AgDay Daily Recap - September 11, 2018

September 11, 2018 06:00 AM
 

TODAY ON AGDAY
SEPTEMBER 11, 2018

HEADLINES
HURRICANE FLORENCE SPINS TOWARD EAST COAST FARMERS."IT'S GO-TIME FOR FARMERS IN THE SOUTHEAST AS HURRICANES  THREATEN THE AREA. WE HAVE AN UPDATE WITH HARVEST AHEAD IN THE SHOW."  IN AGRIBUSINESS.. WILL CORN REALLY ADD 5 MILLION MORE    ACRES NEXT SEASON?   NAFTA NEGOTIATIONS CONTINUE WITH CANADA AND THE FOCUS IS DAIRY.AND AUSTRALIAN FARMERS CONTINUE TO FACE A DEVASTATING DROUGHT. AGDAY-BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE DEPENDABLE, LONG LASTING CHEVY SILVERADO.

NEWS
GOOD MORNING I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS...ON THIS 17TH YEAR SINCE 9-11...WE PAUSE THIS MORNING TO REFLECT AND REMEMBER.NOW TO THE NEWS, THE EAST COAST WATCHING HURRICANE FLORENCE INTENSIFY IN THE ATLANTIC AS IT MAKES ITS WAY WEST. THE STORM EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING SURGE, WINDS AND MASSIVE FLOODING TO THE COAST. ITS CURRENTLY PROJECTED TO LAND IN THE CAROLINA'S LATE THIS WEEK OR OVER THE WEEKEND. FAVORABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE HELPING FLORENCE INTENSIFY. IT'S EXPECTED TO BE CATEGORY 3 OR STRONGER BY THE TIME IT MAKES LANDFALL. THE LAST TIME THAT THE CAROLINA COASTLINE ANYWHERE IN THE CAROLINAS WAS HIT BY A MAJOR HURRICANE. IT WAS WAY BACK IN THE 1980S WHEN HURRICANE HUGO IN THE LATE 80S MOVED ASHORE NEAR CHARLESTON. AND SO WE HAVE GONE 30 YEARS WITHOUT A MAJOR HURRICANE STRIKE IN THIS PART OF THE COUNTRY HAD A LOT OF MINOR    HURRICANES CATEGORY ONES AND TWOS BUT THAT'S A FAR CRY FROM THE DAMAGE THAT A MAJOR 3 4 OR 5 HURRICANE CAN DO. USDA METEOROLOGIST BRAD RIPPEYSAYS FLORENCE COULD DO TO THE MID-ATLANTIC WHAT HARVEY DID TO EASTERN TEXAS. IF THE TRACK HOLDS, HE EXPECTS MAJOR COASTAL DAMAGE FROM WIND, WAVES AND STORM SURGE. ADDING THAT ITS ALSO POSSIBLE TO SEE CATASTROPHIC  INLAND FLOODING. UNLIKE TEXAS WE HAVE THE COMPLICATION OF HIGH TERRAIN. WE'VE GOT MOUNTAINS THAT REACHED THE 3 4 5 AND 6000 FEET ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND AS THAT WIND COMES IN FROM THE EAST IT  WILL BE ALMOST PERPENDICULAR TO THE MOUNTAINS AND COULD WRING OUT MORE THAN 20 INCHES OF RAINFALL. SO WE ARE LOOKING AT A ONE TWO PUNCH BOTH WITH THE COASTAL IMPACTS THE INLAND IMPACTS AND THEN OF COURSE THE FLOODING COULD LAST FOR DAYS OR WEEKS. ONCE YOU GET INTO SOME OF THE INLAND AREAS RIPPEY SAYS THERE ARE A LARGE NUMBER OF VULNERABLE CROPS AND COMMODITIES IN THE PATH OF FLORENCE.  ONE OF THE BIGGEST CONCERNS IS THE HOG INDUSTRY.THIS MAP SHOWS THE INTENSE CONCENTRATION OF OF THE INDUSTRY IN NORTH CAROLINA.  RIPPEY SAYS WHEN HURRICANE FLOYD HIT IN SEPTEMBER OF   19-99 TENS OF THOUSAND OF PIGS DROWNED AND HOG WASTE WASHED INTO WATERWAYS.COTTON CROPS COULD SEE DEVASTATION SIMILAR TO LAST YEAR'S HURRICANE HARVEY.FARMERS HAVE BEEN WATCHING FLORENCE AND OTHERS DEVELOP FOR A WEEK OR MORE.NATIONAL REPORTER BETSY JIBBEN VISITED NORTH CAROLINA LAST WEEK WHERE PRODUCERS ARE RUSHING TO BEAT THE WEATHER.MACHINERY ROLLING THROUGH NORTH CAROLINA FIELDS.. A COMMON SIGHT FOR SEPTEMBER <"WE'VE BEEN DRY LATELY WHICH AS BEEN OPTIMAL FOR CORN HARVEST. IT'S A DOUBLE-EDGE SWORD">AS FARMERS PREPARE FOR EXTREME STORMS TO MAKE LANDFALL. <"IT'S GO-TIME, IT'S GO TIME.">NORTH CAORLINA FARMER CHRIS NAYLOR PUSHING HARD THROUGH HARVEST FOR OVER A WEEK...   LUCKILY, THERE'S BEEN NO MEASURABLE RAINFALL BEFORE THE STORM, WHICH MEANS COMBINES CAN CONTINUE TO MOVE.   "YOU JUST WORK AS HARD AS YOU CAN PRIOR TO THE STORMS AND TRY TO GET OUT WHAT YOU CAN,"HE HOPES TO BE DONE HARVESTING CORN BEFORE THURSDAY NIGHT WHEN FLORENCE IS EXPECTED TO HIT THE CAROLINAS. TROPICAL STORM MADE LANDFALL A FEW DAYS AGO. AS NAYLOR WAITS FOR FLORENCE EXPECTED TO DROP UP TO 20 TO 30 INCHES OF RAIN IN HIS AREA."WE WILL EITHER TRY TO PUT IT IN STOGE OR SELL IT . WE JUST WANT TO GET IT OUT OF THE FIELD. IT'S NO FUN PICKING CORN OFF HTE GROUND. YOU LOSE A TREMENDOUS AMOUNT OF YIELD." NEARBY, IS NEWTON GROVE, NORTH CAORLINA FARMER BARTLEY WARREN. WITH HUNDREDS OF ACRES OF CORN TO HARVEST, HE'S HIRING CUSTOM HARVESTERS BUT HELP,   "SOMETIMES WE CAN GET HELP FROM NEIGHBORS IF WE NEED IT. WE  HAVE TWO MACHINES, NORMALLY WE CAN STAY ON T OP OF IT AND GET EVERYTHING OUT IN A TIMELY MANNER."BUT WITH AH THOUSAND ACRES OF SWEET POTATOES AND 250 ACRES OF TOBACCO LEFT IN THE YIELD, THERE AREN'T ENOUGH HANDS TO GET EVERYTHING DONE. "WE STILL HAVE A LOT OF ACRES AND GROUND TO COVER,"THAT'S WHY HE'S MOVING QUICK TO AT LEAST GET HIS CORN TO STORAGE.   "WE HAVE A DRYER TO PICK HIGH MOISTURE GRIAN. WE DO HAVE   ENOUGH STORAGE TO HOUSE IT WHEN WE GET IN A PINCH. THAT SORT OF   THING."COLD WEATHER IN CHINA PUSHING SOYBEAN FUTURES HIGHER MONDAY.  PRICES THERE WERE ON TRACK FOR THEIR BIGGEST DAILY GAIN ON RECORD.CHINA'S BEAN FUTURES CLIMBING NEARLY 5 PERCENT IN   EARLY TRADE--ON CONCERNS ABOUT CROP DAMAGE DUE TO COLD.THE AVERAGE DAILY TEMPERATURE IN CHINA'S NORTHEAST REGION FELL TO 46 DEGREES OVER THE WEEKEND-- WHILE   NOT FREEZING IT'S WELL BELOW THE NORMAL LEVEL OF 60 DEGREES. ON THE TRADE FRONT, WHITE HOUSE ECONOMIC ADVISER LARRY KUDLOW SAYS PRESIDENT TRUMP IS WILLING TO MEET WITH CHINESE LEADER XI JINPING REGARDING THE ESCALATING TRADE WAR.BUT KUDLOWSAYS BEIJING NEEDS TO SHOW IT'S OPEN TO COMPROMISE.LATE LAST WEEK, PRESIDENT TRUMP TELLING REPORTERS THAT HE MAY IMPOSE ANOTHER 267-BILLION DOLLAR TARIFFS ON CHINESE IMPORTS.   AND THAT'S ON TOP OF THE 200-BILLION HE'S BEEN THREATENING IN RECENT WEEKS. THE U-S ALREADY HAS 50-BILLION DOLLARS IN TARIFFS ON CHINESE GOODS. THOSE WERE IMPOSED IN JULY.ALSO IN CHINA, AFRICAN SWINE FEVER DETECTED IN EARLY AUGUST HAS BEEN FOUND IN NEARLY 20 FARMS ACROSS SIX DIFFERENT PROVINCES.THAT'S ACCORDING TO THE U.N. FOOD AND AGRICULTURE   ORGANIZATION.THE FAOSAYS ITS ALMOST CERTAIN TO SPREAD FROM CHINA   TO OTHER ASIAN COUNTRIES.       OVER THE WEEKEND, JAPAN'S AGRICULTURE MINISTRY FEVER IN 26 YEARS.ALTHOUGH IT'S DIFFERENT THAN THE AFRICAN SWINE FEVER FOUND IN CHINA.JAPAN HAS SUSPENDED EXPORTS OF PORK AND WILD BOAR MEAT.US TRADE REPRESENTATIVE ROBERT LIGHTHIZER SPENDING   MONDAY MEETING WITH HIS COUNTERPARTS IN THE   EUROPEAN UNION.USTRSAYS MINISTERS WILL MEET AGAIN AT THE END OF THE MONTH AND THEN CONTINUE TALKS THROUGH OCTOBER.  THE FOCUS WILL BE TARIFFS AND NON-TARIFF BARRIERS TO TRADE.THE U.S. AND E-U CURRENTLY HAVE A ONE TRILLION DOLLAR BILATERAL TRADE RELATIONSHIP.WE'LL CONTINUE LOOK AT FARM COUNTRY WITH MIKE HOFFMANOF THE AGDAY WEATHER TEAM.GOOD MORNING MIKE.GOOD MORNING, CLINTON. WE'RE KICKING THINGS OFF IN MONROE COUNTY,  MISSISSIPPI . DEBBIE HINSHAW SAYS FALL CALVING IS GOING  WELL. THEY'RE GETTING HELP FROM GOOD PASTURE CONDITIONS AND PLENTY OF RAIN. THE AREA COUNTED 3 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND.     OF COURSE NOT ALL OF THE STATE IS DOING THAT WELL.ACCORDING TO THE DROUGHT MONITOR, ROUGHLY 30 PERCENT OF MISSISSIPPI IS CONSIDERED ABNORMALLY DRY. AND ANDY WEISSERIN ROSCOE, SOUTH DAKOTA SENDING US    SOME CORN PHOTOS THAT SHOW BELOW AVERAGE YIELDS FOR HIS AREA OF THE STATE. USDA SAYS SOUTH DAKOTA SHOULD SEE AN AVERAGE YIELD OF 170 BUSHELS PER ACRE. WE'LL SEE IF THAT HOLDS WHEN A NEW REPORT COMES OUT LATER THIS WEEK. AND TAKING A LOOK AT THE WIND SPEED FORECAST IT'S GOING TO BE PRETTY WINDY ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS EVEN A START TODAY TURNS WINDIER FROM MISSISSIPPI TO NORTHWESTERN KANSAS BY THE END OF  THE DAY AND A LITTLE BIT OUT WEST HEADING INTO THE DAY TOMORROW WE CAN SHIFT THINGS A LITTLE BIT AND NOT MUCH. YOU CAN SEE PRETTY WINDY ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS AND MOST OF THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE WEST. WE'LL TALK MORE ABOUT YOUR FORECAST COMING UP BUT FIRST HERE SOME HOMETOWN. TEMPS. 

TEASE
CROPS AREN'T EVEN HARVESTED YET BUT WE'LL START TALKING NEXT SEASON'S ACREAGE BATTLE EARLY. ANGIE SETZER JOINS ME NEXT AT THE AGRIBUSINESS DESK. AND LATER, DROUGHT PROBLEMS CONTINUE IN AUSTRALIA AS EVEN HAY HAULERS RUN OUT OF BALES TO SHIP. AN UPDATE FROM DOWN UNDERON IN THE COUNTRY.

FLOOR OF THE CME
IN AGRIBUSINESS PLENTY OF GREEN ON THE BOARDS TO START THE WEEK. CHICAGO SOYBEANS WERE ON THE RISE. FUTURES THAT MOVED TO TAMPA AT THE TOP OF THE OF A NEW RANGE EVEN THOUGH THE RAIN JUST KIND OF TIGHT RIGHT NOW WE'VE GOT THEM THE MARKET KIND OF SETTLING DOWN AND CONSOLIDATING SOMEWHAT. THE BIG CROP AND THE TARIFF TENSIONS ARE STILL PREVAILING OVER THESE MARKETS AND THEY ARE REALLY CASTING A SHADOW KEEPING THE MARKET FROM REALLY MOVING MUCH HIGHER. BUT THE GOOD THING IS THAT IT ISN'T MOVING ANY LOWER. SO THANK GOODNESS FOR THAT CORN WAS MIXED TODAY. THE FARMERS ARE THE FARMERS SELLING OF ANY OF THEIR CORN CROP CERTAINLY FROM LAST YEAR HAS BEEN VERY SLOW SO IT HAS PUSHED THE MARKET ANY LOWER. RIGHT NOW WE'RE A LITTLE BIT BELOW OF THE ACTUAL VALUE. THE GROWING VALUE AND THAT'S WHY THE MARKET IS KIND OF STALLED OUT HERE A LITTLE BIT. CATTLE WAS FIRM. IT SEEMS LIKE SOME OF THAT THERE'S BEEN STRONG CASH BUYING COMING IN AND REALLY LIFTED THE MARKET SOMEWHAT HIGHER. AND I THINK THAT THERE WAS THAT KIND OF UNDERPINNED. THE PRICES TO MOVE TO MAKE A NEW HIGH. BUT IT DID BRING IN A LITTLE BIT OF SELLING AND I KNOW THAT THERE HAS BEEN MORE BEEF DEMAND COMING IN AND THAT'S STRENGTHENING THE MARKET AND WE ACTUALLY EXPECT THAT DEMAND TO LAST THROUGHOUT THE WINTERTIME. SO OVERALL WE'RE LOOKING FOR A MARKET TO CONTINUE TO CLIMB. THAT'S ALL FROM THE FLOOR OF THE CME GROUP HERE IN CHICAGO. I'M VIRGINIA MCGATHEY. 

AGIBUSINESS
<HERE AT THE AGRIBUSINESS DESK TODAY WE'VE GOT ANGIE SETZER OF CITIZENS GRAIN. ANGIE LET'S TALK ABOUT SOMETHING WE USUALLY DON'T TALK ABOUT TILL NOVEMBER OR DECEMBER. ARE WE GOING TO SEE MORE CORN ACRES NEXT YEAR. WE HAVEN'T EVEN HARVESTED THIS CROP.    IT'S LIKE CHRISTMAS DECORATIONS IN THE STORE. PRETTY SOON AFTER   MEMORIAL DAY AND YOUR SAYING IS GOING TO BE HANGING OUT MOSTLY SORT OF THE SAME IS TRUE. YOU GUYS ARE COMBINING IN THE FALL AND THE SEED SALESMAN IS KNOCKING ON THE DOOR TO RIDE ALONG SO WE CAN FIGURE OUT WHAT WE'RE GOING TO PLANT NEXT YEAR RIGHT. SURE. BUT THE REALITY IS AT THIS POINT IN TIME THAT HAS BEEN A PRETTY COMMON CONVERSATION AS OF LATE. THAT'S PART OF THE REASON THAT CORN CAN'T SEPARATE ITSELF FROM SOYBEANS. THIS IDEA THAT OH WITH THE TARIFFS IN PLACE SOYBEANS YOU DID TRADE SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER. THAT'S BEEN THE CONVERSATION. AS A RESULT OF CORN STAYS WHERE IT'S AT BASED ON RATIO WELL OBVIOUSLY FOLKS ARE GOING TO TRANSFER OVER AND SO THERE'S BEEN THIS COMMON TALK LATELY WHERE WE'RE GOING  TO SEE FOUR TO FIVE MILLION ACRES MORE OF CORN NEXT SPRING. THAT'S BEEN A LOT. IT'S A LOT. BUT I DON'T SEE THAT HAPPENING. YOU DON'T I DON'T KNOW. TELL ME WHY. WELL FOR ONE WE HAD SIX DOLLAR WHEAT HAPPEN IN AUGUST WHEN FOLKS WERE MAKING THEIR DECISIONS ON  WHEN OUR WHEAT PLANTING RYE YOU KNOW AND AT THIS POINT IN TIME FROM WHAT I'M HEARING ON THE COUNTRYSIDE IT'S BEEN PRETTY DIFFICULT AT THIS POINT NOW TO SOURCE WINTER WHEAT SEED. BUT THAT TELLS ME THAT THERE'S A LOT OF INTEREST IN PLANTING WHEAT HERE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF MONTHS. SO THAT'S THAT'S THE ONE PROCESS I THINK THEY'RE AT THAT POINT YOU'RE GOING TO SEE WHAT WOULD BE CORN ACRES SO IF YOU TAKE THIS YEAR'S CORN SOYBEANS SPREAD GO ONTO WHEAT WHICH MEANS IF YOU'RE LOOKING AT RIGHT NOW AND YOU'RE PLANTING AND YOU'RE TRYING TO FIGURE OUT WHAT TO DO WITH JULY 19 MAY NOT HURT TO DO SOMETHING IF YOU HAVEN'T ALREADY SOMETHING. SO I THINK YOU'RE SEE A PIECE OF THAT PIE GO IN THAT DIRECTION. AND I THINK YOU'RE SEEING SOME SPECIALTY CROPS AND TO     BE COMPLETELY HONEST MOST FOLKS THAT I TALKED TO FOCUS PRETTY INTENTLY ON THEIR ROTATION MORE THAN ANYTHING ELSE. SO THERE ARE  SOME THAT HAVE HAD BEANS ON BEANS AND BEANS RICE IS SAYING THAT THEY'RE GOING TO PLANT CORN. BUT AT THE SAME TIME THERE ARE GOING TO BE LOOKING AT THE FACT THAT THEY HAVE TO PLANT KIND OF WHAT THEIR THEIR GROUND DICTATES AS WELL. AND YOU MAY SEE SOME CASH FLOW PLAN BECAUSE YOU'RE STILL GETTING MORE MONEY FOR THE DOLLAR. YOU'VE GOT A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF CASH FLOW COMING IN. WHEN YOU SHIP A THOUSAND BUSHELS OF SOYBEANS VERSUS A  THOUSAND BUSHEL OF FOUR DOLLAR CORN. OF COURSE OF COURSE. WELL WE'LL HAVE YOU BACK AND YOU KNOW OVER MEMORIAL DAY OR SOMETIME WITH THAT TO TALK ABOUT THIS SAME THING AGAIN. BUT APPRECIATE YOU GIVING US SOME INSIGHTS INTO THAT THE MORE AGDAY IN JUST A MINUTE.

WEATHER
WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY METEOROLOGIST MIKE HOFFMAN HERE MIKE AS WE WATCH THIS HURRICANE DEVELOP OUT IN THE ATLANTIC  OCEAN. WHAT ARE YOU SEEING. WELL I MEAN IT'S GOING TO BE A   MAJOR HURRICANE PROBABLY HITTING THE CAROLINAS AND IT'S GOING TO SIT THERE AND THAT MAY BE THE MOST DEVASTATION FOR AG OF ANYTHING IS THE HEAVY RAINS THAT ARE GOING TO COME. SO THERE ARE MULTIPLE FACTORS OBVIOUSLY WITH FLORENCE WHICH IS JUST ON THE EDGE OF THE MAP RIGHT NOW WILL STEP OUT OF THE WAY AGAIN ONCE IT GETS A LITTLE BIT CLOSER TO THE COAST HERE. BUT WE'RE ALSO WATCHING ANOTHER SYSTEM WHICH COULD TURN INTO A TROPICAL STORM IN THE NORTHWESTERN GOUGH ABOUT THE SAME TIME FLORENCE IS HITTING THE CAROLINAS. SO THAT'S STILL SOMETHING WE'LL WATCH WITH A HURRICANE COMING IN LIKE THIS. YOU'LL NOTICE THE WEATHER MAP DOESN'T MOVE MUCH IN THE EASTERN PART OF THE COUNTRY OR EVERYTHING KIND OF GETS SHUNTED OFF TO THE NORTH AND THAT'S WHAT'S HAPPENING WE END UP WITH A STATIONARY FRONT FROM TEXAS ALL THE WAY INTO THE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN SOUTH TEXAS. THAT'S GOING TO PUT DOWN A FAIR AMOUNT OF RAIN IN PLACES THAT MIGHT GET A WHOLE BUNCH MORE LATER THIS WEEK INTO THIS WEEKEND FROM A VERY SLOW MOVING TROPICAL STORM SO WE HAVE TWO THINGS ON THE MAP THAT REALLY COULD COULD CAUSE SOME REAL ISSUES. BUT OBVIOUS. FLORENCE IS THE MAJOR ONE STORM SYSTEM COMING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WITH SOME SHOWERS AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS TOMORROW HEADING INTO THE MORNING HOURS TOMORROW OR THE NEXT DAY THEN ON WEDNESDAY. SORRY ABOUT THAT. YOU CAN SEE THE STATIONARY FRONT FROM LOUISIANA INTO THE NORTHEAST FLORENCE IS STARTING TO GET A LITTLE BIT CLOSER. WE'RE STILL WATCHING THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE CENTRAL GOUGH HEADING THROUGH THE DAY THEN FLORENCE HAS JUST TAKEN A BEELINE FOR THE CAROLINAS. OBVIOUSLY WE'RE NOT SURE EXACTLY WHERE THAT'S GOING TO HIT BUT IT'S GOING TO BE PROBABLY THURSDAY AND THEN IT MAY SIT THERE FOR THREE OR FOUR DAYS SOMEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND THE APPALACHIANS ARE KIND OF AN AREA WHERE YOU GET UPSLOPE AS WELL AND SO YOU CAN END UP I HATE TO GUESS HOW MUCH RAIN BUT THERE COULD EASILY BE 20 TO 30 INCHES IN SOME AREAS. AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND WELL NOT THAT MUCH OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. YOU CAN SEE FROM THE NORTHEAST IN THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS DECENT AMOUNTS OVER A 36 HOUR PERIOD THERE YOU CAN SEE   SOME AREAS MAY WE'LL GET SEVERAL INCHES ALONG THE COAST IN TEXAS. NOW CHECKING OUT TEMPERATURES HIGHS VERY PLEASANT 70S GREAT LAKES 80S NOT TOO BAD ALONG THE GULF COAST. SOME 60S AND 70S IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT GOING TO DROP OFF INTO THE 50S ONCE AGAIN IN THE GREAT LAKES AND THE NORTHERN PLAINS. AND THEN YOU HEAD INTO THE DAY TOMORROW STILLCOMFORTABLE IN THE NORTHEAST PRETTY HUMID IN THE SOUTHWEST OR SOUTHEAST. THAT'S A LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY. NOW LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT SOME LOCAL FORECAST. WE HEAD TO FRESNO CALIFORNIA. FIRST OF ALL LOTS OF SUNSHINE AND HOT TIME OF 96. KANSAS CITY MISSOURI BEAUTIFUL LOTS OF SUNSHINE HIGH OF 81 IN CHARLOTTE NORTH CAROLINA SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM IN SOME AREAS KIND OF THE STORM BEFORE THE STORM HIGH OF 81.

TEASE
WHEN WE COME BACK, WE'LL TALK DAIRY -- INCLUDING AN UPDATE ON NAFTA NEGOTIATIONS.AND LATER, HAY SHIPMENTS ARE SLOWING DOWN IN AUSTRALIA AS HAULERS RUN OUT OF BALES TO DELIVER. A LOOK AT THE ON-GOING DROUGHT FACING FARMERS IN NEW SOUTH WALES.

DAIRY REPORT
IN OUR DAIRY REPORT....A NEW WEEK AND NAFTA NEGOTIATIONS CONTINUE IN WASHINGTON.THE U.S. AND CANADA CONTINUING TO WORK THROUGH LINGERING ISSUES THAT DIVIDE THE TWO NATIONS. ON THE LIST--CANADA'S DAIRY POLICY.  U.S. OFFICIALS CONTINUE TO PUSH FOR GREATER ACCESS TO   CANADA'S DAIRY MARKET.SOURCES SAYING LIGHTHIZER KNOWS THAT UNLESS THE U.S. GARNERS MORE OF CANADA'S DAIRY MARKET ACCESS, THE ISSUE COULD HURT VOTES FOR A FINAL NAFTA AGREEMENT   IN CONGRESS. THE U.S. AND CANADA HAVE UNTIL THE END OF THIS MONTH TO SETTLE THEIR DIFFERENCES BEFORE THE TEXT OF THE U.S.   AGREEMENT WITH MEXICO IS MADE PUBLIC. LOW MILK PRICES CONTINUES TO STRESS DAIRY FARMS   ACROSS THE COUNTRY.THE WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, TRADE AND CONSUMER PROTECTION REPORTING THAT THE STATE LOST ANOTHER 47 DAIRY FARMS IN AUGUST.  WISCONSIN HAS LOST NEARLY 600 DAIRY FARMS IN THE LAST    YEAR ALONE. THE TOTAL NUMBER OF LICENSED FARMS IN WISCONSIN NOW STANDS AT 8,372 IT'S A SIMILAR STORY FOR SMALL FARMS ALL ACROSS THE COUNTRY. OWNERS OF COW COMFORT INN DAIRY IN UNION BRIDGE, MARYLAND BOTH GREW UP ON DAIRIES BUT SAY THEIR LARGEST CHALLENGE AS A FIRST GENERATION FARM TOGETHER IS KEEPING THEIR BUSINESS AFLOAT . "WE HAVE SUPER TIGHT MARGINS. WE ARE NOT A MULTI-GENERATIONAL FAMILY FARM THAT HAS YEARS OF EQUITY BUILT UP. WE REALLY HAVE TO WORK WITH A SHARPENED PENCIL EVERY MONTH."A REVISED DAIRY PROGRAM IN THE NEW FARM BILL MAY HELP SLOW THE RATE OF FARM DEPARTURES.   IT ROUGHLY TRIPLES THE BENEFITS TO SMALLER FARMS THAN THE CURRENT MARGIN PROTECTION PROGRAM.



FROM THE FARM
IT'S NOT FLOODING BUT DROUGHT THAT'S CRIPPLING FARMS IN AUSTRALIA. AN UPDATE FROM NEW SOUTH WALES TODAY ON IN THE COUNTRY.ITS NOT JUST THE U.S. FACING CHALLENGES FROM WEATHER.IN THE AUSTRALIAN STATE OF NEW SOUTH WALES,  ONGOING DROUGHT MEANS THERE'S NOW LITTLE HAY FOR FARMERS TO FEED THEIR SHEEP.IT COULD MEAN THE END OF THE ROAD FOR HAY HAULERS, WHO FOR YEARS HAVE TRANSPORTED FEED TO FARMS   ACROSS SOUTHEAST AUSTRALIA.AS DAWN BREAKS AT HIS FARM IN VICTORIA, HAY CARTER DENNIS WALKER IS PREPARING FOR AN EMOTIONAL TRIP   THAT MIGHT BE ONE OF HIS LAST.HE AND WIFE JUDY ANTHONY HAVE HIT THE ROAD FOR 30 YEARS, USING HIGHWAYS AND BACK ROADS TO REACH   FARMERS. THEIR PRECIOUS CARGO IS HAY, BUT THIS YEAR HE HAS LITTLE LEFT FOR EXPECTANT FARMERS AND THEIR FLOCKS. "I SHUDDER IN THE THOUGHT, I ABSOLUTELY SHUDDER. THEY ARE IN DIABOLICALS," SAYS WALKER.IN A TRUCK THAT'S CLOCKED MORE THAN 1 MILLION MILES, WALKER IS ADDING A FEW MORE, WINDING HIS WAY TO NEW  SOUTH WALES. WHERE ROADS BECOME DIRT, THE DROUGHT HITS HOME.   KANGAROOS SEARCH THE DUST FOR FOOD. SHEEP ARE STARVING."IT BREAKS MY HEART THAT PEOPLE CAN'T OFFLOAD THEM AND THEY'RE   JUST DYING IN THE PADDOCK," SAYS ANTHONY.WALKER SAYS HE'S NEVER SEEN IT LIKE THIS BEFORE. "THIS IS AS BAD AS IT GETS. THE CATTLE ARE WALKING BAGS OF BONES,"      HE SAYS.   A MUCH-NEEDED PIT STOP BRINGS SOME RELIEF BEFORE A SETBACK - A FLAT TIRE. BUT THE PAIR PUSH ON TO A SHEEP STATION DEEP IN THE GRIP OF DROUGHT.WALKER ISN'T THE ONLY CONTRACTOR WHO'S RUNNING OUT    OF HAY. IT'S NOW GETTING ALMOST IMPOSSIBLE TO SOURCE WITH EVEN THE POORER-QUALITY BALES DEMANDING TOP       PRICE.CRAIG MORTON'S PROPERTY HAS ONLY HAD A TRICKLE OF RAIN IN TWO YEARS. HE'S PINNING ALL HIS HOPES ON RAIN   THIS SEPTEMBER."IT'S REALLY DRIED RIGHT OUT," HE SAYS.  "SO, IT'S HURTING, REALLY BAD."  MUCH OF AUSTRALIA'S SOUTHEAST IS STRUGGLING WITH DROUGHT. THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN NEW SOUTH WALES STATE THIS YEAR HAVE BEEN THE DRIEST AND MOSTWIDESPREAD SINCE 1965.STATE OFFICIALS SAY 100 PERCENT OF NEW SOUTH WALES' --MORE THAN 300-THOUSAND SQUARE MILES IS NOW IN DROUGHT. FOR WALKER, IT'S JOB'S DONE. HE AND ANTHONY GET BACK  ON THEIR TRUCK FOR THE LONG JOURNEY HOME.. HOPING CONDITIONS CHANGE SOON.    PRAYERS FOR FOLKS THERE.THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. 

CLOSE
WE'RE GLAD YOU TUNED IN...ON THIS SEPTEMBER ELEVENTH. FROM ALL OF US HERE AT AGDAY. I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. HAVE A GREAT DAY.

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