AgDay Daily Recap -November 30, 2016

September 21, 2016 10:02 AM
 
AgDay

TODAY ON AGDAY
NOVEMBER 30, 2016


HEADLINES
COMING UP TODAY ON AGDAY -  AS WILFIRES RAGE IN THE SOUTHEAST, SOME OVERDUE  RELIEF IS ON THE WAY. A STINK OVER GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS IN  CALIFORNIA IS GIVING DAIRY FARMERS A LOFTY GOAL...  WE WANTED TO MAKE SURE WE WERE DOING EVERYTHING POSSIBLE  TO REDUCE OUR CARBON FOOTPRINT." > TURNING MANURE INTO MONEY WHILE PLEASING EPA.  IN AGRIBUSINESS, WE ANALYZE THE CYCLES OF THE  MARKETS.. CYCLLICALLY WE SHOULD HAVE PUT IT LOWS THIS YEAR AND FLORIDA'S CITRUS INDUSTRY CONTINUES TO COPE  WITH DIMINISHING PRODUCTION < IT'S AN INDUSTRY PROBABLYU IN SORT OF AN EVOLUTAIOARY PHASE RIGHT  NOW. > AND IT'S CONSOLIDATION HELPING SOME SURVIVE.  IN AGRIBUSINESS, WE ANALYZE THE CYCLES OF THE  MARKETS.. AGDAY-BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE DEPENDABLE, LONG  LASTING CHEVY SILVERADO.

DROUGHT RELEIF
GOOD MORING, I'M TYNE MORGAN IN FOR CLINTON  GRIFFITHS. AS WILD FIRES RAGE ON IN TENNESEE  DESTROYING HUNDREDS OF BUILDINGS AND  STRUCTURESS. AND NOW THAT AREA PLUS THE ENTIRE  SOUTHEAST, DESPERATE FOR MOISTURE, IS SEEING  SOME RELIEF. 70 MILE PER HOUR WIND GUSTS FUELED THE FIRE  TUESDAY, PUSHING TREES OVER BURSTING INTO  FLAMES. THOUSANDS OF RESIDENTS IN THE  GATLINBURG AREA FORCED TO EVACUATE.  RAINS DID PROVIDE SOME RELIEF OVER NIGHT,  DOUSING THE FIRES. AND THAT SOAKING RAIN HITTING MORE OF THE  DROUGHT STRICKEN SOUTHEAST. CHECK OUT THE  LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR. THE MOST SEVERE LEVELS OF DRYNESS JUST PARKED  IN PORTIONS OF TENNESSEE, ALABAMA, LOUISIANA,  GEORGIA AND INTO THE CAROLINAS. THOSE AREAS COULD SEE UP TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN THIS WEEK.   HERE'S OUR OWN METEORGOLIGST MIKE HOFFMAN. <WELL TYNE SOME AREAS HAVE ALREADY GOTTEN THREE TO FOUR INCHES  OF RAIN ESPECIALLY NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI BUT THIS IS BEYOND THAT THIS  IS  THE PAST TWENTY FOUR HOURS ADDING IN THE NEXT THIRTY SIX HOURS AND  YOU CAN SEE A LOT OF THE SOUTHEAST IS GOING END UP WITH  ANYWHERE FROM ONE TO FIVE INCHES A RAIN WITH SOME AREAS GETTING A LOT MORE  THAN THAT IF YOU HAPPEN TO GET A HEAVY THUNDERSTORM WILL THIS BE  ENOUGH TO TAKE AWAY THE DROUGHT ABSOLUTELY NOT BUT HOW DO YOU  GET RID OF A DROUGHT YOU START WITH SOMETHING LIKE THIS AND YOU  HOPE THAT IT CONTINUES OCCASIONALLY

CALIFORNIA DROUGHT
DROUGHT STILL CONSUMING NEARLY 88 PERCENT OF  CALIFORNIA.  THE RAINY SEASON IS JUST GETTING UNDERWAY IN  CALIFORNIA. STATE WATER REGULATORS ARE  HOPEFUL, AS IT ANNOUNCES WATER ALLOCATIONS FOR  THE COMING YEAR. THE DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES SAYS AT  THIS POINT IN THE SEASON, IT CAN FILL 20-PERCENT OF  REQUESTS FROM PUBLIC WATER AGENCIES THAT DRAW  WATER FROM THE STATE'S SPIGOT. THE STATE WATER PROJECT IS ONE OF SEVERAL  SOURCES OF WATER FOR THE PUBLIC WATER  AGENCIES. THE D-W-R SAYS OCTOBER STORMS HELPED PUSH  RESERVOIRS HIGHER, BUT THE STATE COULD STILL END- UP IN A SIXTH YEAR OF DROUGHT. LAST YEAR THE INITIAL ALLOCATION WAS JUST TEN  PERCENT. BUT IT'S FINAL ALLOCATION WAS 60- PERCENT.

CALIFORNIA FIGHTING GLOBAL WARMING WITH REGULATIONS
CALIFORNIA IS TAKING ITS FIGHT AGAINST GLOBAL WARMING TO THE FARM. THE NATION'S LEADING  AGRICULTURAL STATE IS NOW TARGETING  GREENHOUSE GASES PRODUCED BY DAIRY COWS AND  OTHER LIVESTOCK. TERRY CHEA HAS THE STORY FROM  CALIFORNIA'S CENTRAL VALLEY. (  IT'S MILKING TIME AT NEW HOPE DAIRY IN  CALIFORNIA'S CENTRAL VALLEY. EACH OF THESE COWS  PRODUCE ABOUT EIGHT GALLONS OF MILK A DAY,  HELPING TO MAKE CALIFORNIA THE NATION'S LARGEST  DAIRY STATE. BUT THEY ALSO PRODUCE SOMETHING  ELSE. CATTLE AND OTHER LIVESTOCK ARE MAJOR SOURCES  OF METHANE, A GREENHOUSE GAS MANY TIMES MORE  POTENT THAN CARBON DIOXIDE. RYAN MCCARTHY, CALIFORNIA  AIR RESOURCES BOARD, SCIENCE ADVISOR:  "SO IF WE CAN REDUCE  EMISSIONS OF METHANE, WE CAN REALLY HELP TO SLOW GLOBAL  WARMING." THAT'S WHY GOVERNOR JERRY BROWN  RECENTLY SIGNED LEGISLATION THAT REQUIRES DAIRY  FARMS TO REDUCE METHANE EMISSIONS 40 PERCENT  BY 2030.  RYAN MCCARTHY, CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD, SCIENCE ADVISOR "THERE'S A REAL OPPORTUNITY HERE TO GET VERY SIGNIFICANT EMISSIONS  REDUCTIONS AT FAIRLY LOW COST AND ACTUALLY IN A WAY THAT CAN BRING  ECONOMIC BENEFITS TO FARMERS AND THE LOCAL COMMUNITIES AROUND  DAIRIES." CALIFORNIA REGULATORS WANT FARMERS TO  USE METHANE DIGESTERS LIKE THIS ONE, WHICH  CAPTURES METHANE FROM MANURE AND CONVERTS IT  INTO ELECTRICITY. ARLAN VAN GRONIGAN, NEW HOPE DAIRY CO- OWNER "WE WANTED TO BE SUSTAINABLE. WE WANTED TO MAKE SURE  WE WERE DOING EVERYTHING POSSIBLE TO REDUCE OUR CARBON  FOOTPRINT."  METHANE IS ALSO RELEASED WHEN COWS BURP AND  PASS GAS, WHICH IS WHY REGULATORS ARE ALSO  LOOKING AT MAKING CHANGES TO WHAT CATTLE EAT.   BUT CALIFORNIA DAIRY FARMERS SAY THE ADDITIONAL  REGULATIONS AND EXPENSES WILL HURT BUSINESS  WHEN THEY'RE ALREADY STRUGGLING WITH FIVE YEARS OF DROUGHT AND RISING LABOR COSTS. PAUL  SOUSA, WESTERN UNITED DAIRYMEN:  "IT JUST MAKES IT MORE  CHALLENGING. WE'RE CONTINUING TO LOSE DAIRIES. DAIRIES ARE MOVING  OUT OF STATES TO PLACES WHERE THESE COSTS DON'T EXIST." NEW  HOPE DAIRY ALREADY HAS A METHANE DIGESTER, BUT  CO-OWNER ARLIN VAN GRONINGEN SAYS IT'S ONLY  POSSIBLE BECAUSE OF A PARTNERSHIP WITH THE  LOCAL UTILITY, WHICH OPERATES THE SYSTEM.  OTHERWISE HE COULDN'T AFFORD ONE. ARLIN VAN GRONINGAN, NEW HOPE DAIRY CO-OWNER:  "THE BOTTOM  LINE IS IT'S GOING TO NEGATIVELY IMPACT THE ECONOMICS OF THE  CALIFORNIA DAIRY INDUSTRY." STATE OFFICIALS SAY THEY'RE  COMMITTED TO MAKING SURE THE NEW RULES WORK  FOR DAIRIES AND THE ENVIRONMENT. A MODEL FOR FIGHTING CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE  FARM. TERRY CHEA, ASSOCIATED PRESS, GALT,  CALIFORNIA.  THE DAIRY INDUSTRY IS JUST ONE OF MANY SECTORS  IN THE STATE BATTLING INCREASED REGULATIONS,  WATER RIGHTS ISSUES AS WELL AS DROUGHT.  THE FEDERAL AGRICULTURAL MORTGAGE  CORPORATION, OR FARMER MC,  TOLD US WHILE THE  AG ECONOMY IS FEELING PRESSURE RIGHT NOW, THIS  IS NOTHING NEW TO FARMERS OUT WEST, AS   REGULATIONS THAT  IMPACT ALL OF AGRICULTURE  USUALLY HIT CALIFORNIA FIRST.  <I WOULD SAY THAT MOST OF THOSE FARMERS OUT THERE I WOULD  DESCRIBE THEM AS A PRAGMATIC GROUP OF FARMERS THAT HAVE BEEN  THROUGH THIS BEFORE. THEY'VE BEEN PREPEARING FOR THESE ISSUES  OVER THE LAST 40 YEARS. AND SO IS THERE STRESS IN THE AG ECONOMY  OUT WEST? SURE. THERE ARE SOME AREAS OF STRESS, BUT WHEN IT  COMES TO THINGS LIKE ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES, BIOLGICAL OPINION  ISSUES. REGULATORY ISSIES, CALIFORNIA FARMERS PROBABLY MORE ABLE  TO DEAL WITH THOSE KIDNS OF THINGS BECAUSE THEY'VE BEEN DEALING  WITH THE IT SINCE THE 60S> HE SAYS LOOKING AT JUST CALIFORNIA DAIRY,  COVINGTON THINKS WE'VE SEEN THE WORST  REGULATIONS, AND THINGS WILL START TO TURN  AROUND FOR THAT SECTOR IN 2017.

AVIAN FLU OUTBREAK
OUTBREAKS OF HIGHLY  PATHOGENIC H-5-N-8 AVIAN  INFLUEZA ARE SPREADING ACROSS EUROPE, PROMPTING THE CULLING OF THOUSANDS OF BIRDS. THE WORLD ORGANIZATION FOR ANIMAL HEALTH  CONFIRMING A-I IN 10 EUROPEAN COUNTRIES,  INCLUDING CROATIA, GERMANY, SWEDEN AND RUSSIA. AN ESTIMATED 27 THOUSAND BIRDS IN EUROPE HAVE  DIED IN JUST A FEW WEEKS FROM AVIAN FLU.  REPORTS SAY OFFICIALS IN SWEDEN ALONE ARE  CULLING 200 THOUSAND LAYING HENS TO REDUCE IT  FROM SPREADING FURTHER.  JAPAN ALSO HIT WITH AN AVIAN FLU OUTBREAK. THE HIGHLY CONTAGIOUS STRAIN DETECTED IN DOZENS  OF BIRDS ALONG THE WEST COATS OF JAPAN.  OFFICIALS ARE NOW WORKING TO CULL 310 THOUSAND  BIRDS THIS WEEK, AS YOU CAN SEE HERE.  IN ADDITION, 165 THOUSAND DUCKS ARE ALSO BEING  KILLED.  HONG KONG AND UKRAINE LAUCHING BANS ON  POULTRY AND POULTRY PRODUCTS FROM THOSE  AFFECTED COUNTRIES.

CROP COMMENTS
"CROP COMMENTS IS POWERED BY RESICORE  HERBICIDE FOR CORN, FROM DOW AGROSCIENCES." WHILE MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST IS DEALING WITH  DROUGHT, PARTS OF THE REGION ARE STILL COPING  WITH THE AFTERMATH OF A HURRICANE THIS FALL. MIKE  HOFFMAN HAS DETAILS IN CROP COMMENTS. GOOD MORNING TYNE. HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVED  UP THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE IN EARLY OCTOBER. AND  WHILE THOSE STATES AVOIDED A DIRECT HIT, THE  STORM DID BRING HEAVY AMOUNTS OF RAIN. THIS PHOTO IS FROM MARION COUNTY, SOUTH  CAROLINA. ONE FARMER WE TALKED TO HAD A  COMPLETE LOSS OF THIS YEARS COTTON CROP DUE TO  FLOODING. THAT STORM CAME JUST AS HARVEST WAS  RAMPING-UP. OTHER FARMERS SAY THERE ARE MORE UNHARVESTED  FIELDS LAST YEAR IN THE AREA WITH ALL CROPS - NOT  JUST COTTON - ACROSS THE BOARD. BETSY JIBBEN  WILL HAVE A REPORT FROM THERE LATER THIS WEEK. AND COTTON HARVEST IS BEHIND IN TEXAS, BUT LOOK  AT THE WHITE BLANKET OF COTTON COVERING FIELDS  IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. BARBARA MORGAN SNAPPED THESE PICTURES OF 5 LOCK BOLLS. SHE TELLS US RAIN IS SETTING BACK  HARVEST A LITTLE, BUT COOL SPRING WEATHER MEANT  THE CROP WAS DELAYED COMING UP. ON TOP OF THAT,  MANY GROWERS WAITED FOR A FREEZE, WHICH  ARRIVED 2 WEEKS LATE THIS YEAR, TO HARVEST THEIR CROP. USDA SHOWSTEXAS FARMERS TRAIL THE 5 YEAR AVERAGE BY 14 POINTS.  AND NOW HERE ARE SOME HOMETOWN TEMPS. 

TEASE
NEXT IN AGRIBUSINESS WE ANALYZE MARKET CYCLES  TO DECIPHER WHICH ONE WE'RE IN TODAY.  IN NEWS FROM OUR PARTNERS AT THE PACKER, SEE  HOW AN INVASIVE PEST IN FLORIDA'S CITRUS INDUSTRY MAY FORCE A MAJOR CONSOLIDATION OF  GROWERS....IN AN ATTEMPT TO SURVIVE. PLUS IT'S "GO TIME" FOR CHRISTMAS TREE GROWERS  AROUND THE GLOBE. WE'LL VISIT THE DANISH TREE FARM WHICH IS PRIMARY  SUPPLIER FOR ALL OF EUROPE. ENTER FOR YOUR CHANCE TO WIN TWO  REGISTRATIONS TO THE TOP PRODUCER SEMINAR -  JANUARY 24TH THROUGH THE 27TH IN CHICAGO.   PACKAGE INCLUDES A THREE-NIGHT HOTEL STAY, PLUS  A TWO-HUNDRED DOLLAR VISA GIFT CARD!  GO TO  TOPPRODUCERSEMINAR.COM/SWEEPSTAKES.

AGRIBUSINESS
AGRIBUSINESS TODAY, BROUGHT TO YOU BY YAMAHA -MAKERS OF VIKING SIDE-BY-SIDES.  YAMAHA - REAL  WORLD TOUGH.AS YOU TRY TO WRAP YOUR HEAD AROUND THE DAILY  CHAOS OF THE COMMODITY MARKETS, THERE'S  ACTUALLY CYCLES OF COMMODITIES. SO, WHICH CYCLE  ARE WE IN? THAT'S TODAY'S ANALYSIS.  <DAN HUEBER OF THE HEUBER  REPORT OUR GUEST HERE AT THE AGRIBSUINESS DEKS TODAY, DAN, SO IF YOU LIVE IF YOU LOOK AT  COMMODITIES IN THE BIGGER PICTURE ON A STEP BACK A LITTLE BECAUSE  WE THINK GET LOST IN THE MINUTIA OF YOU KNOW A CENT RALLY HERE AND  A COUPLE CENTS THERE. YOU KNOW WHAT'S GONNA HAPPEN TOMORROW   AND WHAT WAS THE LATEST REPORT WHAT DID THEY SAY AND   WHAT'S THE BIG PICTURE TELL US ON WHAT COMMODITIES ARE DOING  IF WE REALLY NEED A STEP BACK JUST A COUPLE YEARS AND GRANTED  WERE REVIEWING HISTORY OF THIS POINT BUT YOU KNOW THAT THAT PEAK  WE SAW IN THAT DEPENDS ON WHICH COMMODITY BEEN ANYWHERE  FROM TWO THOUSAND EIGHT TO TWO THOUSAND TWELVE AND WAS REALLY  JUST A CLASSIC 30 YEAR BUBBLE IN THE COMMODITIES WE SEE THAT  HAPPENED GENERALLY BETWEEN TWENTY FIVE IN THIRTY YEARS APART BY IT AND IT  USUALLY BECAUSE OF COURSE THERE WAS A MAJOR SHIFT IN THE UNDERLYING FUNDAMENTALS THEN THEY CREATED THIS MOST RECENT ONE ABSOLUTELY CAME WITH THE ADVENT IN THE INCREASE IN  THE USE OF CORN FOR THE PRODUCTION OF ETHANOL WELL NOW THAT WE'VE  SEEN THAT LEVEL OFF, NOT THAT IT'S GOING TO GO AWAY  THE MEDIA OR MEDIA OR A TYPE OF GROWTH WE SAW BEFORE AND  HENCE WE'VE READJUSTED TO THAT SURE HARD I THINK THIS BREAK DOWN  WE'VE SEEN SINCE TWO THOUSAND ELEVEN TWELVE HAS ALLOWED US TO  READJUST BACK AND WE'RE GOING TO BE IN A GREAT YEAR WHAT WERE  THE DEMAND IS GOING TO COME WE GET LIVESTOCK NUMBERS FINALLY  STABILIZING AND MAYBE ON THE IMPROVEMENT SO I THINK IN IN THE AG SECTOR WE PROBABLY HAVE THE WORST OF IT BEHIND US  CYCLLICALLY WE SHOULD HAVE PUT IT LOWS THIS YEAR  NOW GRANTED A MOVING AHEAD MEANS HIGHER PRICES BUT WORRY AND  WE NEED A STIMULUS WHICH WE DON'T HAVE  YET. SO, AS YOU LOOK OUT AT TWENTY SEVENTEEN R A WHAT IS GOING TO  WE TAKE ANYTHING AND PREPARE FOR TWENTY SEVENTEEN OR DO WE  KNOW YET, IS IT GOING TO BE WEATHER DRIVEN AND WE JUST DON'T KNOW  YOU KNOW YOU ALMOST HAVE TO SAY IT'S GOING TO BE A WEATHER  ISSUE THAT THAT DOES BRING US FORWARD IN AND GRANTED BY NO  MEANS AM I A  METEOROLOGIST NOW OULD ANY METEOROLOGIST NECESSARILY BE ABLE IT  TELL US WHAT'S GOING HAPPEN IN THE YEAR AHEAD BUT IT'S A YOU KNOW  WE KNOW WERE COMING IN TWO TWENTY SEVENTEEN WITH FHUGE  SUPPLIES YOU KNOW THAT THAT'S A KNOWN ENTITY THAT THE MARKET  KNOWS THAT THEORETICALLY IT'S ALREADY BUILT INTO THE PRICE LEVEL SO WE NEED TO CHANGE THAT SUPPLY WE REALLY HAVE PRETTY SOLID  DEMAND FACTORED INTO THE EQUATION AS WELL SO  AND AGAIN I  DO  COME A POINT BACK TO WHAT IS HAPPENING IN THE SOUTHEAST AND  THERE ARE SOME BELIEVE SOME LONG TERM WEATHER CYCLE PEOPLE  THAT MOST MAJOR DROUGHTS IN THE UNITED STATES BEGIN WITH A  DROUGHT IN THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTERN SECTION UNITED STATES WHICH THEN  TENDS TO MOVE UP IN THE MIDWEST WILL THAT HAPPEN IN TWENTY  SEVENTEEN I DON'T KNOW BUT THERE IS SOME HISTORICAL PRECEDENTS  TO SAY AT .EAST BE ON GUARD FOR THAT LOOKING OUT IN THE NEXT YEAR  ARE I WILL BE IS ON THE WATCH THANK YOU DAN. WE'LL BE BACK WITH  MORE AGDAY IN JUST A MINUTE> FOR A FREE TRIAL OF DAN'S NEWSLETTER, VISIT  THE HUEBER REPORT DOT  COM OR CALL TOLL FREE – 888-926-0985.

WEATHER
AGDAY WEATHER - BROUGHT TO YOU BY CORVUS PRE-EMERGENCE CORN  HERBICIDE FROM BAYER.  THE ONLY HERBICIDE TO OFFER THREE LEVELS OF  DEFENSE AGAINST WEEDS - BURNDOWN, RESIDUAL AND REACTIVATION  WITH RAIN.. ) WELCOME BACK TIME NOW TO TAKE A CHECK OF WEATHER MIKE THAT  SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHEAST MEAN THAT WAS OUR LEAD STORY A BIG  STORY THIS WEEK SO THAT FRONT,  DOES THAT BUILD AS IT MOVES FARTHER  EAST  EAST SNOW IT IS EVENTUALLY GOING TO MOVE OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST SO  THIS IS A THREE DAY EVENT MORE THAN LIKELY IN THAT MOST OF THE  SOUTHEAST SO THAT IT'S BEEN GREAT BUT OBVIOUSLY IS NOT GOING TO  LAST FOREVER SO PUTTING THE MAPS INTO MOTION YOU'LL NOTICE THE  AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NOW OVER KENTUCKY WILL MOVE FAIRLY QUICKLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY  MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SO ONCE YOU'RE BEHIND THAT SECOND  FRONT WHICH IS THE COLD AIR  YOU CAN SEE IT DRY OFF COMPLETELY AND YOU'LL BE DONE WITH THE RAIN  AT LEAST FOR NOW NORTHERN SYSTEM THOUGH YOU'LL SEE SOME SELL  WRAPPING AROUND THAT AND SOME LAKE EFFECT RAIN AND SNOW AS WE  HEAD THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TOMORROW  AND SEE BY TOMORROW MORNING DOUBLE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR NORTH EASTERN GREAT  LAKES AND INTO NEW ENGLAND WAS SOME SNOW ON THE COLD SIDE OF  IT BUT THEN THEY BASICALLY RAIN TO THE SOUTH  MOST OF THE RAIN IS COMING TO AN END BY TOMORROW MORNING  EXCEPT FOR THE FAR NORTHEAST AND PARTS OF THE FAR SOUTHEAST  ESPECIALLY FLORIDA THAT SYSTEM OUT WEST COMES IN WITH SOME  DECENT RAINS ALONG THE COAST NOW IT'S PRODUCING SOME SNOW AS  WE HEAD INTO TOMORROW MORNING  FOR A MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ROCKIES HEADING THROUGH  THE REST THE DAY YOU CAN SEE THAT CONTINUE FOR PARTS OF COLORADO  WYOMING AND MONTANA AND IT'LL CONTINUE TO BE A LITTLE BIT OF RAIN  AND SNOW NOT MUCH MORE ACCUMULATION ACROSS THE NORTHEAST  INTO THE GREAT LIGHTS TAKING A LOOK AT A PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES OVER THE PAST TWENTY  FOUR HOURS YOU CAN SEE SOME AREAS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY DOWN  INTO LOUISIANA EASTERN TEXAS HAVE SEEN SOME RAIN ADDING IN THE  NEXT THIRTY SIX  WILL CONTINUE TO SEE THAT PRECEDE OFF TO THE EAST SO AGAIN THERE WERE SOME AREAS IT GOT EVEN RAIN BEFORE THIS WHOLE PERIOD SO  EVEN AFTER THAT FIRST DAY  THESE TWO DAYS HERE ARE GOING TO BRING ONE TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN  ALL DEPENDING ON WHERE THOSE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ACTUALLY HAVE  LITTLE INSIGHT A PRETTY SOLID LINE SO MOST AREAS GET SOME DECENT  AMOUNTS ENDING SAY THE NORTHEAST TO THE NORTH OF ALL THE  THUNDERSTORMS GETTING TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN AS WELL IS THAT SYSTEM SLOWLY  MOVES THAT WAY SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AND EVEN SAY A LITTLE BIT SOME  OF THE HEAVY AMOUNTS A SHOULD SAY IN MAINE SOME LIGHT STUFF STILL  FALLING IN THE FAR NORTHERN PLAINS ADDING IN THE NEXT THIRTY SIX  HOURS WILL ADD A LITTLE MORE IN MAINE A LITTLE MORE IN THE NORTHERN  PLAINS AND DEFINITELY SOME MORE OUT IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AS FAR AS TEMPS GO THE WARMTH IS NOW  PUSHED ALL THE WEIGHT OF THE SOUTHEAST YOU CAN SEE THE HIGH  TEMPS IN THE THIRTIES AND FORTIES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHWARD WITH LAOS INTO THE THIRTIES AND NORTHERN DIXIE TONIGHT HIGH TEMPS  TOMORROW YOU CAN SEE REMAINING ON THE COOL SIDE ACROSS MOST OF THE LOWER FORTY EIGHT AND IT'S ALL BECAUSE OF THIS  BIG CUT OFF AREA OF LOW PRESSURE BUT THAT DOES FINALLY MOVEEASTWARD THEN OUR MODEL PRODUCES ANOTHER CUT OFF OFF A  SOUTHEASTERN PORT SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY A BIG COLD MASS COMING IN FOR NEXT WEEK FOR THE WEST FIRST OF ALL  THAT'S A LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY NOW LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT SOME LOCAL FORECASTS WE'LL HEAD TO SALEM OREGON FIRST OF ALL MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A  COUPLE OF SHOWERS HIGH OF FIFTY ONE DEGREES TRAVERSE CITY  MICHIGAN A MIXTURE OF CLOUDS AND SUNSHINE HIGH OF FIFTY THREE  AND RICHMOND VIRGINIA WINDY AND WARM PERIODS OF RAIN AND  THUNDERSTORMS HIGH OF SEVENTY FOUR>

TEASE
WITH CITRUS GREENING IN THEIR ORANGE GROVES,  SOME GROWERS MAY TAKE DRASTIC MEASURES TO  PREVENT RED FROM THEIR LEDGERS.  DETAILS JUST  AHEAD. PLUS SEE HOW GLOBAL ECONOMICS COULD TAKE A  LITTLE "JINGLE" OUT OF THE CHRISTMAS TREE SEASON  FOR SOME GROWERS. AGDAY - BROUGHT TO YOU BY FARMER'S EDGE.  FOR THE LATEST IN  MAKING SENSE OF YOUR DATA - VISIT GROWYOURRETURNS.COM.  

PACKER TV
IN PACKER TV, DEVESTATION IN FLORIDA'S CITRUS  INDUSTRY COULD CAUSE MAJOR CONSOLIDATION.  USDA PEGS TOTAL CITRUS PRODUCTION TO FALL 5  PERCENT THIS YEAR. FARMER MAC SAYS THAT'S LED BY  AN 18 PERCENT DROP IN FLROIDA. BUT AMPLE SUPPLIES  IN BOTH TEXAS AND CALIFORNIA WILL SOFTEN THE  OVERALL BLOW TO PORDUCTION THIS YEAR. FARMER MAC SAYS FLORIDA ORCHARDS CONTINUE TO  SUFFER FROM CITURS GREEING. JUST SINCE 2008,  MORE THAN 100 THOUSAND ACRES OF ORCHARDS HAVE  BEEN TAKEN OUT OF PRODUCTION IN THAT STATE  ALONE. FARMER MAC SAYS THAT DECLINE WILL  CONTINUE, WHICH MEANS MORE CONSILDATION IN  FLORIDA'S CITRUS INDUSTRY.  <PEOPLE ARE GETTING FORCED OUT. YOU HAVE PRODUCTION IS DOWN,  PRICES ARE DOWN, IT'S AN INDUSTRY PROBABLYU IN SORT OF AN  EVOLUTAIOARY PHASE RIGHT NOW. A LOT OF THINGS HAVE CHANGED IN  TEH PAST TWO YEARS. AND A LOT OF TURNOVER> FARMER MAC SAYS THE U-S HOUSE OF  REPRESETNATIVES PASSED THE EMERGENCY CITRUS  DISEASE RESPONSE ACT IN SEPTEMBER. IT WOULD GIVE  TAX INCENTIVES FOR REPLANTING ORCHARDS WIPED  OUT BY CITRUS GREENING. 

TEASE
WHEN  WE COME BACK - 10 MONTHS OF PREPARATION  FOR TWO MONTHS MONTH OF A FRENZIED PACE FOR  TREE GROWERS. A EUROPEAN YULETIDE WHEN WE COME BACK. ENTER FOR YOUR CHANCE TO WIN TWO REGISTRATIONS TO THE TOP  PRODUCER SEMINAR - JANUARY 24TH THROUGH THE 27TH IN CHICAGO.  PACKAGE INCLUDES A THREE-NIGHT HOTEL STAY, PLUS A TWO-HUNDRED  DOLLAR VISA GIFT CARD!  GO TO  TOPPRODUCERSEMINAR.COM/SWEEPSTAKES. 

IN THE COUNTRY
IN THE COUNTRY - BROUGHT TO YOU BY KUBOTA'S BX  AND L SERIES COMPACT TRACTORS - AVAILABLE NOW  WITH A SIX-YEAR LIMITED POWERTRAIN WARRANTY.   LEARN MORE TODAY AT YOUR LOCAL KUBOTA DEALER. ) IT'S NOT JUST THE RETAIL INDUSTRY IN HIGH GEAR  RIGHT NOW. THE CHRISTMAS TREE INDUSTRY IS ALSO  WORKING LONG HOURS IN A SHORT WINDOW OF TIME.  AND GLOBAL ECONOMICS WILL HELP DICTATE IF IT'S A  MERRY CHRISTMAS FOR THOSE GROWERS BOTH HERE  AND ABROAD. THIS IS ARBO-DANIA CHRISTMAS FARM IN LUND-BEE,  DENMARK.  THEY HARVEST A HALF MILLION CHRISTMAS  TREES EACH YEAR. IT'S THE BIGGEST SUPPLIER OF  YULETIDE TREES IN ALL OF EUROPE. ACCORDING TO THE DANISH CHRISTMAS TREE  ASSOCIATION, DENMARK GROWS 11-AND-A HALF  MILLION TREES A YEAR.  NINE AND A HALF MILLION ARE  EXPORTED. BUT THESE ARE CHALLENGING TIMES. AN ABUNDANCE OF TREES AND COMPETITION FROM REGIONAL  SUPPLIERS IS MAKING IT A DIFFICULT SEASON. " WE HAVE HAD QUITE SOME PEOPLE ALL OVER EUROPE MAYBE HAVING  TOO MUCH MONEY, SPENDING, BUYING SOME LAND SOMEWHERE AND  THINKING IF THEY PLANT SOME TREES, EIGHT OR TEN YEARS AFTER THEY WILL  DEVELOP GOLD OUT OF THE GROUND. WHICH IS NOT THE FACT, BUT THE  TREES ARE STILL COMING AND THERE ARE A LOT OF THEM."> " THE EASTERN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES, WE WERE VERY INTERESTED IN  EXPORTING TO THEM AS A NEW, UPCOMING MARKET, BUT THE 2008  FINANCIAL CRISIS SENT THEM SOMEWHAT BACK. THEY WANT OUR TREES,  WE KNOW THAT, BUT THEY HAVE NOT HAD THE ABILITY TO PAY."> THE DANISH CHRISTMAS TREE ASSOCIATION SAYS THE  EXCHANGE RATE BETWEEN THE EURO AND BRITISH  STERLING POUND IS MAKING IT DIFFICULT FOR DANISH  TREE GROWERS TO GET THE SAME PRICE IN THE U-K AS  IN PREVIOUS YEARS.

CLOSE
THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. WE'RE  GLAD YOU TUNED IN.  FOR MIKE HOFFMAN, AND ALL OF US AT AGDAY, I'M TYNE  MORGAN. HAVE A GREAT DAY. 

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