AgDay Daily Recap -October 5, 2016

July 5, 2016 02:57 AM
 

TODAY ON AGDAY
OCTOBER 5, 2016

HEADLINES
COMING UP TODAY ON AGDAY -CHECKING THE AG INDUSTRY'S BAROMETER. PLUS "COMBINES ARE ROLLING IN EASTERN IOWA. WE'LL TELL YOU WHAT FARMERS SEE AHEAD ON AGDAY." IN AGRIBUSINES....CHECKING ON CATTLE MARKETS. NEW LOWS NEW CONTRACT LOWS IT'S BEEN A LONG TIME SINCE WE'VE BEEN UNDER A HUNDRED DOLLAR LIVE CATTLE. IT'S A MIXED MESSAGE FROM THE NATION'S PUMPKIN GROWERS. AND THIS STONE COW HONOR'S THE WORLD DAIRY EXPO'S PAST WHILE REMAINING STEADFAST IN ITS FUTURE. AGDAY-BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE DEPENDABLE, LONG LASTING CHEVY SILVERADO.

OCTOBER AG BAROMETER
GOOD MORNING I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. AFTER A SHARP DECLINE IN FARMER'S ATTITUDES ABOUT THE ECONOMY, IT APPEARS THEY WERE A BIT MORE HOPEFUL IN SEPTEMBER. THAT'S THE BOTTOM LINE OF PURDUE'S MONTHLY AG BAROMETER PURDUE UNIVERSITY AND THE CME GROUP TRACK FARMER SENTIMENT AND OUTLOOK ON ECONOMIC ISSUES IN AG. IN SEPTEMBER THE BAROMETER CAME IN AT 101--SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN AUGUST'S READING OF 95. SURVEY RESPONDENTS ARE MORE OPTIMISTIC ABOUT THE LIVESTOCK SECTOR THAN THEY ARE GRAINS. AND WITH CHEAP FEED, LIVESTOCK PRODUCERS SEE IMPROVEMENT IN THEIR BOTTOMLINE. "WELL FEED BUYERS REALLY NEED TO PAY ATTENTION. CORN PRICES ARE AT THEIR LOWEST PRICE IN A DECADE. SO WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE COST OF PRODUCTION, TO PRODUCE A BUSHEL OF CORN, AND YOU CAN BUY IT CHEAPER THAN THAT, I CONSIDER THAT A BARGAIN. SO BARGAIN'S DON'T LAST FOREVER, TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THAT BARGAIN." FEWER SURVEY RESPONDENTS EXPECT LOWER PRICES FOR BEEF CATTLE AND MILK THAN AT ANY TIME IN THE LAST YEAR.

WORLD DAIRY EXPO
A MILESTONE IS BEING CELEBRATED IN MADISON WISCONSIN THIS WEEK AS THE WORLD DAIRY EXPO MARKS 50 YEARS OF SHOWCASING THE U-S DAIRY INDUSTRY. ACCORDING TO OUR PARTNERS AT DAIRY HERD MANAGEMENT, WORLD DAIRY EXPO BEGAN IN 1967 AS THE WORLD FOOD EXPOSITION. IT HAS SINCE EVOLVED INTO THE LARGEST DAIRY TRADE AND CATTLE SHOW IN THE WORLD WITH NEARLY 25-HUNDRED CATTLE, AND THREE-THOUSAND \INTERNATIONAL GUESTS FROM NEARLY 100 COUNTRIES. AT THE EXPO...ASIDE FROM MILK PRICES, INDUSTRY LEADERS AND PRODUCERS ARE CONCERNED ABOUT LIVE CATTLE TRADING UNDER A DOLLAR OVER THE LAST FEW WEEKS. AND WHILE MILK MAY BE THE MAIN PRODUCT, INDUSTRY LEADERS SAY FALLING CATTLE PRICES ALSO DRIVE DECISIONS AT THE DAIRY. "THAT'S ALREADY HAVING AN IMPACT. BECAUSE FARMERS DON'T HAVE ANY INCENTIVE TO CULL CATTLE RIGHT NOW, EVEN WITH THESE PRICES SO LOW. WE SAW COW NUMBERS JUMP 45-THOUSAND HEAD OVER A YEAR AGO IN AUGUST, EVEN WITH LOW MILK PRICES. EVEN WITH CHEAPER FEED, THEY HAVE NO INCENTIVE TO CULL COWS. "DAIRIES HAVE A DIFFICULT CHOICE, DO I GET RID OF THIS COW THAT ISN'T WORTH MUCH ANYMORE OR DO I TRY TO GET MORE MILK OUT OF HER AND GET MORE REVENUE TO CASH FLOW THE OPERATION? SO FAR WE'VE SEEN CHOICE B WHERE WE'RE GOING TO USE UP GOOD FEED IN ABUNDANCE AND GET MORE MILK OUT OF THE COWS, RATHER THAN GET RID OF THE COWS." WE'LL TAKE A CLOSER LOOK AT MILK PRICE EXPECTATION AND IMPACTS COMING TOMORROW ON AGDAY. THE EXPO RUNS THROUGH SATURDAY.

I-80 HARVEST EASTERN IOWA
THE I-80 HARVEST TOUR -SPONSORED BY THE ENLIST WEED CONTROL SYSTEM FROM DOW AGROSCIENCES -COMBINING THE PROVEN CONTROL OF A NEW 2,4-D AND GLYPHOSATE. TAKE CONTROL OF TOUGH WEEDS LIKE NEVER BEFORE. EASTERN IOWA IS WELL INTO HARVEST BUT SOME POCKETS ARE WAITING FOR FIELDS TO DRY AND HIGH WATER GO DOWN AFTER TORRENTIAL RAINS HIT THE UPPER MIDWEST TWO WEEKS AGO. SOME AREAS NEAR WATERLOO, IOWA RECEIVED OVER 13 INCHES OF RAIN. BETSY JIBBEN TRAVELED TO EASTERN IOWA JUST BEFORE FARMERS STARTED TO BATTLE THE HEAVY RAIN. "WE TRAVELED TO EASTERN IOWA JUST DAYS BEFORE THE TORRENTIAL RAIN. LUCKILY, THE FARMERS WE VISITED DID NOT RECEIVE THE MASSIVE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL,"THE ASSEMBLY LINE IS READY TO ROLL. IT'S A RACE AGAINST THE CLOUDS. "WE'VE HAD RAIN EVERY THREE OR FOUR DAYS," AND A RUSH TO CAPTURE A BASIS OPPORTUNITY. "THEY NEED BEANS. WE'VE BEEN IN HURRY UP MODE THE PAST WEEK TRYING TO GET BEANS THERE BY THIS FRIDAY. THEIR BASIS IS SO POSITIVE." SINCE THEN, BASIS HAS DROPPED AND THE RAINDROPS HAVE FALLEN. BUT IT HASN'T BEEN THIS BAD FOR COGGON, IOWA FARMER MITCH ZUMBACH. ZUMBACH SAYS THERE WAS PLENTIFUL MOISTURE THIS SUMMER AND WARMER THAN NORMAL NIGHTTIME TEMPERATURES. BUT HE'S EXPECTING A POTENTIAL RECORD IN HIS AREA, ESPECIALLY WHEN IT COMES TO SOYBEANS. HES NOT SURPRISED TO HEAR OF 50 OR EVEN 80 BUSHEL BEANS. "SO FAR THE BEAN CROP HAS BEEN TREMENDOUS FROM WHAT WE'VE SEEN SO FAR. (TAKE OUT ME INBETWEEN) THE CORN CROP, I HAVE SOME CUSTOMERS STARTING ON CORN. PROBABLY NOT AS HIGH OF A HIGH AS THEY THOUGHT. BUT THEY'RE WELL SATISFIED." WHILE MOTHER NATURE MAY CONTROL THE YIELD, ZUMBACH SAYS HE HAS HIS CREW TO THANK AS WELL. "GREAT EMPLOYEES. COULDN'T ASK FOR BETTER ONES. WE HAVE PROBABLY THREE OR FOUR PART TIME GUYS WHO COME BACK EVERY ONCE IN AWHILE IN THE FALL. I THINK TO JUST HAVE FUN." "BRENT, DO YOU WANT TO GO AROUND ME?" CEDAR FALLS, IOWA FARMER, BRENT JUDISCH IS BUSY IN THE FIELDS WITH HIS OWN CREW. WE KEEP UP PRETTY WELL IF THERE ARE TWO CARTS. ONE IS ALWAYS DUMPING AND ONE IS ALWAYS UNLOADING," A PATTERN WORKING WELL FOR HIM. EVEN IF MOTHER NATURE ISN'T. "I THINK WE NEED TO GET BACK TO A DRIER PATTERN. WE'RE HOPING WE CAN STRING 7,8, DAYS IN A ROW WITHOUT RAIN VERSUS 4 OR 5," BUT JUDISCH SAYS IT'S RAIN EARLIER IN THE GROWING SEASON THAT MADE A DIFFERENCE THIS YEAR. HE SAYS LIGHTER SOILS ARE PRODUCING BETTER -THAT'S DUE TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN IN JUNE AND TIMELY RAINS FOR MOST OF JULY AND AUGUST. "SO THE GROUND THAT'S STRUGGLING A BIT WITH MOISTURE WILL BE EXCELLENT AND THE GROUND THAT NORMALLY DOES BETTER IN A DRY YEAR WILL BE AVERAGE," JUDISCH SAYS THE SOYBEAN CROP LOOKS EXCEPTIONAL, BUT HE DOESN'T KNOW IF BOTH CROPS TOGETHER ARE A RECORD. "I'VE ONLY BEEN IN ABOUT 5 CORN FIELDS BUT I WOULD SAY WE DO NOT HAVE QUITE A RECORRD CROP. IT'S GOIGN TO BEA GOOD CROP. PROBABLY A TOP 5 CROP BUT I THINK BECAUSE OF HTE EXCESS RAIN IN JUNE AND WARM NIGHTS IN JULY, I DON'T QUITE SEE IT AS A RECORD CROP," BOTH FARMERS MAY BE FIGHTING RAINDROPS THIS HARVEST. BUT LIKE EVERY YEAR, THEY'RE THANKFUL FOR THEIR CROP AND CREW. "WE WANT TO FARM. WE FARM CAUSE WE WANT TO WE DON'T MIND THE HOURS AND STRESS." "IT'S NOT A JOB, IT'S A LIFESTYLE. WE CHOSE TO BE FARMERS. WE CHOSE TO WORK 100 HOURS IN THE SPRING AND 100 HOURS IN THE FALL EVERY WEEK." REPORTING IN EASTERN IOWA, I'M BETSY JIBBEN. THANKS BETSY. JUDISCH SAYS HE RECEIVED 4 INCHES OF RAIN THAT WEEK. ZUMBACH HAD THREE INCHES IN THE RAIN GAUGE.

CORN GROWERS AND ATRAZINE
TODAY IS THE FINAL DAY FOR CORN GROWERS TO SUBMIT COMMENTS TO THE GOVERNMENT ABOUT THE USE OF THE HERBICIDE ATRAZINE. THE ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY HAS A PROPOSED REGULATION TO REDUCE THE ALLOWABLE LEVELS. THE NATIONAL CORN GROWERS ASSOCIATION SAYS THOSE LIMITS ARE BASICALLY A "BAN" ON ATRAZINE. NCGA SAYS ATRAZINE IS A KEY TOOL IN FIGHTING SOME OF THE TOUGHEST WEEDS. IT'S ALSO USED BY SORGHUM AND SUGARCANE GROWERS. "ATRAZINE IS ONE OF THE OLDER CHEMICALS THAT WE'RE USING BUT IT IS ALSO IN ABOUT 100 DIFFERENT BLENDS. SO A LOT OF THE CHEMICALS THAT ARE USED, WHEN INDIVIDUALS DON'T USE ATRAZINE AS A SINGLE CHEMICAL ANYMORE OR HERBICIDE, THEY USE IT AS A BLEND WITH THE NEWER TECHNOLOGIES. IT AIDS THEM,. IT HELPS, IT'S JUST A GREAT CHEMISTRY." A STUDY CONDUCTED BY THE UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO SHOWS REMOVING ATRAZINE FROM A FARMERS TOOL BOX COULD COST CORN GROWERS 59DOLLARS AN ACRE IN LOST INCOME.

CROP COMMENTS
CROP COMMENTS IS POWERED BY RESICORE HERBICIDE FOR CORN, FROM DOW AGROSCIENCES. HURRICANE MATTHEW'S TRACK AS IT APPROACHES THE U-S IS STILL UNCERTAIN. ONE THING IS CERTAIN -THE TIMING IS POOR AS FARMERS THROUGHOUT THE SOUTHEAST TRY TO BRING IN THEIR CROPS. CINDI CLAWSON HAS DETAILS IN CROP COMMENTS. GOOD MORNING CLINTON. THE NORTH CAROLINA GOVERNOR DECLARED A STATE OF EMERGENCY. THAT DECLARATION LIFTS WEIGH RESTRICTIONS ON GRAIN TRUCKS AND HOURS OF SERVICE. GOVERNOR PAT MCCRORY SAYS HEAVY RAIN THE PAST TWO WEEKS ALREADY HURT SOME FARMERS. HE DOESN'T WANT THEM TO LOSE CROPS SITTING IN THE FIELD IF THE STORM HITS. ON THE LEON PLETZ FARM IN SOUTHERN MINNESOTA, THEY WERE CREATING RUTS AS THEY TRIED TO CHOP CORN SILAGE. THE FAMILY RUNS A CUSTOM CHOPPING SERVICE AND HAVE BEEN HAMPERED BY THE WET CONDITIONS AND CONSTANT RAIN. AND DESPITE SOME WEATHER CHALLENGES FOR FARMERS, THIS SNAPSHOT REMINDS US OF THE BEAUTY OF THE FALL HARVEST. KYLE BERCK FROM HAMILTON COUNTY, NEBRASKA SHARED THIS VIEW OF SOYBEAN HARVEST FROM HIS CAB. DON'T YOU WISH ALL HARVEST DAYS COULD LOOK LIKE THAT! AND NOW HERE ARE SOME HOMETOWN TEMPS.

TEASE
CATTLE PRICES BOUNCING BACK ON TUESDAY. UP NEXT WE'LL TALK ABOUT THE CATTLE MARKET AND FACTORS BEHIND RECENT MOVEMENT COMING UP IN ANALYSIS. AND LATER THIS COW IS TAKING A STAND IN MADISON IN HONOR OF FIVE DECADES OF THE WORLD DAIRY EXPO.

FROM THE CME
AGRIBUSINESS TODAY, BROUGHT TO YOU BY YAMAHA -MAKERS OF VIKING SIDEBY-SIDES. YAMAHA -REAL WORLD TOUGH. IN AGRIBUSINESS IT WAS A MIXED DAY IN TRADE. LETS SEE HOW MARKETS CLOSED FROM THE FLOOR OF THE CME IN CHICAGO. SOYBEAN MARKET UNDER A LITTLE BIT OF PRESSURE HERE I KNOW THE BASIS BIDS AT THE GULF AND RIVER HAVE BEEN KIND OF SOFT SO THE SYSTEM IS GETTING THE BEANS THAT IT NEEDS. I THINK A LOT OF FARMERS ARE SELLING SOYBEANS OUT OF THE FIELD ONE BECAUSE THE YIELDS HAVE BEEN VERY VERY GOOD AND THEY MAY HAVE SOME EXTRA BUSHELS TO SELL AND TWO BECAUSE BEANS ARE PROFITABLE WHEREAS CORN AND WHEAT NOT SO PROFITABLE. SO THINK THE STORAGE WILL GO TO CORN AND WHEAT AND I THINK THE BEANS WILL BE SOLD.

AGRIBUSINESS DESK
HERE AT THE AGRIBUSINESS DESK WE HAVE CHIP NELLINGER, BLUE REEF AGRIMARKETING OUR GUEST. LET'S TALK ABOUT THE CATTLE MARKET BECAUSE LATE LAST WEEK WE SAW THAT SEPTEMBER, UR UH, THAT OCTOBER FUTURES PRICE DIP DOWN BELOW A DOLLAR. WHERE ARE WE ON THIS.. THAT WAS LIVE CATTLE FUTURES THIS YEAR. IT'S A IT WAS A ROUGH WEEK IT'S BEEN A ROUGH SEVERAL MONTHS AND IN CATTLE NEW LOWS A NEW CONTRACT LOWS. IT'S BEEN A LONG TIME SINCE WE'VE BEEN UNDER A HUNDRED DOLLAR LIVE CATTLE. FEEDER CATTLE MAKING NEW LOWS AS WELL. IT JUST SEEMS LIKE THAT THE PACKER JUST IS ABLE TO BUY CASH CATTLE STEADY TO LOWER ALMOST EVERY WEEK SO THEY HAVE THE UPPER HAND RIGHT NOW YOU KNOW I THINK IS WE GET PAST FALL THAT STARTS TO FIX ITSELF BUT NOT IMMEDIATELY. THE PROBLEM IS IT'S IT'S BEEN KIND OF A BLOODBATH FOR LACK OF A BETTER TERM. THERE'S BEEN A LOT OF EQUITY GIVEN BACK OF THE LAST SIX MONTHS HERE. SO THERE'S A REAL PROBLEM UP THERE WE NEED TO SEE CASH CATTLE STABILIZE. I GUESS THE THAT THE ONE TAKE HOME, THE ONE BRIGHT SPOT IS THAT FEEDER CATTLE PRICES HAVE DROPPED A LITTLE BIT QUICKER THEN FED COW PRICES. SO I THAT'S BEEN SOMETHING THAT'S BEEN THE ME GET BACK IN LINE AND IT HAS MORE ROOM TO GO BUT THAT IS A SILVER LINING IS THAT THAT FEEDER CATTLE PRICES ARE CHEAPENING UP RELATIVE TO FATS THAT'S THAT'S GOOD NEWS FOR THE FEEDLOT SECTOR GOING FORWARD BUT UNFORTUNATELY THERE'S NO MAGIC BULLET HERE. IT'S JUST GOING TO TAKE SOME TIME GET THROUGH THESE NUMBERS WE HAVE RIGHT NOW. YOU KNOW I THINK WE COULD SEE BOUNCES OUT INTO THE WINTER BUT YOU KNOW IT'S UNFORTUNATELY A ROUGH TIME RIGHT NOW ON THE CATTLE SIDE. IS IS THERE ANY INDICATION OF WHAT MIGHT MAKE A GOOD BALANCE LIKE WHAT PRICE WE NEED TO GET TO TO REALLY KIND OF BALANCES OUT HERE YEAH I THINK THAT WITH THE PUSH THAT DOWN YOU KNOW NOW BELOW A HUNDRED DOLLARS YOU'RE GETTING CLOSE TO A FAIR VALUE HERE. THERE'S A LOT OF PEOPLE TALK IN EIGHTY FIVE FOR A LOW THAT WOULD SEEM LITTLE EXTREME TO ME. I THINK PROBABLY A MORE MORE NORMAL RANGE YOU KNOW I REMEMBER COMING OFF ALL TIME HIGHS HERE AND YOU KNOW WITHIN LAST YEAR SO A GOOD NORMAL NEW NORMAL RANGE IN MY MIND GOING FORWARD WOULD BE YOU KNOW LOW TO MID ONE TWENTIES ON THE TOPSIDE. YOU KNOW NINETIES ON THE DOWNSIDE. SO IN MY MIND WE'RE GETTING TOWARDS THE BOTTOM END OF THAT BUT THE BIG PICTURE IS HOW QUICK CAN WE BOUNCE BACK. SO THAT A LOT OF ADJUSTING IT NEEDS TO HAPPEN OUT THERE. PLENTY OF ADJUSTING OVER THE LAST YEAR OR SO IN THIS CATTLE MARKET. APPRECIATE IT CHIP. WE WILL BE BACK WITH MORE AGDAY IN JUST A MINUTE. "FARMING HAS CHANGED. MARKETS ARE RISKIER THAN EVER. FOR CUTOMIZED FOCUSED COMMODITY MARKETING, CONTRACT BLUE REEF AGRIMARKETING AT 309-550-7213 OR ONLINE AT WWW.BLUEREEFINC.COM." YOU'RE A FARMER. AND YOU ARE RELENTLESS. WE'RE RELENTLESS TOO. VISIT MYCOGEN-DOT-COM, OR YOUR LOCAL MYCOGEN SEEDS DEALER TO LEARN MORE ABOUT OUR RELENTLESS DEDICATION TO YOU.

NATIONAL WEATHER
WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY CINDI CLAUSSEN IN FOR MIKE HOFFMAN AGAIN TODAY. CINDI AS WE LOOK AT THOSE WEATHER MAP WE CAN SEE THERE'S A SYSTEM KIND OF MOVING FROM WEST TO EAST BUT THE SYSTEM WE DON'T SEE IS THE HURRICANE. RIGHT? YEAH WE DON'T SEE THAT QUITE ON THIS PART OF A MAP YOU'LL SEE BY THE TIME WE FINISH OFF THE MAP AS WE GET INTO YOUR THURSDAY FORECAST BUT LET'S TALK ABOUT THAT SYSTEM IN THE NATION'S MID SECTION. YOU CAN SEE THE LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF TO THE NORTH IS BRINGING SOME SNOW IN PARTS OF MONTANA EVEN INTO WYOMING ALONG THE COLD FRONT WE'RE GOING TO BE SEEING SOME RAIN BUT THAT COLD FRONT ISN'T GONNA BE MAKING A TOP OF MOVEMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WATCH AND SEE HOW IN THE NORTHERN PART OF IT PUSHES TO THE EAST BUT IT'S GOING TO DO MORE OF A PIVOT SO WE'RE GONNA SEE SOME OF THE SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE GREAT LAKES WILL SEE ANOTHER BATCH KIND OF RIDING UP ALONG THE FRONT AS WELL BUT EVENTUALLY WHAT'S GONNA HAPPEN IS THIS LOW WILL START TO PUSH UP OFF TO THE NORTHEAST AND THE WHOLE THING WILL PUSH ON OFF TO THE EAST BUT HERE'S A LOOK AT MATTHEW AS IT APPROACHES FLORIDA AND AS WE PROJECTED THAT INTO THE FUTURE NOTICE HOW CLOSE IT GETS TO THE COAST NOW DEFINITELY STAY TUNED TO YOUR LOCAL AFFILIATES IF YOU'RE IN THE SOUTHEAST THEY WILL HAVE THE MOST UPDATED INFORMATION THERE BUT I AS WE HEAD THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON WE'RE GOING TO SEE AGAIN A LITTLE BIT MORE FORWARD MOVEMENT BUT IT DOESN'T REALLY CLEAR THE CORN BELT UNTIL WE GET INTO FRIDAY. AS FAR AS THE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATE ITS REALLY GOING TO BE WITH THAT FRONT THAT WE'VE SEEN THE MOSTOVER THE PAST TWENTY FOUR HOURS YOU CAN SEE SOME AREAS BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES AS YOU GET INTO SOME OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS AND INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST HEADING INTO THE NEXT TWENTY FOUR HOURS THOUGH YOU SEE THAT EASTWARD MOVEMENT THERE YOU ALSO START TO SEE SOME OF THAT RAIN INCREASING IN FLORIDA FROM MATTHEW. HERE'S A LOOK AT THE SNOWFALL AND I'M NOT READY TO TALK ABOUT THAT YET BUT WE HAVE SEEN SOME ALREADY AND WE ARE LOOKING TO ADD A LITTLE BIT MORE TO THAT TODAY ESPECIALLY IN NORTHEASTERN MONTANA LET'S TALK TEMPERATURES BOY IS A COLD OVER FOR FOLKS AND ESPECIALLY MONTANA SOME OF THE NORTHWESTER UNITED STATES. VERY WARM LOOK AT THAT NINETY ONE DEGREES IN DALLAS TODAY EXTREMELY WARM NINETY TWO IN BROWNSVILLE SO WE HAVE A BIG HUGE TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN NORTHWEST AND SOUTH ACROSS THE COUNTRY. HEADING INTO TONIGHT'S STILL KIND OF THE SAME THING TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE THIRTIES MAYBE EVEN TWENTIES THERE WERE GONNA BE LOOKING AT THAT SEVENTIES IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL UNITED STATES AND AS WE HEAD INTO TOMORROW YES STILL VERY COLD THERE WE STILL SEE THE BIG TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCE WE'RE GOING TO HAVE TO WAIT UNTIL THAT FRONT MOVES THROUGH TO SEE SOME OF THAT EVENING OUT AND LET'S QUICKLY LOOK AT THE JET STREAM WE'VE GOT THIS BIG TROUGH HAS BEEN KEEPING THAT COLD AIR IN THE NORTHWEST VERY WARM AIR IN THE SOUTH AND INTO THE EASTERN PART OF THE COUNTRY THAT THAT'S GOING TO SLIDE ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER STATES AS WE GET INTO FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. WE'LL WARM UP IN THE WEST SO YOU WON'T BE THAT COLD FOR THAT LONG IT WILL START TO SEE THOSE TEMPERATURES EVEN OUT IN PRETTY WARM AGAIN IN THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY BUT LOOK FOR MORE STORMY WEATHER AS WE GET INTO NEXT WEEK IN THE NORTHWEST.

REGIONAL WEATHER
THAT'S A LOOK AT YOUR NATIONAL FORECAST NOW A CHECK ON THE WEATHER WHERE YOU LIVE POPLAR MONTANA BREEZY WITH SOME RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS FOR YOU TODAY WITH A HIGH OF THIRTY SEVEN DEGREES GARNETT KANSAS MOSTLY SUNNY MAYBE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY A HIGH OF EIGHTY DEGREES AND MOSTLY SUNNY IN SPENCER TENNESSEE

TEASE
WHEN WE COME BACK, A CHECK ON THE PRODUCE MARKET FROM OUR FRIENDS AT THE PACKER. AND SHOWCASING A WORK OF ART THAT CELEBRATES DAIRY DIVERSITY!

INCREASED CHINA FRUIT DEMAND
ON THE PACKER TV, DEMAND FOR FRUIT IN CHINA IS RAPIDLY RISING. THAT HAS U.S. EXPORTERS LOOKING TO GAIN MARKET SHARE ACORDING TO A NEW USDA REPORT. IT SHOWS EXPORTS ROSE THREEFOLD TO 3.8 MILLION METRIC TONS IN 2015, REPRESENTING NEARLY SEVEN PERCENT OF TOTAL MARKET SHARE BY VALUE. WHILE THE U.S. CONTINUES TO BE A MAJOR SUPPLIER OF FRUIT LIKE BANANAS, GRAPES, ORANGES AND APPLES TO CHINA, IT FACES INCREASING COMPETITION FROM BOTH CHINESE GROWERS AND NEIGHBORS IN THAILAND, VIETNAM AND THE PHILIPPINES. THOSE THREE COUNTRIES ALONE SUPPLY MORE THAN HALFOF CHINA'S FRESH FRUITS EACH YEAR.

PUMPKIN CROP
IT'S PEAK PUMPKIN TIME. AND ACCORDING TO OUR PARTNERS AT THE PACKER A MIXED WEATHER YEAR MAY TAKE ITS TOLL ON PUMPKIN SUPPLIES AS HALLOWEEN NEARS. LUSK ONION COMPANY IN CLOVIS, NEW MEXICO GETS MOST OF THEIR PUMPKINS FROM THEIR FARM IN TEXAS. DESPITE THE NAME, THE COMPANY NO LONGER GROWSONIONS. IT NOW FOCUSES ON PUMPKINS. LUSK SAYS DEMAND AND QUALITY IS GOOD. OTHER THAN A TWO-WEEK HEAT WAVE IN JULY, THE GROWING WEATHER IN THE SOUTHWEST HAS BEEN EXCELLENT. THAT'S NOT THE CASE AT TUREK FARMS IN KING FERRY, NEW YORK. THEY WERE HIT BY DROUGHT THIS SUMMER, GOING SEVEN WEEKS WITHOUT RAIN. THEY PREDICT THEIR CROP IS FIFTY PERCENT OF NORMAL.

LOW RASPBERRY NUMBERS
MEANWHILE IT LOOKS LIKE RASBERRY VOLUMES WERE DOWN IN OCTOBER AND THAT HAS PRICES ON THE RISE. A LITTLE MORE THAN 4 MILLION POUNDS WERE SHIPPED THE WEEK ENDING OCTOBER 1. THAT'S MORE THAN A MILLION POUNDS LOWER THAN YEAR AGO AT THIS TIME. VOLUMES ARE OFF ABOUT 20 MILLION POUNDS FOR THE SEASON WHICH HAS FLAT PRICES AT 22 DOLLARS VERSUS 14 TO 16 LAST YEAR.

TEASE
WE RETURN TO THE WORLD DAIRY EXPO, WHERE THIS STONE STATUE STANDS IN HONOR OF 50 YEARS OF EXPOSITIONS IN MADISON.

IN THE COUNTRY
IN THE COUNTRY -BROUGHT TO YOU BY KUBOTA'S BX AND L SERIES COMPACT TRACTORS -AVAILABLE NOW WITH A SIX-YEAR LIMITED POWERTRAIN WARRANTY. LEARN MORE TODAY AT YOUR LOCAL KUBOTA DEALER. AS THE WORLD DAIRY EXPO OPENED TUESDAY IN MADISON, WISCONSIN, THEY CELEBRATED THE 50TH ANNIVERSARY OF THE SHOW WITH A NEW STATUE. DIGNITARIES UNVEILED A 69-HUNDRED POUND CARVED STONE STATUE. HER NAME -MISS MADISON. THE SCULPTURE REPRESENTS THE SEVEN BREEDS OF DAIRY EXHIBITED AT THE SHOW. THE STATUE IS MADE OF DAKOTA MAHOGANY GRANITE. USING ROBOTIC CUTTING MACHINES, THE STATUE TOOK FOUR WEEKS TO CARVE. ARTISTS FROM GERMANY AND ITALY SUPERVISED THE PROJECT. "THE MADISON COW HERE, MISS MADISON, IS MADE OUT OF GRANITE. AND IT'S BLENDED WITH THE BREEDS. IF YOU GET UP CLOSE, IT'S SPECKLED AND SPOTTED, AND IT REPRESENTS THE 7 BREEDS HERE AT WORLD DAIRY EXPO - THE GUERNSEYS, THE AYRSHIRES, THE RED AND WHITES, THE BROWN SWISS, THE BLACK AND WHITE, THE MILKING SHORTHORN. THERE ARE SEVEN BREEDS HERE. SO AND IF YOU LOOK AT IT CLOSE, IT'S A NEAT COLLAGE OF THE DIFFERENT COLORS."

CLOSE
THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. WE'RE GLAD YOU TUNED IN. FOR ALL OF US AT AGDAY. I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. HAVE A GREAT DAY. HIGH STRENGTH STEEL FOR HIGH STRENGTH DEPENDABILITY, THE CHEVY SILVERADO IS THE OFFICIAL NEWS GATHERING VEHICLE OF AGDAY TELEVISION.

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