BE TRANSITIONED TO JOE ANNUALLY.  HIS DAD PREPAID INPUTS FOR THE YEAR BEFORE BUT THE AMOUNT HE PAYS FOR  INPUT COSTS DROPS EVERY YEAR SINCE ACRES ARE SLOWLY SHIFTING TO JOE.  AT THE END OF THE 5 YEARS, HIS DAD CAN GET MORE INCOME FOR RETIREMENT  OR MAY  UPGRADE EQUIPMENT FOR HIS SON TO LEASE.  THE PLAN ALL HINGES ON DEPRECIATION LAWS. "HOPEFULLY, IT'S EQUIPMENT I CAN IN TURN, LEASE BACK FROM HIM AND USE ON MY OPERATION. THAT  KEEPS IN ON A FARMING INCOME, IT KEEPS HIM ON HIS OWN ACREAGE AND IT HELPS BRING NEW  EQUIPMENT INTO OUR LINEUP. SO, IT'S KIND OF A WIN-WIN SITUATION,""JOE MADE A PLAN. OK, IT'S GOTTA HAPPEN. SO, WHOSE TO SAY MY PLAN IS BETTER THAN HIS? WE  WORK TOGETHER. LET'S MAKE IT WORK AND MOVE ON."" IF YOU CAN MAKE A PLAN IN A FASHION THAT MAINTAINS THEIR REVEVANCE ON THE OPERATION AND  THEIR INPUT AND EVEN EXPERTISE AND YEARS OF EXPERIENCE; THE BETTER OFF HTE PROCESS IS GOING TO  BE. MAKE SURE TO NOT ELIMINATE THEIR RELEVENCE ON THE OPERATION. OTHERWISE, THERE WILL BE A  RELUCTANCE ON THEIR PART TO TRANSITION," BECAUSE THE WAY THE ZUMWALT'S SEE IT,  A SUCCESSION PLAN IS CRUCIAL EVEN AS HARVEST ROLLS ON.  "MOTHER NATURE WASN'T CORRECT THIS YEAR BUT WE STILL DID IT!"REPORTING IN WARSAW, ILLINOIS, I'M BETSY JIBBEN.  THANKS BETSY.  OTHER THINGS THE ZUMWALT'S HAVE DONE...THEY'VE UPGRADED STORAGE  SYSTEMS AND PUT THEIR HEADQUARTERS ON HIGHER GROUND SINCE THEY LIVE  NEAR THE RIVER.

CROP COMMENTS
POWER IS SLOWLY RETURNING TO MORE THAN A MILLION HOMES AND  BUSINESSES IN NEW ENGLAND WHICH GOT POUNDED BY A STORM MONDAY. WINDS REACHED 80 MILES AN HOUR IN SOME SPOTS, SNAPPING TREES AND  DRAGGING DOWN POWER LINES. IN VERMONT, DAIRY FARMERS WHO LOST ELECTRICITY IN THE STORM ARE  RELYING ON GENERATORS TO POWER THE EQUIPMENT THAT ALLOWS THEM TO  KEEP THEIR OPERATIONS RUNNING. IT'S UNKNOWN HOW MANY FARMS LOST POWER, AND IT COULD TAKE UNTIL  SATURDAY TO HAVE IT FULLY RESTORED. VERMONT IS THE LARGEST DAIRY-PRODUCING STATE IN NEW ENGLAND WITH ABOUT 800 DAIRY FARMS. MANY OF THOSE POWER LINES WERE BROUGHT DOWN BY DROUGHT-PLAGUED  TREES ESPECIALLY IN MAINE.  MIKE HOFFMAN HAS MORE IN CROP COMMENTS. THAT'S RIGHT CLINTON. VIRTUALLY ALL OF NEW ENGLAND HAS BEEN EXPERIENCING A MODERATE  DROUGHT THE PAST TWO MONTHS. THE DROUGHT WEAKENED TREE ROOTS.   THE HEAD OF MAINE'S EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY SAYS RECENT  RAINFALL SOFTENED THE SOIL. AND STRONG WINDS MADE THE TREES  VULNERABLE. TREES AND BRANCHES WERE NO MATCH FOR THE POWERFUL WINDS. YES SNOW IS FALLING ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN TIER OF STATES. CHECK OUT THIS PICTURE FROM KYLE OSMERA ON FACEBOOK.  THIS WHAT HARVEST BROUGHT THIS WEEK--AS SNOW FELL IN THE CORN HUSKER  STATE. USDA SAYS NEBRASKA CORN HARVEST IS LESS THAN HALF WAY COMPLETE. MORE THAN 20 PERCENTAGE POINTS BEHIND THE FIVE YEAR AVERAGE. AND NOW HERE ARE SOME HOME TOWN TEMPS. FARM JOURNAL ON AIR IS THE GO-TO APP FOR AMERICAN AGRICULTURE.  AGDAY, AGRITALK, U.S.  FARM REPORT AND MORE - 24/7 ACCESS TO ALL OF YOUR FAVORITE SHOWS. TV AND RADIO...IN YOUR  HANDS, ON DEMAND.  FARM JOURNAL ON AIR - DOWNLOAD THE APP TODAY.

TEASE
WHEN WE COME BACK WE'LL TALK ABOUT THE RECENT STRENGTH IN CATTLE MARKETS AND WHETHER THE RUN CAN CONTINUE. AND LATER THIS CALIFORNIA GRAPE GROWER SHARES HIS EXPERIENCE  FIGHTING THE ATLAS FIRE IN NAPA VALLEY AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR VINYARDS IN  THE PATH OF THE FLAMES.

AGRIBUSINESS
CHIP NELLINGER BLUE REEF AGRIMARKETING OUR GUEST HERE AT THE AGRIBUSINESSES LET'S TALK ABOUT  THE CATTLE MARKET LAST WEEK SEEN SOME GOOD STRENGTH IN THESE MARKETS EVEN THOUGH WE'RE  TECHNICALLY PAST GRILLING SEASON. I THINK THE FOLKS IN THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL TELL US WE DEFINITELY  ARE PAST THAT BUT SEE WHERE THE SNOW ON THE GROUND. THAT'S RIGHT. SO AS WE AS WE WORK OUR  WAY THROUGH THE REST OF 17 AND 18 WHAT ARE YOU WATCHING IN THIS MARKET. YEAH. WELL I THINK  YOU HIT THE NAIL ON THE HEAD. WE'VE HAD A PRETTY GOOD RUN HIGHER HERE IN CATTLE. AND EVEN  WITH SOME YOU KNOW FAIRLY BEARS CATTLE OWN FEET REPORTS ABOUT THE LAST TWO MONTHS RUNNING.  SO WE ARE BUILDING NUMBERS OR SO OUT AHEAD OF US. IT DOESN'T LOOK AS ROSY BUT THAT'S YOU  KNOW KIND OF OUT INTO NEXT SPRING AND SUMMER BETWEEN NOW AND THEN THOUGH THINGS LOOKED  FAIRLY GOOD. BUT I DON'T WANT TO GET TOO OPTIMISTIC. WE'VE GOT A BIG PREMIUM BUILT UP IN THE  FEBRUARY AND APRIL. LIVE CATTLE CONTRACTS RELATIVE TO WHERE CASH IS TRADING. AND EVEN THOUGH  CASH HAS TRENDED HIGHER THE LAST FEW WEEKS I THINK PRODUCERS REALLY HAVE TO BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR ADDITIONAL STRENGTH OVER THE NEXT WEEK OR 10 DAYS TAKE ADVANTAGE EVEN IF IT'S JUST  BUYING A PUT LET'S LOCK SOME PROFIT MARGINS OUT THERE AS MOST CATTLE ARE ON FEED RIGHT NOW  THAT ARE GOING INTO FEBRUARY AND APRIL TIMESLOT HAVE PRETTY GOOD PROFIT MARGINS AT CURRENT  LEVELS. THAT'S TRUE. SO I'M OPTIMISTIC MORE COULD COME. BUT I ALSO WANT TO TAKE A LOOK AND SAY  HEY LET'S NOT GET TOO BALLED UP. WE'VE GOT GOOD PROFITS HERE. LET'S DO SOMETHING AND TAKE  SOME OF THAT RISK OFF TABLE AS WE GET PAST APRIL INTO NEXT YEAR. OBVIOUSLY WE EXPECT THIS TO  CONTINUE TO CONTINUE EXPANDING BUT YOU KNOW IT HASN'T REALLY GROWN AT THIS MASSIVE RAPID RATE  THAT IT HAS IN THE PAST. IT SEEMS LIKE. YEAH. AND THE OTHER GOOD THING IS YEAH WE'VE SEEN  INCREASING NUMBERS IT'S KIND OF BEEN A SLOW STEADY INCREASE. THE OTHER GOOD THING IS I THINK  DEMAND BOTH DOMESTICALLY AND EXPORT WISE ARE REALLY HOLDING HOLD US TOGETHER AND KIND OF  ABSORBING SOME OF THOSE HIGHER NUMBERS OF CATTLE ON FEED. SURE. SO I THINK THAT'S A GOOD  THING. YOU KNOW THE DOLLAR'S GOING TO FLUCTUATE AND THAT COULD AFFECT EXPORTS A LITTLE BIT BUT  THERE'S SOME INDICATIONS THAT THE ECONOMY'S STARTING TO GROW A LITTLE BIT. I THINK THAT COULD HELP  US ON INTO SUMMER AS WELL. YOU KNOW AGAIN THERE ARE SOME BIG NUMBERS COMING OUT THERE.  YOU KNOW THIS LAST PLACE REMEMBER IT WAS AWFUL BIG. SO THERE'S A WALL ACCOUNT COMING OUT  HERE SEVERAL MONTHS AHEAD OF US. BUT IF WE CAN HOLD THIS DOMESTIC DEMAND TOGETHER I DON'T  THINK THE BOTTOM HAS TO FALL OUT FROM UNDER US. AND YOU KNOW OBVIOUSLY FEED GRAIN PRICES ARE  AT THE LOW END OF THE SPECTRUM HERE TOO. SO THAT'S HELPING YOU KNOW SOLIDIFY SOME GAINS AS  WELL. A LITTLE OPTIMISM WE'LL TAKE A SHOT AT IT. THANKS CHIP. WE'LL BE BACK WITH MORE AGDAY IN  JUST A MINUTE.  AGDAY - BROUGHT TO YOU BY CREDENZ SOYBEAN SEED FROM BAYER.  DESIGNED USING SMART  GENETICS WITH TAILORED VARIETIES TO FIT ANY FIELD CONDITION. 

WEATHER
AGDAY WEATHER - BROUGHT TO YOU BY KAWASAKI AND THE NEW MULE PRO-FXR™ SIDE X  SIDE. RIDE LIKE A BOSS WITH HIGH-END STYLING AND RUGGED CAPABILITY. WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY. METEOROLOGIST MIKE HUFFMAN LOOKING AT THE WEATHER MAP HERE AND MIKE KIND OF THAT SYSTEM MOVING BACK TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. YEAH IT LOOKS LIKE IT'S GOING TO  HAVE SOME DECENT RAIN AHEAD OF THAT WARM FRONT AND THAT WARM FRONT IS GOING TO BRING A  PRETTY GOOD SHOT OF WARM AIR BEHIND IT. SO PUTTING THE MAPS INTO MOTION YOU CAN SEE THAT  WARM FRONT SLOWLY MAKING ITS WAY INTO NEW ENGLAND AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE DAY THERE WILL  BE SOME RAIN WITH IT. BUT YOU'LL NOTICE OUR COMPUTER MODEL KEEPS A LOT OF IT THROUGH THE  NORTHERN TIER OF NEW ENGLAND AND TAKING IT AWAY AS WE HEAD THROUGH TONIGHT. THERE ARE  SOME AREAS OF SHOWERS IN THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES ALONG THE COLD FRONT. SO THIS IS A ONE DAY  WARM UP FOR PARTS OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND THEN WE SEE SOME  COLDER AIR COMING IN AGAIN ALTHOUGH THIS AREA IS NOT AS COLD AS WHAT IT WAS REPLACING A COUPLE  OF DAYS AGO. SO WE'LL BE WATCHING THAT YOU SEE LOTS OF SNOW WITH THESE SYSTEMS THOUGH  ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CANADA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BY TOMORROW MORNING INTO THE  TWIN CITIES AREA AND THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM COMING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS IS LITTLE  DIFFERENT THAN WE'VE SEEN RECENTLY. THIS ONE IS KIND OF SPLITTING INTO TWO AREAS AND THE  NORTHERN ONE WITH A DEVELOPING WARM FOR AN HOUR AHEAD OF IT IS GOING TO HAVE SOME PRETTY  DECENT SNOWS ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN MONTANA INTO NORTH DAKOTA AND EVENTUALLY MINNESOTA  SOME OF THOSE AREAS THIS WILL BE THEIR THIRD ACCUMULATING SNOW OF THE SEASON. PRECIPITATION  ESTIMATES PAST 24 HOURS DECENT AMOUNT SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES  ADDING IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS YOU CAN SEE OUR COMPUTER MODEL CONTINUES TO TRACK SOME ALONG  THAT FRONT. IT ALSO PUTS SOME DECENT AMOUNTS. PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST EVEN INTO  NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WITH SOME PRETTY GOOD MOISTURE THERE WITH THAT SECONDARY SYSTEM  SNOWFALL PAST 24 HOURS. NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS STATES AND THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL  ADD SOME IN THOSE AREAS AS WELL. OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS OR SO. CHECK IT OUT. TEMPERATURES  80S IN A FEW 90S IN TEXAS TODAY BUT STILL 30S AND 40S FOR HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON IN THE NORTHERN  PLAINS YOU CAN SEE THAT COLDER AIR MAKING PROGRESS AGAIN. LOWS TONIGHT BACK INTO THE 20S FOR  MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN PLAINS BUT 60S TO NEAR 70 FROM MEMPHIS SOUTHWARD. AND AS YOU  CAN SEE DURING TOMORROW AFTERNOON STILL PRETTY WARM SOUTH OF THAT FRONT. BUT TO THE NORTH  SOME COLDER AIR COMING IN ONCE AGAIN JET STREAM SHOWING WELL LOTS OF SYSTEMS TRYING TO  COME EAST. BUT YOU'LL NOTICE A LOT OF THE TROUGH TRIES TO GO TO THE WESTERN NORTHWESTERN  PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRIES. PIECES OF THAT TRY TO COME EASTWARD AND WE MAY SEE ANOTHER  CHANGE AS WE HEAD INTO LATER NEXT WEEK WITH THIS TROUGH DIGGING IN ONCE AGAIN TO THE EAST.  BUT THAT'S STILL A GOOD WEEK TO 10 DAYS AWAY. THAT'S A LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY. NOW LET'S TAKE  A LOOK AT SOME LOCAL FORECASTS. FIRST OF ALL POCATELLO IDAHO VERY CLOUDY AND RATHER MILD TODAY  HIGH 57 DEGREES ROLLA MISSOURI TURNING WARMER AN AFTERNOON SHOWER IN SPOTS. HIGH OF 75 IN  CONCORD NEW HAMPSHIRE MAYBE A MORNING SHOWER THEN WARMER HIGH 66. 

TEASE
WE'LL CHECK ON CATTLE MARKETS AND EXPORT CONCERNS NEXT ON DROVERS  TV. AND LATER, WE'RE OFF TO THE GOLDEN STATE TO VISIT GRAPE GROWERS AS  THEY TRY TO RECOVER FROM WILDFIRES.

DROVERS TV
DROVERS TV ON AGDAY IS BROUGHT TO YOU BY QLF.  FOR 40 YEARS, QLF HAS BEEN PROUD TO  SUPPORT AMERICAN FARMERS THAT FEED THE WORLD.  ON DROVERS TV, CME LIVE CATTLE AND LEAN HOG FUTURES RISING TO LIFE-OF- CONTRACT HIGHS EARLIER THIS WEEK. PRICES LIFTED BY INVESTMENT FUND BUYING AND OPTIMISM THAT MEAT PRICES  WILL CONTINUE TO RISE. LIVE CATTLE MARKETS ARE UP NEARLY 10 PERCENT IN OCTOBER...NOW AT THEIR  HIGHEST POINT SINCE JUNE. SPECULATIVE INVESTORS --- ALREADY HOLDING MASSIVE NET LONG POSITIONS  IN CATTLE -- NOW ADDING TO THOSE BETS TUESDAY. MEANWHILE, U.S. MEAT EXPORTS POSTING STRONG GAINS IN 2017. U.S. PROTEIN EXPORTS ARE UP 10% SO FAR THIS YEAR, INCLUDING A 10%  INCREASE IN BEEF EXPORT VOLUME AND A 16% INCREASE IN BEEF EXPORT  VALUES DURING THE FIRST EIGHT MONTHS OF THIS YEAR. U.S. BEEF HAS MADE SIGNIFICANT GAINS IN THE ASIA/PACIFIC MARKET. THAT INCLUDES INCREASES OF 23% TO JAPAN AND 16% TO HONG KONG THIS  YEAR. EXPORTS TO SOUTH AMERICA ARE UP 21%. BUT THE U.S. MEAT EXPORT FEDERATION REMAINS CONCERNED ABOUT THE  ADMINISTRATION'S POLICIES ON FOREIGN TRADE. "US MEAT EXPORT FEDERATION CEO PHILIP SENG TOLD REPORTERS ON A CONFERENCE CALL THIS WEEK  HE IS WORRIED ABOUT THE FUTURE OF U.S. EXPORTS IN LIGHT OF TRUMP ADMINISTRATION POSITIONS ON  SUCH TRADE PACTS AS THE NORTH AMERICAN FREE TRADE AGREEMENT AND THE TRANS-PACIFIC  PARTNERSHIP. LEAVING NAFTA WOULD BE A MISTAKE AND EVEN THINKING OF LEAVING NAFTA WOULD BE A  MISTAKE," SENG SAID. LEAVING TPP (EARLIER THIS YEAR) LEFT THE UNITED STATES AT A  DISADVANTAGE," SENG SAYS THAT U.S. COMPETITORS LIKE AUSTRALIA ARE PAYING MUCH LOWER  DUTIES TO EXPORT THEIR MEAT PRODUCTS IN MANY ASIAN MARKETS.  ADDING THAT HE BELIEVES THE ONLY BAD TRADE AGREEMENT IS THE ONE  YOU'RE NOT IN.

TEASE
WHEN WE  COME BACK, WE'LL HEAR HOW ONE CALIFORNIA GRAPE GROWER  FOUGHT TO SAVE HIS VINYARD DURING THE RECENT WILDFIRE OUTBREAK

IN THE COUNTRY
IN THE COUNTRY - SPONSORED BY KUBOTA.  DISCOVER THE POWER BEHIND THE M6 SERIES AT  KUBOTA.COM. RECOVERY AND CLEAN UP CONTINUES IN CALIFORNIA'S NAPA AND SONOMA  VALLEY'S FOLLOWING THE RECENT FIRE OUTBREAK. AND FOR THOSE WHO LIVED THROUGH IT, THE IMPACT WILL BE FELT FOR YEARS. NAPA COUNTY GRAPE GROWER JIM REGUSCI SHARES HIS OWN STORY WITH  HELP FROM THE CALIFORNIA FARM BUREAU. IT WAS SO QUICK IT WAS INCREDIBLE. I MEAN AND THE SOUND OF IT WAS YOU ALWAYS HEAR ABOUT  PEOPLE TALK ABOUT A FREIGHT TRAIN AND THAT THAT'S EXACTLY WHAT IT SOUNDED LIKE JUST KIND OF FINISH  IN THE NIGHT PUTTING THE KIDS TO BED. AND WE HAD A PHONE CALL 10 O'CLOCK FROM FRIENDS OF OURS  THAT THERE WAS A FIRE BEHIND OUR PLACE. SO WE DROVE OUT TOOK A LOOK AND IT WAS AN ATLAS  SPEAK. IT WAS COMING PRETTY QUICKLY. WE CAME BACK MADE A PHONE CALL FIRST DOZER TOOK. AN  HOUR AND 18 MINUTES TO GET HERE. THE BIG FIRE PUSH WAS ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE RANCH WHERE  IT CAME RIGHT BY THE WINERY AND THEN IT WAS BURNING SO QUICKLY THERE THAT FUEL TANKS WERE  STARTING TO BLOW THE BLOW UP THEY WERE GETTING HOT. AND SO THE DOZERS OPERATOR MATT. HE  SHOVED DIRT OVER THE TOP OF THE TANKS AND THEN PUSHED ALL THE TREES OVER WHEN THE TREES HIT  THE GROUND. OUR GUYS THREE OR FOUR OF OUR GUYS THEY TURNED AROUND AND CLIMBED THE TREES  AND PUT THEM OUT WITH FIRE EXTINGUISHERS. I'VE BEEN THROUGH FIRES BEFORE WHERE WE'LL BURN BACK  AND WE'LL BURN THE TRUNKS AND THEY SEEM THEY'LL COME BACK. BUT WHERE ANYTHING WHERE THE  FIRE SIDE GOT REALLY HOT IT WILL SEE AN APPLICATION OR THE FOLLOWING YEAR YOU'LL SEE BUT  DEVELOPMENT WILL BE IMPAIRED. AND THEN IF YOU GO THE FOLLOWING YEAR WE'LL SEE IF THEY PULL OUT  OF IT. SO YOU'VE GOT A TWO YEAR PROCESS HERE YOU CAN KIND OF SEE WHERE THESE WHERE THE  AREAS WHERE THE FIRE WAS REALLY HOT THOSE VINES THERE THERE'S NO REASON TO WAIT TWO YEARS.  WE PLANNED EVERYTHING WITH A ONE YEAR FOLLOW SO WE'LL PULL A VINEYARD LEAVE IT FALLOW FOR ONE  YEAR AND THEN PLAN IT THE FOLLOWING THEN FOUR YEARS FROM THAT WE'LL GET THE FIRST CROP. AND  NORMALLY THE FIRST CROP IS A IT'S A GOOD IT'S A DECENT QUALITY CROP. THEN THE VINEYARD THE  SECOND THIRD YEAR IT KIND OF ADJUSTS AND THE QUALITY BOUNCES AROUND. IT TAKES ABOUT THE SIXTH  SEVENTH YEAR BEFORE EVERYTHING KIND OF ADJUSTS FOR QUALITY. YOU KNOW I'VE HAD YEARS WHERE  I'VE BEEN 50 PERCENT OFF OF A CROP IT'S NATURE. THAT'S WHAT FARMING IS. SO THIS THIS ONE HERE IS  JUST A LITTLE DIFFERENT ITS NATURE THROUGH A FIRE AT US. I MEAN WE LOST SOME GREAT VINES A LOT OF  PEOPLE LOST THEIR HOMES AND LIVES. SO I MEAN WE'RE PRETTY MUCH. WE CAME THROUGH THE SAME WITHOUT ANYTHING. HURTING US. YOU KNOW. THERE'S A LOT OF PEOPLE WORSE OFF THAN WE ARE RIGHT  NOW IN THIS IN THIS VALLEY AND IN SONOMA IN SANTA ROSA. 

CLOSE
THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. WE'RE GLAD YOU TUNED IN.  FOR ALL OF US AT AGDAY I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. HAVE A GREAT DAY. AGDAY - BROUGHT TO YOU BY RAM COMMERCIAL - AMERICA'S LONGEST-LASTING HEAVY DUTY  PICKUPS.

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